Tom and Rich continue to travel the world to find the top horse races in the world for foreign Fridays. It’s late-night early morning at Randwick for the Australian Derby, plus four more.
Randwick Racecourse Tips (Free Randwick Past Performances)
Track Conditions: Heavy 10
Sat morning Randwick pic.twitter.com/pplrYxmVNB
— Peter Moody (@moodyracingpgm) April 5, 2024
Race 5: Newhaven Park Country Championships Final
Race 6: Inglis Sires’
Race 7: James Squire T J Smith Stakes
Race 8: The Star Doncaster Mile
Race 9: Australian Derby
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track of the Day: https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Royal Randwick Horse Racing Picks
22 to 1 Tom’s Tips
RACE 1- WIDDEN KINDERGARTEN STAKES (G3)
7 – Extreme Rose – Wet Rating: 40.5
4 – Roselyn’s Star – Wet Rating: 38.5
8 – Hallett – Wet Rating: None
RACE 2 – SCHWEPPES CHAIRMAN’S QUALITY (G2)
13 – Funambulist – Wet Rating: 48
2 – Stockman – Wet Rating: 55
4 – Hopeful – Wet Rating: 53.5
RACE 3 – HKJC WORLD POOL CARBINE CLUB STAKES (G3)
3 – Ducasse – Wet Rating: 43
5 – Tannhauser – Wet Rating: 48
4 – Les Vampires – Wet Rating: 50
RACE 4 – TAB ADRIAN KNOX STAKES (G3)
3 – Waikato Girl – Wet Rating: 46.5
1 – Autumn Angel – Wet Rating: 36
2 – Harlow Mist – Wet Rating: 38.5
RACE 5 – NEWHAVEN PARK COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIPS FINAL
10 – Gallant Star – Barrier 10 – Wet Rating: 46
Despite narrowly missing out on a win in his last race at Coonamble, Gallant Star demonstrated his resilience and determination. His track record at this venue is impressive, with one win and two thirds from three starts. He also showed his potential at this distance, placing second in his only attempt. His victory at Randwick, in a class 3 handicap, was a testament to his ability to overcome challenges. He tactfully moved to eleven from the fourteen barrier, showcasing his strategic approach to the race. His last effort was good. Maybe you get 11-1.
1 – Bandi’s Boy – Barrier 1 – Wet Rating: 47
He’s the one to beat with a record of ten starts and five wins (with three thirds). He won at this distance and has a good record at this track. He’s won two in a row over the good four going but has done well on the soft going. His last race was verse open company, and he ran third at the benchmark 78 level but has bounced before to win. Distance is right, and he’s in form.
9 – Sharp Shock – Barrier 5 – Wet Rating: 42
Here’s a horse that has run this distance four times and ran the second four times. His record at Randwick is not good, but he has not run this distance here before with his six starts. In his last three races, he’s run second every time. I can leave him off my ticket.
RACE 6 – INGLIS SIRES’ (G1)
10 – Mannaal – Barrier 10 – Wet Rating: 44
She had barrier sixteen to overcome in the last race and ran on for fifth after sitting fifteenth most of the race. On the soft five going, she won her start in a restricted filly’s race. She ran a heck of a race last out, and I am putting her on top. The top five finishers in the Golden Slipper are running in this race.
1 – Storm Boy – Barrier 8 – 40.5
It’s hard for me to leave him off my ticket. He’s run in the money in all his races, but he didn’t get the best beginnings in his last race. In the past, he’s been near or on the lead, but this time, he was running seventh for a good part of the race and moved to third. He will be one of the favorites and run a good race again. I won’t be surprised if he reserves the results and wins this time.
3 – Traffic Warden – Barrier 3 – Wet Rating: 36
Here’s another horse out of the Golden Slipper who ran a bit of trouble but sat middle pack most of the race and moved up late to run a good fourth. He won his only start at 1400m, which may be his preferred distance, if not farther. He is a nice Godolphin runner who will continue to improve as they add distance to his races.
RACE 7 – JAMES SQUIRE T J SMITH STAKES (G1)
8 – Imperatriz – Barrier 6 – Wet Rating: 61
This impressive mare runs and continues to run some of her best races at this distance. She has never been out of the money at this distance, with eight wins from eleven starts. They are moving her back to 1400m from her 1200m win last out, but that won’t matter; she’s the one to beat.
11 – Sunshine In Paris – Barrier 9 – Wet Rating: 48.5
This horse came off a layoff to miss by a neck to win, running second in the last race. She’s a lightly raced mare with only seven career starts and four wins, one second, and one third. She has run this distance with five starts and three wins, one second, and one third. Will she like the heavy going? Coming off the last race, she will be there at the end.
4 – Coal Crusher – Barrier 10 – Wet Rating: 56.5
This one is one of the speed horses in the race, and he will be on the front end even with the barrier position of ten. He’s been a bit disappointing in his last five races, with the best finish of second, but he has done ok at this distance and should be tough to get by at the end of the race.
RACE 8 – THE STAR DONCASTER MILE (G1)
2 – Obamburumai – Barrier 8 – Wet Rating: 53
His first start in Australia was a win in Golden Eagle at Rosehill in November. He’s had some time off and is back in a race at a distance very suited for him. He’s a good first-up with a three-for-three record and running against good horses in Japan. He’s won once at this distance in Japan from three starts and has four wins from six starts. The going suits him, and he will be right there at the end with a strong finish, considering his running style is on or near the pace and, last time, he came from the “clouds” to win.
6 – Golden Mile – Barrier 1 – Wet Rating: 61.5
I liked him last time, but he could have run an ok fourth of eighteen horses at 1500m. He is not a winning machine, with only one win from nine starts in the last twelve months, but adding another 100m will help his chances versus this group.
11 – Attractable – Barrier 5 – Wet Rating: 61
I will toss out the last race; he showed speed in the race and then went backward to run eleventh of twelve horses. In the past, he has shown good speed and has done well at this distance of nine starts, three wins, and two seconds. Today, he will run better than last time.
RACE 9 – ATC AUSTRALIAN DERBY (G1)
1 – Riff Rocket – Barrier 10 – Wet Rating: 49
He won his last race at Rosehill, one of the favorites, at 2000m. He’s won at 2500m as a 2-year-old at Flemington on good going. He has one barrier trial on heavy going that was average at 900m. He’s at the top of his game right now. It’s the track conditions that could play against him.
10 – Adagio – Barrier 11 – Wet Rating: 33.5
He’s been running well at minor tracks and won his last race at 2000m. His only heavy track win was in a maiden race (heavy 9), but he did it in a good time and by two lengths. His record is five starts, two wins, and two seconds. This is a step up in class from the class 1 race last time, but his times are respectable, and if he likes the going, he will be dangerous at a price.
14 – Zardozi – Barrier 2 – Wet Rating: 54
Two races ago, she beat open company on the soft, going by two lengths at Rosehill, going 1500m. She has a win on the heavy going, and her last race, also at Rosehill, was a fair effort, running third. She has won at the 2500m distance as a 2yo. She’s a Godolphin-owned horse with a favorable barrier position and an excellent chance to win.
RACE 10 – CHINA HORSE CLUB P J BELL STAKES (G3)
6 – Miraval Rose – Wet Rating: 51
1 – Learning To Fly – Wet Rating: 51.5
15 – Pajanti – Wet Rating: 41.5
Rich’s Ranks
Race 5: Newhaven Park Country Championships Final – 11:45 pm EDT
1 – Bandi’s Boy – drops from a Group 3 and is in good form
9 – Sharp Shock – his 7 furlong times are quicker than the rest
2 – Bianco Vilano – just needs to run back two races – likes the distance – Randwick not so much
7 – Tribeca Star – some regression in last, but solid on soft 2/1-1
Race 6: Inglis Sires’ – 12:20 am EDT
9 – Lady Of Camelot – should be right off the pace and close – extra distance today helps
2 – Coleman – faster final time last out and another that should benefit from going 1 more furlong
1 – Storm Boy – can’t argue with his performances – maybe a bad start in his last – prior to that 4-0
5 – Anode – will be upfront – has done well on soft and at the track
Race 7: James Squire T J Smith Stakes – 12:55 am EDT
1 – I Wish I Win – last race was really fast – probably would have won at today’s distance
8 – Imperatriz – killer on an off track – 9/5-2-0 – by far the most consistent, high-end race numbers
3 – Mazu – maybe upgrade by race time – heavy intensity rain – track might go heavy – 6/4-1-1
2 – Private Eye – been regressing – jockey switch to Blake Shine – rode 1x in last 10, a trio of races ago – 2nd in a G1
Race 8: The Star Doncaster Mile – 1:35 am EDT
8 – Detonator Jack – is the right distance 4/3-0-0 – all others 13/3-5-5 – never off TB on Soft/HVY
2 – Obamburumai – this guy is going to be ah-flying at the end
19 – Celestial Legend – won last out at the track/distance, barrier race between, good time and should be more fit
4 – Militarize – finished behind the 19 – two back – likes the track 5/2-2-1 and a soft/HVT – 1 mile might be a 1/16 or 1/8th a mile too short
Race 9: Australian Derby – 2:15 am EDT
3 – Ceolwulf – almost ran down the fav Riff Rocket in their last – does today with extra ¼ mile
1 – Riff Rocket – will be flying at the end too and seems the longer the race the better
6 – Immediacy – is improving from race to race to race for his first four – distance is the ?
7 – Wymark -steadily marching up the performance ladder, winner 4 in a row
