Horseshoe Indianapolis Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Parx on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Thistledown
Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks and Plays
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
4 – On the Raydar – He finished 3rd in his last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 25% of races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
7 – Run Away Rojo – He won his last race, has the highest last race speed rating, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a good 4F workout on May-08.
2 – Mr Murgo – He comes in from Tampa Bay Downs to try Horseshoe Indianapolis, has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the sprint races he has an entry in and has a bullet 3f workout on May 03.
Longshot:
1 – For Mama – He has finished in the money in four out of six starts at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has a trainer who wins 17% of the dirt races he has an entry in.
Alternate:
3 – Scooteranddabigman
Bet: $1.00 DD: 4,7/2,4,5,7
Race 2
4 – Gus Gus – He drops in class today and can improve at the shorter distance.
7 – Neoking – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race.
5 – Breakout Star – He drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating, returning to dirt may help and he has a trainer who wins 35% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden to a maiden claiming race.
Longshot:
2 – Hindostain Falls – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
6 – Small Sailor
3 – Full Mag
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race # 2,4,5,7 – 3rd race # 8,10 – 4th race #2,3 – 5th #3,4,8,10
Race 3
10 – America Rules – She ran 2nd in her last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Shesacleverjustice – She drops in class today and she has a trainer who wins 17% of the races when taking a horse from the dirt to the turf, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a good 4F workout on May-05.
1 – No Trust – She drops in class today and she has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
4 – Corima – She has finished in the money in her last three races at Horseshoe Indianapolis, winning one of the races and returning to the Turf may help.
Alternate:
9 – Nora’s Star
3 – Bickerments
Bet: None
Race 4
3 – Golddiggendevil – He won his maiden race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has a high % winning a trainer.
2 – Chise – He won his debut race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, and he has a trainer who wins 20% of the sprints races he has an entry in.
4 – C. J’s Storm – He was beaten only 2- lengths vs similar in his last start, switches to a high % winning jockey, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-0-1).
Longshot:
6 – Almightyjustice – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, and he has a trainer who wins 19% of the sprints races he has an entry in.
Alternate:
7 – Oh So Social
5 – Tapadera
$5.00 Exacta Box 2-3
Race 5
4 – Ghost Coast – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Double Barrel – His breeding suggests he will like the grass, his Dam has 3 winners from 5 starters and 2 Turf winners and has a trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-1-1).
10 – Bee Well – He drops in class today, is eligible to improve in 3rd start since layoff and his best turf speed is faster than the avg winning speed.
Longshot:
11 – Truly Quality – He is a first-time starter, has a trainer who in the last 14 days, has won two out of four races and has a good 4F workout on May-10.
Alternate:
6 – Son of Thunder
12 – Winston Wolf
Bet: – $.50 Pick 5 – 5th race # 3,4,10,11– 6th race # 2 – 7th race # 1,2,6,8 – 8th race #5 – 9th #5,8,10
Race 6
2 – Good Forever – He has finished in the money in six out of seven career races at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has a high % winning trainer and jockey who in the last 14 days has this record (9 3-4-1).
7 – Butch’s Best – He has finished in the money in three out of four career races at Horseshoe Indianapolis, finishing 3rd in his last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 24% of races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
9 – Creme Caramel – He has won two out of the three career races, he can improve at the shorter distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has a good 4F workout on May-11.
Longshot:
12 – Looking Good Lewis – He won his debut race on a good track and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
8 – Solar Power
3 – Rock the Red
Bet: $6.00 Win: #2 – $.50 Pick 4 – 7th race # 2 – 8th race # 1,2,6,8 – 9th race #5 – 10th #4,5,8,10
Race 7
6 – Safeen – She has finished in the money in all four of her career races at three different tracks, winning one of the starts and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
1 – Mrs. Astor – She ran 2nd in her last race, the rail post is winning at 25% clip, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and the trainer in the last 14 days has this record (4 2-0-1).
2 – Capella – She has won two out of four career races, drops in class today and has a good 4F workout on May-06.
Longshot:
8 – Erna – She finished in the money in 100% of her races at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has won 50% of the races at today’s distance.
Alternate:
3 – Work of Fiction
4 – Mohawk Trail
Bet: None
Race 8
5 – Dude N Colorado – He comes in from Keenland, drops in class today, is trained by Todd Pletcher won wins 24% of the races when shipping a horse in to compete and is ridden by Irad Ortiz Jr.
1 – Wadsworth – He drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating and the rail post is winning at 25% clip.
9 – Ocean Pointe – He has finished in the money in his last four races, winning two of the starts and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
8 – Midnight Rising – He finished 3rd in his last race.
Alternate:
7 – Worthington
11 – Gigante
Bet: $10.00 Win: #5
Race 9
8 – Imagine the Moon – She has won two races in a row and now is going for a hat trick and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
10 – Brittanysgldnfaith – She is a closer who has finished in the money in four out of five career races, winning two races and has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Forever Noted – She won her last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
4 – Wildcatjustice – She finished 3rd in her last race and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Tizzy Jojo
1 – Dulce Victoria
Bet: None
Race 10
7 – Party Hounds – He finished 3rd in his last race.
4 – Aprollific Jess – He finished 3rd in his last race and the shorter distance may help.
6 – What a Bd – He was shut off and taken up at the 1/16 with a cleaner start may finish better.
Longshot:
2 – Lonnie James – He has finished in the money in three out of nine career races.
Alternate:
11 – Ivory Six Pax
3 – High Weeds
Bet: None
Race 11
8 – Eagle Flybye – He has a bullet workout on April 13th and has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Dna Jess Plain Bill – He has two good workouts in a row.
4 – Trixs Are for Kids – He has a high % winning trainer and good workouts.
Longshot:
6 – Im Jess a Belle – He has a good workout on April 20th and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
2 – Dupont Beach
3 – Hh Hidden Treasure
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: 3/7 w2w – the rest off the pace – PP: Strong Rail and Inside Out, None 8+
7 – RUN AWAY ROJO – coming off the maiden win with TLRSP#, stronger 2/4 pace#s, major jump in 2nd career effort
4 – ON THE RAYDAR – stronger early in 1st up, second off the bench record is spotty, +10 EP/LP
2 – MR MURGO – ships in from TAM/GP – Bullet and Go in lone Indy work – maybe we’ll find it he is a horse for the course
3 – SCOOTERANDDABIGMAN – expecting more in round two off the bench, strong works between races and huge jump in 2nd career effort
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,4,7/4,7/1,2,3,4,7
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: 3/7 w2w – the rest off the pace – PP: Strong Rail and Inside Out, None 8+
5 – BREAKOUT STAR – straight MSW dropper, the only one in the field
3 – FULL MAG – class dropper, last was better than it looks with better fractions through the first ½ mile
6 – SMALL SAILOR – has a +7 EP edge, 3rd start after a layoff and gets a weight break today – big price
4 – GUS GUS – drops in class in 1st up after a brief rest, works have been blah, gets a weight break
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5,6/3,5/2,3,4,5,6
Race 3: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: 1 Race – Won By a Closer from 8+
8 – SHESACLEVERJUSTICE – been off since October, runs well off the bench, decent works between races
1 – NO TRUST – been running at higher levels, but not winning including two at Indy
9 – NORA’S STAR – her two races on grass would be good enough to win here and gets a weight break – top C-Zone
10 – AMERICA RULES – lone turf run didn’t go well, but off track record still suggests she should take to grass well
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,8,9/1,8/1,4,8,9,10
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: 3/7 w2w – the rest off the pace – PP: Strong Rail and Inside Out, None 8+
3 – GOLDDIGGENDEVIL – got past a funky start in his debut and still won by more than 5 lengths – 1 of two 4 year olds
2 – CHISEL – won his debut with a Z pattern
4 – C. J’S STORM – ran a little faster in her last effort, could be better in round two off the bench and gets a weight break
7 – OH SO SOCIAL – TLRSP#, resume says he should be as good in 2nd up, strong chance to be on the lead
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3/2,3,4/2,3,4,5,7
Race 5: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Early Speed – 27% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3 Bias, Inside Out
10 – BEE WELL – ran in MSW at Keeneland – should be better in 3rd up, was better ATB in last
6 – SON OF THUNDER – TLRSP# in 100K MSW in same Keeneland – both of his Turf tries were his best two
4 – GHOST COAST – Chris P angle, finished 2nd in last on MOC 50K at GP, four good works since
3 – DOUBLE BARREL – top pedigree# in the field, 2nd start and going long for the 1st time, two good works including a bullet and go, tr Brad Cox 30% first route
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 5: 3,4,6,10/2,9/1,2,6/1,5,7/2,8
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Strong Outside In Bias
9 – BRUSTER JUSTICE – BTN FAV after getting off to an awkward start – been off since NOV, some good works getting prepped
2 – GOOD FOREVER – is not all that far from winning 6 of 7 career races – distance 3/0-3-0
4 – SPOTONJUSTICE – all or nothing type 5/2-0-0, one of those wins at this level, super fast work between race 3f in 34.4
8 – SOLAR POWER – might have wanted to rank higher, but been off since late October when he finished behind the 2 and 4, only 1 really good work getting ready
Race 7: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Early Speed – 27% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3 Bias, Inside Out
2 – CAPELLA – TLRSP#, making first grass run, 2 for 2 on all-weather says she should be up for it
1 – MRS. ASTOR – upped SP# in all three after debut, will be strolling late
6 – SAFEEN – faded late in last to finish right behind MRS ASTOR In her last, tie top C-Zone score, if she is more fit today, might not give it up late
8 – ERNA – beat MRS ASTOR to collect the maiden win at GP, hasn’t run a bad race in four
Race 8: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Early Speed – 27% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3 Bias, Inside Out
1 – WADSWORTH – Brad Cox horse trying grass for the first time with a strong AW record
5 – DUDE N COLORADO – is dropping in class but has been regressing in last two, lone work between race was OK, hope for a bounce back rests on better 2/4f times at 1 1/16 v 1mile
7 – WORTHINGTON – lone PC type, never ran OTM in grass 4/2-0-2, first Lasix helps here
9 – OCEAN POINTE – tough call over the 8, but did beat him when they met on March 25 at Turfway
Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Strong Outside In Bias
8 – IMAGINE THE MOON – won his last two, one the sidelines since late Oct – Bullet and Go – 3f in 35
2 – TIZZY JOJO – missed as the 4/5 BTN FAV in last, tr Tim Eggleston rebounded in 5/12 next our and CV says a better race is on tap today
10 – BRITTANYSGLDNFAITH – outside post should help, but did lose convincingly versus top two picks when they met
5 – FOREVER NOTED – MSW win in last, better ATB but fractions were a little duller, maybe upswing in 2nd off the break
Race 10: 330 Yards
11 – IVORY SIX PAX
7 – PARTY HOUNDS
2 – LONNIE JAMES
10 – CREDIBLE
3 – HIGH WEEDS
Race 11: 250 Yards
5 – DNA JESS PLAIN BILL
2 – DUPONT BEACH
10 – AP TEMPTING SICARIA
4 – TRIXS ARE FOR KIDS
8 – EAGLE FLYBYE
