Tom and Rich are back on Black Friday with best deal of all – FREE Sha Tin Picks and Tom’s Thoughts on the Japan Cup and if any can beat Equinox?
Sha Tin Racecourse Tips (Free Sha Tin Past Performances)
Race 7: THE CHEVALIER CUP (HANDICAP)
Race 10: CHEVALIER CONSTRUCTION HANDICAP
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Sha Tin Horse Racing Picks
22 to 1 Tom’s Sha Tin Analysis
10 – Mr. Aladdin
There were only two starts, but they made up ground along the rail last time.
He appeared to want this distance and the pace was fast last time out.
The first start was on the all-weather and closed a bit on the turn.
His speed number improved, and he withdrew 2; this should help his chances.
6 – Super Legends
He is another lightly raced horse but has shown he can run in his first two starts.
He ran second last time out and won his first start.
He gets James McDonald and should be around again at the end.
3 – Endeared
He ran sixth last out but with issues and no clear running at the end.
The previous two starts were a third and a second.
The third was at this distance.
He will be in the back of the field with a one-run.
11 – Happy Together
Hot horse with wins in last two races but now moves up in class.
His speed numbers suggest he should do fine against this group.
Most horses in this are coming out of races with a good to slower pace, but he has been running in some faster races and with the close ones.
He can only benefit in this race and draw two helps and get the weight off to 115 from 126 and 128 in the last two races.
1 – Red Lion
He ran second last time out and just hung on.
Should race close to the leaders but not on the lead.
Moves back to this distance after a run at 1400m.
He should improve off his first start of the season.
5 – Super Sunny Sing
He showed little last time by just passing well-been horses to run sixths.
Won the previous start at a distance and had a well-timed ride to finish the job.
He should benefit from a moderate pace to get up in time, but we’ll only place in this race and will not win.
4 – Alacrity
This horse’s last race had some trouble and was blocked, but it was able to get some space and get out for a second. It looks like a nice strong race; The race before, the horse ran a little wide and then passed a couple of horses and then flattened out and finished fifth. This looks like a horse to be the one to beat in this race today.
3 – Find My Love
In the last race, a horse was in with a fallen horse and did not finish. Before that, I ran a mediocre race that finished 11th, but the debut for the season was a much better race, and it’s better suited for this position. This horse will be right on the money with a better trip and luck.
6 – Drombeg Banner
On his first start of the season, going wire to wire and looked pretty good doing it, here’s a horse that had twos for starts at this is a horse that has got its second start here, and this distance appears to suit because he won last time at this distance.
4 – Powerful Wing
He ran his best race of the season, running 4th last out and the 1600 meters. This was a nice race for him because he had some trouble but could get up for 4th. In prior races, you’ve not been showing much, and I like to see this in his first start. Now, this will be his fifth start, and I think you will win.
5 – Speed Dragon
It was an interesting debut for this horse in Hong Kong, and it ran well. It was not a great race overall, but it did finish 5th. It had some problems and lacked some room, it just needed a better trip. Bottom line, this was the first race here in Hong Kong after being imported from New Zealand. Somebody give it a chance in a second race.
2 – Beautyverse
This horse had his first two starts at Happy Valley, and they were very unhappy. It was a mediocre effort at first, and the second wasn’t much better.
Running his last race at the shot, Shi Tin, the horse, ran a strong second at this distance and looked much better; this was in a little better class of race, so I think this horse will show up again and do well.
10 – I Give
What do you say about a horse that’s been moving up in class from class 5 to class four and going wire to wire and winning off races well it’s 1/4 in a row so far and moves up here but got speed and should get a good draw with the draw being three should be able to get out for the lead and go where the wire to wire again.
9 – Lady’s Choice
She couldn’t hold off the winner last time out ran second it was a little wide at point times in the race, but really you showed a lot has most of its races this season I mean, with the two wins and two seconds he he liked his can’t pass on this horse to say that it can’t beat this bunch but and I don’t know if it can be the speed of my top choice.
4 – Global Harmony
It was the first start of the season, and when it was wide in this race last race and did a really strong finish, its speed numbers were not particularly fast, but at this level, it’s good enough; I can’t pass it on.
Equinox continues to prove that he is the best horse in the world, and the last race was impressive and a track record. You know it’s just one of those horses who’s going to beat him, so let’s take a look and see if we can find anybody.
Liberty Island is as good as they get she’s done running as a three-year-old she’s run some great races and, you know use top-level, no question umm The thing is with three-year-olds in this race is there are only a few that have won, and the last one who won was Almond Eye I and she was very special. She’s definitely a top contender and I look take a look at the odds and see if she may have her odds and suggest that she’ll have a good chance.
Last season, the owners of Titleholder decided to run the ARC versus running in the Japan Cup and didn’t do it that well, so now we’re back to some good numbers here. It has been running well; does William Buick get the jockey? Hmm hmm, why not? but it still has to be Equinox.
Deep Bond is a six-year-old running in this race, and he’s never won a grade one race or a Group One race. Still, he’s finished second and then a 3200m race at Kyoto the spring and 1/5 with anybody, and just, you know, it’s one of those horses that looks maybe a little better than he is right now, and this may be a nice spot for him to hit the board.
Race 6: CHEVALIER BUILDING SUPPLIES & ENGINEERING HANDICAP
7 – CELTIC TIMES – only the 14 is other speed – should co-pilot – cut back in distance helps
9 – SUNLIGHT POWER – form is getting better and will be coming fast a the end, extra distance helps
2 – BEATO – another that will be closing fast – classic 3rd after a layoff
14 – YOUNG HORIZON – the other early speed and will likely be the pacesetter
Race 7: THE CHEVALIER CUP (HANDICAP)
5 – SUPER SUNNY SING – 2 for 2 at the track and distance
2 – CIRCUIT STELLAR – three seconds in a row, the last 2 by a neck – drops from a G3 and added distance
1 – RED LION – winner two in a row – will be closing and benefit from going longer today
4 – TELECOM FIGHTERS – lone speed – when he gets and easy lead, lookout, he could get that here
Race 8: CHEVALIER CAR DEALERSHIP HANDICAP
9 – SUPREME LUCKY – track 9/4-0-1 – moves up in class put extra distance works for a fast closer
11 – SUPERB BOY – another class rise that should stalk – 2/2 at the track/distance
1 – FLAMING RABBIT – will be on fire on the front and should benefit from shortening up 200 meters
7 – ERIMO – big improvement in final quarter last out – good work at track/distance 15/3-3-1
Race 9: CHEVALIER COLD STORAGE & LOGISTICS HANDICAP
10 – CHANEHENG GLORY – 2 for 2 at track/distance, late race improvement in last
13 – FLAMINGO TRILLION – unquestionably in form – step up in class is the question
1 – WOODFIRE BRO – has been off for almost a year – 1st up 2/0-1-0 – decetn at ST and 1/1 at the dist
7 – MASTER OF FORTUNE – should be coming at the end, another that like track/distance 7/3-1-0
Race 10: CHEVALIER CONSTRUCTION HANDICAP
10 – I GIVE – up 2 levels – going to be on the front and can’t argue with last 5/4-0-1
6 – GOOD BUDDY – will be absolutely flying at the end
9 – LADY’S CHOICE – track/distance 5/2-2-0 – good form – even last race 5th by just 1 ½ lengths
4 – GLOBAL HARMONY – another that shows fast last quarter fractions but is usually way back