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Tampa Bay Downs Picks

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Horse Racing Today – Tampa Bay Downs Picks Live – Wednesday, November 30, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Horse Racing Picks

Tampa Bay Downs Full Card Picks

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Mahoning Valley

Tampa Bay Downs Horse Racing Tips and Commentary

Santa Charles’ Selections

  1. 5,3,2,6
  2. 5,3,7,2
  3. 3,5,4,2
  4. 8,5,2,4
  5. 6,3,4,2
  6. 5,1,3,8
  7. 6,2,7,4
  8. 10,9,3,1

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with outside in Bias

5 – GRATIA PRINCE – Z Pattern in debut with a ++/O combo from that result

4 – MAJESTIC PHAROAH – TLRSP# with strong Nov 20 4 furlong in 46.4

2 – DEPOLI – Godolphin horse, very consistent in both races, similar fractions at 1m vs 6f

3 – COX CANYON – 1s timer with a bullet and go

 

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile Turf – Bias: Early Speed fair 1-7, no winners 8+

3 – GINETTES ON FIRE – major EP advantage, if she runs EZ fractions, w2w

7 – WATER FIGHT – tr Arnaud Delacour hits at 40% on the MSW to MCL drop, an amazing number

5 – MOVE TO ORDER –lonely P in a race with speed or closers and a much better price

2 – SUPER CARO – should be close to the pace, drops and has the top EP/LP combo

 

Race 3: 1 Mile 40 Yards – Bias: Only 3 races and they all went w2w – and inside 3

6 – SMARTHUMOR – should be on the lead with +EP and 2/4f where 3/2 went w2w, outside post hurts?

3 – WATCH FOR THE LUTE – last race was better than it looks on paper with faster fractions and small Z

2 – EL POLICIA – TB Downs 3/1-2-0, another that ran better times last out, a couple of maintenance works between races, maybe lone E

4 – STRATFORD – TB 4/1-1-2, O-5 elsewhere, distance 3/0-1-2,

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile Turf – Bias: Early Speed fair 1-7, no winners 8+

5 – VETERANS BEACH – Left Arrow horse that could be better in the 3rd off the bench, going long for the 1st time – should emphasize speed

8 – SUMMER PALACE – gets Pablo, leading jockey, never off the board at the distance or on turf, 1st start with tr Katy Cheeks, 32% angle for 12% trainer

3 – VINTNER – TLRSP# and usually ups the number in the 2nd off the bench

2 – PAPA JIMMY – tough call over the 1, but beat him already

Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with outside in Bias

6 – MR. CASH – hate 1-1s, but does look superior on paper with top EP and LP

3 – DOUBLE WARRIOR – 3rd odd the layoff was the best of the three in last cycle

5 – CLASS OF SIXTY TWO – 1st timer without a lot to beat after the 6, why not take the odds

4 – ANDY WALKS WITH ME – showed EP in debut, MSW to MCL

 

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile Turf – Bias: Early Speed fair 1-7, no winners 8+

3 – JOE PHILLIPS – Left Arrow horse with TB Turf 2/1-1-0, nice TB works since last

5 – THORN – TLRSP# on all weather, Turf 9/2-1-3, much better in fist ½ last out

4 – BOURBON BROWN –but been much better on Tampa grass and gets a weight break with early speed

8 – EXACTING – tough call over the 7, but going to take the EP

 

Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with outside in Bias 

6 – CANDY ARCADE – has a huge LP advantage versus the rest, drops in 3rd off the break

2 – SOCIAL ELIZABETH -3rd off the break and 1st time for tr Jorge Delgado, both alpha angles and gets weight break today

4 – LEGEND’S SONG – Lonely P horse, was much better ATB in her last

3 – BLACK KARMA – 1st timer without a lot to beat

 

Race 8: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Early Speed fair 1-7, no winners 8+

10 – AWESOME STRIKE – considerably better numbers than the rest and drops

7 – LONG STORY – should be better in 2nd off the bench and has top EP/LP combo

1 – JOE BRAINS – lightly raced, been well bet in both starts, just needs a better start

9 – EDEN PARADISE – really benefits with the 5 scratching, should be involved all the way around

Tampa Bay Downs Way to Winners’ Cricle Pace Worksheet

Tampa Bay Pace Worksheet 11-30-22

 

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