Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Rich is solo as Terry and Tom make their way to Saratoga
Horse Racing Picks
Saratoga Park Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Terry’s Finger Lakes Best Bet
Picks with the Professor’s MLB Play of the Day
All MLB Picks on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DUStEF-RYzM
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Delaware Park
Saratoga Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – jumpers
4-5-3-2
Race 2 – 7 Furlongs, 20 races, 15 won by speed, 6 w2w – PP: small rail bias, 2/3 small discount, 4-7 slight bonus, 8+ small discount
3 – OFFUTT COLE – let’s try to beat the 1-1 with a left arrow horse, ran TLRSP#, better fractions 4/5 f fractions
5 – DRINK THE WIND – dropping from MSW 105, that’s a major drop, maybe suspicious? Tr Wayne Catalano wins 23% MSW to MCL
4 – READYSEEKGO – blew a tire in his last, dropping multiple classes, maybe the right distance 4/0-3-0
1 – PRINCE OF FENTON – +LP edge, carries a little weight, beaten favorite in last two
Race 3 – 5 ½ Furlongs Turf, 31 races, 17 won off the pace, 4 w2w – PP: small penalty 1-3, bonus 4-7, big penalty 8+
9 – MAKAR – tr Brad Cox, winner 27% second career start, second grass start 29%, three OK works since
8 – KING OF COMEDY – like the August 7th and July 17th works
6 – ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA – a bunch a OK works getting ready, like Luis Saez on young horses
4 – CONMAN – was bet down to 3-1 in debut, a good work between races, expecting more in second career race
Race 4 – 6 Furlongs, 33 races, 29 won by speed, 9 w2w – PP: Outside in bias, 1-3 penalty
1 – MONTAUK DADDY – strong at the distance 7/4-2-1, fast 5/3-1-1, drops from 102k NGST
5 – SIBELIUS – TLRSP# with fastest 4f time, resume hints at better run 2nd off the bench
3 – MEXICAN WONDER BOY – should be close to the front and has top LP in the field
2 – HIGHER STANDARD – could get a good trip if frontrunners go too fast, very consistent performer
Race 5 – 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf, 19 races, 15 won off the pace, 1 w2w – PP: 1-3 little discount, 4-7 bonus, 8+ major penalty
4 – BE THE BOSS – LS – has a + EP edge at 2/4 f, going long for the 1st time, should increase early edge, tr Michael Trombetta hits at 16% in first route
9 – INFLATION ADJUSTED – drops in class to claiming for the 1st time, tr Chad Brown hits at 37% 1st claiming, big number even for him
5 – TONAL IMPACT – has a ++ LP advantage at a distance/surface that heavily favors closers, 2nd start off the claim for tr Michael Maker, 21% angle
10 – SKYLANDER – 1st after the claim for tr William Mott, 26% winning angle for the hall of fame trainer
Race 6 – 6 Furlongs, 33 races, 29 won by speed, 9 w2w – PP: Outside in bias, 1-3 penalty
8 – MAPLE LEAF MEL – bullet and go, overall appears to have the best works getting ready
7 – SECURITY CODE – like the works here too, especially on Aug 3 and July 4
4 – HERE WE GO AGAIN – price play with a good work in her last before debut
9 – BOOK AND CANCEL – some of the better works for the remaining horses
6 – JOEY THE FISH
Race 7 – 5 ½ Furlongs Turf, 31 races, 17 won off the pace, 4 w2w – PP: small penalty 1-3, bonus 4-7, big penalty 8+
11 – PROPENSITY – left arrow horse that gets a weight break, a little better late in his last
4 – FORE HARP – was better ATB in his last with better early fractions
6 – KING MOONRACER – usually really close at the end, 3rd off the layoff, 3rd was by far the best in last 3 race cycle
10 – STAINLESS STEEL – left arrow horse too, has some EP, best race by far was on good dirt, could translate to first race on turf
Race 8 – 7 Furlongs, 20 races, 15 won by speed, 6 w2w – PP: small rail bias, 2/3 small discount, 4-7 slight bonus, 8+ small discount
4 – REPO ROCKS – going to try a beat the likely heavy favorite – been competing at this level, OK at Toga 5/0-1-2, OK at Distance 10/0-2-4
3 – SOUTHERN DISTRICT – a lot of questions, distance never run less than 1m, first time in a stakes race, lone Toga race wasn’t good
2 – AWESOME GERRY – tied TLRSP#, distance 6/2-2-0, gets Irad
1 – ISOLATE – big fans of Patti and Dean Reeves of Reeves racing, never off the board in 6 on a fast track
5 – MR PHIL – distance 4/2-2-0, really strong July 31st work at Toga 1/149, but 3/0-0-0 at the track, up and down performer
Race 9 – 1 Mile Inner Turf, 15 races, 8 won off the pace, 4 w2w – PP: inside 3 penalty, 4-7 small bonus, 8+ a little better than par
11 – TIMBUKTU – improved in each of his three races, won debut at Toga, decent works for tr Brad Cox getting ready
8 – FRONT LINE DANCER – will be rallying hard at the end, better fractions in his last, better 2/4 internals
2 – MAJOR SPIN – has a +4f edge vs a field of closers, if he can get away with EZ fractions, lone trip in slop was his best, might translate to first on turf
5 – FRANK’S ART – won his debut from worst to first with a crazy late run, better start and some good works between could mean better performance
Race 10 – 1 3/16 Miles Turf, 3 races, 2 won off the pace, 0 w2w – PP: 1 from 2/3, a pair of winners 4-7
3 – REMOTE – missed as the FAV in last, tr Christophe Clement rebounds at 25%, was much better late
2 – TIZ A GIANT – left arrow horse, should be close to the lead, turf 2/0-2-0, strong Z pattern in last
7 – RUNNING BEE – left arrow horse too, TLRSP #, could be better in race 2 off the sidelines, 28% winner for tr Chad Brown
9 – CLOUD FOREST – tough call over the 8, +LP edge, but first on grass, pedigree numbers for turf fit, just needs to get off to a good start
8 – MOST WANTED MAN – Chad Brown flips to Irad here, they are winning at 31% together
