Horseshoe Indianapolis Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Horseshoe Indianapolis on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Presque Isle Downs
Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks and Commentary
Charming Charles’ Choices
1. 1,2,8,4
2. 4,2,3,8
3. 6,3,4,7
4. 11,10,7,5
5. 2,6,9,8
6. 11,7,2,5
7. 3,2,5,10
8. 4,8,5,7
9. 7,9,3,5
PLAYS
Race 1: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
7 – FLAT OUT FREDA – only straight MSW dropper, has some back speed and bullet work between races – distance 6/0-4-0 – graduates at a price today
1 – GHOST BIKE – class dropper with some EP – was better in opening half last out, likely to be better in round two off the bench
4 – CAMBIASO – top C-Zone by a long shot, fair odds and class dropper in Charles’ fav 3rd up
8 – VERSATILE -hard call over the rest, but good combo of EP, C-Zone and ran 2 seconds faster last out and making third start after a layoff
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 1,7/2,3,4,8
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Heavily Dinged
3 – AZURITA – +8 EP/LP edge, big overlay, TLRSP#, 3SP# increases, beat open company in last, back to state breds
2 – MI ESTRELLA – winner 4 in a row, off since October, plenty of workouts and the last was fast – finished 2nd by 2 the last time she was off this long
4 – SMOOTH JUSTICE – big class drop, so big it’s suspicious, especially since she ran better fractions at 6f v 5 ½ and is making 3d start after a layoff, 29% for tr Randy Klopp
8 – NIGHTTIME JUSTICE – been off since October too, the series of works getting prepped have been exceptional
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,3,4,8
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Heavily Dinged
3 – TAPADERA – better fractions last out, down in class in 3rd off the break, tr Randy Klopp 30% with 1st time claimers
4 – MIKIE O’PRADO – kind of odd choice by tr Genro Garcia here, moving up in class after finishing third in last – fractions were faster – maybe he saw something in unpublished works
8 – BEAR FORCE – TLRSP# and significantly improved in only other 2nd off the bench race
6 – OVERTHETOPJUSTICE – biggest class dropper, tends to run well off the bench, but he’s been off for almost a year to the day – works are OK but spaced out
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4,8/3,4/3,4,6,7,8
Race 4: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Stalkers – 28% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Edge
5 – BIRDSOFAFEATHER – making 2nd start, was decently bet in debut, most upside potential
7 – SINGLE HER – lone turf race maybe good enough to get it done here, probably on the lead with strong C-Zone
11 – SHARON’S GREY HOPE – faster fractions, closed in both sprint races – going long and grass for the first time, distance should help, outside post isn’t as hurtful as a closer
10 – GOLDEN HEIST – TLRSP# – could add to it in 3rd after a layoff, concern is she wants to be forward with plenty of pace inside her
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,7,11/5,7/5,7,8,10,11
Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 36% w2w – PP: Strong Outside In Bias
2 – ZAPPINIT –dropping from a 100K NGST where he was 2nd by just ¾ length
6 – DEALER – TLRSP# back in October, some nice works, especially like the May 3rd
9 – CHISEL – debut -yes, follow up – no, early fractions might have been too fast in last? Bounce back or more regression – roll of the dice
8 – LEO’S ROAR – strongest SIM combo of overlay, ES and C-Zone, but man those fractions were slow last out in maiden win in 6th try
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 5: 2,6/3,5,7,10/3,8,12/4,5,8,11/7
Race 6: 1 1 /16 Miles Turf – Bias: 8 races 50/50 – 1 w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, maybe discount 2/3
7 – WE STORM – well bet in GP debut, strong effort, tr Jonathan Thomas at Hindy 11/4-4-1, winner 27% in 2nd career race
11 – TAPTHEDRUM – Chris P angle times 2, finished 2nd in both races, will be closing
3 – PITAGORE – maybe lost debut by going wide on first turn, ran a Z pattern and has top turf pedigree score
5 – QAADER – tough call over the 10/8… but been running versus better, TLRSP and drops, at times shows brilliant LP
Suggested Wager: $1 Pick 4: 7/3,8/4,8/7
Race 7: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Stalkers – 28% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Edge
3 – WING COMMANDER – dropping off the win, but the purse money is there – 2/2 on INDY Turf
8 – TAKAFUMI – consistent performer – faster by three seconds last out – upgrades to top jockey – why?
12 – TROUBLED JUSTICE – all or nothing horse in career, 8/3-0-0, but those three are three for three at 1 mile on HINDY grass – all with Sammy Bermudez riding like today – been off since last August
2 – GRACEFUL KITTEN – TLRSP# in first on HINDY turf, Horse for the course? Barn is as cold as it gets 0-40 in 2023
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,8,12/3,8/2,3,8,10,12
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Heavily Dinged
4 – BETCHA – big step up in class, almost doesn’t make sense, but loves her some Indy, 23/8-3-3 and then the May 25th work, 4f in 46.3 – that’s damn near an actual race time
8 – HUNGARIAN PRINCESS – HINDY 14/7-5-0, Distance 8/5-3-0, been off since September, good works and an won this race last year with a similar break – not thrilled with post
5 – FOREVER NOTED – just won at this level and ran about a second faster and maybe better in 3rd up
11 – LIL EVIE – TLRSP# – aside from the 4, by a wide margin over the rest, 3rd up, but outside post hurts
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5,8/4,8/4,5,7,8,11
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Heavily Dinged
7 – MR CHAOS – been off since October, but the workouts have been just too good – distance 3/3-0-0
9 – TOO BAD JUSTICE – TLRPS#, but hasn’t been able to catch the 7 the two times they met
1 – MAX EXPRESS – going to take a flyer here, has a win over MR CHAOS – last race was bad, no other way to put it but tends to make major strides in round twos after layoffs
8 – TAY – BTN FAV in last, speed, two strong works since, should have more stamina today
Race 10: 330 Yards
7 – KVN QUEEN
10 – CV APOLITICAL CHICK
9 – MY LTTLE STAR
2 – MIRI V
