Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Aqueduct Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Free Guaranteed Tip Sheet Track: Sam Houston
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
3 – Improper – cost $350,000 -Sire wins 16% of the time with 1st time Starters- Dam has 7 winners from 8 starters and 3 stakes winners – Jockey in last 7 days has this record (18 5-3-3) – Bullet 3F workout on 06Jan Bel tr.t 3f sy :37© Bg1/7
4 – Fromanothamutha – Drops in class today – He has a high % winning jockey, High % trainer – Lasix is added, and trainer wins 22%: of the time when their entries have 1st time lasix – May improve at the shorter distance – Good Trainer in last 14 days has this record (5 2-0-0)
1 – Jester’s Song – Sire wins 17% of the time with 1st time Starters – Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter
2 – Labarde – May improve with Lasix added – Decent Works
Race 2
1 – Shalimar Gardens – Ran in a grade 2 & 3 and did not embarrass herself having trouble in her last race and now drops in class today – Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters
3 – Destinationwnrscir Finished third in her first race after a four-month break – High % trainer – Hot Jockey in last 7 days has this record (18 5-3-3)
6 – Voice of Spring – Won last race at Belmont and received the highest last race speed rating
5 – Mashnee Girl – May improve while returning to dirt – Good workout on 22Dec’21 Bel tr.t 4f ft :49 B 8/33
Race 3
3 – Annika Gold – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race – Drops in class today and has the highest last race speed rating
2B/2 – Subiaco – Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race – drops in class today – Hot Trainer in last 14 days has this record (6 2-0-1) / Quasar
1/1A – Foxtail – Won her last race – Has the highest speed figure at today’s distance – Hot Trainer in last 14 days has this record (5 2-2-0) / Indian Bella – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race
7 – Stefanie On Fleek – Won two out of her last three races- Last away in last race which compromised her finish
Race 4
2 – Sabreen – Finished 5th in her last race but was bumped at the start and taken up-wide in the turn so I will throw out that race performance – Finished in the money in the four races prior to that.
3 – Vivazano – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie)
6 – Steppin’ Hawk – Ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and received the highest last race speed rating
4 – Dorothy’s the Boss – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) – Good workouts
Race 5
3 – Champagne Poetry – Finished 3rd vs similar (on Turf) in only start – Well bet in debut – May improve with Lasix added – Hot Jockey in last 7 days has this record (18 5-3-3)
1 – Glitter Up – Ran 2nd vs similar (on Turf) in last race receiving the highest last race speed rating – Sharp 3F workout on 03Jan Bel tr.t 3f ft :37 B 6/3
2 – Continentalcongres – Throw out last race as she was bumped and stumbled at the break- Ran second the race before and has a bullet workout on 31Dec’21 Fai tr.t 5f ft 1:01.2 B 1/13 2
7 – Cupids Girl – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters – May improve with Lasix added – Good 4F workout (Jan-02)
Race 6
1A/1 – High School Crush – Ran a nice third in last race The trainer wins 21% first race after claim – Hot Trainer in last 14 days has this record (5 2-2-0) – Sharp 4F workout (Jan-03) / Matoula – won two out of last three races
7 – Bastet– Drops in class today – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters
4 – Khali Magic – Won last race her last race at Finger Lakes – The trainer wins 25% with entry who won their last race – Jockey in last 7 days has this record (18 5-3-3)
2 – A Ring Thing – Won last race easily at Aqueduct – Trainer in last 14 days has this record (6 2-0-1)
Race 7
6 – High Tide – Beaten only 1-3/4 lengths vs tougher (on Turf) in last start after being bumped at the start – drops in class today – Jockey in last 7 days has this record (18 5-3-3)
1A/1 – Giocare – Ran 2nd in last race just miss winning – The trainer wins 24% first race after a claim/ Fingal – Also ran 2nd in last race just miss winning returning to dirt
2/2B – Pier Forty – Won his last race at Aqueduct – Hot Trainer in last 14 days has this record (6 2-0-1)/ Johnnypump – Won his last race at Belmont
3 – Blu Grotto – Finished 3rd in his last race – good work
Race 8
2 – Green Light Go – Ran 2nd in last race just miss winning earning the highest last race speed rating – drops in class today – Jockey in last 7 days has this record (18 5-3-3) – Sharp 5F workout (Jan-04)
3 – Lil Commissioner – Trouble last race and lost all chance – He has finished in the money in four out of five races at Aqueduct and has won 50% of his starts at today’s distance. Trainer in last 14 days has this record has this record (4 3-0-0) – Sharp 4F workout (Jan-06)
4 – Hanalei’s Houdini – Ran 2nd in his last race- Improved his speed rating in his last three races
1 – The Sound – Has not raced for more than 8 months but has won three out of seven career races
Race 9
10 – Dr. Levy – Drops in class today – The trainer wins 31% when going from Maiden to Maiden Claiming – Lasix added – She has the best dirt speed among today’s starters
1 – Money Code – Finished 3rd in last race – The trainer wins 25% when going from Maiden to Maiden Claiming – Lasix added – Jockey in last 7 days has this record (18 5-3-3)
3 – Illustrious – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race – Drops in class today – The trainer wins 30% trainer with second race after a horse is claimed – Lasix added
5 – Rvindicated – Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race – Drops in class today
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 7 Furlongs: 32 races, 23 won by speed, 11 w2w – PP: outside in bias
4 – Fromanothamutha – DROP 250-80, 1st Lasix with speed, strongest EP #s 3/5
3 – Improper – first time starter, bullet and go, Top Pedigree, 350K
2 – Labarde – same EP #s as the 4, has shown speed and gets 1st Lasix
6 – Keeping the Edge – another first time with a bullet and go workout
Race 2 – 1 Mile (1 turn): 56 races, 42 won by speed, 8 w2w – PP: plays fair
1 – Shalimar Gardens – Top Pedigree, DROP 200-72, middle of the road works, top late pace #s 1/5
3 – Destinationwnrscir – 2nd after a layoff, much better AQ 1 Mile Fractions last out, J/T 3.37 ROI in 3 Rs
6 – Voice of Spring – TLRSP# in MSW win, OK works since, LRSP>PAR, 3SP# Increases
5 – Mashnee Girl – best EP#s by a decent margin, resume says better in 2nd off the bench
Race 3 – 1 Mile (1 turn): 56 races, 42 won by speed, 8 w2w – PP: plays fair
1/1A – Foxtail – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, 3SP# Increase, all or nothing
3 – Annika Gold – LRSP>PAR, 5SP# Increase, 4th off a layoff should be as good as last
2B – Subiaco – Top Pedigree, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, missed by a head to top choice in last
4 – Lady by Choice – strong EP/LP combo, 3rd after a break, 3rd was best of last 3 race cycle
Race 4 – 6 Furlongs: 73 Races, 51 won by speed, 26 w2w – PP: fair, a little edge 8+
6 – Steppin Hawk – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, 3SP# Increases, 22 Furlongs in works, should be fit
5 – Lucky Girl – beaten favorite, trainer James Bond 5/12 next out, good combo EP/LP #s
1 – Norman Queen – top EP#s by a decent margin, Dec 14 work 35.4 in 3 F, well bet in debut
2 – Sabreen – 5-0-4-1 fast track, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, small drop, strong J/T combo
Race 5 – 6 Furlongs: 73 Races, 51 won by speed, 26 w2w – PP: fair, a little edge 8+
1 – Glitter Up – top EP#s with the 3, big improvement from debut, better fractions
3 – Champagne Poetry – top EP#s with the 3, strong work on Dec 31, 1st Lasix
7 – Cupids Girl – one of the better debut speed #s, 1st Lasix, might be better suited for turf
4 – Mostly Harmless – Top Pedigree, Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, 10 pound weight break
Race 6 – 7 Furlongs: 32 races, 23 won by speed, 11 w2w – PP: outside in bias
2 – A Ring Thing – Top EP#S w/ 1A, crushed by 5 ¼ last out, maintenance work since,
1A – High School Crush -TOP EP#S w/2, 1st off the claim, 22% Tr Mertkan Kantarmaci, Top Pedigree
7 – Bastet – slightly better 2f fractions last out, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, Biggest Drop 82-45
3 – Jasminesque – 60% ITM at AQ, some fast works getting ready,
Race 7 – 1 1/8 Miles (2 turns) – 13 Races, 9 won by speed, 5 w2w – PP: 8+ Ad – 2-7 fair, rail edge
1A/1 – Giocare – Top Pedigree, 3SP# Increases, 1st off claim 24% Rudy Rodriguez, Top LP #s
3 – Blu Grotto – 3rd off a layoff, fractions much faster in last, LRSP>PAR, can lead/close solid EP/LP combo
2B/2 – Johnnypump – 17 Furlongs of works since last, should be fit, strong LP#s
6 – High Tide – biggest drop 82-55, flipping from turf to dirt, ITM 2/3 on the angle, distant 2nd, W and 5th
Race 8 – 1 Mile (1 turn): 56 races, 42 won by speed, 8 w2w – PP: plays fair
2 – Green Light Go – LRSP>PAR, DROP 200-88, Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, Bullet and Go
3 – Lil Commissioner – 5 (2-0-2) AQ, 8 (4-0-2) @ Dist, decent works, strong J/T combo
1 – The Sound – 1/1 at AQ – strong works getting ready, Win 40%, Top Pedigree, Drop 120-88
4 – Hanaleis Houdini – 2nd off the bench, 3 SP# Increases, better fractions despite going longer
Race 9 – 1 Mile (1 turn): 56 races, 42 won by speed, 8 w2w – PP: plays fair
3 – Illustrious – speed w/ 1st Lasix, second off bench, Top Pedigree, Fastest 1/4 Fraction
5 – Rvindicated – top EP#s, slightly better than 3 – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
10 – Dr. Levy – 1st Gelded, 1st Lasix, Drop MSW to MCL 31% for Todd Pletcher
1 – Money Code – MSW to MCL drop, 25% Tr Claudio Gonzalez, 50% ITM
