Horse Racing Today – Tuesday, February 22, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Terry and Rich discuss…

Horse Racing Picks

Parx Full Card Picks

Terry’s Best Bet

Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Picks: LA Downs

PRAX Horse Racing Tips and Commentary

Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping

Race 1

7 – Titanic Rose – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – The trainer wins 21% of the time 2nd race after a claim – Blinkers added today – Jockey in the last 7 days has this record (12 4-3-1).

2 – Dweller – Won his last race at PENN National at today’s distance and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance – Receiving the highest last race speed rating and his Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.

1 – Zealacious – Won his last race at PENN National easily and stretches out to 6-furlongs.

5 – Princess Emma –. Won last race at PARX and trainer in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-0-1).

Alternate:

4 – Lady Bernadette

3 – Princess Kaira

Race 2

2 – Centerfold Angel. The trainer wins 33% trainer of the time when dropping a horse off claim -Should improve while returning to a sprint and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.

8 – I’m a Coco Pebbles – During her career she has finished in the money 55% of the time, winning 15% of the races and has the highest Beyer number.

6 – Janelle Dreams – Likes to run 2^nd at PARX.

3 – Forest Halo – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race after a slow start – Has the highest last race speed rating (tie).

Alternate:

1- Whyisshesoolucky

5 – Absolute Anna

Race 3 

3 – Book of Delancey – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race -May do well in a wide-open affair.

8 – Callmethebreeze – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – The trainer wins 25% of the time in maiden Claiming races – Trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-1-0).

4 – Beach Bandit – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race – Drops in class today – Jockey in the last 7 days has this record (9 3-1-0).

1 – Bet On Gret– Rail post is winning at 18% clip and drops in class today

Alternate:

6 – Merging Traffic

Race 4

6 – Lady Mistress – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race – Has the highest last race speed rating – Drops in class today – The trainer wins 20% of the time the 2^nd race after being claimed.

7 – Lucky Imagination –Has a good trainer and the Jockey in the last 7 days has this record (11 3-0-3).

5 – Dazzling Speed – Drops in class today – Has a decent workout on 19Nov’21 Bel tr.t 4f ft :47.4 B 5/68.

1 – Three Potatoe Four – Likes the distance and track.

Alternate:

10 – Cape Cod Sally

9 – Iova

Race 5

7 – Mackenzie’s Novva – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – Has had a maintenance workout on Feb. 3^rd.

6 – Twisted Ride – Finished 3rd vs similar in only start and received the highest last race speed rating – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.

8 – Mischievous Jones – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – Jockey in the last 7 days has this record (12 4-3-1). Bullet workout on 06Feb

1 – Corky’s Cause – Ran 4^th in his last race after breaking slowly and steadied – Lasik added

Alternate:

4- Eighty Eight Keys

9- Margin of Air

Race 6

8 – I’ll Make It Coach – Won his last race at PARX – Has the highest last race speed rating (tie).

5 – Artie’s Rose – Finished 4th in her last race after breaking slow – The trainer wins 28% of the time when bringing a Beaten favorite back to race.

2 – Obstinate – Returning to a route which may help – Trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (3 2-0-0).

1 – Nurturing – Not sure what happened last race, but I am going to ignore it – Rail post is winning at 18% clip – Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s – Trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-0-0).

Alternate:

7 – Solemn Oath

4 – Belongs to Babe

Race 7

1 – Solomonic – Finished 3rd in last race and the rail post is winning at 18% clip.

2 – Flat Out Flashy – Should improve at the shorter distance – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.

4 – Borsa Vento – Back to 12,500 claiming races where he belongs – He has a high % winning trainer and Jockey.

6 – Contraflow – The trainer wins 30% of the time when bringing a Beaten favorite back to race.

Alternate:

5 – Skipin On Orchard

Race 8

2 – Justhappy – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – The trainer wins 33% of the time when going Sprint-Route-Sprint – Should improve at the shorter distance – Her Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters – Trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (13 7-2-2).

4 – Reid’s Fangirl – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race – Drops in class today – The trainer wins 23% of the time when going Maiden to Maiden Claiming.

10 – Cup of Life – Finished in the money six out of seven career races just missing by a head in the last race.

9 – Irie Empress – Finished 2nd in last race after coming into the stretch wide.

Alternate:

7 – Smarty Pants Sandy

3 – Just Add Moonlight

Race 9

10 – Mass Appeal – Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race, drops in class today and his Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

6 – The Want of a Nail– Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and received the highest last race speed rating.

3 – Strawberry Red – Drops in class today – May improve at the shorter distance – Has the Highest speed figure at today’s distance and his Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

1 – Wild Haven – Rail post is winning at 18% clip and Jockey in the last 7 days has this record (11 3-0-3)

Alternate:

4 – Fast Negotiations

8 – Mucho Mas Grande

Race 10

2 – Noon Time Gem – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – The trainer wins 21% of the time 2nd race after being claimed.

3 – Barilko- Won last race at PARX – Trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (13 7-2-2).

4 – Chargin Storm Finished 3rd vs similar (on Turf) in last race and returns to dirt where he may do well.

10 – Kadens Courage – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

Alternate:

6 – R Goodtime Charlie

1 – Thousand Percent

Race 11

2 – Phancy Philly – Won last race PARX and finished in the money three out of four races.

6 – Map of America – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters – Trainer in the last 14 days has this record (7 3-1-0) -Sharp 4F workout (Feb-13)

9 – Tasweya – Drops in class today – Lasix added – Hot Jockey last 7 days has this record (11 3-0-3)

3 – Onthisharvestmoon – Should improve while returning to Dirt – Jockey in last 7 days has this record (11 3-0-3)

Race 12

5 – Conquistador – Finished 4^th last race losing only by 1-1/2 – Jockey in the last 7 days has this record (11 3-0-3)

4 – Off Duty – Ran 2nd in the last two races – The distance will not be a problem.

1 – Jersey Joe B – Rail post is winning at 18% clip – Early speed running style helps chances.

7 – Amblin Man – Likes the distance and track – Good workout on 25Jan Pen 5f ft 1:01.1 B 4/12

Alternate:

8 – Clear Prosperity

9 – Big Bad Bud

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1 – 6 Furlongs: 46 races, 28 won by speed, 11 w2w -PP: Rail =0, all others play fair

2 – DWELLER – has by far the top EP/LP Combo, big improvement in last and first as a 3-yo

5 – PRINCESS EMMA JO – Top EP#s by a good amount, Fastest 1/4 Fractions, Pace # improvement across the board

7 – TITANIC ROSE – ITM 2/1-0-1 at Parx, the win was at 6f like today, ITM 6/8 on fast track,

4 – LADY BERNADETTE – 2^nd best EP #s, slight 4f and significant LP improvement, Top Pedigree

 

Race 2 – 6 ½ Furlongs: 18 races, 11 w2w – PP: Strong rail bias, 2+ all play fair

2 – CENTERFOLD ANGEL – Denzel @ Parx 6/0-3-1, weight break, mixed bag off the bench, only one work since Nov 27.

1 – WHYISSHESOOLUCKY – 2nd off a layoff, 2nd with Tr Scott Lake hits at 20%, Best 2f Pace #s in last 10, Fastest 1/4 Fractions

3 – FOREST HALO – TLRSP#, nice mid and late race improvement, better fractions, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, QTA last ran on Feb 2^nd.

8 – I’M A COCO PEBBLES – maybe improves 2^nd after a layoff, needs to find GP backclass

 

Race 3 – 1 Mile 70 yds: 39 races, 27 won by speed, 11 w2w -PP: Inside 3 >4-7 and 8+ gets a premium

5 – WILL TAKE CONTROL – 2nd start w/ Tr Joseph Taylor 11/42, Top Pedigree, DROP 23-1-, LRSP>PAR, 4SP# Increases, weight break, strong internal improvement in last

8 – CALLMETHEBREEZE – better fractions a 1m7yds than 1m in previous start, QTA ran Feb 8, 3SP# Increases

9 – NONA RAC – Top EP#s, some LP improvement in LP in first at Parx

4 – BEACH BANDIT – probably been facing tougher in Tampa, some minor improvement in last

 

Race 4 – 6 Furlongs: 46 races, 28 won by speed, 11 w2w -PP: Rail =0, all others play fair

6 – LADY MISTRESS – 2^nd off claim, tr Patricia Farro 24/116, improved in race# across the board in last, top LP#s by a wide margin, LRSP>PAR, QTA Ran Feb 8, 3 SP# Increases

7 – LUCKY IMAGINATION – 2^nd off a layoff, first was bad, strong J/T combo R Silvera and Michael Catalano, Jr winners of 2/2

1 – THREE POTATOE FOUR – 2^nd off the layoff, last round 2 was better than number 1, small weight break, should be part of EP

3 – DIAL A LADY  – could be closing at the end, has enough EP to keep up

 

Race 5 – 1 Mile: 26 races, 14 won by speed, 6 w2w -PP: 1-7 play fair, 8+ penalty

6 – TWISTED RIDE – off to a slow start, late push w/ top LP# by far, extra distance should help, only DROP 42-34, TPLRSP#

1 – CORKY’S CAUSE – early fractions faster than they look, 1^st Lasix, two nice works between, including bullet on Feb 4

9 – MARGIN OF AIR – should be close to the pace, 1^st Lasix, good work on Feb 9^th,

7 – MACKENZIE’S NOVVA – should be better in 2^nd off layoff, maintenance work since, decently bet in Parx debut, Fastest 1/4 Fractions, Top Pedigree, 4SP# Increases

 

Race 6 – 1 Mile 70 yds: 39 races, 27 won by speed, 11 w2w -PP: Inside 3 >4-7 and 8+ gets a premium 

8 – I’LL MAKE IT COACH – nose from 2 ws in a row, 2^nd off the bench, QTA ran Feb 8, 4SP# Increases, Top Pedigree

5 – ARTIE’S ROSE – Denzel at the Distance 4/0-3-0, Top EP/LP Combo by a decent margin, Beaten FAV tr Mario Dominguez 9/32

7 – SOLEMN OATH – Tie TLRSP#, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, nice late race improvement in last, ITM 4/1-1-1

3 – JADE DELTA – 3SP# Increases, strong LP #s, the extra distance should help, tough call over #2, but OBSTINATE regressed sharply in last, not sure of upside for lighter race JADE DELTA

 

Race 7 – 1 Mile 70 yds: 39 races, 27 won by speed, 11 w2w -PP: Inside 3 >4-7 and 8+ gets a premium

4 – BORSA VENTO – 3^rd after a layoff, Top Pedigree, J K Carmouche winning at 32%, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, last race is better than it looks on paper, especially 2f/4f #s

2 – FLAT OUT FLASHY – 1^st off the claim, 34/154 Tr Kimberly Graci

3 – JAMMIN JIMTOWN – tough call over #1 SOLOMONIC, 2^nd off a layoff, expecting big improvement, strong workout on Feb 12, winner 5/13 at Parx, 7 HQ starts in last 10 efforts

1 – SOLOMONIC – weight break, consistent performer, should be close to the pace all the way around the track

 

Race 8 – 6 Furlongs: 46 races, 28 won by speed, 11 w2w -PP: Rail =0, all others play fair

2 – JUSTHAPPY – Laurel to Parx drop, PARX 2/0-2-0, BTN FAV Tr: Jamie Ness rebounds 181/646, Denzel 7/0-3-2

4 – REID’S FANGIRL – 3^rd off a layoff, 2f/4f pace#s, better fractions, Fastest 1/4 Fractions, Top Pedigree

9 – IRIE EMPRESS – 2^nd off a layoff, much better in-race numbers last out, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions

10 – CUP OF LIFE – PARX 4/0-2-2, mid race and late race improvement, weight break, Denzel 7/0-2-4

 

Race 9 – 5 ½ Furlongs: 17 races, 12 won by speed, 6 w2w -PP: Mostly fair with a rail and 8+ bonus

10 – MASS APPEAL – 2nd off a layoff, should be better odd break in last, Top Pedigree, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions

3 – STRAWBERRY RED – Top EP/LP combo, small drop in class

6 – THE WANT OF A NAIL – TLRSP#, top LP#s, Distance 6/1-2-1, nice race improvement in last across the board

5 – MOON PISTOL – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, weight break, DROP 26-16

 

Race 10 – 6 Furlongs: 46 races, 28 won by speed, 11 w2w -PP: Rail =0, all others play fair

3 – BARILKO – Tr; Jamie Ness clam repeaters 82/266, Tie for top EP#s, Top Pedigree, 3SP# Increases

8 – LAWN BOY – much better final 6f times, Tie TLRSP#, LRSP>PAR, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, weight break

2 – NOON TIME GEM – Parx ITM 5/2-1-1, J/T ITM 6/7 Roi +6.34, maintenance work since last

1 – THOUSAND PERCENT – Top EP#s by a little, LRSP>PAR, won last by 4 ¾, two works, one bullet since last

 

Race 11 – 6 Furlongs: 46 races, 28 won by speed, 11 w2w -PP: Rail =0, all others play fair

6 – MAP OF AMERICA – best LP#s by a wide margin, Top Pedigree, weight break, 15f works since Dec 28, Top EP/LP combo

9 – TASWEYA -track drop from TFWY, AQ,  DROP 64-42, 16F good works since Jan 8, first Lasix w/ ES

2 – PHANCY PHILLY – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, moves to rail, won last with across the board improvement

3 – ONTHISHARVESTMOON – Top EP#s by a little, Fastest 1/4 Fractions,  hasn’t races since Aug, Bullet on Jan 10

 

Race 12 – 5 ½ Furlongs: 17 races, 12 won by speed, 6 w2w -PP: Mostly fair with a rail and 8+ bonus 

5 – CONQUISTADOR – 2nd after a layoff, strong 2f/4f improvement, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions

4 – OFF DUTY – should be close to the pace, 2^nd best EP#s, Tr/J combo w3/5, much better fractions

6 – ROCKIN COWBOY – major 2f/4f improvement, strong work since last race, 3SP# Increases, TLRSP#

1 – JERSEY JOE B – should be part of early pace, weight break, high win rate rail