Horse Racing Picks and Analysis
Tom and Rich head to the headquarters of British horse racing, Newmarket Racecourse as the nearly 400-year-old could have some Breeders’ Cup implications.
Newmarket Horse Racing Tips (Free Newmarket Past Performances)
Race 1 – Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes
Race 2 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes
Race 3 – Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes
Race 4 – bet365 Cambridgeshire Handicap
Race 5 – Blandford Bloodstock Maiden Fillies’ Stakes
Picks with the Professor’s Parlay of the Day
Newmarket Racecourse Horse Racing Picks and Analysis
22 to 1 Tom’s Tips
Race 1 – 1:50
2 – Flying Honours
His first race, a maiden here at Newmarket was average in the sense he got race experience but was never a threat to the leaders
The next 2 races were much better, winning novice at 7F at Sandown running on the lead, and going now to win by 9 1/2L
Traveled with the leaders in the next start and won by 5 1/2L at Salisbury
Back to Newmarket to try group 1 company should suit just fine in the small field.
He will have company on the lead
William Buick/Charlie Appleby
Bound for the Breeders Cup next?
3 – Greenland
It took 4 races for this horse to win for Aiden O’Brien and he did at Roscommon by going wire to wire
At the Curragh, he was outpaced at the end running in DH 5th for his first start
Next start, he made the lead and got caught going 1 mile
The 3rd start, before the winning effort, was in all kinds of trouble during the running of the race and had no chance to be right at the end
Ryan Moore/Aiden O’Brien
Breeder’s Cup???
Race 2 – 2:25
9 – Trillium
4 races 3 wins
You can dismiss her first start running 2nd because she didn’t break well from the gate
Good run next out with 4L win in a maiden race at Newbury
Face the males next out at Goodwood in group 3 and ran on the firm ground going:56.68 for 5F and winning 1 1/4L
Then just 13 days ago, she beat The Platinum Queen in group 2 at Doncaster, The Platinum Queen ran second to Highfield Princess in the Nunthorpe (that’s a race that allows 2yo to run in it) Highfield Princess was next start at the Curragh Group 1 race
She is targeted for the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile sprint and win or lose here she will be at Keeneland
2 – Lezoo
4 starts 3 wins
She started her racing career at Bath with a win at 5F
The next 2 races were at Newmarket, 1 win and 1 second in listed and group 2 company
Racing at Ascot last out, she won a 6F race by 1L group 3 race
Her only loss was against the males, ran 2nd
William Buick has the ride and switches from the 3 horse Malrescia
7 – Swingalong
Won last 2 races
Run at York in group 2 races at 6F, won by a neck at 25-1
Novice race at Ripon, won by 6L also at 6F
She’s run in 2 maiden races, one she faced by top choice Trillium and lost by 5 3/4L
This is more of an in-the-money bet for me
Race 3 – 3:00
8 – Zoology
1 race 1 win
Run in a novice race at Yarmouth was impressive at 6F winning margin 4L
He went wire to wire, increase at 3F, and cleared by 2F out, the comment line was “impressive”.
The time was good over the good to soft going
I think he’s the one to beat over the more experienced 2yo
6 – Persian Force
Raced 6 times with 3 wins and 3 seconds
He lost to Blackbread, Little Big Bear, and Bradsell by 1/2L, 7L, and 1 1/2L
He won this race in the group 2 race at 6F
His records show me that a in money finish is what he will do again
2 – Marshman
2 wins 1 second
Start with a maiden win at Ayr and had issues at the start
He ran “green” in his next win at Thirsk making all the running but was 8 1/2L win but had issues with 1F to go. Lazy?
Second last out, in group 2 by 11/4L, again he ran “green” and was wandering around in the final furlong
Jockey said he hung both ways in that final furlong
This is either a very good horse with bad habits or a horse that needs to mature.
Frontrunner?
Favorite but I can’t play on top vs these horses
Race 4 –
15 – Savvy Victory
Won last out at Goodwood in class 2 race for 3yo
Ran 2nd at Doncaster vs older horse but only 4 horse field
Prior races were in group 2, listed, group 3 with 3rds
So, we have a 3yo getting weight from an older, more established runners
Distance suits but can he repeat or just be an also ran
Ryan Moore in the saddle helps his chances
11 – Bell Rock
I really liked his last effort at Doncaster, made the lead, got headed in the final furlong, hung left (tired) but still had enough to get 3rd
Has won since 2021 but had been showing signs of life
He has tried group 3, listed, and class 3 races with some success but not winning ones
The trainer is weight off and putting up an apprentice rider for more weight off.
Put him on the lead and see if this distance and weight make the difference
22 – Carolus Magnus
12 starts 2 wins 2 seconds 5 thirds
Been running in handicap class 2 & 3 races going 7.5F to 9F with ok success but not winning and has won since Sept 2021
Distance is fine, he’s in the money 9 out of 12 times and likes the good going.
Put him in at a price
Race 5 – 4:15
3 – Angel De Luz
She’s a half-sister to Mystery Angel who placed in group races and listed winner, she won first out on the turf
Sire has produced good runners and he won first time out
Mare has produced 2 foals; both have won on AW and turf going distance
The trainer has sent out 42 2yo and 11 have won
My concern in the distance may be too short for her but what the heck
6 – Fools And Horses
Sire was a sprinter and group 1 winner, offspring have done well at all levels
Mare never won, she has produced 2 foals 1 winner and he has won handicaps and placed in group races, he’s a 5F specialist
Where my top 2 choices may want more distance, this one may be suited for 7F or shorter
5 – Edith Rigby
Gosden trained using an apprentice rider
The trainer is winning at a 22% rate with 2yo’s 64 runs 14 wins and 15 placings and 12 horse from 31 starters. He’s doing better on the AW with a 29% hit rate
Sire was a good sprinter and placed in group races, he has produced 32 group winners all over the globe
Mare never raced and this is her first foal, she is by Sea The Stars, top class producer of winners
Jockey in the last 14 days is 7 wins from 39 runs 18% win rate
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes
1 – Dubai Mile
2 – Flying Honours
Race 2 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes
6 – Meditate
9 – Trillum
7 – Swingalong
4 – Mawj
Race 3 – Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes
1 – Blackbeard
6 – Persian Force
2 – Marshman
8 – Zoology
Race 4 – bet365 Cambridgeshire Handicap
4 – Mujtaba
18 – Jimi Hendrix
10 – Protagonist
26 – Night of Luxury
Race 5 – Blandford Bloodstock Maiden Fillies’ Stakes
13 – Verbier (SCRATCHED)
11 – Rouen
8 – Lady Rascal
14 – Vermillion
