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Horse Racing Today – Tuesday, January 18, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Terry and Rich discuss…

Horse Racing Picks

PARX Full Card Picks

Terry’s Best Bet

Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s

Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping

Race 1

2 – Doctor Doom – Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race – Trainer in last 14 days has this record (5 2-1-0) -Has highest last race speed rating – Drops in class today

5 – Eight Danzas – Drops in class today

3 – My Brother Neil – Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days (8 4-0-2)

1 – Kodapendent – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race – Drops in class today -The trainer wins 33% of the races when a beaten favorite races again – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters

Race 2

3 – Iova– Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters

11 – Wonder City – Drops in class today – trainer wins 33% dropping Down 2+ classes – Highest speed figure at today’s distance

5 – Allegretto – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – Highest last race speed rating

8 – Speightster’s Gold – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race.

Race 3

6 – Misty Mauve – Ran 2nd vs similar in only start – Received highest last race speed rating – The trainer wins 19% of the time with 1st time Lasix – Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters -Lasix added

7 – Frieder Fanatic – High % trainer Louis Linder, Jr. & High % Jockey Frankie Pennington

5 – Paper Mansion – Hot Jockey in last 7 days has this record (12 5-1-0) – Sharp 4F workout (Jan-12)- Bumped start

4 – Reid’s Fangirl – Finished 3rd in last race – May improve with Lasix added

Race 4

8 – Majestic Sky – Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race and received the highest last race speed rating – Drops in class today – Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters

2 – Will Take Control – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race -The trainer wins 24% of the time 1st race after a claim – Sharp 5F workout (Jan-12).

1 – Enano  – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race – Drops in class today

9 – Mr. Shenanigans – Has a lot of early speed.

Race 5

6 – Perfect Day – Won his debut race at Penn National – Well bet in debut – Lasix added

1 – Mr Sandman – Won last race at PARX Racing- Highest last race speed rating – Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters – Lasix is added

3 – Crabs N Beer – Drops in class today – Trainer in last 14 days has this record (14 5-2-3).

5 – Father Walsh – Won last race at Finger Lakes – Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (8 3-2-2)

Race 6

7 – Icy Cold – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – The trainer wins 30% of the time with horse’s 1st time Lasix – Trainer in last 14 days has this record (5 2-1-0)

6 – Undercover Kitty – The trainer wins 28% of the time with horse’s 1st time Lasix

4 – Uncle Gary G ran 2nd in last race and has the highest last race speed rating – Has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters – Lasix added

5 – Mischievous Jones – Well bet in debut – The trainer wins 30% of the time with horse’s 1st time Lasix -Trainer in last 14 days has this record (5 2-1-0).

Race 7

8 – Divine Miracle – Finished in the money three out of the last four races, winning two races – Trainer /Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (8 3-2-2)

5 – Perfect Revenge finished 3rd vs similar in last race receiving the highest last race speed rating (tie) – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance – Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters

6 – Rack Gin finished in the money in ten out of fourteen races last year, winning two races – Had a disappointing race after having a poor start and wide trip

1 – Cant Stop This Man finished in the money four out of the five career races, winning two races – Sharp 4F workout (Jan-12)

Race 8

5 – Victory Built ran 2nd vs similar in last race receiving the highest last race speed rating -His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters – blinkers added today.

8 – Dancing Dragon – Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (8 4-0-2).

6 – Clemenza finished in the money in 50% of the time last year – Good workout on 25Sep’21 Mth 3f ft :37 B 2/7

2 – Unimpeachable finished 3rd vs similar in last race- The trainer wins 29% in second race after a layoff

Race 9

8 – Florida Gator finished in the money in four of his career races – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race – Drops in class today – Lasix added

2 – Mischief Road won his debut race at 7 furlongs at today’s track – He now stretches out to one mile and 70 yards which I think he can handle

9 – Uncle Irish best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters – Can improve with blinkers added today – Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (8 3-2-2).

5 – Noneedtoworry won his last race at PARX – May improve with Lasix added.

Race 10

9 – Barilko has a lot of early speed and should improve at the shorter distance – Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (8 3-2-2).

6 – Diesel drops in class today – Can improve at the shorter distance, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie)

7 – Mission Wrapitup – Likes the track and the distance – Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie)

2 – Monday’s With Mike has a high percent trainer

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1 – 7 Furlongs: 6 Races, 5 won by speed, 0 w2w – PP: all wins 2-7

2 – Doctor Doom – 10% win/50% ITM, DROP 42-30 MSW-MCL, highest last race speed figure
1 – Kodapendent – 2nd Best ES#, DROP 42-30 MSW-MCL, Beaten Fav, Tr; Rob Reid, Jr. rebounds @ 33%
5 – Eight Danzas – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, DROP 42-30 MSW-MCL
3 – My Brother Neil – Big track to smaller track drop, top EP#s, DROP 42-30

Race 2 – 1 Mile 70 yds: 10 Races, 9 won by speed, 5 w2w – PP: fair 1-7, 8+ has the edge

3 – Iova – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, 10% win/50% ITM, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, TOP LP#s
5 – Allegretto – LRSP>PAR, 3 SP Increases
8 – Speightsters Gold – better 6 f fractions last out, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
11 – Wonder City – down 2 classes, 33% W – Tr Cathal Lynch

Race 3 – 6 1/2 Furlongs: 3 Races, 2 won by st/clrs, 1 w2w – PP:  All winners 4-7

6 – Misty Mauve – LRSP>PAR, Top EP/LP by far best in field, First time Lasix
1 – Martinis Amica – DROP 80-42, best race by far, decent work since last
4 – Reids Fangirl – First Lasix, early speed, Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, Top Pedigree
7 – Frieder Fanatic – solid debut, should be better in race #2, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, Top J/T

Race 4 – 1 1/16 Miles: 4 Races, 50/50, 1 w2w – PP: 3 winners 4-7

8 – Majestic Sky – Top LRSP, DROP, 20 off or less w STP, LRSP>PAR, better in round 2 off the bench
2 – Will Take Control – 1st off the claim, 24% winner for trainer Daniel Velazquez, 3rd off layoff, even last
1 – Enano – tied for the top LP#s, small drop, ITM 4/6 @ Parx
4 – No Tolerance – small drop, small weight break, better fractions in last out

Race 5 – 6 Furlongs: 10 Races, 6 won by speed, 0 w2w – PP: no rail, outside in bias

1 – Mr Sandman – Win By > 1 Lengths, 3 SP Increases, Top LRSP, first Lasix with speed
6 – Perfect Day – won debut by 5 ¼ Lengths, gets first Lasix, Top Pedigree, 2 Fast Opening 1/4 Fractions
4 – Southern Runner – DROP 100 to 42, 3rd off the layoff, last 3rd was best off the 3
5 – Father Walsh – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, good work on Dec 15, Ness/Silvera combo hits at 32%

Race 6 – 1 Mile: 9 Races, 5 wins by speed, 2 w2w – PP: Rail and 4-7, 0 for 8+

6 – Undercover Kitty – Beaten FAV, trainer Cathal Lynch rebounds @ 36%, 1st Lasix
7 – Icy Cold – improved a little from debut, first Lasix with some early pace, fraction better
4 – Uncle Gary G – TLRSP#, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, speed first Lasix, better in 2nd route
5 – Mischievous Jones – decently bet in debut, top EP#s by a wide margin, 1st Lasix w/ speed

Race 7 – 7 Furlongs: 6 Races, 5 won by speed, 0 w2w – PP: all wins 2-7

8 – Divine Miracle – Win 40%, Tied Top Pedigree, LRSP>PAR, Win By > 1 Length, 4 SP Increases, Ness/Silvera
1 – Cant Stop This Man – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, Parx 4 (2-1-0), 4(0-1-2), much faster fractions
5 – Perfect Revenge – 20 off or less w STP, LRSP>PAR, 3rd off a layoff, 3rd was best of last 3 race
2 – Maine – top EP#s, top combo of EP/LP combo, Tied Top Pedigree, tough call with #7 Excursion

Race 8 – 5 1/2 Furlongs: 7 Races, 5 won by speed, 2 w2w – PP: all winners 4+

2 – Unimpeachable – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, BTN FAV, Tr: Kathleen Demasi 27%, 2nd off layoff
6 – Clemenza – Top Pedigree, top EP/LP combo in competitive field, Parx 3(0-2-0)
5 – Victory Built – 20 off or less w STP, Parx 7(0-3-1), TPLRSP#, small drop, only in field
7 – Bucks Are Moving – 10% win/50% ITM, 3 SP Increases, ITM 9/14 @ Parx

Race 9 – 1 Mile 70 yds: 10 Races, 9 won by speed, 5 w2w – PP: fair 1-7, 8+ has the edge

10 – Nostalgic Run – Top Pedigree, early speed, 1st Lasix, Good works getting ready
2 – Mischief Road – won debut by 6 ½ lengths, could be better in race #2
8 – Florida Gator – first Lasix with some EP, Big Track to Small Track drop, always well bet
9 – Uncle Irish – top Debut SP# by far, lowest level since Debut, Small Drop, Ness/Silvera

Race 10 – 6 Furlongs: 10 Races, 6 won by speed, 0 w2w – PP: no rail, outside in bias

6 – Diesel – drops  in class, strong EP#s, 3 PS increases
7 – Mission Wrapitup – 1st off claim for Michael Pino. 20% angle in 260 starts, bullet work on Jan 8
9 – Barilko – J/T combo Silvera/Ness, 1st off claim, 31% winner, drops of claim 30% winner for Ness
2 – Mondays With Mike – has some of the best LP#s, 6 F looks like right distance with 2/3 career wins

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