Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
PARX Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Fanduel Racetrack
Parx Horse racing Tips and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
1 – Whatruwaitingfor – She won her last race at PARX Racing; the rail post is winning at 20% and she switched to a high % winning trainer.
3 – A Bit Bad N Boujee – She finished 3rd in her last race at a mile and stretches out in distance which should benefit her – She has a high % winning trainer, and a decent workout.
4 – Starship Rogue – She won her last race at PARX Racing receiving the highest last race speed rating and has decent workout on 05Apr Parx 3f ft :37.2 B 4/16.
6 – Bold’n Naughty – She has won one race out of three races easily at today’s distance at PARX Racing. The trainer wins 17% of the time in routes and returning to a route should help.
Alternate:
2 – Sharon’s Law
5 – Misquillo
Race 2
6 – Mr. Roundtree – He came back after being off for 7-months and finished a disappointing 10th but drops in class today – He has a high % winning trainer and Jockey.
1 – Monday’s With Mike – He ran 2nd vs similar in last race at PARX Racing, the rail post is winning at a 29% clip and he has the highest last race speed rating – He has a trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (7 2-1-0).
7 – Dizzy Gillespie – He comes in from Gulfstream Park to try PARX Racing for the first time, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he drops in class today.
5 – Classified Info – He ran 2nd vs similar in last race at PARX Racing at today’s distance – The trainer wins 17% of the time in claiming races.
Alternate:
3 – Champers
2 – Rockin Cowboy
Race 3
2 – Makeajoyfulnoise – She won her last race by 10-lenghts at PARX Racing by leading all the way, but she is very versatile as she can also come from off the pace – The trainer wins 19% of the races with a horse that won its last claiming race.
3 – Hit a Homer Honey – She came in from Laurel Park and won her first race at PARX Racing by 8-lenghts – She will probably run just behind the leader and try to pick off the leaders in the stretch.
5 – B B’s Rocket – She has finished in the money in the last three races at PARX Racing winning one of the races and finishing 3rd in last race – She has a decent workout on 19Feb Parx 4f ft :49.1 B 11/30.
6 – Lady Mistress – She won her last race at PARX Racing and received the highest last race speed rating
Alternate:
7 – Lucky Imagination
Race 4
1 – We Be There – He has won two out of his last three races at PARX Racing, finishing 3rd vs similar in the last race after being tight at the 7/8 – The rail post is winning at 20% clip, and he has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Deckology – He ran 6th in his last race at PARX Racing at today’s distance, receiving the highest last race speed rating and now drops in class today – The trainer wins 21% of the races in 2nd race after claiming a horse.
5- Green Growth – He ran 3rd then 2nd and then 1st running himself into shape and now goes for a second win in a row – The trainer wins 18% of the races when bringing the winner of their last race back.
4 – Piggybank – His last win was at today’s distance at PARX Racing, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and likes the track and the distance.
Alternate:
8 – Samaronti
9 – Cape May Style
Race 5
5 – Beach Daze – She won two races out of the last three races, drops in class today and has the highest last race speed rating – Her best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has High % trainer.
6 – Sweet Samurai – She has finished in the money in eight out of the last ten races, winning the last race – The trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (10 3-2-1).
1 – Positive Power – She came in from Laurel Park after running 3rd in her last race, drops in class today and has a bullet 4F workout on 09Apr Larl 4f ft :48ª B 1/19.
2 – Chelsea Wall– She Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race at PARX Racing, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and a decent workout on 31Dec’21 Prx 5f ft 1:02¨ B 4/16
Alternate:
3 – Nurturing
Race 6
7 – Write the Check – She came in from Aqueduct, with a new trainer who wins 40% of the races in a horse’s 1st start with the trainer – Drops in class and has the Prime Power number of 107.7 the 1st in the race.
8 – Beautiful Star – She finished 3rd in last race – She has a High % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-0-2).
5 – Miss Alex – She Ran 2nd in her last race at PARX Racing, earning the highest last race speed rating and switches to a high % winning jockey.
1 – Broad Jumper – She Finished 3rd in last race and distance will not be a problem.
Alternate:
2 – Risque’s Jewel
Race 7
4 – Shero – She ran 5th in her last race a 100K stakes race and drops in class today – Prior to the last race she won two races at PARX Racing, has a high % winning jockey and a trainer who wins 20% of the claiming races that he enters a horse in.
5 – Vics Cool Cat – She has finished in the money in four of her five races this year winning two of the races, drops in class today and she has a jockey that has this record (12 3-4-1).
3 – Systemic Risk– She ran 2nd vs similar in last race and may improve at the shorter distance
Race 8
1 – Cant Stop This Man – He finished 2nd vs similar in last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters – The trainer wins 26% of the time when bringing back a beaten favorite to race again.
3 – Buffalo Shuffle – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money 40% of the time and winning 20% of the races, the distance will not be a problem and he drops in class today – He has a high % winning Jockey and a decent workout on 10Apr Parx 4f ft :49.4 B 4/7.
8 – Uncle Gary – He has won two races out of the last four races, drops in class today, the trainer wins 17% of the races in sprints and has a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (12 3-4-1).
7 – Agnelli – He ran 2nd vs similar on an all-weather surface and may improve while trying dirt.
Alternate:
4 – Eye of Gunfighter
Race 9
7 – Ruby Bleu – He has finished in the money in the last six races, winning three of them and finishing 3rd vs similar in his last race only losing by a neck – He earned the highest last race speed rating, and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance – The trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-2-0).
1 – Our Man Luke – He ran 2nd vs similar in last race and won the race before – He has finished in the money in all three of the races he has ran at PARX Racing and has a High % winning trainer.
4 – Alejandro’s Team – He has finished 3rd or 2nd in the last five race, maybe today he will break through and win. He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money 70% of the time winning 20% of the races and likes the distance finishing in the money 83% of the time winning 33% of the races.
5 – My Friends Beer – He won a race and then throws in a clunker in without any apparent reason? The trainer wins 18% of the time in routes – My Friends Beer may improve at the shorter distance.
Alternate:
6 – Genghis
2 – Ronin Warrior
Race 10
12 – Sevier – He loves PARX Racing winning nine out of thirteen races, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and the trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (5 3-1-0).
4 – Double the Heart – He has finished in the money in the last four races, winning two of them and finishing 3rd in last race – He is a speed horse who wants to lead so the shorter distance will help his case – The trainer in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-1-0).
5 – Studio B – He has won two races out of the last three races – He will probably run mid-pack and try and catch the leaders at the finish line.
6 – Thousand Percent– He ran 2nd vs similar in last race and has a couple of good workouts in a row.
Alternate:
3 – Jamminwithbrandon
Race 11
5 – Porsupuesto – He led to just before the finish line running 2nd vs tougher in last race and now drops in class today.
7 – Downtown Crumlin – He ran 3rd vs similar in last race – Has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the maiden claiming races he has a horse entered in.
2 – Rumor Control – He took a 9-month break, switches to a high % winning jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (12 3-4-1) and makes a major drop-in class today – Lasix added.
10 – Myquist – Has a high % winning trainer, drops in class today and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
6 – Chopped
3 – Aye
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 1 mile 70 yards, 111 races, 74 won by speed, 26 w2w -PP: Inside 3 bias with 8+>4-7
6 – BOLD’N NAUGHTY – has the top EP/LP combo, broke her maiden two back with an outside post, could be better in third off a layoff
2 – SHARON’S LAW – improved ATB last out, just need to run back three races for an OC 16 win
1 – WHATRUWAITINGFOR – rides the rail advantage, won her last, gets a big weight break
4 – STARSHIP ROGUE – has the top EP#s in the field and could go w2w if the fractions are right
Race 2 – 6 ½ furlongs, 52 races, 34 won by speed, 17 w2w -PP: big rail advantage, 2/3>8+>4-7
1 – MONDAY’S WITH MIKE – TLRSP#, cut back in distance after improving 2/4 #s in last, 29% rail
3 – CHAMPERS – is a Gulfstream Shipper, track drop, gets a weight break and his last race was better than it looks as his fractions were a little better than the previous race
6 – MR. ROUNDTREE – blew a tire in his last but it was his first since August, could be better in round 2 off the bench at a track with a 13/2-6-1 record
5 – CLASSIFIED INFO – has some giddy up and go from the gates and was better in the end of his last race
Race 3 – 5 ½ furlongs, 42 races, 33 won by speed, 21 w2w -PP: slight 4+ edge
2 – MAKEAJOYFULNOISE – won her last by 10, a big race is usually followed by another
3 – HIT A HOMER HONEY – is another to win huge, by 8 ¼ , it was her first Parx race after running at Laurel and Delaware
6 – LADY MISTRESS – jy Andy Hernandez rides for the third time in the last 4 races, has a win in last and 2nd by 1 ¼, just wonder if the distance is too short
1 – IMPERIAL MOON – tr Alexander Martinez winner 4/7 horses coming back 90+ days away, 11f works getting ready
Race 4 – 1 mile 70 yards, 111 races, 74 won by speed, 26 w2w -PP: Inside 3 bias with 8+>4-7
1 – WE BE THERE – was better in the beginning and the end in his last, rail hitting at 20%, Parx 7/3-0-2, tr Mario Dominguez and Angel Castillo winning 4/10 and ITM 8/10
3 – DECKOLOGY – TLRSP# and drops in class, back to where he was claimed, so not too suspicious, weight break and he’ll be tough to beat if he runs the same race as last
2 – MISSION OBERON – showed plenty of EP in 2/3 at Parx, improved LP#s in last and maybe better in 2nd off the bench
5 – GREEN GROWTH – is a neck from winning two in a row, showed a lot of toughness in his last, 4th SP# increases
Race 5 – 1 mile, 43 races, 25 won by speed, 12 w2w -PP: outside 7 in with 8+ penalty
5 – BEACH DAZE – TLRSP# in 100K non graded stakes, finished 2nd with better 4f and LP#s
1 – POSITIVE POWER – track drop from Laurel, bullet work on April 9th, some early gas and gets a weight break
6 – SWEET SAMURAI – PARX 6/-1-2-1, Distance 5/1-2-1 jy/tr combo Luis Ocasio & Louis Linder w 7/21, ITM 14/21 – +3.74 ROI
2 – CHELSEA WALL – won her last with career best SP#s, was DQd, PARX 6/1-2-1, was 1st ride for Jeremy Laprida, who rides again today
Race 6 – 7 furlongs, 69 races, 47 won by speed, 18 w2w -PP: fair 1-7, small penalty 8+
5 – MISS ALEX – TLRSP# and gets Ruben Silvera, BTN favorite in last, some regression in last
7 – WRITE THE CHECK -trainer Jordan Bullock winner 4/10 in fist effort with a new horse, gets a big weight break
8 – BEAUTIFUL STAR – solid #s ATB in last and should move forward in 2nd off the bench, 27% winner for trainer Tyler Servis
6 – SWEET BALLERINA – looks like the best of the rest, but three of the first four were no good, should be right off the pace and will try to go by late
Race 7 – 6 furlongs, 105 races, 68 won by speed, 32 w2w – PP: 4 winners from rail – all else fair w/ slight inside out bias
4 – SHERO – last was better than it looks with faster fractions, winner 4/6 at the distance, drops from 100k NGSTK
3 – SYSTEMIC RISK – 2nd w/ ATB better #s in last and has a decent workout since
5 – VICS COOL CAT –
Race 8 – 7 furlongs, 69 races, 47 won by speed, 18 w2w -PP: fair 1-7, small penalty 8+
1 – CANT STOP THIS MAN – Denzel horse, PARX 8/2-3-2, Distance 7/0-2-4, huge 4f and LP improvement
8 – UNCLE GARY G – back to a level that works for him, should be on the gas from go, Jt Frankie Pennington and tr Joseph Taylor ITM 2/2 with +4.10 ROI
7 – AGNELLI – track drop from Turfway and Woodbine, question is dirt, PARX work was OK
3 – BUFFALO SHUFFLE –
Race 9 – 1 mile, 43 races, 25 won by speed, 12 w2w -PP: outside 7 in with 8+ penalty
7 – RUBY BLEU – better fractions in last effort, especially in first half of the race, tr/jy combo Penny Pearce and Abner Adorno win at 35% and ITM 76% +0.81 ROI
3 – COLONEL JUAN – drops in class and resume says he’ll be better in round two off the bench, last was better than it looks with stronger fractions
4 – ALEJANDRO’S TEAM – ITM 6/2-3-0 at distance, was a little faster in the mud in his last effort
1 – OUR MAN LUKE – has a win, place and show in 3 at parx since coming in from Monmouth, 11 f works since March 23rd – should be ready
Race 10 – 6 ½ furlongs, 52 races, 34 won by speed, 17 w2w -PP: big rail advantage, 2/3>8+>4-7
4 – DOUBLE THE HEART – just missed going w2w in last with better early race numbers, should be pilot or co pilot
12 – SEVIER – winner 9/13 at PARX – Jamie Ness and Frankie Pennington winner 3 of las 5 together
9 – HOLLYWOOD TALENT – hasn’t run since September, has run OK off the bench, OK works, dropping off a G3 win and ITM 10/3-5-0 at distance
6 – THOUSAND PERCENT – tough call over the 5, but don’t really care for Penn shippers despite the Laurel Success
Race 11 – 7 furlongs, 69 races, 47 won by speed, 18 w2w -PP: fair 1-7, small penalty 8+
5 – PORSUPUESTO – dropping in class Z pattern improvement in last (2f a& LP)
10 – MYQUIST – drops in class, tr Phillip Aristone wins 24% down 2 classes 21% 3rd off the layoff
2 – RUMOR CONTROL – tom carley drop from MSW – was decently bet in June Debut gets 1st Lasix
3 – AYE – 1st off the claim for tr Mario Dominguez, 37% winner in 57 races, gets a weight break
