Horseshoe Indianapolis Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Terry’s Picks:
Horseshoe – Indianapolis – 7-29-2025
Race 1
1 – Jammin Justice – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, he has the highest last race speed rating and he likes the distance.
8 – Playing the Angles – He likes Horseshoe Indianapolis, finishing in the money in 40% of the races, winning 20% of the starts, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Costly Pass – He has a high % winning and jockey and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
4 – Tiz Irish – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, his early speed running style helps his chances and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Machts Nichts
7 – Ease My Mind
Race 2
7 – Wedge – He has won his debut race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a good 4F workout on Jul-17.
6 – Longstrider – He comes in from Churchill Downs to try Horseshoe Indianapolis, drops in class and he has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Q’s Topnotch – He has won his debut race at Churchill Downs, and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
4 – Jr Sunchaser – He another horse who won his debut race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
3 – Dreaming Why
5 – Ashkenazi
1 – It Takes a Cowboy
$1.00 Pick 4: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7/11,12/2,3,9/,8 – Cost $21.00
Race 3
12 – Liquor Talk – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race on the turf, and his best turf speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
11 – Fountain Run – He drops in class today, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 45% of the races when putting blinkers back on a horse and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s.
4 – Money Memolo – He has finished in the money in 50% of his career races, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Incredible – He finished 3rd vs similar (on AW) in his last race, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
13 – Citizen
3 – Mo Town Jazz
Race 4
9 – Our Jalapeno – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 40% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, and he has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Winthorn – He finished 3rd vs similar in his only start at today’s distance.
2 – Unbridled Intent – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 3 winners from 3 starters, Breeding suits today’s sprint distance and his Trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (4 2-1-0).
Longshot:
5 – Fools Jester – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a bullet 5F workout on (Jul-19).
Alternate:
6 – Boss Justice
Race 5
8 – Dirbas – He ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 29% of the races in the 3rd race off a layoff and he has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Gagliardi – He has finished in the money in his last three races, running 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, and he has a high % winning jockey.
9 – Tiz a Showdown – He has finished in the money in 50% of his turf starts winning one of the races and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
11 – Mister Rosso – He finished 3rd in his last four races, and he drops in class.
Alternate:
1 – Train and Trust
12 – Vino Caldo
$.50 Pick 4:1 2,6,8,9,12/5/8,9,10,12/1,4,8,10– Cost $48.00
Race 6
5 – Keg – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Kneedeepjustice – He likes Horseshoe Indianapolis, finishing in the money in 44% of the races, winning 19% of the starts, and he has a high % winning trainer and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
8 – Inclined – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Forever Greedy – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and can improve while returning to a route.
Alternate:
3 – Showdown Justice
4 – Parker
Bet: $20.00 Win & $20.00 Place: 5 – $10.00 Exacta: 5/6,8,9 – $5.00 Exacta Box:5,8,9
Race 7
10 – Jeopardy Theory – He ran 3rd in his last race after an 8-month break from the races, he has done well on the turf during his career finishing in the money in 65% of the races, winning 20% of the starts, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
12 – Passing Judgment – He has finished in the money in six races out of his last nine start, winning three of the races, all on the turf and he has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Uncle John – He has won his last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Askari – He closed to just miss beaten only 3/4 lengths in his last start, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Palm Tree
1 – Covert Law
Race 8-Female
4 – Si O Si – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race on the turf, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – C V Cinnamon Rose– She has finished in the money in two races out of her three starts on the turf.
10 – Estrella Brillante – She ran 3rd in her last start and has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
8 – Tamarac Square – She ran 2nd in her first start on the turf at today’s distance and she has the best turf speed among today’s starters.
Alternate:
2 – Martine – Her Dam has 2 winners from 5 starters and 1 Turf winner, she has a trainer who wins 33% of the races when taking a horse from the Dirt to Turf in the 1st start with this trainer and Lasix is added.
6 – Julee Forever
Race 9
8 – Authentyc – She has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and she has a high % winning jockey.
5 – James Bonde – He has finished in the money in two races of his last three starts, winning one of the races, and he likes the distance.
4 – Sashay Lightz – She has finished in the money in 40% of her career races and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
7 – Ap Tempting Blue Eye – She ran 3rd in her last race.
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 6th Race – #5 – Keg
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Edge, 4+ Discount
1 – JAMMIN JUSTICE – TLRSP# +20 but not too much a peak race – some regression likely- but maybe not enough for the rest to overcome
8 – PLAYING THE ANGLES – lone closer v a field that wants to be middle forward, C-ZONE says the tortoise might run down the rabbits – lowest level of career
7 – EASE MY MIND – she be out front with the 1 with the Top TOTAL PACE –
5 – COSTLY PASS – YES horse and his last race is better than it looks – fractions better
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Outside In
5 – ASHKENAZI – track dropper claimed from Wesley Ward – you know she can fly – TLRSP+12
2 – Q’S TOPNOTCH – easy win in debut – most 2nd race upside
7 – WEDGE – another 2nd race improvement with 2nd most upside
6 – LONGSTRIDER – ML FAV – track dropper and major class drop – but not sure she likes HINDY – Churchill works are sharp, Indy works – I might be faster
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,5/3,8,11,12/2,9,11/1,2,8,9
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Closers, 15% w2w – PP: Rail Stinks, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Best
12 – LIQUOR TALK – Top C ZONE – moving up speed ladder
11 – FOUNTAIN RUN – Top PAR+ – Better EP and Fractions drops –
3 – MO TOWN JAZZ – consistent and makes 3rd up start – should show improvement
8 – KARADIA – makes 3rd start in a row for the 1st time – Z Pattern and getting better – maintenance work
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 3,8,11,12
Race 4: 5 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 52% w2w – Outside In, but Rail Better than 2/3
11 – LIL CHANCE – all Noes with a pair of 2nd race PARABILITES with eh upside – highest rated first timer with a back bullet in June 21 – HINDY 4f in 47.3
9 – OUR JALAPENO – first of the 2nd race parability types – was the 5/2 FAV on debut
2 – UNBRIDLED INTENT – 2nd rated first timer – solid works
3 – WINTHORN – the other 2nd race parability horse – speed and fade in debut – more stamina today
$10 Win: 11
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,3,9,11
Race 5: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Closers, 17% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 1-7 All Bonus, 8+ Stinks
8 – DIRBAS – TLRSP#+3 – room to be better in 3rd up – big pop in last 3rd up
1 – TRAIN AND TRUST – biggest class dropper – track dropper – resume says better in 2nd up
2 – GAGLIARDI – very consistent – should be well placed with inside draw
9 – TIZ A SHOWDOWN – most of his turf races good enough to figure here – smoked the comp the last time he came off the bench
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,8,9/5,6,8/4,12/1,3,6,10
Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Tough, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Best, 8+ just 1 – was yesterday
5 – KEG – missed by a neck in last w/ TLRSP#+ 3 – much better final time with LS surge
8 – INCLINED – no doubt will be closing – better MID and LP in last – more distance – 3rd up with maintenance work – beat the 9 both times they met
6 – FOREVER GREEDY – Top PAR+ Horse that drops and gets the Top Jockey
9 – KNEEDEEPJUSTICE – mentioned that he’s finished behind the 8 twice – but Top TOTAL PACE of a length
Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Closers, 15% w2w – PP: Rail Stinks, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Best
12 – PASSING JUDGMENT – SIM FAV – strong PAR+ – better EP and FRACTIONS in last and should be better in 2nd up – a neck from being undefeated in 2 at HINDY
4 – PALM TREE – TOP PAR+ and Top TOTAL PACE tie with the 11 – most back class – tough start in last – way out of character – better start = better finish in 2nd up
8 – UNCLE JOHN – smoked around the track last out in first at HINDY – will look to go gate to wire – should be as good maybe better in 2nd up
1 – COVERT LAW – Post sucks – but been racing against better – class and track dropper
$10 Win: 12
$5 Exacta Key Box: 12/1,4,8,10
Race 8: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Closers, 17% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 1-7 All Bonus, 8+ Stinks
10 – ESTRELLA BRILLANTE – TLRSP#+ 8 – Top TOTAL PACE +10 – by far Top PAR+
6 – JULEE FOREVER – strange rise in class – but could be out on the lead by herself and along with the 10 – only YES horses
1 – C V CINNAMON ROSE – getting better before heading to break – best races on turf and gets rail – better LP and strong PAR+ – SIM ODDS and reasonable TOTAL PACE
3 – CHELLE SHOCKED – longshot – first on grass – jockey and trainer have positive ROI – killer ROI on grass – +4.93 and win at 27% together – why not?
Race 9: 250 YARDS
8 – AUTHENTYC
9 – CASHN FOR THE CARTEL
1 – SHIRLEY TWO FOUR
3 – MAGNUM BEACH