Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
PARX Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Sunland Park
Parx Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
3 – Majestic Sky – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and received the highest last race speed rating – Should improve at the shorter distance – best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Book of Delancey – Ran 2nd in his last race at PENN National at today’s distance and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
5 – Callmethebreeze – Finished 3rd in last race at PARX Racing- the trainer wins 24% of the races when he enters a mount in a Maiden Claiming.
4 – Prefontaine –Drops in class today – The trainer is doing well at this meet winning at a 29% clip.
Alternate:
6 – Go Skippy Go
1 – Oracabessa
Race 2
3 – Nautical Gem – Finished in the money six out of the last six races, winning three – Drops in class today.
5 – Gypsy Janie– Won last race at PARX and earned the highest last race speed rating- Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
9 – She’smyrisenstar – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race – Drops in class today.
4 – Morissette – Has a Trainer in last 14 days has this record (5 2-0-0). Likes the track and can handle the distance.
Race 3
2 – I’ll Make It Coach – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race at today’s distance only losing by a nose –Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) – Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (2 2-0-0).
6 – Relentless Ruby – Won last race at PARX has received the highest last race speed rating – The trainer wins 26% of the time with a Maiden win Last/Race.
4 – Going Going Gone – Fished in the money seven races in a row went to Aqueduct and ran a disappointing 10th after coming 5-wide in the turn. She returns to PARX to race again.
5 – Beyond a Million – Returning to a route may be the key for her to improve her performance – Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
3 – Sharon’s Law
1 – Misquillo
Race 4
4 – Golden Spoke – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – Likes distance finishing in the money 66% of the time, winning 22% of the races.
2 – American Quality – Won last race at PARX at 6-furlongs after being off for 3-1/2 months and now stretches out to 6-1/2-furlongs which he has shown he can handle.
5 – This Ill Defend – Has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Just a Thought – Has shown early speed in his last three races now goes to a sprint trainer wins 28% of the races when going from a Route to a Sprint.
Alternate:
7 – Lawlessness
8 – Vero Sun
Race 5
3 – Hey Dewzpots – Ran 3rd in her last race at PARX – Decent workout on 27Nov’21 at Parx 5f ft 1:03.1 Bg6/20
2 – Gia’s Fuego – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters – The trainer wins 32% of the time when bringing back a beaten favorite back to race.
7 – Gavichi – Finished in the money in the last four races three times, winning one at PARX Racing. Good workout on 26Jan Parx 3f ft :37.4 B 3/9
5 – Shetalkstomuch – Ran 2nd in his last race at PENN National at today’s distance and at today’s distance and received the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
4- B B’s Rocket
1- Lady Mistress
Race 6
6 – Reid’s Fangirl – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – The trainer wins 28% of the time when his horse goes in a race with a 2nd start w/turn.
4 – Paper Mansion – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – May improve with Lasix added
2 – Twodogsfourcats – Drops in class today – The trainer wins 25% of the time when his horse gets 1st time lasix – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Abidale – Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters and decent workout.
Alternate:
5 – Decisive Cause
1 – Skerrett
Race 7
7 – Double the Heart – Won last race PARX easily and got the highest last race speed rating – The trainer wins 50% of the races when his horse drops off win.
2 – Town Jak – Finished 3rd in last race after being In tight early – Prime Power Number: 126.1 (1st).
1 – They Shot Sonny – Finished 3rd in last race – The trainer wins 36% trainer of the time the 2nd race after claim.
3 – Septimius Severus – Won last race at PARX – Hot Trainer in last 14 days has this record (6 2-0-1)
Alternate:
6 – Federal Case
Race 8
8 – Owen’s Pleasure – Won last race at Laurel and now comes to PARX and stretches out – She has High % winning trainer Ness Jamie.
3 – Holmdel Park – Has the highest speed rating number in the race – Likes distance finishing in the money 75% of the time, winning 50% of the races.
5 – Wildcat Cartridge – She ran 2nd vs similar in last race – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) – Good 4F workout on Jan-28.
1 – Sour Mash – Won the race before the last at PARX -Has a high % winning trainer.
Race 9
1 – Undercover Kitty – Won last race at PARX – Jockey in last 14 days has this record (7 4-1-0) ñ Good 5F workout at 28Jan 5f ft 1:02 B 5/21
4 – Vine Jet – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and received the highest last race speed rating.
3 – Uncle Irish – Ran 3rd in his last race – His best dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters
5 – Nimitz – Won last race at PENN National – Good 4F workout on (Jan-28)
Race 10
6 – Holiday Raid – Won last race PARX – She likes the track finishing 57% in the money and likes the distance finishing 60% in the money.
1 – Absolute Anna – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – The trainer wins 26% of the time when bringing back a Beaten favorite back to race.
3 – Sheknowsthedrill – Won last race PARX and earned the highest last race speed rating – The trainer in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-0-1).
2 – Marianna Queen – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – Likes the distance and track.
Alternate:
7 – I’m a Coco Pebbles
4 – Londonderry
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 1 Mile 70 yds: 26 Races, 19 won by speed, 9 w2w – PP: 8+ has big edge, 2-7 fair, rail penalty
3 – Majestic Sky – 3rd after a layoff, mixed record, pair 2nds in 2 at Parx, BTN 4/5 FAV in last, LRSP>PAR, Big EP Edge
5 – Callmethebreeze – strong LP advantage but shouldn’t be too far off pace
4 – Prefontaine – Top Pedigree, small DROP 23-18, one of two
7 – Book of Delancey – better fractions last out, Fastest 1/4 Fractions, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
Race 2 – 5 ½ Furlongs: 13 Races, 8 won by speed, 2 w2w -PP: Rail has strong ad, 4+>2/3
5 – Gypsy Janie – Top EP/LP combo, LRSP>PAR, won last big, could be better in second off bench, weight break, worried about a bounce
3 – Nautical Gem – BTN Fav, 22% rebound rate for trainer Louis Linder, Jr. part of front running pack, 12(6-2-1) at 5/5 ½ furlongs
9 – Shesmyrisenstar – LRSP>PAR, 3 SP# Increases, improved pace#s at all levels
4 – Morissette – weight break, ITM 9(1-4-0), maintenance work since last
Race 3 – 1 Mile: 20 Races, 50/50, 4 w2w – PP: 2-7 best, 1 better than 8+
6 – Relentless Ruby – Top EP/LP combo, 3 SP# Increase, big jump in first at PARX, TLRSP#
2 – Ill Make It Coach – Top Pedigree, tends to run OK fresh, average work, Parx 2(0-1-1) and 5(1-1-2) at distance
4 – Going Going Gone – Denzel at Parx – 10(0-3-3), only Small DROP 28-25
1 – Misquillo – top LP#s by a wide margin, tough call with #3 Sharons Law #2 EP, weight break, two average works
Race 4 – 6 ½ Furlongs: 14 Races, 8 won by speed, 7 w2w -PP: Fair with small rail edge
5 – This Ill Defend – big LP# edge, Top Pedigree, TPLRSP#, up position ladder, BTN FAV – Tr J Ness 27% rebound
6 – Just a Thought – weight break with some early pace, top EP/LP combo, improved 2f/4f pace #s
4 – Golden Spoke – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, one of pacesetters, weight break, ITM 6/9 @ Parx
2 – American Quality – resume says improvement in R2 off the bench, won last big, Fastest 1/4 Fractions
Race 5 – 6 Furlongs: 29 Races, 16won by speed, 2 w2w -PP: no rail, others play fair
7 – Gavichi – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, 3rd off bench, BTN FAV 18/50 winners next out
2 – Gias Fuego – Fastest 1/4 Fractions, biggest DROP 35-21, TOP EP #s by a good margin
3 – Hey Dewzpots – part of the early pace, 3rd off the leader, Denzel at Parx 9(0-1-5), better fractions in 7f vs 6f
4 – B Bs Rocket – DROP 25-21, Top Pedigree, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, tough call with SHETALKSTOMUCH
Race 6 – 6 ½ Furlongs: 14 Races, 8 won by speed, 7 w2w -PP: Fair with small rail edge
6 – Reids Fangirl – slight edge Top EP#s, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, 2nd start w/ Tr: Robert Mosco 28%
2 – Twodogsfourcats – 1st time Lasix w/ early pace, DROP 100-42
3 – Abidale – 1st Time Starter, 17F works since Dec 22
4 – Paper Mansion – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, 1st Lasix – tough call with
1 – Skerrett – decently bet in debut, on bench since Dec 31, two very good works since
Race 7 – 7 Furlongs: 22 Races, 12 won by speed, 3 w2w – PP: rail penalty, fair 2+
2 – Town Jak – 4 SP# Increases, up the position ladder, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions,
7 – Double the Heart – won last by 9 ½, huge SP# jump, LRSP>PAR, big improvement 2f/4f #s
6 – Federal Case – 2nd off a layoff, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, ITM 10/11 @ Distance
3 – Septimius Severus – 3rd off a layoff, up the position ladder
Race 8 – 1 Mile 70 yds: 26 Races, 19 won by speed, 9 w2w – PP: 8+ has big edge, 2-7 fair, rail penalty
7 – Sugar Streak – Biggest DROP 65-25, Top Pedigree, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, well bet at this level
5 – Wildcat Cartridge – Fastest 1/4 Fractions, 1st since Dec 21st, Decent work on Jan 28, 3 SP# Increases, BTN Favorite
8 – Owens Pleasure – top LP#s by far, 3rd off a layoff, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, 3 SP# Increase
3 – Holmdel Park – 2nd off a layoff, strongest 2f pace # in last, track drop from Laurel to Parx
Race 9 – 1 Mile: 20 Races, 50/50, 4 w2w – PP: 2-7 best, 1 better than 8+
1 – Undercover Kitty – top LP#s by a little, won last by 6 lengths
4 – Vine Jet – TLRSP#, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions. 3SP# Increases, should be part of early pace
3 – Uncle Irish – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, early race improvement 2f/4f pace #s
5 – Nimitz – won last at Penn on Dec 21, one good work since, should be part of EP
Race 10 – 1 1/16 Miles: 8 Races, 6 won off the pace, 1 w2w – PP: 7/8 winners 4-7
1 – Absolute Anna – Fastest 1/4 Fractions, one decent work since last, BTN FAV Kathleen Demasi w 44/164
6 – Holiday Raid – slight top EP/LP combo, won last with same 7 f fractions as 6f, 2ws in 5 # distance, 1 in 10 at others
3 – Sheknowsthedrill – won last w2w with major SP# jump, TLRSP#, LRSP>PAR, improvement across all levels
7 – Im a Coco Pebbles – track drop from GP, 11G of good Parx works since Jan 14
