Horse Racing Picks, News and Opinions
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Full Card Picks: Aqueduct
Box It Up
Aqueduct Hot Dog and on Prime Rib Pick 4s
Free Guaranteed Tip Sheet Picks: Sam Houston
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race #1
4 – Rush to Honor – Ran a nice third in his maiden race after coming into the stretch 6-wide- The trainer wins 30% of the races when her horse runs its 2nd career race
1 – Got the Gold – Trouble at the start and still finished second- The trainer wins 29% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters
2 – Feathers Road – Ran second at 6 furlongs last race and now goes 1-mile which should fit with his running style
3 – Dreampoint – Lost footing last race only beaten by two lengths in first race since July- Changed to Jockey Kendrick Carmouche who in last 7 days has this record (19 6-4-2)
Race #2
3 – Saratoga Kisses – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – Lasix added- Sharp 4F workout on 31Dec’21 Bel tr.t 4f my :49 B 32/181
5 – Waters of Merom – won her last race – Has the best dirt speed among today’s starters
4 – Lanfrankophile – Finished in the money five of six career races, winning one of those races-Switches to a high % jockey Jose Ortiz
6 – Babyitsgoldoutside – Won last race – Sharp 4F workout on 31Dec at Bel tr.t 4f my :49.1 B 40/181
Race #3
6 – Aranjuez – He has the highest last race speed rating, drops in class today, the trainer wins 57% of the races when their entries use Lasix for 2nd time and blinkers added today
1/1A – Looking to Heaven /Any Minute – Latex added/Drops in class today and Latex added
4 – Marathoner – Drops in class today, 1st time lasix and trainer wins 25% of the time when doing this – Jockey in last 7 days has this record (19 5-3-3)
7 – Pipito – Drops in class today, trainer wins 26% of the time when going Mdn to MdnClm
Race #4
4 – Rainbow Gal – Won her last race at Aqueduct-Likes the distance and Track
3 – High School Crush – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – Hot Trainer in last 14 days has this record (4 2-0-1)
7 – Guns Blazing – Has early speed finished second in her last race earning the highest last race speed rating
2 – Big Q – Has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters
Race #5
2 – Incontrovertible – Ran 2nd in last race and received the highest last race speed rating- Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters
6 – Exfiltration – Drops in class today – Jockey in last 7 days has this record (19 6-4-2)
1 – Elegant Laoban – Showed improvement in her last race
5 – Reeley Psyched – Lots of experience-Average works
Race #6
1 – Chloe Rose – Ran 2nd in last race and received the highest last race speed rating -Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and a Sharp 4F workout on 31Dec’21 Bel tr.t 4f my :48.4 B 21/181
2 – Suspended Campaign – ran second at Aqueduct at today’s distance which she likes- high % winning jockey Jose Ortiz
4 – Alpine Queen– Won her last race at Aqueduct at today’s distance- Has a good workout on 12Dec’21 Bel tr.t 3f gd :37.2B 8/17
6 – Blushable – Has won two out of eight races this year, one at today’s distance
Race #7
1/1A – Spun d’Etat /Shesalittle Edgy–Won two races in a row going for hat trick-highest last race speed rating / Trouble last two races which affected her performance-won three races in a row
2 – Easy to Bless – Ran 2nd in last race at Aqueduct and has three bullet works in a row
3 – Patty H – Won last race at BEL in on Oct 15 and has been working well in preparation for today’s contest
4 – Trinni Luck – likes to go to the front and lead all the way but lost all chance as she was bumped at the start of last race-Drops in class today
Race #8
5 – Rcaptivating – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and just missed winning receiving the highest last race speed rating
9 – Mama Said No – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race, drops in class today. Sharp 4F workout on 31Dec’21 Bel tr.t 4f my :48 B 8/181
3 – Cape Cod Causeway– Finished fourth in maiden race on the turf and now tries dirt-Lasix added
1 – Sweet Lies– Lasix added, and trainer wins 19% of the time: 1st time-Returns to dirt
Rich’s Alpha Ranks
Aqueduct Race 1 – $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE DIRT
2 – Feathers Road – Top 3 ML, 1, , , , Top Pedigree, Finish 1,2,3, , , TOP3 LST SP, , , , , , Jokey >16,
1 – Got the Gold – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, , Top 3 ML, 1, , , , , Finish 1,2,3, 20 off or less w STP, , TOP3 LST SP, , , , Beaten FAV, , , Trainer >16
3 – Dreampoint – , , , , 3, , , , , , , , TOP3 LST SP, , , , , , Jokey >16,
4 – Rush to Honor – , , , Top 3 ML, 0, , , , , Finish 1,2,3, , , , , , , , Top Jockey, Jokey >16
Aqueduct Race 2 – $55,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT
5 – Waters of Merom – Top 3 ML, 1, , , , Top Pedigree, Finish 1,2,3, , , TOP3 LST SP, , Win By > 1 Length, 3 SP Increases, , , Jokey >16
3 – Saratoga Kisses – Top 3 ML, 3, , , , , Finish 1,2,3, , , TOP3 LST SP, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, , , , , Jokey >16, Trainer >16
6 – Babyitsgoldoutside – , , , , 1, , , , , Finish 1,2,3, , , , , , , , , Jokey >16
4 – Lanfrankophile – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, , Top 3 ML, 3, , , , Top Pedigree, , , , , , , , , Top Jockey, Jokey >16
Aqueduct Race 3 – $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT
6 – Aranjuez – Top 3 ML 1,, DROP,, TOP3 LST SP,, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
1A – Any Minute – Top 3 ML, DROP, TOP3, LST SP, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, Jokey >16, Trainer >16
7 – Pipito – Top 3 ML, 1,, DROP,,TOP3 LST SP,, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
2 – Creative Magic –
Aqueduct Race 4 – $25,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT
2 – Big Q – DROP, Jokey >16
4 – Rainbow Gal – Top 3 ML,, 4,,Finish 1,2,3,,TOP3 LST SP,,2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions,,Win By > 1 Length,, Trainer >16
3 – High School Crush – Finish 1,2,3,, Jokey >16,,Trainer >16
7 – Guns Blazing – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10,,Finish 1,2,3,LRSP>PAR,,TOP3 LST SP,,3 SP Increases
Aqueduct Race 5 – $25,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT
2 – Incontrovertible – Top 3 ML,, 1,,10% win/50% ITM,,Finish 1,2,3,,LRSP>PAR,,TOP3 LST SP,, Jokey >16,,Trainer >16
6 – Exfiltration – Top 3 ML,,DROP,,TOP3,, LST SP,, Jokey >16
5 – Reeley Psyched – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10,,2,,2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
1 – Elegant Laoban – 1,,TOP3 LST SP
Aqueduct Race 6 – $55,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE DIRT
2 – Suspended Campaign – Top 3 ML,,4,,Finish 1,2,3,,TOP3,,LST SP,,2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
1 – Chloe Rose – Top 3 ML,,6,,Finish 1,2,3,,TOP3,,LST SP,,Jokey >16
4 – Alpine Queen – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10,,3,,Top Pedigree,,Finish 1,2,3,,TOP3,,LST SP
6 – Blushable – Top 3 ML,,2,, Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions,, Jokey >16
Aqueduct Race 7 – $84,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 ½ FURLONGS ON THE DIRT
5 – Just Read It – 4, , DROP, Top Jockey, Jokey >16, Trainer >16
1 – Spun dEtat – Top 3 ML,,6,,Top Pedigree,,Finish 1,2,3,,TOP3 LST SP,,Win By > 1 Length,, 3 SP Increases,,Jokey >16
2 – Easy to Bless – Win 40%, , 7, , , , , Finish 1,2,3, , , TOP3 LST SP
3 – Patty H – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10,,Win 40%,,Top 3 ML,,8,,DROP,,Finish 1,2,3,,,,TOP3 LST SP,,,2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions,,Win By > 1 Length,,Jokey >16
Aqueduct Race 8 – $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE DIRT
5 – Rcaptivating – Top 3 ML,,1,,Finish 1,2,3,,TOP3 LST SP
3 – Cape Cod Causeway – Top 3 ML,,,TOP3 LST SP,, Jokey >16
1 – Sweet Lies – Top 3 ML,, 3 SP Increases
4 – Know It All Audrey – TOP3 LST SP
