Horseshoe Indianapolis Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Horseshoe Indy Picks and Plays
Charming Charles’ Choices
1. 1,6,4,5
2. 2,4,3,5
3. 5,6,4,7
4. 1,2,6,8
5. 2,10,3,6
6. 4,1,8,5
7. 5,4,8,9
8. 7,1,8,11
9. 12,4,8,7
Plays
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 33% w2w – PP: Rails Stinks – Outside In Bias
3 – BEAR FORCE – has the top MSW win, been off since November, works are OK getting ready
1 – BRENTSPENCE – TLRSP#, much better 2/4f #s in last, better in 2nd up, Indy 6/1-2-2, but rail stinks
4 – TOUR THE MOON – been facing stronger competition, improved pace#s ATB, potentially more in round two off the bench
6 – WHERE’S MOE coming off the MCL 12.5k win, should be forwardly places with weight break
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3/1,3,4/1,3,4,6
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Only 2 Races. Both Closers, 1 From Rail, 1 From 4-7
1 – CARIMBA – was off for more than a year came back to win with ease
6 – POETIC VERSE – fast track 7/5-0-0, tie TLRSP# – w2w with ease in 1st up, record says 2nd up is usually better
4 – CHANDANA – been off since October and the workouts are good, bullet and go, Indy 14/6-5-1
3 – SPEEDY DELIVERY – overlay with a solid chance to be forwardly placed
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,6/2,4,6/2,3,4,5,6
Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 33% w2w – PP: Rails Stinks – Outside In Bias
6 – KEEN ICE SIGHT – TLRSP# – maybe better in 2nd up, quick turnaround, ran 8 days ago – BM Alpha Angle
5 – BLUE GRASS ANNA – won first at Indy with ease, moving up in class after slowinsh fractions
7 – SHADOW BELLE – 2 for 2 on a fast track and both at Indy, nearly w2w in Both
4 – FLAT DISCOUNT – distance 5/4-0-1, DeShawn Parker riding so you know he’ll get her off to a good start
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,6,7/5,6/2,4,5,6,7
Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 33% w2w – PP: Rails Stinks – Outside In Bias
5 – ORO AZTECA – good class drop , last race was better than in looks with better #s ATB in 1st off the bench
8 – MUSIC TO MY EARS – winner 11/23 at Indy, been off since Jan, 25f works since
1 – METALLIC MAN – won last by 7 ½ lengths with TLRPS#, up in class round 2 off the bench, but rail stinks
7 – GOOD SUGAR – a little bit of a price here, but better # ATB in last, catching a weight break today tells me tr John Haran thinks he is close
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,8/1,5,8/1,2,5,7,8
Race 5: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 4 Races 50/50 – 1 w2w – PP: 3 of 4 from posts 1-3, the other 4-7
10 – HITCHPIN – lone trip on turf was close, bullet and go work, 28f works getting prepped
2 – ANCHOR MANNE – comes from Keeneland MSW 100 in first grass go, tie TLRSP and drops
4 – BUCKLE UP – we’ll take a flyer with one of the more lightly raced horses, decent breeding for grass, first on turf and first time going long – a couple of reasons for hope
13 – BUGSY BREEZE – trainer wanted in for a reason for the first time starter and DeShawn Parker rides
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,4,10/2,10/2,4,5,10,13
Race 6: 4 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 33% w2w – PP: Strong Outside In Bias
8 – HEAVENLY DREAM – like the outside post and the 2 works on April 15th and 27th, owner and tr the same
4 – UNION SUIT – strong jy-tr combo, like the last 3 works
5 – PRETTY VEGAS – works look blah, but are on par with the others, got a feeling she has more
9 – SCREAMING VIRGINIA – tough call over the 1, but we’ll go with the strong outside bias and nice Keeneland works
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 4,5,8/4,8,9,11/3,8,11/1,8,9,12
Race 7: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 4 Races 50/50 – 1 w2w – PP: 3 of 4 from posts 1-3, the other 4-7
11 – HABUIAH – is a neck away from winning three of three on Indy Turf
8 – MACADAMIA – this one is for Charles, by far the top turf pedigree numbers
9 – FRENCH CUFFS – three of four on Indy turf ended 2nd, strong LP and drops in class
4 – SELENAIA – going to take a flyer, debuted at SAR 105K, came back to win at Med 40k in race two, been off since September, been working decently at Keeneland
Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 33% w2w – PP: Rails Stinks – Outside In Bias
8 – TIZ BAYOU – first time starter and the works getting a little better and better coming into debut
3 – DESIRED LEGACY – first timer too, like the last work and has a series of 5 furlongs, should be fit
11 – HECTORS TROJANWIFE – showed some EP in last, gets 1st Lasix, helps horses with pace, been off since July, started tr March 1 – 33f works
7 – FOREVER BLESSED – tough call over the 1, but the 1 has had 5 chances and 3/0-0-0 in short sprints
Race 9: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 4 Races 50/50 – 1 w2w – PP: 3 of 4 from posts 1-3, the other 4-7
8 – SCHUMER – was supposed to debut on turf at GP, showed some EP and faded on AW, which isn’t unusual
1 – MRS. SPEAKER – a lot of the others haven’t shown much, so we will give the first timer a crack off the bullet and go work
12 – SHEAR – should be better in 3rd start after a layoff, best turf pedigree score, upped speed # in 3 post debut
9 – HONEYTOWN – improved enough from race 1 to race 2 to warrant hope for similar improvement in three with three really nice works between races.
Race 10: 250 Yards
2 – BP FIRST MONEY
4 – MALIBU BEACH
3 – SWEEET CAROLINE
7 – HH EXPRESS