Keeneland Picks Live Stream – April 19, 2023 – Horse Racing Today

Keeneland Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers

$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Keeneland on a $100 Budget

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Horseshoe Indianapolis

Keeneland Picks and Plays

Charming Charles’ Choices

1. 6,10,11,9
2. 1,5,7,6
3. 9,12,11,3
4. 6,7,8,9
5. 7,1,4,2
6. 3,9,11,10
7. 2,1,6,5
8. 2,6,1,10

PLAYS

1^st $.50 Tri Box 6,9,10,11

2^nd $5 Ex Box 1,5

3^rd $.50 Tri Box 3,9,11,12

4^th $.50 Pick 5: 6,7,8,9,10,11,12/1,7/3,9/2/1,2,6

7^th $20 Win 2

8^th $2 Ex Box 2,6

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 4 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 0/3 w2w – PP: All winners 2/3 or 8+

9 – YOUALMOSTHADME – a lot of good works versus a lot of horses

11 – LATE NITE MISTRESS – Wesley Ward and Irad have won 4/5 together

6 – BARAYE – the other Wesley Ward horse – tough call over the three

3 – KRICKLE –

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 3: 3,5,6,9,11/5,7/7,9,12

Race 2: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed – 0/10 w2w – PP: Inside 3 and 8+ Edge – 4-7 Heavily Dinged

5 – HARD LOVE – by far lowest level of career and first on dirt – works on dirt are good enough and some past works at Keeneland are actually fast

7 – CARTIER CAT – I guess you have to include this one, hasn’t ran this low in last 10, the closest was CLM 15K NW3 and won

1 – CALL OF HONOR – all or nothing at the distance 6/3-0-0, 1 for 1 at Keeneland, low level MCL at the distance – appears to have a little more upside than the 4, bigger drop and better post

4 – HEIRLOOM KITTEN  – could be the top horse in the race but tr Eric Foster 0/24 AW to Dirt

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 5/7,9,12/7,8,9/1,4,7

Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 4/10 w2w – PP: 1-3 Fair, 4-7 Discount – 8+ Bonus

7 – MAHOMEBRED – been well bet at times, good schedule of works since February 12th

9 – GET BY – only horse in the field that’s met or exceeded PAR speed# for this level

12 – I’MHEREFORTHEPARTY – workouts are nice and has the best pedigree for the distance/surface

3 – ICY STARE – leading rider Tyler G, should be part of the early pace, another that’s working well

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,9,12/7,9/3,5,7,9,12

Race 4: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Closers – 1/3 w2w – PP:  All Winners 2/3

9 – JUST SAY SO -finished 2nd behind a horse that came back to win a 75k Stakes race – might have won without troubled trip, lost to another that ran in the Breeders Cup

7 – UP AND DOWN – Brown/Ortiz – off since September 1, gets 1^st Lasix – just need to get off to good start

8 – MAKE THE BOYS WINK – better ATB in last, will be rolling late

6 – FANCY CABER NEIGH – likely going to the front – has solid turf breeding numbers and 3^rd up

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,8,9/7,9/3,6,7,8,9

Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: 2 Races both won w2w – PP: one from the rail and one 4-7

7 – LONGSHADOW – Lone EP horse, ran swift fractions in first race in 6 months – 2^nd Lasix today and likely better in 2^nd start after a layoff

1 – INVISIBLE WAR – highly consistent performer, high floor – low ceiling – 1 for 1 at the distance

4 – THE HONORABLE ONE – 28f of good works since last race on Feb 28

5 – SAIL AT SUNRISE – probably faced tougher at Woodbine, doesn’t look like he took to AW or Grass – his dirt races fit

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,4,7/3,6,9,10/2,7/2,8,9

Race 6: 1 ½ Miles Turf – Bias: 1 race went w2w from 4-7

10 – ALWAYS ABOVE – workouts suggest he’ll be ready, has some ability to explode late

9 – MOUNT RUNDLE – shown he can keep pace early or close hard late, sooner or later he’ll connect the two

3 – EVAN HARLAN – faced some good company, should be forwardly placed in race that could be competitive upfront – concerned about late fade with extra distance

6 – WIND TWIST – we’ll take a flyer here, will be closing, extra distance helps and won lone start on grass, weight break

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,9,10/9,10/3,6,9,10,11

Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed – 0/10 w2w – PP: Inside 3 and 8+ Edge – 4-7 Heavily Dinged

 7 – ROYAL KING – should compete from go, speed should be accentuated in first route, should get a comfortable trip

2 – FILM STAR – drop in class, Prat and Cox win at 35% with a plus 0.82 ROI – lowest level of career

1 – CHILENO -TLRSP# and drops in class, much better through the first half mile – CV says third after a layoff should be best of the three

4 – BRIGHT SPARK – tough call over the 3 but has been facing better at higher levels

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,7/1,2,7/1,2,3,4,7

Race 8: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Closers – 1/3 w2w – PP:  All Winners 2/3

2 – CALLIE’S GRIT – something went wrong in 2^nd career start, on the sidelines since September 3^rd. Lost to a Breeder’s Cup and stakes winner in debut

8 – FRONTAL ATTACK – 1^st time starter for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz – watch the board

9 – RECONSIDER ME – could be coming out of a key race in England – third place horse came back to win and others have run well too

1 – STAY LOST – the trio of turf races fit versus most of the others, we’ll take the higher odds and strong C-Zone

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,8,9/2,8/1,2,6,8,9