Horseshoe Indianapolis Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks
Free PARX Racing Picks:
Horseshoe Indianapolis -5-07-25
Race 1–
4 – East From West – He has a trainer who wins 26% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes, he has a high % winning jockey and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
1 – Egyptian King – He was beaten only 2-lengths vs similar (on AW) in last start, he has the highest last race speed rating and trainer who wins 18% of the races when shipping a horse in to run.
7 – Roundball Rock – He can improve while trying dirt, drops in class today and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
6 – Permit to Carry – He has finished in the money in three races out of six starts at Horseshoe Indianapolis and he has a trainer who wins 22% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes.
Alternate:
5 – Cheesesteak
2 – Odorico
Race 2
4 – Little Jake – He ran 2nd in his last race, he has a trainer who wins 23% of the Allowance races he has a horse running in and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Concentration – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to a route and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Adios Ashwood – He finished 5th in his last race after having trouble during the race and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Nine Questions – He won his last race and he has a high % winning trainer, Lasix is added and he has a bullet 4F workout on May-01.
Alternate:
3 – Special Creed
6 – Bout Tree Fiddy
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,5/2,5/1,4,5,6/3,4,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
5 – Bajan Sun – He won his debut race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, switches to a high % winning jockey and he has a good 4F workout on May-01.
2 – Win Me Over – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, he has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is close to the avg winning speed.
3 – C. J’s Storm – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Big Hammer – He drops in class today, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the races when shipping a horse in to run and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Sound Doctrine
7 – Leo Springs
Race 4–
4 – Jailhouse Justice – He finished 3rd in his last race and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Knight’s Move – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the allowance races she has a horse running in and his best turf speed is close to the avg winning speed.
5 – Looking Good Lewis – He likes the turf and he has some good workouts.
Longshot:
1 – Theo’s Promise – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Theo’s Promise
2 – Sargent Hulka
Race 5-Female
9 – Captive Heart – She comes in from Oaklawn Park and drops in class today, she can handle the distance, she has a high % winning trainer and she has a bullet 5F workout on Apr-26.
4 – Closer Tothe Truth – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Perfect Manhattan – She has finished in the money in two races out of three starts, winning one of the races and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 35% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes.
Longshot:
2 – Retail Therapy – She has finished in the money in five races out of six starts, winning one of the races and she drops in class today.
Alternate:
1 – Sally Bali
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,9/2,5,11,12/4,9/4,6,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 6
12 – Purdy Darn Good – He finished 3rd in his last race at Turfway Park, may improve while trying grass as his Dam has 3 winners from 7 starters and 1 Turf winner and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
11 – Karadia – He won his debut race, went to try Kentucky Downs without success and now returns and drops in class today.
5 – Gamblin George – He finished 4th in his last race after having trouble during the race and he can handle today’s distance.
Longshot:
2 – Money Memolo – He has finished in the money in five races out of ten career starts and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
8 – Diver
Race 7-Female
9 – Palm Desert – She ran 2nd vs similar in only start at Churchill Downs, she has the highest last race speed rating, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a good 4F workout on Apr-27.
4 – M’Lady Sansa – She ran 2nd vs similar in last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
8 – Don’t Call Me Babe – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races when taking a horse from an AW surface to a to dirt surface.
Longshot:
10 – Rachel Jean – She is a first-time starter whose Sire wins 17% with 1st time Starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Elevated Power
Race 8
4 – Gewurztraminer – He has finished in the money in four races out of five starts at Horseshoe Indianapolis and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Azoi – He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and he has a high % winning trainer.
10 – Saint in the City – He drops in class today, he has a high % winning jockey and he has a bullet 5F workout on Apr-29.
Longshot:
12 – River Redemption – He has won two races out of his last four starts finishing 3rd (on AW) in last race, he can improve while returning to Turf and he can handle the distance.
Alternate:
5 – Underdressed
Bet: $15.00 Win & $25.00 Place: 4 – $5.00 Exacta: 5,6,10,12/4 – $10.00 Exacta: 4/5,6,10,12
Race 9–
8 – Nachor Secret– He has finished in the money in nine races out of ten career starts at Horseshoe Indianapolis, winning five starts.
5 – Cisco Beach – He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and he has a good jockey.
7 – Tachas Secret – He has finished in the money in five races out of her last six starts at Horseshoe Indianapolis, winning three starts.
Longshot:
3 – Streakindownthebeach – He ran 2nd in his last start and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
2 – Dupont Beach
1 – Priddy Fabulous
Best Bet of the Day at Churchill Downs – 8th Race – #4 – Gewurztraminer
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile – Bias: 5 Races, Early Speed, 1 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ None
4 – EAST FROM WEST – 3SP# increases – better ATB – should be forward
1 – EGYPTIAN KING – Top TOTAL PACE horse, better fractions
5 – CHEESESTEAK – SIM FAV – chance to be better in the 2nd up
6 – PERMIT TO CARRY – going to be pacesetter – with top C-Zone – why not at a price in this field?
Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: 5 Races, Early Speed, 1 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ None
3 – SPECIAL CREED – fairly big ES edge – almost 3 lengths – might be too much to catch
4 – LITTLE JAKE – been off since November, strong last work prepping
1 – CONCENTRATION – ITM 8/9 at HINDY – should be better in 2nd up
2 – ADIOS ASHWOOD – SIM FAV – Top TOTAL PACE with a 1 ½ Length LS edge
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Hit Hard
5 – BAJAN SUN – 2nd race improvement would be more than enough
2 – WIN ME OVER – SIM FAV – with a good chance in second start off the sidelines
6 – SOUND DOCTRINE – going to be on the lead and resume says big pop in 2nd up
4 – BIG HAMMER – biggest class dropper – better EP and Fractions
Race 4: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: No Races
5 – LOOKING GOOD LEWIS – SIM FAV w/ by far best C-ZONE – if speed wins…
4 – JAILHOUSE JUSTICE – turf is the right surface – ITM 5/6 on HINDY GRASS
6 – KNIGHT’S MOVE – biggest in race edge – 1 ½ Length LS and Top TOTAL PACE edges
1 – THEO’S PROMISE – biggest class dropper – been off since Oct 26 – good works
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Hit Hard
3 – PERFECT MANHATTAN – SIM FAV – Lone E – pacesetter –
4 – CLOSER TOTHE TRUTH – CV hints at major upside in 2nd off the bench – almost 2 length LS edge
9 – CAPTIVE HEART – most upside potential in the race as a track dropper – decent works
2 – RETAIL THERAPY – hard call over the 1 – more forward with better LP
Race 6: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: No Races
9 – OH PLEASE – Tied for SIM FAV – Biggest Class Dropper – 3.4 lengths –
11 – KARADIA – been off a long tome – going to be on the lead – most upside in only 3rd race
5 – GAMBLIN GEORGE – top turf pedigree – first up record is spotty
8 – DIVER – AW record says yes – lone race on turf – not so much – has a par run
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Hit Hard
9 – PALM DESERT – track dropper – great work between races – 2nd race improvement
6 – GREELY’S GOLD – first time starter – 2.89/3 with great works
8 – DON’T CALL ME BABE – 3 of 5 races above PAR – any of them works – Top C ZONE
10 – RACHEL JEAN – another first timer – 2.76/3 with good works
Race 8: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: No Races
4 – GEWURZTRAMINER – TLRSP#+7 – SIM FAV – Top TOTAL PACE almost 2 lengths
12 – RIVER REDEMPTION – ITM 7/7 on HINDY turf – 12/13 overall
6 – AZOI – track dropper – missed by a beck in only grass go
10 – SAINT IN THE CITY – tough call over the 5 – but biggest class dropper
5 – UNDERDRESSED
Race 9: 350 Yards
8 – NACHOR SECRET
7 – TACHAS SECRET
5 – CISCO BEACH
2 – DUPONT BEACH
