Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Ask Charles makes his debut.
Horse Racing Picks
Saratoga Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Picks with the Professor’s MLB Play of the Day
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Delaware Park
Saratoga Horse Racing Picks and Comments
Charles’ Picks
1st 3,1,7,6
2nd 3,7,6,8
3rd 5,1,7,2
4th 4,5,3,6
5th 6,4,1,2
6th 5,10,2,4
7th 4,6,7,5
8th 2,6,7,1
9th 1,9,10,11
10th 8,7,10,5
Rich’s Ranks
Race 2 – 7 Furlongs, 40 races, 31 won by speed, 13 w2w – PP: 1-3 a little under par, 4-7 a little bonus, 8+ fair
3 – LAUGHTER – TLRSP#, upgrades to jy Luis Saez, 4sp# increases in each of 4 races
6 – I’M NERVOUS NOW – 1st time starter, decent works for this level, tr J Saffie, Jr wins at 21% MCL Debut
2 – MADDIE’S SURPRISE – has a ++ LP edge based on debut race, bad start in debut, better start and should be better in 2nd off the bench
8 – SUMMER SNOW – MSW Dropper, should be close to the front, much better fractions in last, nice work in last
Race 3 – 5 ½ Furlongs Turf, 57 races, 29 won off the pace, 10 w2w – PP: Inside 3 bias, 4-7 fair, 8+ big penalty
5 – ROCK CHALK – ran 2nd in his debut, Chris P angle, tr George Weaver 19% winner 2nd career start
7 – THREE ZERO – gets Flavien Prat, EP#s say he could be on the lead by as much as a length at the 1/2
3 – CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR – like the works, bullet three back, good pedigree for the distance/surface
6 – IRON MAN JIMMY – the August 21 work of 48.3 for 4f, like Kendrick on horses that have a chance to be upfront
2 – WEBSLINGER – Probably flip to 4th on the 6 jockey change
Race 4 – 1 Mile Inner Turf, 31 races, 18 won off the pace, 7 w2w – PP: Inside 3 bias, 4-7 fair, penalty 8+
5 – SCOTISH STAR – BB – has a +2f edge, ++4f edge and top LP#s – can’t beat what you can’t catch
2 – BABY BLYTHE – PPs suggest she will improve sharply in 2nd start after a layoff
4 – NEVISIAN SUNRISE – distance 6/2-2-1, good works getting ready to return from a short break
3 – ZAINALARAB – $1m horse, started career on dirt, last 2 turf 2/0-1-1, strong works
Race 5 – 1 1/8 Miles, 31 races, 25 won by speed, 7 w2w – PP: rail penalty, 2/3 fair, 4-7 penalty, 8+ big bonus
4 – WILL E SUTTON – claim and drop, 45% winner for tr Robert Falcone, Jr, TLRSP#
6 – ROAD TO SUCCESS – doesn’t look like it on paper, but likely to be on the lead, distance 2/1-1-0, tends to run off the bench like today
5 – DONTBELATE – left arrow horse, could be on the lead, if he has the lead in the stretch, would be hard to pass
2 – CONVERTIBLE FREEZE – much better late in last, resume says 2nd race off the bench should be better than 1st
Race 6 – 1 Mile Inner Turf, 31 races, 18 won off the pace, 7 w2w – PP: Inside 3 bias, 4-7 fair, penalty 8+
5 – SALS DREAM GIRL – MSW dropper, Flavien Prat rode once before, 2nd by a length
10 – CERRETTA – tried this level two back, had the lead in the stretch, better fractions in last
12 – TREAT STREET – left arrow horse, should be close to the lead and has some of the most LP
4 – EAU CLAIRE – MSW dropper, tr Arnaud Delacour hits a 41% on the Tom Carley drop
Race 7 – 5 ½ Furlongs Turf, 57 races, 29 won off the pace, 10 w2w – PP: Inside 3 bias, 4-7 fair, 8+ big penalty
4 – XY SPEED – distance 15/8-3-1, dropping from NGSTK, TLRSP#, usually runs well fresh, LP1
7 – NOT PHAR NOW – likely to be pacesetter, jy tr, Manny Franco/George Weaver winners 6/18 +4.10 ROI – like Manny on fast horses
1 – SHIRAZ – dropping in class a little bit, some of his best fractions last out, inside post should help
6 – SEVEN SCENTS – ships in from Ellis Park for Brad Cox, hits at 27% with invaders, drops from 100k NGSTK, could be better in R2 off the bench
Race 8 – 6 Furlongs, 55 races, 50 won by speed, 22 w2w – PP: mostly fair a little edge 4-7
6 – DOUBLE SHOT – dropping off the claim, 39% winner for tr Jose D’Angelo, distance 10/3-3-0
2 – BANYAN BREEZE – TLRSP# and bullet work since, has top LP#s, better fractions at 6f than 5 1/2f
1 – SOMEBODY – upgrades to Flavien, could be better in 3rd off the bench, maintenance between races
7 – DURKIN’S CALL – scratched into this spot, distance 9/0-0-4, maybe finishes up gimmicks
Race 9 – 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf, 34 races, 24 won off the pace, 5 w2w – PP: 4-7 bonus, all others penalty
5 – EL CONEJITO – LS – won debut going w2w, same race and it has a +EP edge vs the rest, gelded since last race – race shape changes with 4 scratching
9 – OUR DREAM RYE’D – TLRSP#, closer with strong mid-move in last
1 – BATTLE OF NORMANDY – won his debut, two good maintenance works since debut
3 – NOBLE HUNTSMAN – stepped forward in career start #2, going long for the 1st time, should help as he made up ground late in 1st two starts.
Race 10 – 6 ½ Furlongs, 12 races, 100% won by speed, 4 w2w – PP: rail fair, 2/3 big bonus, 4-7 penalty, 0 from 8+
8 – BEACH BOY AL – left arrow horse, MSW Dropper, George Weaver 21% angle, 16f works since last race
5 – SINFUL DANCER – another left arrow, Weaver MSW droppers, was considerably better 2/4f pace#s
3 – DEVIL BOY – 3rd MSW dropper, tr Jeremiah Englehart wins MCL 30%, bullet work and resume says much better in R2 off the bench
2 – CAPT’ REMINGTON – has a +LP#, almost ++, TLRSP#, Toga 2/0-1-1
Saratoga Pace Worksheet
