International Horse Racing Today – Doncaster and The Curragh, Sunday, September 11, 2022

Horse Racing Picks and Analysis

With Queen Elizabeth III’s passing, England has cancelled Saturday’s horse races in her honor. May she RIP. As a result, it’s an all-Sunday card at Doncaster and the Curragh.

Doncaster Picks – Free Doncaster Past Performance

Race 6: Cazoo Park Stakes

Race 7: Cazoo St Leger Stakes

The Curragh – Free Curragh Past Performances 

Race 3 – Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Flying Five Stakes

Race 4 – Moyglare Stud Stakes

Race 5 – Goffs Vincent O’Brien National Stakes

22 to 1 Tom’s Tips

2:20 – Race 3

Coral Champagne Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (2yo) 7f

Silver Knott

3 races 2 wins

Last start in group 3 at Sandon going 7F, he was held in the back of the field to make run overtaking the group to win with plenty left

Won a novice at Kempton on the AW as same distance with going the standard/slow

Favorite and I don’t think the soft going will be an issue

Indestructible

Ran 2^nd in group 3 last out losing out to the second choice here

Made the running and caught at the end, basically didn’t have enough left

Won the start before at 6F, which was a group 2 at Newmarket

He appears to be the only real speed here and let’s see if he can hang on again

 

3:20 – Race 6

Cazoo Park Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 7f

3 – Al Suhail

Ran a dull 5^th last out, why dull?

First race back from Dubai, average effort but not out of the norm for many horses

He has raced 7F 8 times and won 3 placed 1 third 2

Grade 2 winner with William Buick to ride again

Both races have not been good but placing him here at his distance looks positive for me to get back on track

2 – Kinross

Won last time out in group 2 at York going 7F

Good record on good or soft going

But doesn’t repeat wins but always faces top company

I think he’s good for third, but I can’t place him higher

8 – New Energy

Last 2 races were group 1’s at Royal Ascot & Deauville, neither were very good efforts

Much better earlier in the season with 1 second and 2 thirds in group 1 to listed company

Hasn’t raced since July but after that 2^nd at the Curragh, they were looking that group 1 win

He’s placed on going of yielding to soft

Win? Doubtful but with some time off, I can see a better effort

 

3:55 – Race 7

Cazoo St Leger Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (3yo) 1m6½f

5 – Hoo Ya Mal

Won last in short field very comfortably by 2 1/2L

Very consist in last 6 races until last, running 2^nd or 3^rd with breakthru in last

Jockey switch with Buick going to the favorite and David Probert get back up and ran 2^nd with him in the Epsom Derby

Distance suits him

8 – Haskay

Won last 2 races by 7L and a neck but he’s only run in 2 races

Both races at 12F

She won a listed race at York

Gets weight from the field and gains Frankie Dettori as replacement for Ryan Moore

A big unknown here but she’s definitely a late developing horse

Distance and ground should suit

1 – Eldar Eldarov

Shipped to ParisLongchamp and ran a disappointing 4^th by 5 1/4L last out as the favorite in group 1

Won first 3 starts starting in Oct 2021, many gaps in racing

A group 2 winner at Royal Ascot at 14F group 2 by a nose

If he runs his race, he is suited for conditions and distance but many unknowns too

 

The Curragh – Sunday

2:25 – Race 3

Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Flying Five Stakes (Group 1) (3yo+) 5f

12 – Highfield Princess

Started her season in February with 4 runs in the AW, not great at the start then won her final start at Newcastle

Moving back to the turf, wins at York in group 2

Next start was at Royal Ascot and not her best, running 6^th that was in a field of 24

A break of 50 days, run Deauville at 61/2F was a win in group 1

The a win at York at 5F in group 1 in the Nunthorpe, surprising she went off at 5-1

She’s in form and should repeat

1 – A Case Of You

After a good run in Dubai with a 2^nd and 1^st in big races shipped back to and ran 3^rd at the Curragh as the favorite

Then an awful race at Royal Ascot, needed the layoff

This horse has won or finished in the money every time after layoff

13 – Mooneista

Ran second to Ladies Church last out by a head in challenging race with good field in group 2

4^th at Royal Ascot to Nature Strip

This horse likes to run in the money more than winning

I can’t leave him out

 

3:00 – Race 4

Moyglare Stud Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) (2yo) 7f

11 – Tahiyra

1 start 1 win by 5 1/2L at Galway going 7F, the comment in the notes was “impressive”

The was over good to yielding

Now steps up to group 1 company after a very good effort

Dermot Weld trained and he knows how to handle 2yo and this may a very good horse

12 – Thornbrook

She ran 3^rd to this race favorite by 1L, got caught but kept on going at 12-1

Won maiden at Leopardstown by 1 1/4L in good time

The mare has produced 4 group and stakes winners

This maybe the shortest distance for this horse because his siblings won at longer distances and there are 2 jumpers

Let’s see if this suits and going should not be an issue

6 – Meditate

4 runs 4 wins on going from yielding to good to firm

The last race was hers shortest margin

Races from 5F to 7F

Aiden O’Brien trained and Ryan Moore on board

 

3:35 – Race 5

Goffs Vincent O’Brien National Stakes (Group 1) (Colts & Fillies) (2yo) 7f

4 – Marbaan

Won last 3 races in novice and group 2 company, first start he needed at Newbury

He’s been running on good to firm running so yielding will be different

But, the dam raced and won on soft going

Good win last out at 14-1 being in the back of the field and made one big move to win over the Royal Ascot winner by 1/2L

Step up again but hasn’t done anything wrong and with pace up front he should be right there

2 – Al Riffa

Only a maiden winner in 2 races, placed in the other

Both races at the Curragh at 7F

1^st maiden race, he was defeated by Hans Andersen by 1 1/4L

No telling if he will like the going by the sire won on the very soft and was top sprinter

1 – Aesop’s Fables

2 for 2 with maiden and group 2 races beating Hans Andersen by 2 1/4L at 3-1

Won his maiden sitting back and move at 1F marker

Both races has some pace so like a few others in the field, may need a good pace to win

Ryan Moore and Aiden O’Brien do very well with developing 2yo

Hans Andersen is the other O’Brien horse in this race, Ryan Moore rode in his first 2 starts

 

4:10 – Race 6

Comer Group International Irish St Leger Group 1 (3yo+) 1m6f

5 – Kyprios

Has beaten the best in Europe all season, 4 starts 4 wins

It started in a listed race, then group 3 and 2 group 1’s

He’s not won on soft going (in 2 tries) but did win on heavy going

But this is a horse that’s in terrific form and wants long distance races

Favorite and very hard to pass on

10 – Rosscarbery

Good 2^nd at Deauville last out in group 1 at 10F

Sat behind the leaders but no match for the winner

DQed in race at the Curragh for carrying the wrong weight but ran 3^rd in that race

Faces the males for the first time

2 – Hamish

Winner at Chester in last race but that was in May

Only 3 races in 2021 with 1 win, a 4^th to Trueshan and a not great race on the AW at Kempton as the favorite, something was wrong

This is a 6 yo with 9 starts 4 wins 2 seconds 1 third

So 7 out 9 races in the money and the other races were 7^th and 4^th last year

Distance and going should be fine for another run in the money

Rich’s Ranks

Doncaster Picks

Cazoo Park Stakes

6 – Double or Bubble
2 – Kinross
3 – Al Suhail
1 – Jumby

Cazoo St Leger Stakes

1 – Elder Edlarov
6 – New London
3 – French Claim
5 – Hoo Ya Mal