Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Parx Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Penn National
Parx Horse Racing Tips
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
4 – Lil Miss Hotshot- Won two out of the last three races, losing the last race by a neck and drops to the class of her last win.
2 – Party in the Sand- Broke bad in her last race – Likes to be the bridesmaid running second in five out of the last six races. Will be closing to try and win.
6 – Carmeltini- In the money at PARX in 15 of 24 races, winning 4 of the races and drops in class for this race.
3 – Taylor’s Belle – Seems to get in trouble in her races but if she can stay out of trouble she will do well.
Alternate:
1 – I’m Thirsty
5 – Lana
Race 2
1 – Jump for the Win– Ran second in his last race, losing only by a neck after experiencing trouble – Can improve with Lasix being added
4 – Heartness – Came in from Laurel and run his last race at PARX easily. Can either lead or come from off the pace to win a race. He has a High % trainer and jockey.
5 – Ifwhizkycouldtalk – Closed to win his last race at 6 furlongs and now stretches out to a mile- 70yds.
3 – Turnpike Bob – He gets first time Lasix, and the trainer wins 100% of the time when using Lasix.
Alternate:
2 – Yo Nessroundonkern
6 – Mischief Road
Race 3
5 – Liam’s Lady – Won last race- Received highest last race speed rating – The trainer is winning at a 25% clip during this race meet
7 – Not a Trace – Been in the money in seven out of its last eight races, winning two of the races – Drops in class today
6 – Connoisseur – Ran second in her last race at Parx and at today’s distance – Good workout on 23Dec’21 Prx 4f ft :50 B 3/16
2 – Same Moon- Finished 3rd in last two race – Likes distance finishing in the money six out of nine races winning two
Alternate:
3 – Gingers Wish
8 – Risen Change
Race 4
4 – Cup of Life – Been in the money in five out of six career races – best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters – Drops in class today
12 – She’s a Fast One – Shows speed and finished 3rd vs tougher in last race – Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days (3 3-0-0) – Lasix added.
8 – Don’t Tell Frankie – Lasix & Blinkers added – Good workout on 09Jan Prx 4f ft :49.2 Bg3/18
5 – Seize the Whiskey – Showed early speed last race, drops in class today and adds blinkers. The trainer wins 35% of the time when adding blinkers, the first time.
Alternate:
10 – Fly Fly Bird
9 – Dixie Diva
Race 5
2 – Walk Me Home – Won two out of the last three races, losing the last race by a neck – The trainer wins 27% of the time when bringing back a Beaten favorite back to race.
5 – Awesome Pal – Won last race at PARX Racing at today’s distance – The distance should not be a problem as she has finished in the money seven out of ten races winning three
1 – Love in Her Eyes – Has a good trainer and Jockey – Finished in the money in seven out of nine races winning three at PARX Racing
7 – Love On Fire – Beaten only 1-1/4 lengths vs similar in last start – Jockey in last 7 days (12 5-1-1)
Alternate:
3 – Still Alive
6 – Tiz Gracie
Race 6
6 – Iza One – Finished in the money in three out of four races winning one at PARX Racing.
2 – Galileo’s Affair – Finished 3rd after breaking slow in last race – Jockey in last 7 days (11 3-3-2)
3 – Lady Brexit drops in class and the trainer wins 24% of the races when dropping down 2+ classes
8 – Molly’s Game – Loves running second – Can improve while returning to a route
Alternate:
1 – Southern Cents
7 – Joycee’s Spirit
Race 7
3 – Espernsita – Won her debut race at PARX Racing and at today’s distance – Jockey in last 7 days (11 3-3-2)
2 – Makeajoyfulnoise in the money in three out of five career races – Comes in from The Fairgrounds after finishing 3rd and drops in class
6 – Above the Limit drops in class today – Hot Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days (3 3-0-0)
4 – Kerics Beauty won her last race at Penn Nation and comes to try PARX Racing for the first time
Alternate:
7 – Rolls Royce Joyce
1 – Memphis Mafia
Race 8
7 – Hard Sting ran 2nd at today’s distance – Likes distance finishing in the money five out of six races winning one and likes the track finishing 100% in the money winning one of the races
3 – Longtail – Ran 2nd in his last race losing only by a ¾ lengths, receiving the highest last race speed rating- has a good Trainer/Jockey combo
4 – Secret Path Won last race at PARX Racing – Has a high % winning Jockey
8 – Our Lucky Man finished 4th in his last race only losing by 1-1/4 lengths – Drops in class today
Alternate:
6 – Just a Thought
1 – Lawlessness
Race 9
10 – Noon Time Gem won two out of the last three races – The shorter distance can only help – Likes the track only finishing out of the money one time out of five starts
1 – Kadens Courage Finished 3rd vs similar in last race -received the highest last race speed rating
5 – Social Group won his last race at PARX Racing. Improved speed rating in each of the last three races
12 – Jump Shot ran 3rd in his last three races at PARX – Jockey in last 7 days (12 5-1-1)
Alternate:
6 – Hizaam
3 – Sacramento Q
Race 10
6 – J M R Gemma is only a head from winning two races in her young career, winning her last race at Penn National
4 – Platinum Ice Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – Can improve at the shorter distance, Lasix added
10 – Golden Eib Micrphn – Won her maiden race – Heavily Bet in debut ñ Hot Jockey in last 7 days (5 3-1-0)
5 – Lady Zeta – Comes in from Laurel after winning her last race there and got the highest last race speed rating
Alternate:
7 – Starship Laoban
9 – Remember This Gal
Race 11
12 – The Reign Man Finished in the money in five out of six races – Drops in class today
1- Lazaretto. Likes distance winning two out of three races and likes the track winning a race and running second in the other races – Drops in class today
3 – Rising Storm – Finished in the money in four out of six races, winning one of the races at PARX Racing and at today’s distance
2 – Admiral Eastwood – Drops in class today – Hot Jockey in last 7 days (11 3-3-2)
Alternate:
7 – One Slick Start
11 – Count the Shells
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 1 Mile 70 yds: 19 races, 14 won by speed, 7 w2w – PP: fair 1-7, 8+ has an edge
2 – Party in the Sand – TLP# by far, a little better early fractions in last, J: L Rivera w 5/15 routes
4 – Lil Miss Hotshot – TPLRSP, Tie Top Pedigree, 16/22 ITM @ Distance, 20 off or less w STP, #1 EP/LP by a decent margin
1 – Im Thirsty – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, top EP#s, DROP 26-18, 2nd off, good fractions in last trainer Mary Pattershall win 5/12 down 2 classes
6 – Carmeltini – Tie Top Pedigree, top LP$ in last, ITM 15/24 Parx, 6/10 @ dist (10 (1-5-0)
Race 2 – 1 Mile 70 yds: 19 races, 14 won by speed, 7 w2w – PP: fair 1-7, 8+ has an edge
1 – Jump for the Win – a nk from being undefeated in 2, better fractions despite adding a 1F, 1st Lasix, speed and weight break.
4 – Heartness – Top Pedigree, Top J/T combop – R Silvera/J Ness, 31%, top EP/LP combo
5 – Ifwhizkycouldtalk – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, won last by 6 ¾ lengths, sharp improvement from debut
3 – Turnpike Bob – top EP#s, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, 1st time Gelded and Lasix – Run back 2
Race 3 – 1 Mile 70 yds: 19 races, 14 won by speed, 7 w2w – PP: fair 1-7, 8+ has an edge
7 – Not a Trace – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, 4 SP Increases, gets a weight break, Top EP/LP combo by a big margin
5 – Liams Lady – won last w2w with stronger fractions, Top Pedigree, 20 off or less w STP, TPLRSP
2 – Same Moon – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, 3 SP Increases, ITM 6/9 @ Distance 9(2-0-4)
6 – Connoisseur – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, much better fractions in last
Race 4 – 6 Furlongs: 16 Races, 11 won by speed, 0 w2w – PP: no rail, 4+ out have the edge
12 – Shes a Fast One – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, TOP Pedigree, 1st Lasix, could be better 2nd off the bench
4 – Cup of Life – 10% win/50% ITM, ITM 3/3 @ Parx 3(0-1-2), tied for top EP/LP#s, 3 SP Increases
2 – La Sua Pasta – decently beet in debut, 1st Lasix, biggest drop 50-26, Bullet on Jan -13, weight break
10 – Fly Fly Bird – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, 1st Lasix, 5(0-0-3) at PARX
Race 5 – 6 Furlongs: 16 Races, 11 won by speed, 0 w2w – PP: no rail, 4+ out have the edge
2 – Walk Me Home – top LP#s in a field w/ a lot of EP, BTN Fav, Trainer Kathleen Demasi rebounds at 27%, Top Pedigree
7 – Love On Fire – TPLRSP, Biggest DROP 65-28, 3-way tie for top EP/LP combo, good work on Jan -14
1 – Love in Her Eyes – ITM 7/9 @ Parx 9(3-1-3), J/T combo Silvera/Ness 31%, won 2/3 from rail last by 3 ¼ Lengths
6 – Tiz Gracie – Top 6f between 3,5,6, Top EP#s, could be better in rd 2 off the bench, DROP 47-28
Race 6 – 1 Mile 70 yds: 19 races, 14 won by speed, 7 w2w – PP: fair 1-7, 8+ has an edge
2 – Galileos Affair – ITM 12/18 @ distance, bullet wonk on Jan 9 – 3 HQ races in a row
5 – Towson – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, TPLRSP, much faster fractions, DROP 50-18, 2nd EP/LP combo
4 – Silver Excess – top EP#s, decent work on jan 14,
8 – Mollys Game – weight break, DROP 50-18, (1 of 2), TOP EP/LP combo by a little
Race 7 – 6 Furlongs: 16 Races, 11 won by speed, 0 w2w – PP: no rail, 4+ out have the edge
2 – Makeajoyfulnoise – weight break, FG to Parx drop, 61-25, Top Pedigree, LRSP>PAR
3 – Espernsita – won debut with strong stretch run, tie Top Late Pace #, decent work since,
6 – Above the Limit – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, ITM 6/8, Top EP#s, Decent 17 F works getting ready
4 – Kerics Beauty – consistently better SP#s, decent work since winning last @ Penn
Race 8 – 1 Mile 70 yds: 19 races, 14 won by speed, 7 w2w – PP: fair 1-7, 8+ has an edge
3 – Longtail – 1st off claim 20% Tr. Michael Pino, 16 F works, LRSP>PAR, 4 SP Increases, 3(1-2-0) @ Dist, Top EP
7 – Hard Sting – Top Pedigree, ITM 5/6 @ Distance, Parx 3(1-2-0), Beaten FAV, 27% Rebound Tr; Jamie Ness
8 – Our Lucky Man – TOP late Pace #s over #7, 4 SP Increases, 2 back at Parx, lone run there, wins
4 – Secret Path – 3rd off layoff, as good as any of first 2, 4 SP# Increases, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
Race 9 – 7 Furlongs: 12 races, 8 won by speed, 0 w2w -PP: no rail, 2-7 fair, 8+ has an edge
5 – Social Group – 3 SP# Increases, should be close to the pace all the way, 3/5 fav winner last out
6 – Hizaam – 5(2-1-1) @ distance, 1st off the claim, 20% winner trainer M Pino, Top LP#s
12 – Jump Shot – 1st off claim 4/14 winners, one of best EP/LP combos in a very competitive field
1 – Kadens Courage – Top Last Race Speed Figure
Race 10 – 6 Furlongs: 16 Races, 11 won by speed, 0 w2w – PP: no rail, 4+ out have the edge
7 – Starship Laoban – 1st Lasix, early speed, strong work on Jan 19, Beaten FAV, J/T Silvera/Ness 31%
6 – J M R Gemma – head from winning both, won last by 4 ¾, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, Tie top EP/LP Combo
4 – Platinum Ice – another 1st Lasix with speed, well bet last out, odds up this time
10 – Golden Eib Micrphn – top EP#s, tie top EP/LP combo, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, betting fav on debut, off since Aug 25, 13 F works in last month
Race 11 – 6 ½ Furlongs: 5 races, 3 won by speed going w2w – PP: all winners 4-7
7 – One Slick Start – 16f works getting ready, has run OK fresh, small drop 25-21
12 – The Reign Man – 10% win/50% ITM, top EP/LP combo, Tie Top Late Pace #s, 4th of layoff, improved off the 3rd in last 4 race cycle
2 – Admiral Eastwood – ITM 5/6 @ distance 6(0-2-3), ITM 13/28 @ Parx, has some back early pace
11 –Count the Shells – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, 3rd off a layoff, best of the 3 last 3 race cycle