Horse Racing Picks and Analysis
Hoping for a little good fortune in Ireland. Tom and Rich return to Curragh Racecourse with Saratoga’s Diana Stakes sandwiched in between.
Saturday:
Curragh Racetrack – Free Curragh Past Performances
Race 4: Barberstown Castle Sapphire Stakes
Race 5: Juddmonte Irish Oaks
Saratoga Racetrack
Race 8: Diana Stakes
Sunday:
Curragh Racetrack – Free Curragh Past Performances
Race 2: Romanised Minstrel Stakes
Race 5: Kilboy Estate Stakes
The Curragh Horse Racing Picks and Commentary
Saturday, July 16, 2022
22 to 1 Tom’s International Tips
Barberstown Castle Sapphire Stakes (Group 2) (3yo+) 5f
2 – Mooneista
18 starts 3 wins 6 seconds 4 thirds
All wins at 5F
Last out, a good 4th at Royal Ascot behind Nature Strip
Raced in the back of the field before moving forward and we should see him do this again
Won a group 2 last year and appears well placed here
7 – Brostaigh
9 starts 3 wins 2 seconds 1 third
Winner last out at Chantilly in group 2 on soft going 5F
Won race before at Naas in listed race at 5F
It took her 6 races to break maiden, which was on the AW at Dundalk
3 races this year all have been good
The group win was big
4 – Castle Star
7 starts 2 wins 4 seconds
Has raced since September running 2nd to Perfect Power in group 1 at Newmarket
All his other races have been at the Curragh and worse finish was 4th
He’s won at 5F & 6F in listed and group 3 company (broke maiden in the listed race)
Don’t be surprised if the horse break slowly from the gate but gets going with 2F left
In form? Interesting place to start the season
Juddmonte Irish Oaks (Group 1) (Fillies) (3yo) 1m4f
2 – Emily Dickinson – Draw 2
Ran 2nd in group 3 last out at 14F sitting midpack and just missed by a head
Took 3 starts at maiden level to win
The Lingfield prep for the Epsom Oaks was a disappointing effort so running at Leopardstown made more sense in the last race
If she builds off the last race, she will be coming at the end
6 – Magical Lagoon – Draw 8
Won last group 2 race at Ascot making most of the running, she was headed with 2F left but came on strong to win
2nd in start before in listed races at Navan losing to Concert Hall who ran at BEL last Saturday
Failed badly in group 1 race at Newmarket for the final start last year
Won a group 3 race at the Curragh
Will be the leader in this race and try and take them wire-to-wire
Saratoga Horse Racing Picks and Analysis
Saturday, July 16 – GI Diana
2 – Creative Flare
Winner last out in Dubai – group 2 with a good field
Layoff but she wins off layoffs and has done this twice
A winner at distance and one third
This is a race with 3 speed/pace horses and 3 stalkers, she just needs to be moving well at the end
1 – Technical Analysis
A wire-to-wire winner last out and has Jose Oritz on the rail.
The key is to establish the lead in front of the other 2 and setup reasonable fractions, easier said than do.
She’s won 3 of her last 5 races and placed in the other 2
All in top company
3 – Bleecker Street
Done nothing wrong but win all her races
Last out was her first grade 1 win at 1 ¼
Won at this distance at Tampa and Churchill
Should get the pace to run at
Big favorite and one to beat
Curragh Horse Racing Tips and Analysis
Sunday, June 17, 2022
Romanised Minstrel Stakes (Group 2) (3yo+) 7f
5 – Pearls Galore – Draw 6
14 starts 6 wins 3 seconds 1 third
Won last 2 races at 1 mile in Ireland at the Curragh and Leopardstown
These races were group 2 vs fillies and open listed race
She ran 6th behind Space Blues in the Breeder Cup Turf mile
At ParisLongchamp, she ran 2nd to Space Blues in 7F group 1 race
2 good races and the one to beat
6 – Dr Zempf – Draw 2
7 starts 3 wins 1 second
2 starts at 7F and won both at Leopardstown
Won last at 7F and won first start at 7F
The Curragh didn’t go too well, with a 5th at 1 mile but that’s not his distance and I would toss that race
He will race in the front or with the leaders and will be tough here
1 – Order of Australia – Draw 1
16 starts 4 wins 1 second 3 thirds
Ran 3rd at Royal Ascot in group 1 to Baaeed (the best miler and horse on the planet right now)
He may have been beaten 5 3/4L but that was a good effort for 1st start
Awful race at Keeneland in October, running last of 12 – toss
Then found that backend of Baaeed at ParisLongchamp in group 1 in September by 1 1/4L but it really wasn’t that close
Won his only start at 7F he won last year group 2 at the Curragh
Watch for a change of headgear on this horse, if there is something changed that not a good sign by Aiden O’Brien because it’s generally a sign of last chance to get the horse to do something better
Kilboy Estate Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) (3yo+) 1m1f
3 – Purplepay – Draw 1
11 starts 4 wins 2 second 2 thirds
She’s run interestingly this season with 2 very average runs and 1 win in group 2 race at Chantilly at 1 mile
Last out, she saw the backend of La Petite Coco in her seasonal debut in group 1 in June at longer distance
Her win in France was a good strong race and she did well over first to the lead, passed, behind by 5plus L and then came back and was ridden out
In the Irish Guineas, she looks like she needed the race and lost to a very talented 3-year-old – Homeless Songs
Race towards the front and should be right there at the end
She drops from group 1 last out and looks to bounce back here
4 – Galleria Borghese – Draw 8
6 starts 3 wins 2 seconds
Last out, made all the running and won this listed race at Naas by 1/2L
Late developing horse who first starts were in April/May and not very good races in maidens
Then came back after dull effort 11 days later and won at 1 mile at Naas in maiden
Since then, she won 1 and placed 2nd twice in handicap races
You won’t get 12-1 this time on her but this is a step up but with all this recent good form, she must be considered especially if no one challenges her on the front end
6 – One for Bobby – Draw 6
3 starts 2 wins
Toss last, nothing went right with her, never on terms and very unimpressive race
She won her first 2 starts at Gowan Park at this distance
If she runs back to her previous form, she right in this race
Step up also for her but is lightly raced and let’s see what she can do here at a distance that should suit
Rich’s Ranks
Saturday:
Curragh Racetrack
Race 4: Barberstown Castle Sapphire Stakes
8 – Geocentric
7 – Vrostaigh
4 – Castle Star
2 – Mooneista
Race 5: Juddmonte Irish Oaks
1 – Cairde Go Deo
6 – Magical Lagoon
8 – Toy
5 – Histroy
Saratoga Racetrack
Race 8: Diana Stakes
3 – Bleeker Street
1 – Technical Analysis
2 – Creative Force
Sunday:
Curragh Racetrack
Race 2: Romanised Minstrel Stakes
5 – Pearls Galore
6 – Dr Zempf
2 – Prisoner’s Dilemnma
Race 5: Kilboy Estate Stakes
4 – Galleria Borghese
3 – Purplepay
2 – Rumbles of Thunder
6 – One for Bobby
