Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Turfway Park Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Picks: Delta Downs
Turfway Park Horse Tips and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
3 – Rhubarb Martini – Won last race at Turfway Park with Smokin Joe Talamo in the irons and he returns to ride again. -The trainer wins 17% of the time after a maiden winner returns to race again added.
7 – Schlofmitz – Won last race at Turfway Park – Trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (3 2-0-0).
4 – Risata – Won last race at Turfway Park receiving the highest last race speed rating and her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Still Carrying On – Won last race at Turfway Park and the rail post is winning at 18% clip – The trainer wins 21% of the time after using 2nd time Lasix.
Alternate:
2 – J Zertz
6 – Iggy Bigs
Race 2
2 – Honky Tonk Hero – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race earning the highest last race speed rating.
4 – Inspiration Point – Ran 6th in the last race after he steadied along the way – Drops in class today -The trainer wins 22% of the time when going from Maiden to Maiden Claiming race – Trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (3 2-0-0).
1 – Master McGrath – Rail post is winning at 18% clip – Drops in class today.
6 – Brown Delivers – Drops in class today -The trainer wins 22% of the time when with 1st Time Blinkers – His best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters
Alternate:
3 – Valley Vista
5 – Azzurro
Race 3
9 – Magna G Force – Finished 3rd vs similar at Turfway Park – She has a high % winning Jockey
8 – Avenida Manana – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – May improve at the shorter distance.
1 – Bright Venezuelan – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – Rail post is winning at 20% clip
7 – Lady Leah – Drops in class today and – The trainer wins 25% of the time when dropping an entry Down 2+ classes – The shorter distance may help – Her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
6- Don’t Hold Queens
5 – Quiet Dawn
Race 4
6 – Solesofhershoes – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race earning the highest last race speed rating – Drops in class today.
1 – Top Hat Boss – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – Best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Devilish Truth – Drops in class today – May improve while returning to a sprint.
9 – Keep Scrolling – Decent workout on 09Jan TP 4f ft :48.4 B 8/58.
Alternate:
8 – Giddy Up Zoey
2 – Dimples of Venus
Race 5
5 – Ivorysgoldtreasure – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race receiving the highest last race speed rating – Trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-0-0).
8 – Yes I’s a Miller – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race. She likes Turfway Park finishing in the money 75% of the time and can handle the distance finishing in the money 66% of the time.
4 – Edgee Angel – Did not finished her last race after bumping another horse and following so throwing that race out – Drops in class today – Has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best AW speed is fastest among today’s – Blinkers added today.
2 – Neversaynoletsgo – Finished 2nd in her last race at Turfway Park and won the race before that at today’s distance.
Alternate:
3 – Runaway Mom
9 – Homeroom Angel
Race 6
2 – Holdontoyourtiara – Won last race at Turfway Park and has a high % winning trainer – Rail post is winning at 18% clip
1A – Seaward – Won last two races at Turfway Park, going for a hat trick.
5 – Moonlight Rain – Drops in class today – Has a high % winning Jockey – The trainer wins 24% of the time when bringing back a Beaten favorite back to race. – Her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
7 – Redhot Katie – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race receiving the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
3 – I Likem
4 – To Fat to Fish
Race 7
4 – Bugle Barry – Won two races in a row and then after an awkward start he finished poorly and now drops back in class today where he can be competitive.
2 – Little Kansas – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race and got the highest last race speed rating.
6 – Maligator – Finished in the money 69% of the time at today’s distance and 57% at Tampa Bay Downs, winning one of those races and earned the highest last race speed rating.
3 – Joyful Heart – Likes the track and distance Has several good workouts to compete in today’s contest.
Alternate:
1 – Percentage
5 – Jolting Joe
Race 8
2 – La Cumparsita – Won last race at Turfway Park and the rail post is winning at 18% clip The trainer wins 24% of the time on All Weather surfaces -Trainer in the last 14 days has this record (3 2-0-0).
5 – Totally Perfect – Finished 3rd vs tougher (on Dirt) in last race – Drops in class today.
3 – Europa – Drops in class today – Can improve while returning to a route – Has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Tami Ann – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – Highest last race speed rating (tie).
Alternate:
9 – Pure Fashion
10 – Machisima
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 1 Mile, 132 Races, 50/50, 29 w2w – PP: Inside 3 bias, 4+ about the same
7 – SCHLOFMITZ – top LP# by a big margin, QTA Feb 26, good work since, Top Pedigree
4 – RISATA – TLRSP# by a little, 2/4/LP improvement, bullet work on Feb 26
5 – KRISPY RICE – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, 3SP# Increases, strong LP Improvement in last
1 – STILL CARRYING ON – is an E horse without another in the field, 2nd Lasix, 2 maintenance works since last
3 – RHUBARB MARTINI –
6 – IGGY BIGS
Race 2 – 1 Mile, 132 Races, 50/50, 29 w2w – PP: Inside 3 bias, 4+ about the same
4 – INSPIRATION POINT – TC DROP 62-29, 3rd off a layoff, 2/4f improvement, $725k horse
2 – HONKY TONK HERO – significant 2/4f improvement, QTA Feb 16, TLRSP
6 – BROWN DELIVERS – TC DROP 62-29, top LP #s by a good margin, some back pace
5 – AZZURRO – top EP by a little, Fastest 1/4 Fractions,
3 – VALLEY VISTA
7 – HUBBLE
Race 3 – 6 ½ Furlongs, 63 Races, 40 won by speed, 20 w2w -PP: Inside out bias
9 – MAGNA G FORCE – Tie Top Pedigree, Tie TOP EP/LP Combo, up the PP ladder
8 – AVENIDA MANANA – Tie Top Pedigree, Top EP by a little, better 4 and 6 f fractions in last
1 – BRIGHT VENEZUELAN – should be better in the 2nd off the bench, 2 seconds in 2 at TP, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, should be on the gas from go.
7 – LADY LEAH – if she can hold the lead into the stretch could be tough to beat, basically only drop 27-14
4 – ARCH FLYER
2 – SMOKIN HOT BOBBIE
Race 4 – 6 Furlongs, 75 Races, 43 won by speed, 22 w2w -PP: slight inside bias 1-7, small penalty 8+
6 – SOLESOFHERSHOES – Fastest 1/4 Fractions, LRSP>PAR, QTA Feb 19, 2/4f improvement
9 – KEEP SCROLLING – 4SP# Increases, Top EP#s, not a lot of speed in here
1 – TOP HAT BOSS – consistent performer, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
2 – DIMPLES OF VENUS – small weight break, minor LP improvement in last, 2nd best EP#s
8 – GIDDY UP ZOEY
4 – COTIA
Race 5 – 1 Mile, 132 Races, 50/50, 29 w2w – PP: Inside 3 bias, 4+ about the same
5 – IVORYSGOLDTREASURE – Top EP/LP combo, 2nd after a layoff, TLRSP#, LRSP>PAR, QTA Feb 11
4 – EDGEE ANGEL – TFY 5/2-0-1, Dist 4/2-0-1, 2nd off a layoff, fell in last, QTA Feb 24, must be OK,
8 – YES I’S A MILLER – Top LP#s by a decent margin, TFWY Denzel 12/1-5-3
2 – NEVERSAYNOLETSGO – has run decently fresh, 2 maintenance works since Feb 12
9 – HOMEROOM ANGEL
6 – QUEEN LOUISE
Race 6 – 1 Mile, 132 Races, 50/50, 29 w2w – PP: Inside 3 bias, 4+ about the same
7 – REDHOT KATIE – TLRSP#, strong LP Improvement, Tie Top Pedigree, 3SP# Increases, TFWY 11/3-2-2
2 – HOLDONTOYOURTIARA – can sit off the pace or take the lead, Top EP#s, 2nd after a layoff, 3SP# Increases,
5 – MOONLIGHT RAIN – BTN FAV, tr; Marke Rebounds at 98/391, AW 16/5-2-2 – just 2 wins in 20 races on another surface, Tie Top Pedigree
6 – OUR CLOSURE – TFWY 8/-1-3-1, AW 17/5-3-2, one of three small dropping 27-24 w/# 5, 7
3 – I LIKEM –
1A – SEAWARD
Race 7 – 1 Mile, 132 Races, 50/50, 29 w2w – PP: Inside 3 bias, 4+ about the same
4- BUGLE BARRY – DROP 64-30, won last 2 at this level, last race was better than it looks, final time about 1 second faster than previous race
6 – MALIGATOR – AW 16/5-5-1, Distance 13/3-4-2,
2 – LITTLE KANSAS – 3rd after a layoff, across the board improvement in his last, TOP EP/LP Combo
1 – PERCENTAGE – all or nothing horse TFWY 4/2-0-0, AW 7/3-0-0, DROP 64-30, much better 2/4f #s in last
7 – INCLUSIVE –
3 – JOYFUL HEART
Race 8 – 1 Mile, 132 Races, 50/50, 29 w2w – PP: Inside 3 bias, 4+ about the same
2 – LA CUMPARSITA – 2nd after a layoff, MCL win last but running for less money 18-13, should be close to the front
10 – MACHISIMA – just needs to run her last race, ran about 1 second faster and fastest 1 mile of this group, QTA – ran Feb 19
7 – TAMI ANN – QTA Ran Feb 19, 3SP # Increases, much better fractions and late pace in last
3 – EUROPA – tough call over #9 PURE FASHION, but last race was better than it looks with strong 2/4f improvement, Distance 5/0-4-0 all at TFY
9 – PURE FASHION
6 – MI ENLACE
