Horse Racing Today – Tampa Bay Downs Picks Live – Wednesday, November 30, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Horse Racing Picks

Tampa Bay Downs Full Card Picks

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Tampa Bay Downs Horse Racing Tips and Commentary

Santa Charles’ Selections

1. 5,3,2,6
2. 5,3,7,2
3. 3,5,4,2
4. 8,5,2,4
5. 6,3,4,2
6. 5,1,3,8
7. 6,2,7,4
8. 10,9,3,1

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with outside in Bias

5 – GRATIA PRINCE – Z Pattern in debut with a ++/O combo from that result

4 – MAJESTIC PHAROAH – TLRSP# with strong Nov 20 4 furlong in 46.4

2 – DEPOLI – Godolphin horse, very consistent in both races, similar fractions at 1m vs 6f

3 – COX CANYON – 1s timer with a bullet and go

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile Turf – Bias: Early Speed fair 1-7, no winners 8+

3 – GINETTES ON FIRE – major EP advantage, if she runs EZ fractions, w2w

7 – WATER FIGHT – tr Arnaud Delacour hits at 40% on the MSW to MCL drop, an amazing number

5 – MOVE TO ORDER –lonely P in a race with speed or closers and a much better price

2 – SUPER CARO – should be close to the pace, drops and has the top EP/LP combo

Race 3: 1 Mile 40 Yards – Bias: Only 3 races and they all went w2w – and inside 3

6 – SMARTHUMOR – should be on the lead with +EP and 2/4f where 3/2 went w2w, outside post hurts?

3 – WATCH FOR THE LUTE – last race was better than it looks on paper with faster fractions and small Z

2 – EL POLICIA – TB Downs 3/1-2-0, another that ran better times last out, a couple of maintenance works between races, maybe lone E

4 – STRATFORD – TB 4/1-1-2, O-5 elsewhere, distance 3/0-1-2,

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile Turf – Bias: Early Speed fair 1-7, no winners 8+

5 – VETERANS BEACH – Left Arrow horse that could be better in the 3^rd off the bench, going long for the 1^st time – should emphasize speed

8 – SUMMER PALACE – gets Pablo, leading jockey, never off the board at the distance or on turf, 1^st start with tr Katy Cheeks, 32% angle for 12% trainer

3 – VINTNER – TLRSP# and usually ups the number in the 2^nd off the bench

2 – PAPA JIMMY – tough call over the 1, but beat him already

Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with outside in Bias

6 – MR. CASH – hate 1-1s, but does look superior on paper with top EP and LP

3 – DOUBLE WARRIOR – 3^rd odd the layoff was the best of the three in last cycle

5 – CLASS OF SIXTY TWO – 1^st timer without a lot to beat after the 6, why not take the odds

4 – ANDY WALKS WITH ME – showed EP in debut, MSW to MCL

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile Turf – Bias: Early Speed fair 1-7, no winners 8+

3 – JOE PHILLIPS – Left Arrow horse with TB Turf 2/1-1-0, nice TB works since last

5 – THORN – TLRSP# on all weather, Turf 9/2-1-3, much better in fist ½ last out

4 – BOURBON BROWN –but been much better on Tampa grass and gets a weight break with early speed

8 – EXACTING – tough call over the 7, but going to take the EP

Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with outside in Bias 

6 – CANDY ARCADE – has a huge LP advantage versus the rest, drops in 3^rd off the break

2 – SOCIAL ELIZABETH -3^rd off the break and 1^st time for tr Jorge Delgado, both alpha angles and gets weight break today

4 – LEGEND’S SONG – Lonely P horse, was much better ATB in her last

3 – BLACK KARMA – 1^st timer without a lot to beat

Race 8: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Early Speed fair 1-7, no winners 8+

10 – AWESOME STRIKE – considerably better numbers than the rest and drops

7 – LONG STORY – should be better in 2^nd off the bench and has top EP/LP combo

1 – JOE BRAINS – lightly raced, been well bet in both starts, just needs a better start

9 – EDEN PARADISE – really benefits with the 5 scratching, should be involved all the way around

Tampa Bay Downs Way to Winners’ Cricle Pace Worksheet