Horse Racing Picks, News and Opinions
Tom and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
FLEMINGTON Racecourse including:
Race 2: Matron Stakes (G3) 9:10 pm EST
Race 5: Kewney Stakes (G2) 11:00 pm EST
Race 6: Newmarket Handicap (G1) 11:40 pm EST
Race 7: Australian Cup (G1) 12:20am EST
Race 8: Shaftesbury Avenue (G3) 1:00 am EST
Track Layout
Free Flemington Past Performance
Flemington Racecourse Horse Racing Picks and Commentary – Saturday, March 12th (or Friday evening in the USA)
22 to 1 Tom’s International Tips
Race 2 – Matron Stakes
4- Flying Mascot
12 starts 5 wins 3 seconds 1 third
Has won at the distance
Group 3 winner last out
Got winning run last out with a strong kick at the top stretch and kept going
She should sit behind the leaders and move forward 800m
5- Invinciano
31 starts 7 wins 3 seconds 2 thirds
Excellent record at this distance 6 starts 4 wins
Just hasn’t gotten on track yet running 6th 3 times with issues at the start
Class rises but can pick up a check here
Race 5 – Kenwey Stakes
1-Yearning
9 starts 2 wins 2 seconds 1 third
Has won and placed in at this distance
First up, ran 3rd in group 2 and ran midpack and made-up ground
Better effort today with a race and improve in form
I see the same type of running today and the distance make sense
11- So You See
1 start 1 win
Impressive win first out running from midpack and blow past the field and winning by 4.3L, when asked to go, she went strongly
Win? Not sure but certainly a placing is possible off her first run
4- Argentia
4 starts 2 wins 1 second
Never ran at this distance
Last 2 races ran 1st first up in group 3
Last race, ran 2nd in group 2 vs Lavish Girl (running here) ran strong race but didn’t couldn’t get to the leader
Distance will help
Race 6 – Newmarket Handicap
6- Levante
15 starts 10 wins 2 seconds 1 third
Coming from New Zealand with excellent record and good running times
Distance suits with 4 starts 2 wins 1 second 1 third
Started the season winning a listed race and then ran in 3 group 1 races
Midpack runner who has made powerful moves with fast finishes
2- Home Affairs
8 starts 4 wins 1 second 1 third
2 for 2 at Flemington and 4 starts at distance with 1 win
Won the bob over a tough horse in Nature Strip (ran 3rd last weekend in awful track conditions)
If he runs to his last race, with be hit the board
Favorite?
13- Snapdancer
16 starts 5 wins 4 seconds 2 thirds
Group 3 winner last time in the front and held strong
Should run the same type of race today and should be strong enough to hold on the in the money finish
He will affect the outcoming of this race
Race 7 – Australian Cup
3- Spanish Mission
21 starts 6 wins 4 seconds 5 thirds
1 for 1 at this distance
2nd race off layoff, he’s won twice with 5 starts
Ran 3rd at Royal Ascot vs Subjectivist, Princess Zoe and beating Stradivarius
Ran much better than I thought he would in last race at 1600m, which is not his distance
This is a much better spot for a win going 2000m or longer for this horse
He generally sits midpack and will move late, the last race was not long enough
8- Callsign Mav
21 starts 7 wins 7 seconds 2 thirds
2 starts at distance with no wins
Good 2nd last out in group 3 race but really was a troubled race because he was boxed and steady and no clear running later
He should make most of the running in this race or be right with the leaders
Can he hang on for a piece?
7- Yonkers
35 starts 9 wins 7 seconds 5 thirds
10 starts at this distance 3 wins 2 seconds 1 third
2 starts this season, a 5th and a 2nd losing to the top horse here
This old guy should be able to get something here
Race 8 – Shaftesbury Avenue
6- Milton Park
17 starts 7 wins 1 second 1 third
At this distance 7 starts 5 wins
Won last 2 race vs listed company and moves up but a 7F specialist
Drops back in distance
Will sit 5th or 6th and move up to win
14- Morvada
55 starts 8 wins 12 seconds 7 thirds
Has been this distance 23 times with 6 wins 7 seconds 3 thirds
Like my top pick, he’s also a 7F specialist and will be on the lead here
This is a mixed races of about 5 speed horses and the rest like to come from behind, set the right pace and he could win
7- Rich Hips
24 starts 7 wins 1 second 2 thirds
At the distance 13 starts 5 wins 1 third
While my top to selection is the speed here, this one will come from way back
Nothing in his first start this season, run 7th of 7.
He was away last and came up lame
My concern is that he may need more races to get into form
Rich’s Ranks
Race 2 – Matron Stakes
4 – Flying Mascot
5 – Invinciano
9 – Groovy Kind of Love
1 – Turaath
Race 5 – Kenwey Stakes
3 – Barb Raider
9 – Arkita
2 – Lavish Girl
Race 6 – Newmarket Handicap
2 – Home Affairs
13 – Snapdancer
5 – Count De Rupee
10 – Quantico
Race 7 – Australian Cup
9 – Delphi
2 – Think It Over
3 – Spanish Mission
12 – Duais
Race 8 – Shaftesbury Avenue
3 – Kissonallforcheeks
6 – Milton Park
9 – Chaillot
14 – Morvada
