Horseshoe Indianapolis Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Horseshoe Indianapolis on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Finger Lakes
Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks and Commentary
Charming Charles’ Choices
1. 7,6,4,2
2. 1,3 6,4
3. 1,3,6,4
4. 2,6,3,5
5. 2,10,7,8
6. 11,1,8,5
7. 7,4,3,9
8. 2,1,10,11
9. 8,3,9,4
PLAYS
Race 1: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – PP: Fair
7 – NO JOKING MATTER – MSW dropper with an aggressive EP edge
6 – VALINE – off since September, MSW dropper too, some decent May works at Indy
2 – LIZZSAIDNO – tied for the TLRSP# and small drop from MCL 12.5, third off a layoff
5 – FAR’S LAST ONE – top overlay according to SIM – maybe better in 2nd up
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 5: 7/1,2,6/1,3,6/3,6/2,8
Race 2: 5 Furlongs – Bias: 6 Races – 100 Speed 3 w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ No Wins
1 – APRIL CLOVER – CD dropper that should have the early race edge
6 – CROWN IMPERIAL – that last work at Keeneland was legit 4f in 48 – weight break should help keep speed longer
2 – BEST CUPCAKE – might have the best works of all the first timers, one of two March horses, rest are April
3 – HEAVENLY DREAM – Chris P angle, consistent from start to finish in debut – the other March horse
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,6/1,2,6/1,2,3,4,6
Race 3: 6 Furlongs- Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: 1-3 Small Discount, 4-7 little Bonus, 8+ Major Ding
3 – SPLASH OF TONIC – upped SP# in last two, a little better fractions last out, dropping off a win
1 – TRIBAL SPIRIT – third off the break and track dropper from CD and OP
6 – DALTON’S LOVE – flipping from turf to dirt – tr Jeffrey Greenhill winner 23% vs 8% overall, lone win for this horse came after turf to dirt switch – small drop
4 – SECOND EXCHANGE – probably should have put her third, distance 9/1-0-7, nice work between races
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,6/1,3,6/1,3,4,6,7
Race 4: 6 Furlongs- Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: 1-3 Small Discount, 4-7 little Bonus, 8+ Major Ding
6 – METALLIC MAN – won last two in a big way with better fractions and third off the break
3 – LORD BARNA – top jockey Marcelino Pedroza gets off the 1 to ride TB invader, TLRSP#
5 – FENESTRA – can’t ignore SIM EP and C-Zone
2 – TWO WORLDS – tough call over the 7 and 1, probably the most consistent horse in the field, runs OK fresh
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,6/3,5,6/1,2,3,5,6
Race 5: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Big Ding
2 – MOMS MOON – pretty significant drop in class, last race 2/4f pace #s and fractions much better
8 – UNDISMAYED – has a +11 EP/LP edge over the rest, can’t pass what you can’t catch
6 – SILENT SONATA – two trips on Indy turf – finished behind winner by 1 ¾ lengths in both, weight break today could be the difference
10 – MOON MISCHIEF – top turf Pedigree by a decent margin – one for one on Indy turf
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 5: 2,8/1,3,5,8,10/4,5,7/1/4,7
Race 6: 6 Furlongs- Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: 1-3 Small Discount, 4-7 little Bonus, 8+ Major Ding
1 – GIRLS ARE TUFFER – Tie TLRSP# in 100k NGSTK – better fractions by about a half a second,, 3rd off a layoff 28% for tr Jeffrey Greenhill vs 9% overall
5 – ENCHANTED MELODY – best workouts for the 1st time starters, last was really sharp, 4f in 47.2
10 – UNBRIDLED DEVINE – would rank higher if not for the tough post position – other to tie for TLRSP# and has a bullet work since – Lone PC
8 – FOREVER BLESSED – well bet in debut, best published work since – expecting improvement today
3 – E Z AVENUE – curious why the top jockey is riding this one?
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,5/1,5,10/1,3,5,8,10
Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 5 Races – Stalkers/Closers – 0 w2w – PP: None from rail, 2/3 Penalty, 4-7 Best, 8+ Fair
4 – FRENCH CUFFS – HINDY grass 5/0-4-0, considerably better pace#s and fractions ATB in last
5 – HABUIAH – terrible start in last, but still managed to run career best SP#, HINDY Turf 4/2-1-1 – just a head away from winning three of the four – better start all that’s needed here
7 – JENNY LIND – Steve Asmussen horse, entered 7 so far at Hindy 7/4-0-3 – placing them right
2 – HELENS WELL – head scratcher for me – what’s this horse doing here? Was running in graded stakes including the Breeders’ Cup
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5,7/4,5,7/2,4,5,6,7
Race 8: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Big Ding
1 – OUT OF PROMISES – power move late in debut – a lot going on here, dirt to turf, 1st route – but tr John Langemeier winner 3/8 fist turf, 4/10 first route and 5/15 dirt to turf
2 – SHESACLEVERJUSTICE – could be better in round two off the bench, significant early improvement in last and usually has some late run
11 – PANTALONES ENFUEGO – significant overlay, tie top C-Zone, should be forwardly placed in race filled with closers
9 – BICKERMENTS – better ATB in last with some faster fractions, 2/2 with #2 in four heads up, potential for more in third off the bench
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 1/2,4,7,8
Race 9: 6 Furlongs- Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: 1-3 Small Discount, 4-7 little Bonus, 8+ Major Ding
7 – BATIBAT – banking on April 19th work at Indy – 4f on 47.1 – fastest of 32
4 – TRYINFORJUSTICE – been off for almost 2 years – last 4 works getting prepped to return are very good
8 – DABNEY – going to be heavy favorite? But barn is cold – O for 17 in 2023
2 – RAISE N PRAISE – another 1st time with a decent string of work – same cold barn at the 8 – maybe on of the two run ITM or possibly win
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,7/4,7,8/2,4,7,8,9
Race 10: 330 Yards
1 – ENCOREITA
3 – MOONLIGHT LADY
7 – D LATTE
8 – LETHAL WAGON
9 – BEACH SHAKER
13 – HAZEL
