Horse Racing Picks and Analysis
Tom and Rich cover all seven races for Day 1 of the Royal Ascot!
Race 1 – Queen Anne Stakes
Race 2 – Coventry Stakes
Race 3 – King’s Stand Stakes
Race 4 – St James’s Palace Stakes
Race 5 – Ascot Stakes
Race 6 – Wolferton Stakes
Race 7 – Copper Horse Stakes
Royal Ascot Horse Racing Picks and Comments
22 to 1 Tom’s International Tips
2:30
Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m I
2 – Baaeed
Undefeated miler of 7 races
What else do you say, he blew by some of these horse in his last race
Top horse in the world? He’s beaten top milers like Palace Pier, Masimal, Order of Australia, etc. have been left in his wake
Maybe Flightline on the turf?
Shortest price horse of the week
6 – Sir Busker
Ok race last out at Newbury vs Baaeed in group 1 but the comment of “never on terms”. He raced in the rear and pushed at the 2F marker.
In the Queen Anne prep race at Ascot, he was in a field of 4 ran a good 2nd prompting the comment that he will like the straight at Ascot in this race.
Average races in Dubai (3 races) but no placings at long odds
I tossed the last race and think he’s race over the 1 mile at Ascot is the race to look at and maybe more suited for the straight mile
1 – Accidental Agent
Out of form late in last season but now, he’s run 2 good races in 2022
He won a handicap in his first start of the season at Newmarket at 7F
Last race, he ran 2nd in a handicap at 7F at Ascot at 22-1 odds
He is winner at Royal Ascot in 2018 at 1 mile
He’s run 24 races at 1 mile and won only 2 races
He’s in form but I don’t know if up to this level again
3:05
Coventry Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (2yo) 6f
3 – Bradsell – Draw 2
Winner first out at York by 9L as the favorite going 6F.
As to go with 2F left, quickly clear and keep going strongly
It’s hard to complete gauge he’s form but these are 2-year-olds
Sire was stakes winner at 2,3 & 4 at distances of 6F & 7F
Dam won at distances of 6F & 7F as a 2-year-old
One other foal is a maiden winner at 6F
2 – Blackbread – Draw 14
Winner of his first 3 races, sone on the all-weather at Dundalk and next at the Curragh going 5F then 6F(group 3). He was tested more in the 5F race.
Last race, he was the front runner but the other 2 races, he stalked the leaders
Sire was a top sprinter and has produced many top sprinters
Dam won 1 race at 7F (maiden) and this is her first foal
9 – Paddy’s Day – Draw 9
Winner of first start at Windsor in novice race
Duck right at the start then went wire to wire and kept on at 6F
In reviewing race times, he ran at faster time than the rest of the field over the good to firm going
Sire won in Australia and GB at 6F to 1mile
Dam won once and only 1 of the other 3 foals have won
3:40
King’s Stand Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f
17 – Mooneista – Draw 14
No wins this season but has run 2nd, 3rd, 2nd in the 3 races at 5F & 6F
2 of these races were at 6F and he really is a 5F specialist
10 starts 3 wins 4 seconds 1 third at 5F and never won at 6F
He comes from behind and there is plenty of speed in this race
Group 2 winner has a great chance here
12 – Nature Strip – Draw 10
Shipping in from Australia winning last start at Randwick by 3 1/4L in group 1 over other group 1 winners
37 starts 20 wins 7 second 1 third and winner of over $12million US
14 races at 5F with 9 wins
He’s won the riches 6F sprint in the world, The Everest
He hasn’t been out of the money since October 2020
He should be the second choice?
10 – Man Of Promise
Last race, he ran 3rd to A Case Of You in group 1 race in Dubai (Casa Creed was in that race too)
He has been running in Dubai for the past 2 years with 3 starts 2 wins and 1 third 2022
And 2021, 1 win from 3 starts, the other 2 races are forgettable
He raced as a 2 and 3 years with some success with 1 win 1 second 1 third from 3 races
William Buick is on board with a record of 4 wins 1 second 2 thirds
If his Dubai form holds, he should be right there at the end and I don’t think they would ship him back to GB if they didn’t think he had a chance
4:20
St James’s Palace Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Colts) Cl1 (3yo) 1m
2 – Angel Bleu – Draw 11
Good enough effort last out at Newbury running 3rd to Perfect Power, clearly, he needed that start, he was sweating and very keen at the start. This was a very fast race too
In his career, he’s run badly in one race and it was at Royal Ascot running 13th but came back in next race at Ascot to run 2nd.
After that, he won 3 in a row including 2 group 1 races including at 1 mile run at St. Cloud for his final run of the season
When he started his career, he ran 3rd in his first race
He has won off a layoff from his races in GB then going to France
He’s won 2nd off a layoff twice
9 – Maijoon – Draw 8
Undefeat in 3 starts and last race was in Germany winning the 2000 Guineas (German Version) by 1 1/4L after a slow start
Won a novice race at Doncaster as his first start and then won a condition stake at Kempton on the AW at 1 mile
Late developing colt who’s sire was top class sprinter and dam was unraced but her other foal is also a winner
Step up big here, so let’s see if he has what it takes to win
6 – Coroebus – Draw 2
Winner of his last 2 races and beat stablemate Native Trail last out in the 2000 Guineas by 3/4L, that was his first start of the season
All races at 1 mile and he’s 4 starts 3 wins 1 second
He’s won on good to good to firm and can rate close to the leaders or be in the back of the field
He’s the big favorite so I am going to try and beat him
5:00
Ascot Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m4f
4 – Arcadian Sunrise – Draw 4
First start of the season was a 4th place run at Chester, got into some traffic problems with 3F to go, move up but didn’t have that closing kick. This was on the tight turn Chester course in a 14-horse field
He’s wins have come in races over 2 miles but this on both hurdles (4 wins) and flats (2 wins) and 1 win of the fences
Distance isn’t the issue but needs racing room and some luck in this large field.
Gets Harry Davies with 5-pound allowance
7 – Marshall Plan – Draw 15
3 seconds in a row for this 4 year old for the Gosden’s and he’s only won 1 race in his 12 race career. He only lost by a neck.
This was his first attempted over 2 miles and maybe that’s what he wants, distance and more distance
Frankie Dettori rides again and if he wants distance, Frankie will get him home.
16 – Scaramango – Draw 1
Last out, he was the favorite and finished last in a 4 horse field. But this was a hurdle race group 2. One on the comments was not fluent.
First race in six months and bet down because?????
He has a better record over the hurdles – 12 starts 4 wins 2 seconds 2 thirds but he’s finished in the money 6 times from 11 starts on the flats with one win.
I am not looking for him to win, just finish 2nd or 3rd
5:35
Wolferton Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m2f
14 – Tasman Bay – Draw 6
Coming off a layoff for this race, he’s won only a novice race off a layoff, actually he’s won only one race but he has placed is 4 for 4 running second or third in group races.
Technically he’s dropping in class
He’s a front runner who knows who to hang around at the end for a placings, see record.
He ran 2nd in group2 at Royal Ascot last year and I don’t see why he couldn’t do it again
1 – Cadillac – Draw 3
A winner last out at Leopardstown in a listed race traveling very strongly and won nicely
He’s a group 2 & 3 winner at distance of 7F to 10F but after shipping to Saratoga and running 9th, he lost his form in the next 4 races including layoffs but running in group level races
If he runs to this level again, he has a good chance of winning
11 – Palavecino
After winning at Lingfield AW first out, they got too aggressive and placed him in a group1 race at Epsom, as figured, he was been by 14L
Big longshot here but has an ok record on the flats, 2 wins from 10 starts and 1 third. Yes, his record on the AW is much better 10 starts 4 wins 3 seconds 1 third but this is a listed race, and he fits.
At distances of 10F or longer, he’s has 16 starts 5 wins 3 seconds 2 thirds
He’s generally a front runner so good handling will result in good race
I maybe nuts and should be playing this horse to finish last but he get the services of Jamie Spencer who in the last 14 days in winning at a 27% rate
Hmmmmmm
6:10
Copper Horse Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m6f
4 – Okita Soushi – Draw 14
In his 3-race career, he’s won a maidan, ran 2nd in class 3 and 2nd last out in a listed race over Good to yielding course in first start of the season
In the last race, he ran near the rear, asked to pick it up with 3F left, move up but was no match for the winner
I am going to take my chances with this lightly raced 4 year old trained by Joseph O’Brien and hope that last race is what he needed to run in this race
6 – Pita Pinta – Draw 2
She’s run in 3 listed races this season and tan 7th, 5th & 2nd and looked like she had a good chance in the last race
She was in touch with the leaders, went up to 2nd in the final furling and finished but not getting to the leader.
Now she drops to class 2 horses and should have a chance to be right there at the end.
16 – Bandinelli – Draw 17
Awful last out running 12 in a class 2 race at Haydock, he was up with the leader and then went backwards and pulled up with 2F left, return to the turf and vet checked and found nothing wrong
Excellent record on the AW of 6 starts 3 wins 1 second 1 third
But also has just fine on the turf too, 4 starts 2 wins
So whatever went wrong, toss the race and maybe the 2 miles on the turf was too much for this horse but just fine on the AW?
He’s won at this distance on the turf at Haydock
He won be one the favorites this time
William Buick up and in last 14 days, he’s winning at a 24% rate and this is also 100% Godolphin horses.
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – Queen Anne Stakes
2 BAAEED
7 LIGHTS ON
5 REAL WORLD
3 CHINDIT
4 ORDER OF AUSTRALIA
6 SIR BUSKER
Race 2 – Coventry Stakes
10 PERSIAN FORCE
2 BLACKBEARD
11 REMARKABLE FORCE
9 PADDY’S DAY
1 AGE OF KINGS
12 ROUSING ENCORE
Race 3 – King’s Stand Stakes
5 GOLDEN PAL
12 NATURE STRIP
10 MAN OF PROMISE
7 KING’S LYNN
3 EQUILATERAL
17 MOONEISTA
Race 4 – St James’s Palace Stakes
9 MALJOOM
6 COROEBUS
11 MY PROSPERO
2 ANGEL BLEU
10 MIGHTY ULYSSES
3 BAYSIDE BOY
Race 5 – Ascot Stakes
10 TRIBAL ART
3 COLTRANE
8 PIED PIPER
4 ARCADIAN SUNRISE
18 MAKE MY DAY
2 ROCK EAGLE
Race 6 – Wolferton Stakes
1 CADILLAC
7 FOXES TALES
12 PEROTTO
3 MAJESTIC DAWN
5 STAR SAFARI
15 WEST END CHARMER
Race 7 – Copper Horse Stakes
4 OKITA SOUSHI
5 CLEVELAND
3 STOWELL
11 JUAN DE MONTALBAN
6 PITA PINTA
17 DANEHILL KODIAC
