Horseshoe Indianapolis Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Horseshoe Indianapolis Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Horseshoe Indianapolis – 8-06-2024
Race 1
6 – Rigoberto – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today; he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Lighting Fighter – He has finished in the money in three out of her four career races, winning the start and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Tiz Eddie – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, his early speed running style helps chances and Lasix is added.
Longshot:
7 – Costly Pass – He has finished in the money in four out of his last five races, best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
8 – Jenny’s Beignet
Race 2
3 – Me and Chili – He likes Horseshoe Indianapolis finishing in the money in 71% of the races, winning 24% of the starts, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Follow the Money – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer who wins19% of the dirt starts he has a horse running in.
2 – Hobnobin General – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the of the races when taking a horse from Turf to Dirt and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Prince Shim – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and his early speed running style helps chances.
Alternate:
5 – Basscoat
7 – Grand in Bay
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,3,6/1,2,3,6,8,10/7/3,5,6,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
3 – Knight’s Move – He finished 3rd (on AW) in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 17% of the turf starts he has a horse running in and he has a good 4F workout on Jul-30.
2 – Jailhouse Justice – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race and drops in class today.
6 – J’s Naughty Boy – He finished 3rd in his last race, his best turf speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed and he has a good 4F workout on Aug-01.
Longshot:
8 – Humble Warrior – He has finished in the money in two of his last three races and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Indocumentado
Race 4
7 – King Ice – He likes Horseshoe Indianapolis, finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 63% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 80% of the races.
5 – Lambeth – He comes in from Aqueduct to try Horseshoe Indianapolis and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Luna Tap – He comes back to Horseshoe Indianapolis where he won his debut race, drops in class today and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Beyond Best – He finished poorly in his last race after being bumped and impeded at the start, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – West Coast Cruiser
4 – Kitty Hawk
Bet: $24.00 Win: # 7
Race 5 -Female
6 – Werk It Wendy – She won her last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Heaven and Earth – She won her last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and she has a high % winning jockey.
3 – No Laca Charm – She has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Gio’s Baby Girl – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Addicted to Love
$.50 Pick 4: 5,6/4,5,10/5,6,7,8/2,3,9,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 6
5 – Channel Z – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
10 – Executive Power – He ran 5th vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 23% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, drops in class today and breeding suggests he will like the grass as his Dam has 2 winners from 3 starters and 1 Turf winner.
4 – Hero Worship – He drops in class today, he has a trainer who wins 21% of the of the races when taking a horse from Dirt to Turf, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – On Tap – He ran 2nd (on Dirt) in his last race and he has a trainer who wins 17% of the of the races when shipping a horse in to run.
Race 7
8 – Bowstreet – He ran 2nd vs tougher (on AW) in his last race, his early speed running style helps his chances so the shorter distance can help, he has high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a bullet 5F workout on Jul-27.
7 – Sweet as Sin – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Grand Illusion – He is a first-time starter, who has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Shallus – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and can improve while returning to a sprint.
Race 8
11 – Nak Nak Bolt – He drops in class today, can improve while returning to a sprint
and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Campton – He has high % winning trainer and jockey and he has the highest last race speed rating.
2 – Otis On the Cape – He has an early foot so the cutback in distance should help and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Man With the Moves – He drops in class today and he has a trainer who wins 25% of the claiming races he has a horse competing in.
Alternate:
9 – Dossier
1 – Velocimo
Race 9
8 – Relentlessly Special – He has finished in the money in eight career races, winning four of the starts.
6 – Tin Knocker – He has finished in the money in the last four career races, winning one of the starts.
1 – Revvs Cowboy – He has finished in the money in three out his last four races, winning two of the starts.
Longshot:
3 – Thunder Cartel – He is always in the hunt finishing in the money in four out of his last six races and winning one of the races.
Alternate:
4 – Aj Pure Gold
10 – Jla Hide the Shine
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing –4th Race
7 – King Ice
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Penalty Inside Better than Outside
6 – RIGOBERTO – off since May – good works prepping – just needs to run back to his debut
5 – TIZ EDDIE – some early speed with first Lasix, can be a winning combo
2 – HAWKEYE – best chance to go w2w
7 – COSTLY PASS – most upside in the race, runs back 2 races and it’s potentially and easy win
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 28% w2w – PP: Inside 3 the Best, 4-7 Squeezed, 8+ Almost Fair
8 – C. J’S STORM – may not look like it on paper – best chance to go w2w
4 – MANUELITO – most consistent around par for this level
2 – HOBNOBIN GENERAL – chance for major SP# jump in 2nd up – distance is right 6/2-1-2
1 – FOLLOW THE MONEY – should benefit from rail – close enough to pace with a strong C-Zone
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 27% w2w – PP: Rail Stinks, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Almost Fair, 8+ Penalty
2 – JAILHOUSE JUSTICE – drops from a 100K NGSTK where he finished 2nd by a neck – 3rd up – record says this should be a career best outing
3 – KNIGHT’S MOVE – been off since December, works are solid – first up questionable
9 – SOUTH DECATUR – best shot to go w2w – LONE PC -should get a good trip
6 – J’S NAUGHTY BOY – Z Pattern in last – will be closing
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 28% w2w – PP: Inside 3 the Best, 4-7 Squeezed, 8+ Almost Fair
7 – KING ICE – INDY 8/5-3-0 – distance 5/4-1-0
6 – BEYOND BEST – Top TOTAL PACE +9 with substantial LP edge
1 – LUNA TAP – Lone P – drops from a G3 after a dominant debut – decent works prepping
4 – KITTY HAWK – best chance to go w2w – should be better in 2nd up – maybe a lot better
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Penalty Inside Better than Outside
6 – WERK IT WENDY – Top TOTAL PACE +9, wins, wins big or finishes 3rd (2×2)
5 – HEAVEN AND EARTH – a pair of wins and a close enough second in three at INDY – July 9 work of 4f in 46.3 – breezing at INDY says she should be fire today
3 – NO LACA CHARM – it should be fairly contentious to get the lead – so two horses with the most LS
8 – GIO’S BABY GIRL – see above
Race 6: 5 Furlongs Turf – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Small Discount, 8+ Small Bonus
10 – EXECUTIVE POWER – Track dropper and class for Steve Asmussen
8 – COLLATOR – 1st timer ridden by Jaime Torres who has won 32% of his HINDY starts
3 – ON TAP – tough call over the ML fav #5 – but the 5 has had 17 chances to win vs the 3 making only his 4th start and has improved in every race
5 – CHANNEL Z –
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Penalty Inside Better than Outside
8 – BOWSTREET – track dropper that gets to the front and doesn’t give it up?
7 – SWEET AS SIN – just missed at this level last out – finally healthy? Making 2nd start in a row for the first time in 4 races
5 – GRAND ILLUSION – workouts and trainer for a first timer are there – breeding is the ?
3 – JIMMY RULES -2nd race improvement puts him in the mix to win
Race 8: 5 Furlongs Turf – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Small Discount, 8+ Small Bonus
3 – CAMPTON – another track dropper for Steve Asmussen – by far the most consistent in the field first turf start is the question as is the distance – maybe too short
7 – DON’T STOP – possible bounce back race after a rough start in his last – run back to the race prior is better than most in here
2 – OTIS ON THE CAPE – best chance to go w2w
11 – NAK NAK BOLT – not much difference between this and the top 2 – so why not?
Race 9: 350 Yards
Went Straight SIM ODDS – let’s see what happens
3 – THUNDER CARTEL
4 – AJ PURE GOLD
10 – JLA HIDE THE SHINE
2 – BEACH BIKINI
