Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Aqueduct Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Aqueduct Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
6 – Solid Tune ran 2nd vs similar (on Turf) in last race – Can improve while returning to Dirt – The trainer wins 37% trainer: 2nd time Lasix
5 – Afilada ran 3rd in last race at Aqueduct and received the highest last race speed rating – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters – Lasix added – Trainer in last 14 days has this record (9 3-0-1) – Sharp 4F workout (Jan-14)
1 – Sweet Surprise – Drops in class today – Jockey Dylan Davis in last 7 days has this record (25 8-1-4) – Lasix added
3 – Sealithic – Can improve while returning to Dirt – Drops in class today – The trainer wins 27% when taking a horse from Maiden to Maiden Claiming – Lasix added
Race 2
4 – Irish Giant ran 3rd in last race at Aqueduct – Owned and trained by Linda Rice – The trainer wins 21% trainer: First race after claim
5 – Great Workout won last race at Aqueduct and completed the highest last race speed rating (tie) – The trainer wins 37% with Claim repeater – Jockey in last 7 days has this record (25 8-1-4)
6 – Demo Doctor – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race at Aqueduct.
1 – Conformist – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – Decent workout on Dec’21 Bel 4f ft :49.3 B 12/37
Race 3
6 – Hey It’s Tati finished 3rd vs tougher in last race – Drops in class today – The trainer wins 38% when going from Sprint-Sprint-Route
1- Big Tony’s Girl – finished 2nd vs similar in last race – Tries one mile for the first time which may workout
2 – The Glenmore Has not raced for more than 8 months but has decent workouts for her return to the races – Drops in class today – Trainer /Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (9 3-1-0)
7 – Sudden Impulse- Highest last race speed rating – May improve while returning to Dirt – Drops in class today
Race 4
4 – Romantic Man Ran 2nd vs similar in last race only losing by a nose and earning the highest last race speed rating – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance
8 – Tough Workout finished 3rd in last race – Has high winning % trainer – Decent workout on 11Jan Bel 4f ft :51.3 B 5/26
2 – My Cousin Rich – Drops in class today – Jockey in last 7 days has this record (12 3-1-1)
6 – We Ready finished 3rd vs tougher in last race – Drops in class today – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters
Race 5
4 – Dancing Kiki likes the track and distance – Highest last race speed rating – Drops in class today – Should improve at the shorter distance
5 – Honey Money ran 2nd in last race – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie)-Decent works
6 – Epona’s Dream – Jockey in last 7 days has this record (25 8-1-4) – Sharp 3F workout (Jan-14)
1 – B B’s Busted stumbled at the start and was wide in her last race – Has the highest speed figure at today’s distance – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie)
Race 6
5 – Roman Empire -High % winning trainer -She has the highest last race speed rating – Drops in class today – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters
1 – Mandatory Payout Finished 3rd vs similar in last race -The trainer wins 17% 3rd race off layoff
2 – Super John – Drops in class today -The trainer wins 22% when Shipping in – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance
4 – It’s Mandatory – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race. Speed rating is increasing each of the last five races.
Race 7
5 – My Roxy Girl Ran 2nd in last race – The trainer wins 21% 1st race after a claim – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters
7 – Timed Out won two out of her last three races including winning last race at Aqueduct – High % winning trainer – drops in class today
9 – Madera – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race at Aqueduct – Likes Aqueduct as she has finished in the money 100% of the time and won two races
6 – Primacy has finished four out of five races in 2021. Trainer in last 14 days has this record (9 3-1-1)
Race 8
1 – Gimmedamoney all chance was lost when bumped at the start-Drops in class today – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters – Lasix added
8 – Bointheback did not apparently like the mud and ran a disappointing race – Drops in class today ñ Should improve while returning to a sprint – Sharp 4F workout (Jan-14)
2 – Walk the Bank Breeding suits today’s sprint distance – Kendrick Carmouche is in the irons
6 – Johnselectricride – Breeding suits today’s sprint distance – Jockey in last 7 days has this record (12 3-1-1)
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 7 Furlongs: 37 races, 28 won by speed, 15 w2w – PP: A slight inside out Bias
5 – Afilada – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, Beaten Favorite, 19% Rebound Tr: Rbt Falcone Jr. TLRSP
3 – Sealithic – showed some early speed 2 back on dirt, gets Lasix, Trevor McCarthy Tops ITM in Sprints
6 – Solid Tune – top EP#s by a big margin, K Carmouche 2nd in sprint wins, works are just OK
1 – Sweet Surprise – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, TOP PEDIGREE, DROP 80-48, 1st time L
Race 2 – 6 ½ Furlongs: 28 races, 19 won by speed, 11 w2w – PP: Rail, 4-7, others less
5 – Great Workout – 3 SP Increases, trainer Rob Altras 37% claim repeater, 2/3 at AQ 0-4 elsewhere
6 – Demo Doctor – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, Trevor McCarthy Tops ITM in Sprints,
1 – Irish Giant – Linda Rice 21% off the claim, big late pace advantage
4 – Prince James – weight break with early speed, Top Pedigree, small drop, top EP#s
Race 3 – 1 Mile (1 turn): 67 races, 50 won by speed, 20 w2w – PP: fair 2+, slight disadvantage on rail
6 – Hey Its Tati – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, tied for top EP#s, 3rd off a layoff, 3rd was best of last 3 cycle
1 – Big Tonys Girl – 10% win/50% ITM, 3 SP Increases, bet well last out, Top EP/LP Combo
2 – The Glenmore – Top Pedigree, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, Biggest Drop 41-28, Tie Top EP#s
3 – Game Theory – top late pace #s by a decent margin, small drop in class
Race 4 – 6 Furlongs: 80 races, 56 wins by speed, 28 w2w – PP: plays fair
1 – Motion to Strike – huge EP# Advantage, Top Pedigree, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
4 – Romantic Man – TPLRSP#, LRSP>PAR, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
8 – Tough Workout – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, 2nd off bench, should improve, bullet between
3 – Mister J T – 3 SP Increases, Beaten FAV, weight break, top ITM jockey Alisa Morrison, decent work
Race 5 – 1 Mile (1 turn): 67 races, 50 won by speed, 20 w2w – PP: fair 2+, slight disadvantage on rail
4 – Dancing Kiki – Top Pedigree, Only horse dropping 250-74, tied for Top EP#S
5 – Honey Money – Top EP/LP Combo, Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, back to back maintenance works
3 – Frost Me – 2nd off a layoff should be better with bullet between, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
2 – Choose Happiness – strong LP#s, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, ITM 5/8 @ AQ and Distance
Race 6 – 1 Mile (1 turn): 67 races, 50 won by speed, 20 w2w – PP: fair 2+, slight disadvantage on rail
5 – Roman Empire – TPLRSP, DROP 45-37, 3rd off the layoff, better fractions last out
8 – Famished – 3rd off the layoff, bullet work in his last, Top Pedigree, improved all levels in race 2
2 – Super John – DROP, biggest 104-37, 6(2-2-1) at distance, been off since May, 2nd in other long layoff
4 – Its Mandatory – much improved fractions in last, 5 SP Increases, No. 1 Late Pace
Race 7 – 7 Furlongs: 37 races, 28 won by speed, 15 w2w – PP: A slight inside out Bias – Box/BB
5 – My Roxy Girl – ITM 19/27 @ AQ, Top EP#s, tied for top EP/LP Combo, Linda Rice 21% off claim
9 – Madera – 5(2-1-2) at AQ, 5(2-1-1) off track, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, Weight Break, Alisa M.
7 – Timed Out – tied for top late pace #s, ran well fresh last time, 1-1, Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10
3 – More Moonshine
Race 8 – 6 Furlongs: 80 races, 56 wins by speed, 28 w2w – PP: plays fair
1 – Gimmedamoney – best EP/LP combo, 1st Lasix with some back speed, Tom Carley Drop 75-40
3 – Wild Carp Diem – tied for top EP#s, TC Drop 70-40,
6 – Johnselectricride – bullet and go debut,
7 – Crostata B C – Top Pedigree
