Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Parx Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Picks: LA Downs
PRAX Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
7 – Titanic Rose – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – The trainer wins 21% of the time 2nd race after a claim – Blinkers added today – Jockey in the last 7 days has this record (12 4-3-1).
2 – Dweller – Won his last race at PENN National at today’s distance and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance – Receiving the highest last race speed rating and his Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Zealacious – Won his last race at PENN National easily and stretches out to 6-furlongs.
5 – Princess Emma –. Won last race at PARX and trainer in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-0-1).
Alternate:
4 – Lady Bernadette
3 – Princess Kaira
Race 2
2 – Centerfold Angel. The trainer wins 33% trainer of the time when dropping a horse off claim -Should improve while returning to a sprint and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
8 – I’m a Coco Pebbles – During her career she has finished in the money 55% of the time, winning 15% of the races and has the highest Beyer number.
6 – Janelle Dreams – Likes to run 2nd at PARX.
3 – Forest Halo – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race after a slow start – Has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
Alternate:
1- Whyisshesoolucky
5 – Absolute Anna
Race 3
3 – Book of Delancey – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race -May do well in a wide-open affair.
8 – Callmethebreeze – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – The trainer wins 25% of the time in maiden Claiming races – Trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-1-0).
4 – Beach Bandit – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race – Drops in class today – Jockey in the last 7 days has this record (9 3-1-0).
1 – Bet On Gret– Rail post is winning at 18% clip and drops in class today
Alternate:
6 – Merging Traffic
Race 4
6 – Lady Mistress – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race – Has the highest last race speed rating – Drops in class today – The trainer wins 20% of the time the 2nd race after being claimed.
7 – Lucky Imagination –Has a good trainer and the Jockey in the last 7 days has this record (11 3-0-3).
5 – Dazzling Speed – Drops in class today – Has a decent workout on 19Nov’21 Bel tr.t 4f ft :47.4 B 5/68.
1 – Three Potatoe Four – Likes the distance and track.
Alternate:
10 – Cape Cod Sally
9 – Iova
Race 5
7 – Mackenzie’s Novva – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – Has had a maintenance workout on Feb. 3rd.
6 – Twisted Ride – Finished 3rd vs similar in only start and received the highest last race speed rating – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.
8 – Mischievous Jones – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – Jockey in the last 7 days has this record (12 4-3-1). Bullet workout on 06Feb
1 – Corky’s Cause – Ran 4th in his last race after breaking slowly and steadied – Lasik added
Alternate:
4- Eighty Eight Keys
9- Margin of Air
Race 6
8 – I’ll Make It Coach – Won his last race at PARX – Has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
5 – Artie’s Rose – Finished 4th in her last race after breaking slow – The trainer wins 28% of the time when bringing a Beaten favorite back to race.
2 – Obstinate – Returning to a route which may help – Trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (3 2-0-0).
1 – Nurturing – Not sure what happened last race, but I am going to ignore it – Rail post is winning at 18% clip – Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s – Trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-0-0).
Alternate:
7 – Solemn Oath
4 – Belongs to Babe
Race 7
1 – Solomonic – Finished 3rd in last race and the rail post is winning at 18% clip.
2 – Flat Out Flashy – Should improve at the shorter distance – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Borsa Vento – Back to 12,500 claiming races where he belongs – He has a high % winning trainer and Jockey.
6 – Contraflow – The trainer wins 30% of the time when bringing a Beaten favorite back to race.
Alternate:
5 – Skipin On Orchard
Race 8
2 – Justhappy – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – The trainer wins 33% of the time when going Sprint-Route-Sprint – Should improve at the shorter distance – Her Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters – Trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (13 7-2-2).
4 – Reid’s Fangirl – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race – Drops in class today – The trainer wins 23% of the time when going Maiden to Maiden Claiming.
10 – Cup of Life – Finished in the money six out of seven career races just missing by a head in the last race.
9 – Irie Empress – Finished 2nd in last race after coming into the stretch wide.
Alternate:
7 – Smarty Pants Sandy
3 – Just Add Moonlight
Race 9
10 – Mass Appeal – Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race, drops in class today and his Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
6 – The Want of a Nail– Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and received the highest last race speed rating.
3 – Strawberry Red – Drops in class today – May improve at the shorter distance – Has the Highest speed figure at today’s distance and his Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
1 – Wild Haven – Rail post is winning at 18% clip and Jockey in the last 7 days has this record (11 3-0-3)
Alternate:
4 – Fast Negotiations
8 – Mucho Mas Grande
Race 10
2 – Noon Time Gem – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – The trainer wins 21% of the time 2nd race after being claimed.
3 – Barilko- Won last race at PARX – Trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (13 7-2-2).
4 – Chargin Storm Finished 3rd vs similar (on Turf) in last race and returns to dirt where he may do well.
10 – Kadens Courage – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
6 – R Goodtime Charlie
1 – Thousand Percent
Race 11
2 – Phancy Philly – Won last race PARX and finished in the money three out of four races.
6 – Map of America – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters – Trainer in the last 14 days has this record (7 3-1-0) -Sharp 4F workout (Feb-13)
9 – Tasweya – Drops in class today – Lasix added – Hot Jockey last 7 days has this record (11 3-0-3)
3 – Onthisharvestmoon – Should improve while returning to Dirt – Jockey in last 7 days has this record (11 3-0-3)
Race 12
5 – Conquistador – Finished 4th last race losing only by 1-1/2 – Jockey in the last 7 days has this record (11 3-0-3)
4 – Off Duty – Ran 2nd in the last two races – The distance will not be a problem.
1 – Jersey Joe B – Rail post is winning at 18% clip – Early speed running style helps chances.
7 – Amblin Man – Likes the distance and track – Good workout on 25Jan Pen 5f ft 1:01.1 B 4/12
Alternate:
8 – Clear Prosperity
9 – Big Bad Bud
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 6 Furlongs: 46 races, 28 won by speed, 11 w2w -PP: Rail =0, all others play fair
2 – DWELLER – has by far the top EP/LP Combo, big improvement in last and first as a 3-yo
5 – PRINCESS EMMA JO – Top EP#s by a good amount, Fastest 1/4 Fractions, Pace # improvement across the board
7 – TITANIC ROSE – ITM 2/1-0-1 at Parx, the win was at 6f like today, ITM 6/8 on fast track,
4 – LADY BERNADETTE – 2nd best EP #s, slight 4f and significant LP improvement, Top Pedigree
Race 2 – 6 ½ Furlongs: 18 races, 11 w2w – PP: Strong rail bias, 2+ all play fair
2 – CENTERFOLD ANGEL – Denzel @ Parx 6/0-3-1, weight break, mixed bag off the bench, only one work since Nov 27.
1 – WHYISSHESOOLUCKY – 2nd off a layoff, 2nd with Tr Scott Lake hits at 20%, Best 2f Pace #s in last 10, Fastest 1/4 Fractions
3 – FOREST HALO – TLRSP#, nice mid and late race improvement, better fractions, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, QTA last ran on Feb 2nd.
8 – I’M A COCO PEBBLES – maybe improves 2nd after a layoff, needs to find GP backclass
Race 3 – 1 Mile 70 yds: 39 races, 27 won by speed, 11 w2w -PP: Inside 3 >4-7 and 8+ gets a premium
5 – WILL TAKE CONTROL – 2nd start w/ Tr Joseph Taylor 11/42, Top Pedigree, DROP 23-1-, LRSP>PAR, 4SP# Increases, weight break, strong internal improvement in last
8 – CALLMETHEBREEZE – better fractions a 1m7yds than 1m in previous start, QTA ran Feb 8, 3SP# Increases
9 – NONA RAC – Top EP#s, some LP improvement in LP in first at Parx
4 – BEACH BANDIT – probably been facing tougher in Tampa, some minor improvement in last
Race 4 – 6 Furlongs: 46 races, 28 won by speed, 11 w2w -PP: Rail =0, all others play fair
6 – LADY MISTRESS – 2nd off claim, tr Patricia Farro 24/116, improved in race# across the board in last, top LP#s by a wide margin, LRSP>PAR, QTA Ran Feb 8, 3 SP# Increases
7 – LUCKY IMAGINATION – 2nd off a layoff, first was bad, strong J/T combo R Silvera and Michael Catalano, Jr winners of 2/2
1 – THREE POTATOE FOUR – 2nd off the layoff, last round 2 was better than number 1, small weight break, should be part of EP
3 – DIAL A LADY – could be closing at the end, has enough EP to keep up
Race 5 – 1 Mile: 26 races, 14 won by speed, 6 w2w -PP: 1-7 play fair, 8+ penalty
6 – TWISTED RIDE – off to a slow start, late push w/ top LP# by far, extra distance should help, only DROP 42-34, TPLRSP#
1 – CORKY’S CAUSE – early fractions faster than they look, 1st Lasix, two nice works between, including bullet on Feb 4
9 – MARGIN OF AIR – should be close to the pace, 1st Lasix, good work on Feb 9th,
7 – MACKENZIE’S NOVVA – should be better in 2nd off layoff, maintenance work since, decently bet in Parx debut, Fastest 1/4 Fractions, Top Pedigree, 4SP# Increases
Race 6 – 1 Mile 70 yds: 39 races, 27 won by speed, 11 w2w -PP: Inside 3 >4-7 and 8+ gets a premium
8 – I’LL MAKE IT COACH – nose from 2 ws in a row, 2nd off the bench, QTA ran Feb 8, 4SP# Increases, Top Pedigree
5 – ARTIE’S ROSE – Denzel at the Distance 4/0-3-0, Top EP/LP Combo by a decent margin, Beaten FAV tr Mario Dominguez 9/32
7 – SOLEMN OATH – Tie TLRSP#, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, nice late race improvement in last, ITM 4/1-1-1
3 – JADE DELTA – 3SP# Increases, strong LP #s, the extra distance should help, tough call over #2, but OBSTINATE regressed sharply in last, not sure of upside for lighter race JADE DELTA
Race 7 – 1 Mile 70 yds: 39 races, 27 won by speed, 11 w2w -PP: Inside 3 >4-7 and 8+ gets a premium
4 – BORSA VENTO – 3rd after a layoff, Top Pedigree, J K Carmouche winning at 32%, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, last race is better than it looks on paper, especially 2f/4f #s
2 – FLAT OUT FLASHY – 1st off the claim, 34/154 Tr Kimberly Graci
3 – JAMMIN JIMTOWN – tough call over #1 SOLOMONIC, 2nd off a layoff, expecting big improvement, strong workout on Feb 12, winner 5/13 at Parx, 7 HQ starts in last 10 efforts
1 – SOLOMONIC – weight break, consistent performer, should be close to the pace all the way around the track
Race 8 – 6 Furlongs: 46 races, 28 won by speed, 11 w2w -PP: Rail =0, all others play fair
2 – JUSTHAPPY – Laurel to Parx drop, PARX 2/0-2-0, BTN FAV Tr: Jamie Ness rebounds 181/646, Denzel 7/0-3-2
4 – REID’S FANGIRL – 3rd off a layoff, 2f/4f pace#s, better fractions, Fastest 1/4 Fractions, Top Pedigree
9 – IRIE EMPRESS – 2nd off a layoff, much better in-race numbers last out, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
10 – CUP OF LIFE – PARX 4/0-2-2, mid race and late race improvement, weight break, Denzel 7/0-2-4
Race 9 – 5 ½ Furlongs: 17 races, 12 won by speed, 6 w2w -PP: Mostly fair with a rail and 8+ bonus
10 – MASS APPEAL – 2nd off a layoff, should be better odd break in last, Top Pedigree, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
3 – STRAWBERRY RED – Top EP/LP combo, small drop in class
6 – THE WANT OF A NAIL – TLRSP#, top LP#s, Distance 6/1-2-1, nice race improvement in last across the board
5 – MOON PISTOL – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, weight break, DROP 26-16
Race 10 – 6 Furlongs: 46 races, 28 won by speed, 11 w2w -PP: Rail =0, all others play fair
3 – BARILKO – Tr; Jamie Ness clam repeaters 82/266, Tie for top EP#s, Top Pedigree, 3SP# Increases
8 – LAWN BOY – much better final 6f times, Tie TLRSP#, LRSP>PAR, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, weight break
2 – NOON TIME GEM – Parx ITM 5/2-1-1, J/T ITM 6/7 Roi +6.34, maintenance work since last
1 – THOUSAND PERCENT – Top EP#s by a little, LRSP>PAR, won last by 4 ¾, two works, one bullet since last
Race 11 – 6 Furlongs: 46 races, 28 won by speed, 11 w2w -PP: Rail =0, all others play fair
6 – MAP OF AMERICA – best LP#s by a wide margin, Top Pedigree, weight break, 15f works since Dec 28, Top EP/LP combo
9 – TASWEYA -track drop from TFWY, AQ, DROP 64-42, 16F good works since Jan 8, first Lasix w/ ES
2 – PHANCY PHILLY – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, moves to rail, won last with across the board improvement
3 – ONTHISHARVESTMOON – Top EP#s by a little, Fastest 1/4 Fractions, hasn’t races since Aug, Bullet on Jan 10
Race 12 – 5 ½ Furlongs: 17 races, 12 won by speed, 6 w2w -PP: Mostly fair with a rail and 8+ bonus
5 – CONQUISTADOR – 2nd after a layoff, strong 2f/4f improvement, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
4 – OFF DUTY – should be close to the pace, 2nd best EP#s, Tr/J combo w3/5, much better fractions
6 – ROCKIN COWBOY – major 2f/4f improvement, strong work since last race, 3SP# Increases, TLRSP#
1 – JERSEY JOE B – should be part of early pace, weight break, high win rate rail
