Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Gulfstream Park Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Sam Houston Racetrack
Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
7 – Panotti – Won last race at Gulfstream and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
8 – Divine Exchange– Finished 3rd vs tougher (on AW) in last race – Highest last race speed rating (tie) – Drops in class today – Switches to a high % winning jockey Luis Saez.
5 – Map Em Up – Finished 2nd in his last race Tampa Bay Downs and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance – Best Turf Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie)
2 – Sprite’s Lady –Switches to a high % winning jockey Jose Ortiz who in the last 7 days has this record (22 6-4-4).
Alternate:
1 – Choose to Be Happy
6 – Keitany
Race 2
5 – Silver Cloud ran 2nd vs similar in (on Dirt) last race – Switches to a high % winning jockey Luis Saez.
1 – Code Name Lise – Ran 2nd in last time out only losing by a nose after being bumped at break – The trainer wins 30% of the time the 1st race after claim – Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (10 3-0-3).
4 – Headline Hunter – Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race receiving the highest last race speed rating – drops in class today – Her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters – Blinkers added today
6 – Lucky Latkes – Won last race GP – Bullet 4F workout on Feb-01.
Alternate:
3 – High Fair
Race 3
7 – Oakhurst – She has the highest last race speed rating, has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % jockey Irad Ortiz, Jr. – The trainer wins 30% of the time when going from Turf to AW – Lasix added.
8 – Only Time – Ran 2nd the last two races – The trainer wins 23% of the time the 1st race after claim High % winning Jockey Luis Saez
6 – Adelie – The trainer wins 25% of the time when going from Turf to AW – Lasix added
1 – Platinum Moon – First time starter – Dam has 4 winners from 6 starters and 1 stakes winner
Alternate:
3 – Ojeleye
5 – Myriskyaffair
Race 4
3 – Ludington- Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race – Drops in class today – The trainer wins 19% of the dirt starts – best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
5 – Tune In – Won two out of the last four races – Should improve at the shorter distance – Sharp 4F workout on Feb-03.
1 – I’m a G Six – Has the highest last race speed rating – Has highest speed figure at today’s distance -Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) – Sharp 4F workout on Feb-05
2 – Nixon Joy – Won last race GP – Can handle the distance.
Alternate:
6 – Almashriq
4 – Universal Payday
Race 5
3 – School Dance – Ran 3rd in her last race at Tampa Bay – Highest last race speed rating – She has a high % winning Jockey Paco Lopez – Breeding suggests she will like the grass
13 – Luna Antonia Ran second in the last three races – Best Turf Speed is fastest among today’s starters.
11 – Mia Camila – Finished 3rd vs similar (on AW) in only start after being carried out badly 3/16 – Breeding suggests she will like the grass – The trainer wins 27% with entries 2nd career race.
5 – Uncaptured Grace – Ran 2nd vs similar (on AW) in last race- Best Turf speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed
Alternate:
10 – Strong Embrace
Race 6
8 – Backatya – Won two races out of the last four races – Drops in class today – Figures to improve while returning to Dirt – The trainer wins 29% when dropping a entry Down 2+ classes – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters – Switches to a high % winning jockey.
7 – Rayo Colorado – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race receiving the highest last race speed rating -Should improve at the shorter distance – Sharp 4F workout onFeb-02.
3 – Beastfromtheeast – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – switches to a high % jockey.
4 – Act of Valor – The trainer wins 19% of the Sprints – Sharp 4F workout on Feb-05.
Alternate:
2 – Spring the Beast
6 – Oriental Park
Race 7
4 – Embrace My Uncle – Won last race GP – Sharp 4F workout on Feb-02.
7 – Rebelde – Beaten only 2 lengths in last start – The trainer wins 31% of the time when bringing back a Beaten favorite back to race – Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (10 3-0-3).
1 – Gump – Finished 3rd in last race – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) – Sharp 3F workout on Feb-04.
5 – Man On the Moon – Ran 2nd in last race – High % winning Jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Tiz Rye Time
2 – Uno Tiger
Race 8
2 – Buenisimo – Finished 3rd vs similar (on AW) in last race and got the highest last race speed – The trainer wins 18% of races when going from AW to Turf – Highest speed figure at today’s distance.
1 – Exponential – Won last race GP – The trainer wins 50% of races when going from AW to Turf – Highest speed figure at today’s distance – Sharp 4F workout on Feb-05
3 – Seize the Hay – Drops in class today- The trainer wins 23% of races when first race after claiming a horse.
7 – Wicked Finn
Ruch’s Ranks
Race 1 – 1 1/16 Miles Turf: 58 t routes, 36 won by speed, 15 w2w -PP: Inside 3 bias, 4-7>8+
1 – Choose to Be Happy – 2nd after a layoff, spotty, should be forwardly placed w/ top EP# by a little, Fastest 1/4 Fractions, jockey upgrade to Paco, tied for most Ws on T w/12
4 – Frankies Girl – tie TPLRSP#, Drop 36-24, last race Jan 28, #1 LP #s, top EP/LP Combo, ITM 6/9 GP on Turf
7 – Panotti – Top Pedigree, won last on AW by 2 ¾, major fractions improvement
6 – Keitany – should be coming late, probably not enough to win, distance 5/2-0-2 – 0/10 at any other distance
Race 2 – 5 F AW: 45 Races, 29 won by speed, 15w2w – PP: fair
4 – Headline Hunter – Fastest 1/4 Fraction, QTA ran Jan 23, LRSP>PAR, TLRSP#, DROP 61-41, 3/2-1-0 AW, Top EP/LP combo by a decent margin
6 – Lucky Latkes – won 1st trip on GP AW, could be better in 2nd try, bullet work between, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
1 – Code Name Lise – 1st off the claim, J Saffie Jr, 71/237 winners, missed my nose BTN FAV, slightly better fractions, 2/1-1-0 AW, three 3f works since last, trying to get off to a better start, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
3 – High Fair – won last race, breaking maiden in 7th try with major improvement tough call over #5
5 – Silver Cloud – 1st off the claim, 28/81 for trainer Danny Gargan, 3/1-1-1 on AW, OK works
Race 3 – 1 Mile 70 yards AW: 73 Races, 42 won off the pace, 8 w2w -PP: Inside out bias
8 – Only Time – a nose and ½ lengths from winning last 2, 4/0-2-1 on AW, 1st off the claim 7/30 ws, Fastest 1/4 Fractions
7 – Oakhurst – 1st off the layoff, 1st Lasix, 19f works since Jan 15th,
2 – Mandorla – top EP by a wide margin. 3SP # Increases, 1st route,
1 – Platinum Moon – 1st time starter, Pletcher/Paco – Pletcher winning at 35%, 21f of works since Jan 2nd
Race 4 – 1 Mile Dirt (1 turn): 51 Races, 41 won by speed, 17 w2w –PP: 8+ has edge, 1-7 play fair
5 – Tune In – all of nothing at GP 9/5-0-0, neck from winning last two fresh starts, 3/4 bullets works since Dec 31, DROP 125-37
1 – Im a G Six – TLRSP#, DROP 85-37, LRSP>PAR, top LP#s by a decent margin, top EP/LP combo,
6 – Almashriq – Top Pedigree, LRSP>PAR, has a win w/ Luis Saez at GP at distance/surface
3 – Ludington – top EP#s by a little bit, GP 10/4-2-1, Distance 4/2-2-0, better fractions last out, Fastest 1/4 Fractions, LRSP>PAR
Race 5 – 1 1/16 Miles Turf: 58 t routes, 36 won by speed, 15 w2w -PP: Inside 3 bias, 4-7>8+
3 – School Dance – LRSP>PAR, AW record 2/0-1-1 suggests she’ll like turf, 3SP# Increases in 3 races, top EP/LP combo – top 3 for both, Fastest 1/4 Fractions
11 – Mia Camila – top EP#s, should improve in race#2, LRSP>PAR, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, decently bet in debut
14 – Golden Effect – Tom Carley DROP 60-39. 1st Lasix, 3 SP# Increases, better 2nd off the layoff, decent work since last
2 – Spread Joy – Tom Carley DROP 60-39, LRSP>PAR, 3SP# Increases, Tr Bobby Dibona 10/17 ws in 2nd Lasix
10 – Strong Embrace – won debut was DQ’s, 1st Lasix, 14f works since Dec 24, J upgrade to J Ortiz
Race 6 – 5 ½ F Dirt: 19 Races, 15 won by speed, 10 w2w -PP: 4-7 best, rail penalty, 2/3&8+ fair
7 – Rayo Colorado – 3rd off a layoff, sneaky better fractions, same at 6f vs 5f, LRSP>PAR, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
8 – Backatya – Fastest 1/4 Fractions, DROP 41-28, Tr Gerald Brooks 22/75 down 2 classes
1 – Gilligan – some of the top EP#s, 1st Lasix and Gelded, DROP 34-28
9 – Whiskeyonhislips – 1st time Lasix with speed, good work on Feb 2,
Race 7 – 1 Mile Dirt (1 turn): 51 Races, 41 won by speed, 17 w2w –PP: 8+ has edge, 1-7 play fair
7 – Rebelde – 2nd off a layoff, should be about the same, 3 SP# Increases, QTA Jan 20, 1st off the claim 25/75 for trainer Rohan Crichton, better fractions last, upgrade to Irad
2 – Uno Tiger – won last w/ Paco, just needs to run back 3 races, won @ 1m on D by 4 ¾, 4/2-0-0 @ distance
6 – Tiz Rye Time – BTN FAV, 82/256 next out for J Saffie, Jr, Denzel four 2nds, three 4ths in last 7
5 – Man On the Moon – Top Pedigree, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, improved 2f/4f pace numbers in 2nd race w/ Luis Saez
Race 8 – 1 1/16 Miles Turf: 58 t routes, 36 won by speed, 15 w2w -PP: Inside 3 bias, 4-7>8+
2 – Buenisimo – TPLRSP# on AW, race is on AW, bullet work between GP 4/0-4-0 AW 3/1-0-1
1 – Exponential – Top LP# by a decent margin, strong work on feb 5, AW 4/1-1-2
3 – Seize the Hay – 1st off the claim, 52/218 for trainer Carlos David, best SP#s in first off bench
7 – Wicked Finn – DROP 61-28, maybe better in second off a layoff, strongest 4f pace # in last 10
