Horse Racing Today

Keeneland Picks Live Stream – April 27, 2023 – Horse Racing Today

Keeneland Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers

$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Keeneland on a $100 Budget

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Gulfstream Park

Keeneland Picks and Plays

Charming Charles’ Choices

1.  8,5,4,7
2.  10,4,1,7
3.  2,4,3,1
4.  2,7,11,3
5.  9,5,4,6
6.  8,6,5,1
7.  5,7,8,4
8.  3,7,6,2
9.  12,10,8,1

PLAYS

1. $.50 Tri box
4,5,7,8
2. $.50 Pick 4
4,10/2,4/2,7/4,5,9
4.  $5 Ex box
2,7
5. $.50 Tri box
4,5,6,9
6. $.50 Pick 4
6,8/3,4,5,7,8/3,7/10,12
7. $5 Ex box
5,7
$.50 Pick 3
3,4,5,7,8/3,7/10,12
8. $10 Ex ice cold
3,7
9. $4 Ex ice cold
12,10

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 33% w2w -PP: Rail and 8+ Bias, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount 

4 – VALUABLE CARGO – MSW dropper, debut was good relative versus the rest of these, last two works were very good

8 – MANCHESTER – best speed and most consistent speed numbers

3 – KASIMBA – Wesley Ward – do we really need to say more for this Keeneland meet

7 – PLATINUM GHOST – flashed EP in debut, rushed up after bobble, lets see if a cleaner start helps

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick 3: 3,4,7,8/9,10/3,4

 

Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers/Closers – 2/10 w2w – PP: Strong Outside In, No Rail Wins

10 – FANDOM –a Wesley Ward horse, good works

9 – LAUGH NOW – let’s toss in a bomb, the last work 4f in 48.4 is pretty good

7 – CALHOUN – Tyler G rides here, decent work on April 8th looks good

4 – BLAST FURNACE  – another first time with some of the better works

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick 4: 9,10/3,4/2,3,7/1,4,5,9

 

Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 3 of 4 w2w – PP: 2 From Rail, 1 from 2/3, One from 4-7

3 – UNION HARMONY – not the best 1st time starter numbers for Brendan Walsh, last two works were good

4 – MILIEU – solid chance to be on the lead with good c-zone

2 – ARDEN’S ASSAULT – decently bet in debut, slow start strong close

1 – PATIENCE WORTH – overlay with strongest c-zone, 4/0-3-0 on fast

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4/2,3,4/1,2,3,4,6

 

Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 33% w2w -PP: Rail and 8+ Bias, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount

2 – CAMI CAT – coming off the maiden MC 30 win, TLRSP# and has strong C-zone

3 – SOCIAL MANDATE – bad start in last, usually off to a good going, should be up front

7 – SWEET BEAUTY – consistent performer, dropping in class, ITM 5/8 at the distance

11 – PUGLIA – only win came at 6f, strong works since moving to Keeneland, maybe she likes the track

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3/2,3,7/1,2,3,7,11

Race 5: 1 ½ Miles Turf – Bias: 50/50 – Rail Bias

9 – SIR FOR SURE – been off since October, workouts consistent and solid, been running in NGSTK last 5, including Queen’s Plate series at Woodbine, which are important races in Canada

4 – THE GREY WIZARD – won the last time he ran in Allowance, has a pair of 2nds in two at the distance, by far best C-Zone

1 – KITTEN MISCHIEF – usually runs well off the bench, won his lone run at the distance last out, been off since Jan and works are good

5 – WICKED FAST – last three were graded stakes, consistent performer, will be way back and try to rally

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,4,9/4,9/1,4,5,6,9

 

Race 6: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 24% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Three, 4-7 discounted, 8+ Bonus

6 – PENTAGON – another that is in claiming for the first time, hasn’t run of fast dirt yet

8 – DE JORIA – TLRSP# and better fractions last out, dropping in class, 3rd up too, last 3rd looked like the 2nd

1 – YO PUEDO – Overlay, strong C-Zone, rides the hot rail and has 3 maintenance works since last

5 – POUT – really benefits with the 2 scratching, likely pace setter with strong c-zone

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick 4: 6,8/3,5,9/3,4,7/1,2,10

 

Race 7: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed – 4/9 w2w – PP: None from Rail or 8+, 2/3 been best, 4-7 Fair

3 – VENENCIA – this philly won her debut at Chantilly in France – their top track, with the strongest debut class rating

5 – BE MY SUNSHINE – last race was even better than the upped speed figure, better fractions at 1 1/16 miles compared to 7 ½f in debut

9 – CLOUDY BAY – sim says this one is a big overlay

10 – MISS PEABODY – never off the board on grass 2/0-1-1, sharp run in lone Keeneland grass go, strong rally late, recent bullet work hints horse will be more forward today

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5,9/3,5/3,5,8,9

 

Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 3 of 4 w2w – PP: 2 From Rail, 1 from 2/3, One from 4-7

7 – NON VIOLENCE – looks like he tired in his third race w/o a layoff, either of the first 2 career starts probably gets this one

4 – TAKE CARE – and the 6 are the only two that have been competing at this level, he wins if he runs to his best, recent work hints at return to form

3 – SEND FOR ME – clearly didn’t care for AW in last, her three sprits fit here

5 – BRAGANZA – tough call over the 6, TLRPS# some swift workouts since

Suggested Wagers: $1 Double: 4,7/1,2,9,10

 

Race 9: 1 3/16 Miles Turf – No Races at the Distance

2 – KING CURLIN – going to turf might help this one, has strong late pace#s and should not be far from the front

1 – GETTLEMAN – TLRSP# in debut with a solid, consistent performance from end to end

10 – MISSIONAIRE – had a lot of LP in debut, followed it up with a lot of EP in start #2, connects the front and the back today

9 – CAROOM – closed like a maniac in his last two turf tries and tried to the do the same in his debut

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2/1,2,10,1,2,9,10,12

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