Horseshoe Indianapolis Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free Horseshoe Indianapolis Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Horseshoe Indianapolis – 9-3-2024
Race 1-Female
5 – Littleransomsfire – She ran 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Realer – She is a first-time starter, whose Dam has 4 winners from 5 starters and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Luna Diva – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a good 4F workout on Aug-27.
Longshot:
3 – Backwards K – She ran 3rd in her last race.
Alternate:
2 – Sky My Lady
Race 2-Female
6 – Praying – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Taliesin – She is a first-time starter, whose, Sire wins 29% with 1st time starters, her Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Admit – She is a first-time starter, whose Dam has 3 winners from 4 starters and she has high % winning trainer and jockey and a good 4F workout on Aug-28.
Longshot:
2 – Love’s the Answer – She ran 3rd vs similar in her only race and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
3 – Snazzy Gal
4 – Mom’s Cheesecake
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,3,6,7/3,5/2,4,5,8,9/8,9– Cost $50.00
Race 3 -Female
5 – Wupkar – She had trouble in her last race and finished poorly, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, she has a high % winning trainer and has a bullet 4F workout on Aug-29.
3 – The Kid Pataky – She has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and she has high % winning jockey and she has a bullet 4F workout on Aug-23.
2 – Silvia – She won her last race and she has a trainer who wins 18% of the races when shipping a horse in to run in a race, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Asset Purchase – She finished 3rd in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and she has a bullet 4F workout on Aug-26.
Alternate:
8 – Hartful Hope
6 – Alberta Sun
Race 4
8 – Bold Justice – He has the highest Prime Power number and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Mondavila – He is a first-time starter, whose Dam has 2 winners from 3 starters, his breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a trainer who wins 20% of the sprint races he has a horse competing in, and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Logical Song – He is a first-time starter; he has a high % winning trainer and he has a bullet 4F workout on Aug-27.
Longshot:
2 – Imminent Forecast – He is a first-time starter, whose Dam has 6 winners from 8 starters, his breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a good 4F workout on Aug-23.
Alternate:
5 – Moore Gold
1 – Trusted Image
Race 5-Female
8 – Redhotjustice – She has won two races out of the last three races and she has a high % winning trainer.
9 – Tizzy Justice – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Front Cover – She has a high % winning jockey, she has the highest last race speed rating and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
5 – Jolly Justice – She won her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Beyond Justice
7 – D’ Kitten
Race 6
11 – Improbability – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and he has high % winning jockey.
7 – Tuxedo Park – He drops in class today; his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has high % winning jockey.
5 – Trew Violence – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating and he has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Vsop – He is a first-time starter, whose Dam has 4 winners from 4 starters and 1 stakes winner and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Pacific Standard
Race 7
9 – Nip N Tuck – He finished 2nd in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Del Mo- He has won two races out of the last three races and he is one for one at today’s distance.
8 – Firewater Jake – He finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in his last race but has performed well in the past on the turf finishing in the money in 55% of the starts and winning 18% of the races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Jura – He finished 3rd in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Kentucky Ghost
2 – Pico d’Oro
$.50 Pick 4: 5,8,9/1,3,6,8/2,5,6,7/1,2 – Cost $48.00
Race 8-Female
1 – Clique – She drops in class today, she has the highest last race speed rating, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the Maiden Sp Wt races he has a horse running in and she has a bullet 4F workout on Aug-26.
6 – Boogie Woogie Gal – She finished 3rd in her last race, switches to a high% trainer and she has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Adalene – Her early speed running style helps chances and she has a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (11 4-1-1).
Longshot:
8 – Colonial Rose – She switches to a high % winning trainer, can improve while returning to a sprint and has a bullet 5F workout on Aug-23.
Alternate:
5 – Lady Aberdeen
10 – Miss Susan B
Race 9-Female
8 – Fawn Liebowitz – She finished 2nd in her last two races and she has a high % winning trainer.
7 – On the Move– She drops in class today; she has a high % winning trainer who wins 33% of the 1st time maiden claiming races he has a horse running in and she has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Viral Plane Lady – She drops in class today; her breeding suggests she will like the grass as her Dam has 2 winners from 4 starters and 2 Turf winners and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Cavatelli – She is a first-time starter; her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
9 – Princesa Starlet
Race 10
1 – Little Jake – He has finished in the money in four races out of five career starts, winning one of the starts, he has a trainer who wins 26% of the races when taking a horse from a route to sprint and he has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Bolshie – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a trainer who wins 20% of the sprint races he has a horse competing in.
3 – Rodeo Zone – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and blinkers are added today.
Longshot:
5 – Bad Boy Geist – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Berlone
7 – Bucket List
Bet: $15.00 Win & $25.00 Place: #1 – $10.00 Exacta: 1/2,3,5 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 1,2,3
Race 11
2 – Wrs Apollitical Gal – She has finished in the money in four races out of five career starts.
7 – Cv Sky Kiss – She finished 2nd in her last race and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Beach Martini – The cutback in distance should be a plus.
Longshot:
3 – Valiant Beacher – He has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
10 – Bullseye Beach
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 10th Race – #1 – Little Jake
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair. 2/3 a Bonus, 4-7 Squeezed
4 – REALER – you have to start with the 1st timer – except for the 1 – none have come close to par
1 – LUNA DIVA – if the 4 isn’t ready, she reruns her last race and it’s an easy graduation
3 – BACKWARDS K – 5 year old vs 3 year olds – no excuses – better ATB in last
5 – LITTLERANSOMSFIRE – might have the most upside in 3rd career start – last race better than it looks with better fractions despite trouble at the start
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair. 2/3 a Bonus, 4-7 Squeezed
7 – ADMIT – 3/3 first timer – last work at CD was sharp – 4f in 47.4 B
6 – PRAYING – either of the first two starts should win versus these
3 – SNAZZY GAL – 2nd race improvement puts her at PAR – faster than the other experienced horses
1 – TALIESIN – can you leave tr Brad Cox off the ticket in a field of questionable horses?
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Edge – Slightly Better Inside Out
4 – ASSET PURCHASE – faced the toughest company – working out like her tail is on fire
3 – THE KID PATAKY – 3sp# increases – to the bench – fast 3f work between – going to send again
2 – SILVIA – 3rd up – last 3rd up, best of the three and it wasn’t close
5 – WUPKAR – either of her two at HINDY would do – another training on the track like she’s running on hot coals
Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 2/3 a Bonus, 4-7 Squeezed
2 – IMMINENT FORECAST – 3/3 first time starter – last two works hint at solid talent
6 – MACKEY – steady works – getting faster
4 – LOGICAL SONG – a bunch of 2.5ers next – dis my best to rank them according to total picture
9 – MONDAVILA
Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Bad, 2-7 Best, 8+ Discount
9 – TIZZY JUSTICE – 2nd this level last out – resume says a stronger run coming in 2nd up
8 – REDHOTJUSTICE – another making the 2nd start off the bench following a dominating MSW win in the 11th try
3 – PRETTYONTHEPRARIE – three races back – went w2w at the track/distance/surface – our numbers say she has an excellent chance to be the pacesetter her – bombs away
1 – FRONT COVER – could be the favorite – comes from way back – too many opportunities to find trouble to put on top
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair. 2/3 a Bonus, 4-7 Squeezed
5 – TREW VIOLENCE – well bet both races, improved sharply, maintenance work and catches a fast track for the first time
1 – VSOP – a pair of 3/3 first timers next – works are a little faster than the 9
9 – PACIFIC STANDARD – but the more expensive horse
7 – TUXEDO PARK – run back to Keeneland debut and he is the winner
Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Bad, 2-7 Best, 8+ Discount
7 – KENTUCKY GHOST – mostly fires off the bench – like today – decent works prepping
9 – NIP N TUCK – either of his last two in HINDY turf would do
8 – FIREWATER JAKE – CV says expect a better performance in round 2 off the sidelines
2 – PICO D’ORO – top TOTAL PACE horse +7 – could win – but O for 18 in 2023/2024
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Edge – Slightly Better Inside Out
1 – CLIQUE – any improvement from the debut and the rest are running for 2nd
8 – COLONIAL ROSE – Brad Cox horse – any of her dirt races will do – making 3 yp debut and works are hot
6 – BOOGIE WOOGIE GAL – been off 17 months – speed is there, works say she will show it today
3 – ADALENE – 2 races back and she could be the winner – wonder if she needs a rest though
Race 9: 5 Furlongs Turf – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Fair
7 – ON THE MOVE – slow start in debut, forced wide in the stretch – 5/2 odds – better trip is all she’ll need – small drop
8 – FAWN LIEBOWITZ – crappy trip last out, carried wide through the 1st turn – still finished 2nd
6 – VIRAL PLANE LADY – 2nd race improvement could be enough
4 – LIBERTY QUEEN – none of the first timers standout – let’s go with a price and a chance to be better in 2nd career race as the only MSW dropper
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Edge – Slightly Better Inside Out
2 – BOLSHIE – PC that can be pacesetter – solid off the bench
5 – BAD BOY GEIST – 3 strong works between starts – right distance 3/2-0-1 – all others 11/0-2-2
3 – RODEO ZONE – misses by a head at this level last out
1 – LITTLE JAKE – speed and fade at 1 mile – cutting back in distance helps
Race 11: 330 Yards
7 – CV SKY KISS
2 – WRS APOLLITICAL GAL
10 – BULLSEYE BEACH
1 – FLARE FOR RITZY
