Keeneland Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Keeneland on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Turf Paradise
Keeneland Picks and Plays
Charming Charles’ Choices
- 5,2,3,6
- 12,11,5,3
- 2,6,3,4
- 7,9,2,3
- 2,1,4,11
- 9,6,4,7
- 5,6,2,1
- 5,3,6,7
PLAYS
- $.50 Pick 5
2,3,5/11,12/2,3,6/2,7,9/2
- $5 Ex Box
11,12
- $10 Ex Ice Cold
2,1
$.50 Pick 4
1,2/4,6,7,9/5/All
- $5 DD
6/5
- $20 Win 5
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 4 ½ Furlongs – Bias: 5 Races, Tactical Speed – 1/5 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2 wins 2-7, and 3 wins 8+
3 – KORE KINETIC – pretty much the same workout times as the heavy favorite Wesley Ward 2, maybe more consistently fast
2 – BLUE EYED SOUL – Wesley Ward 1st timer good works, likely over bet
6 – DUNPHY – also has similar works as the 2,3, trainer and jockey struggling
8 – GEWURZTRAMINER – good works too, but jockey and trainer struggling too
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3,6/2,3/2,3,5,6,8
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers – 2/9 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2-3, Struggle, 4+ a Little Bonus
11 – LIQUID ADDICTION – cutting back from 6f – was 1.95 favorite in debut, 3 nice works since
12 – CHARGING – TLRSP# by a wide margin, most will have to come up or he regresses
16 – BEER RUN – Wesley Ward wanted in this race for a reason, $460k Horse, good turf breeding OK works
3 – ALIBI IKE – a ton of good workouts since his last race, improved in the two following debut, continued improvement would make him dangerous
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 11,12,16/11,12/3,8,11,12,16
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed – 26% w2w – PP: Strong Rail/Inside 3 and 8+ Edge, 4-7 Penalty
6 – MIACOMET – best numbers at the distance, Tyler G Killing it at Keeneland, probably wishes he could ride there year round. Been facing tougher than the rest
3 – WOLFE COUNTY – likely pacesetter, lone win came in round two off the bench like today
5 – HIGH HEATER – sim say you have to have this one as big overlay with top C-Zone
2 – IDRATHERBEBLESSED – tie TLRSP, concerned Irad isn’t having the best meet and won at MCL 30, one of the lowest in the field – Steve Matthews
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5,6/3,6/2,3,4,5,6
Race 4: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed – 2/7 w2w – PP: all wins from 2-7
7 – EXACT ESTIMATE – won in his first try on turf, improved incrementally in each race
9 – CATNIP – either runs brilliantly in the beginning or the end of races, when/if he connects the two, lookout – going to be a class horse
8 – POLICY OPTION – top overlay in SIM and most consistent performer in the field
2 – GAMER – will be running late, only question is AW to turf and MSW win w/o TLRSP#
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,9/7,8,9/2,3,4,7,8,9
Race 5: 4 ½ Furlongs – Bias: 5 Races, Tactical Speed – 1/5 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2 wins 2-7, and 3 wins 8+
1 – BRIGHTWORK – the April 16th and April 3rd works are fast
2 – BARBTOURAGE – this might be the beast they were talking about for Ward last week, all the works are good
8 – TITANIA’S DREAM – some good works and momma has a 1 stakes winner in 4 starters and 3 won
5 – UNMATCHED – bullet and go, a quartet of 3f works, definitely aiming to be a part of the early pace
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,5,6,8,11/4,9/2,5,6/3,5,7
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers – 2/9 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2-3, Struggle, 4+ a Little Bonus
9 – BOUND FOR NOWHERE – clearly the class versus graded company – Keeneland 6/3-1-1 and Distance 8/4-2-1
4 – OUR SHOT – is a neck away from winning three in a row and four of five, will be coming from off the pace – but should not be too far from the front with these
7 – INFINITE – another Wesley Ward horse, catches a weight break, distance 6/3-0-1
5 – PURPLE DREAM – 3sp# increases in a row, record says good chance he’ll show more in 2nd off the sidelines
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,9/4,7,9/4,5,7,8,9
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 4/12 w2w – PP: Rail and 8+ Bonus, 2/3 fair, 4-7 Penalty
6 – DOG RED – top maiden winner, if you like the Wesley Ward favorite – got to like this one too, top number at Turfway
5 – ONE GIANT LEAP – Wesley Ward, 2nd after a layoff, weight break and was better ATB in last
2 – GOLD LUCK – first off the claim for Jonathan Wong – 30% winner, last two works were nice
4 – LIBERTANGO – tough call over the 1, but likely pacecetter, lone E and top C-Zone
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,6/5,6/1,2,4,5,6
Race 8: 1 ½ Miles Turf – Bias: 2/3 w2w – the other way off the pace -PP: 2/3 from the rail, other 4-7
5 – LIGHT STARS – TLRSP# and top Pedigree in the field, faced some tough competition in France
3 – BRAVO KITTEN – could be the pacesetter where 2/3 went w2w – and Keeneland 2/0-2-0, ITM 8/10 on Turf
7 – BROADWAY BOOGIE – Tie for the TLRSP# and drops in class, if she can run back to her only 1 ½ mile run, would likely win
4 – LADY ARSINOE – chance to be forwardly places with top C-Zone
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5,7/3,5/3,4,5,6,7
