Horse Racing Picks and Analysis
Tom and Rich return for Foreign Fridays. They head back to Goodwood where they lit it up during the Glorious Goodwood and mix in a trio of races at Redcar Racecourse too.
Goodwood Horse Racing Picks – Free Goodwood Past Performance
Race 1: William Hill Prestige Fillies’ Stakes
Race 2: William Hill Handicap
Race 5: EBF Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes
Redcar Horse Racing Tips – Free Redcar Past Performance
Race 2 – Bakers Tailoring EBF Restricted Novice Stakes
Race 3 – Celebrating The Life Of Russ Parker Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes
Race 4 – Racing TV Straight Mile Series Handicap
Picks with the Professor’s MLB Play of the Day
Just Tom’s International Horse Racing Tips
Goodwood
1:50 – Race 1
William Hill Prestige Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (2yo) 7f
9 – Queen Olly
3 starts 1 win
Faced males last out with a run for 3rd in group 2 at Newmarket
Ran a disappointing 4th at Royal Ascot in group 3 race for fillies but ran a bit green hanging left in the latter stages of the race
Maiden win was at York at the favorite
First try at 7F should help this horse in running a strong race here
Will she prefer the soft going?
8 – Mottisfont
Won maiden at Ffos Las going 7.5F at big price 20-1 by 1L
Came back to run 3rd in group 3 at Newmarket with some of these other horses
She had some issues in the running of that race and didn’t stay straight by hung left.
Distances isn’t an issue it’s just the matter of getting a good trip to have a chance at the end
1 – Bet Me
She was a mess before the start of the race, broken out in a sweat and not looking her best going down to the post
Came out of the gate going left at the start, got it together and went on to run 4th and a surprising, good run
Won maiden by 4L at Goodwood at 6F, joint favorite prove the best
If she looks better in the paddock and going down to post, she will have a good chance
2:25 – Race 2
William Hill Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f
9 – Able Kane
Last out, ran 3rd in C2 handicap at Newbury. Before he got crushed in the big $$$ handicap at Goodwood
Won at Ffos Las by 6L in small field but it was a nice win
Run back to form here and he will be ready to win again
Good record on soft going, 3 starts 1 win 1 second 1 third
5 – Orbaan
Won at C2 & C3 races this year at 8F & 7F.
Ok run at York vs a decent C2 group with a 4th considering he was held at the back and was asked to go, he did but nowhere to go. Lack room for a clear run
He runs ok on soft going
Distance of 7F is good for a placing and not a winning one with only 1 win
In the money play, win?
11 – Lyndon B
Won last out in C3 company with some placings before
He’s been running in lower company but running at longer distances
He’s only won on good to firm going so soft running is a concern
4:10 – Race 5
William Hill / EBF Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B, C and D) (GBB Race) Cl4 (2yo) 6f
6 – Lunarscape
First time starts from a trainer who is winning at 26% rate this season
8 winners for 19 starts and 6 placings with positive ROI of 19.63
Last 14 days, she’s winning at 21% rate
From those numbers, she’s sending ready to go 2yrs to the track and a nice spot for win
My only concern is that she may want longer distances
2 – Keep Bidding
The most experienced 2yr in the field with 3 starts and 2 seconds
Last run on the AW was losing by 1/2L
The other 2 runs were on the turf
Should be near or on the lead and will be the favorite
3 – Lavender Beauty
Ok first-time out race going 3rd in novice race at 22-1
Maybe a little short on conditioning in the race because she was no match for the winner
In a race with unraced horses, she showed a bit of form and one who needed a race
Redcar
5:15 – Race 2
Bakers Tailoring EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B/C/D) (EBF Qualifier) (GBB) Cl5 (2yo) 6f
3 – Indian Falcon
First time starter for a trainer who has 14 winners from 46 starters as 2yr
He’s winning at 16% rate with +21.51 positive return
Top 2yr is The Platinum Queen who ran 2nd in the Nunthorpe (a race for 2yrs and up)
Ok breeding and good novice to start the career
1 – Taritino
The only winner in the race and it was at Redcar at 7F
He went off at 11-1 and won in front running style
Assume he will break for the lead and not look back
4 – Kev The Bread
2 starts only one good race running 4th by 13+L
Last start was nothing special, losing by 22L to a group winner
Why pick? Looks as good as any of the others and has some experience.
5:50 – Race 3
Celebrating The Life Of Russ Parker Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Band D) (GBB) Cl5 (2yo) 7f
2 – Saleet
Won last time out by a whisker in novice race
Like his other races, a bit green but always in contact with the leaders and ran on to win
Trainers 2yrs winning at 5% rate, so this one winning is positive
With 3 races, she has experience and runs towards the front and will have a chance
4 – Bowleaze
Trainer has 2 winners from 9 starts with 2yrs and paying out over $15
She been sending out horses ready to run and why not here
A class 5 race is a good starting point
Breeding is nothing special
1 – Cite d’Or
2 runs with 1 win in maiden race at 7F in short field at Brighton
Last race a 4th of 5 at Newbury, forwardly placed early in the race, had nothing left at the finish
This was a listed race, so a drop down to this type of a race makes sense
Favorite
6:20 – Race 4
Racing TV Straight Mile Series Handicap (Racing TV Straight Mile Series Qualifier) Cl4 (3yo+ 0-80) 1m
2 – Diamondonthehill
Won at Redcar 2 starts back at 1 mile at class 4 level
Dropped to class 5 last out and ran 2nd with a 6 day turn around
Comes back 15 days of last race into this level again
The race is also a qualifier, so facing the same type of horses
Adds weight penalty because of the win
Both wins are at Redcar, horse for course?
1 – Pisanelio
Drops to class 4 race after running 3rd twice in class 3 races
Both races were close losing by 1/2L and 1 1/4L
Not a great record at Redcar is a negative
But gets the services of a good jockey in Daniel Tudhope winning at 18% this season
Shot on the drop
4 – Cassy O
Hasn’t done much in last 6 races but is getting class relief comping from class 2 & 3 races
Won at this level but this was 2yrs ago
Best race of the last 6 was at Redcar vs Class 3 horses
Take a chance here at a price
Rich’s Ranks
Goodwood Picks
Race 1: William Hill Prestige Fillies’ Stakes
8 – Mottisfont
5 – Fairy Cross
1 – Bet Me
9 – Queen Olly
Race 2 : William Hill Handicap
5 – Orbaan
2- Oo De Lally
7 – Im a Gambler
9 – Able Kane
Race 5: EBF Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes
2 – Keep Bidding
6 – Lunarscape
3 – Lavendar Beauty
5 – Urban Jungle
Redcar Picks
Race 2 – Bakers Tailoring EBF Restricted Novice Stakes
1 – Taritino
8 – Optican
14 – Crime Fiction
16 – Pop World
Race 3 – Celebrating The Life Of Russ Parker Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes
2 – Saleet
1 – Cite D’or
4 – Bowleaze
6 – Greycious Anna
Race 4 – Racing TV Straight Mile Series Handicap
6 – Star Shield
2 – Diamnondonthehill
9 – Willard Creek
10 – Under Fox
