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Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks & Analysis Today | Sloppy Track Chaos & Scratch-Filled Card

Horseshoe Indianapolis features a reduced 9-race card today after all turf races were moved to the dirt, creating a completely different handicapping puzzle. With sloppy conditions, heavy scratches, and horses now forced onto a surface they may not prefer, today’s card is all about adaptability and value hunting. This full-card breakdown uses Smart Sheets to identify: Horses most likely to handle sloppy conditions Pace advantages after late scratches reshaped races Total Pace and C-Zone standouts Simulated odds versus the morning line Profile of a Winner indicators for wet tracks With no turf races remaining, many fields have changed dramatically, and races that once looked straightforward now carry plenty of uncertainty. These are the kinds of cards where race shape can flip completely after scratches—and where value can emerge if you identify which horses benefit most from the changes. Equibase lists all races off the turf with sloppy dirt conditions today. Today’s focus is simple: Adjust quickly Trust the data Find value where others panic

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Terry’s Picks

Horseshoe Indianapolis – 5-20-2026

Race 1Female

2 – Succy’s Song: Throw out last race as she had a trouble that affected her finish; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

7 – Crazy Sexy Cool: Highest last race speed rating; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

5 – Jogger: Has the 2nd best Prime Power: 92.6; May improve in 2nd start since layoff.

Longshot:

4 – Abra Abra: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Alternate:

1 – Burn Brightly

Race 2Female

6 – Pickle Shoes: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

1 – Zoomaha: Won last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis; Strong trainer and jockey stats; Lasix added.

4 – Sound the Siren: Drops in class today; May improve in 2nd start since layoff.

Longshot:

5 – Peter’s Dream: Has a high % winning trainer; Can go the distance.

Alternate:

3 – Fawn Liebowitz

$1.00 Pick 4: 1,6/2,4,5,7/3,4,5/3,5 – Cost $48.00 

Race 3-Female

5 – Earl’s Lady: Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Strong trainer and jockey stats.

7 – Muscle Mommy: Has an early foot so the shorter distance will be a plus.

2 – Baby Hello: Drops in class today; Switches to a high % jockey; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance can help; Strong trainer stats.

Longshot:

4 – Border: Finished 2nd as the favorite in the last race; The trainer wins 18% with beaten favorites; Strong jockey stats.

Alternate:

3 – Crab Rangoon

Race 4-Female

3 – Deyemond: Finished 2nd as the favorite in the last race; The trainer wins 34% with beaten favorites; Drops in class today; Strong jockey stats.

4 – Rose of San Antone: Highest last race speed rating (tie); Drops in class today; Bullet 4F workout (May-12).

5 – Lets Shance It: Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

1 – Mo Biscuit: Has a high % winning jockey; The trainer wins 20% of the race in the 3rd start off layoff.

Alternate:

2 – C V Holly

Race 5Female

5 – What’s to Do: Ran 2nd (on Dirt) in last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

3 – Gigi’s World: Won 1 race out of 5 starts at Horseshoe Indianapolis.

$1.00 Pick 4: 3,5/2,6,8/4,12/1,3,4,5 – Cost $48.00

Race -6-

6 – Silver Syon: Finished in the money in 3 races out of 3 career starts; Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer.

8 – Unbridled Intent: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer; Can handle the distance.

2 – Luna Diva: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

7 – Gunzo: Finished in the money in 2 races out of 3 career starts; Has a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

1 – Imminent Forecast

5 – Q’s Got Class

Bet: $14.00 Win: 6 – $10.00 Exacta Box:6/8 – $10.00 Exacta: 6/2,7,8 – $3.00 Exacta Box: 2,6,7,8

Race-7-

12 – Fracture: Only Yes Par #; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Stolen Power: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

13 – Poetic Words: Drops in class today.

Race 8-

1 – Fools Jester: Won last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis; Rail post is winning at a18% clip; Has a high % winning trainer.

3 – Silver Sterling: Finished in the money in 4 races out of the last 5 starts, winning 1 race; Has a high % winning trainer.

5 – Infinite Speed: Won last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Bullet 3F workout (May-08).

Longshot:

4 – Whatnowdaddy: Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance is a plus; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

7 – Parker

9 – Mommas Wish

Race 9-Quarter Horses

6 – Kelli Girl: Just missed in last start; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

5 – Outlaw Woman: Won last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis at today’s distance.

3 – Rock Hard Love: Finished in last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

4 – Flyin Cowgirl: Won the last 2 races in a row going for a hat trick.

Alternate:

2 – Sauce C

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 6th Race – #6 – Silver Syon

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 1 Mile – Stalkers, 2/17 w2w – PP: 1-7 Same Discount, 8+ By Far Best

7 – CRAZY SEXY COOL – TLRSP#+4 – top TP +10 – 3rd up for the first time – boom or bust

4 – ABRA ABRA – 0/18 but a maybe 3 vs 1 other the 5 – and SIM FAV – decent on off

1 – BURN BRIGHTLY – should be on the pace – just 4th race – better 5 ways and drops

5 – JOGGER – the other Maybe 5 – 2nd up – maybe improves

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,4,5,7

Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Stinks, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount

6 – PICKLE SHOES – tremendous +11 SIM SP# Average and +11 Top Total Pace – by far top PAR+

1 – ZOOMAHA – 1st Lasix pacesetter with TLRSP# +7 back in December – OK works

5 – PETER’S DREAM – major upgrade in mid to finish line pace in last w/ maintenance work and most work on an off track

3 – FAWN LIEBOWITZ – probably the longest shot in a 5 horse race

$1 Pick 4: 6/2,4,5,7/2,3,4/3,5

Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 46% w2w – PP: Inside Out

2 – BABY HELLO – only YES has to be at the top of the list – track and class dropper too

5 – EARL’S LADY – biggest in race edge of +7 LS and +7 Top TOTAL PACE

7 – MUSCLE MOMMY – SIM FAV – better EP/FRACTIONS – track and class drops

4 – BORDER – 5 ways better and on the pace with TLRSP#+ 5

$5 Exacta Key Box: 2/4,5,7

Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Stinks, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount

3 – DEYEMOND – 2nd race Parability way past Par – +13 Top TOTAL PACE vs experienced

2 – C V HOLLY – highly rated firster with a few back bullets

4 – ROSE OF SAN ANTONE – Track and class dropper on the lead all by myself

5 – LETS SHANCE IT – biggest class drop and also a track dropper

$0.50 Pick 5: 2,3/3,5/4,6/12/1,3,5,9

Race 5: 1 Mile Turf – Off – 1 Mile 70 Yards

3 – GIGI’S WORLD – SIM odds and class drop favors the 3 – much better chance to hit par

5 – WHAT’S TO DO – total pace +9 favors the 5

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 46% w2w – PP: Inside Out

6 – SILVER SYON – SIM FAV, SIM SPEED# AVG +6 and Top TOTAL PACE

4 – OUR JALAPENO – only his 3rd start – off almost a year – was favorite on both starts – horse she lost to in debut came back to win an allowance and non graded stakes

8 – UNBRIDLED INTENT – TLRSP# +3 – maybe 3 – the 6 is a YES and the rest noes

2 – LUNA DIVA – could be on the lead – tough call over the 7  – Z Pattern – better EP/FRACTIONS and the 2nd up

Race 7: 1 Mile Turf – Off – 1 Mile 70 Yards

12 – FRACTURE – at the top of every Smart Sheets Category – off track 4/1-3-0

13 – POETIC WORDS – run back to April 13th at Hindy gives him a shot

4 – STOLEN POWER – somebody has to be 3rd of 3 – tr is 0/13

Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 46% w2w – PP: Inside Out

5 – INFINITE SPEED – absolutely smoked in his last in 3 yo debut – 3f work to stay sharp – sometimes you see good 2 yos struggle at 3 and struggling 2 yos come to life at 3

1 – FOOLS JESTER – getting better by the race and better 5 ways in last

3 – SILVER STERLING – 3rd off the sidelines – resume says +/- a few speed points – lone drop

9 – MOMMAS WISH – is on the pace with a Standout C ZONE at a big price – why not w/ better EP/FRACTIONS and 3rd up

$5 Exacta Key Box: 5/1,3,9

Race 9: 330 Yards

3 – ROCK HARD LOVE

6 – KELLI GIRL

2 – SAUCE C

4 – FLYIN COWGIRL

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