Keeneland Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Keeneland on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Gulfstream Park
Keeneland Picks and Plays
Charming Charles’ Choices
1. 8,5,4,7
2. 10,4,1,7
3. 2,4,3,1
4. 2,7,11,3
5. 9,5,4,6
6. 8,6,5,1
7. 5,7,8,4
8. 3,7,6,2
9. 12,10,8,1
PLAYS
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 33% w2w -PP: Rail and 8+ Bias, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount
4 – VALUABLE CARGO – MSW dropper, debut was good relative versus the rest of these, last two works were very good
8 – MANCHESTER – best speed and most consistent speed numbers
3 – KASIMBA – Wesley Ward – do we really need to say more for this Keeneland meet
7 – PLATINUM GHOST – flashed EP in debut, rushed up after bobble, lets see if a cleaner start helps
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick 3: 3,4,7,8/9,10/3,4
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers/Closers – 2/10 w2w – PP: Strong Outside In, No Rail Wins
10 – FANDOM –a Wesley Ward horse, good works
9 – LAUGH NOW – let’s toss in a bomb, the last work 4f in 48.4 is pretty good
7 – CALHOUN – Tyler G rides here, decent work on April 8th looks good
4 – BLAST FURNACE – another first time with some of the better works
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick 4: 9,10/3,4/2,3,7/1,4,5,9
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 3 of 4 w2w – PP: 2 From Rail, 1 from 2/3, One from 4-7
3 – UNION HARMONY – not the best 1st time starter numbers for Brendan Walsh, last two works were good
4 – MILIEU – solid chance to be on the lead with good c-zone
2 – ARDEN’S ASSAULT – decently bet in debut, slow start strong close
1 – PATIENCE WORTH – overlay with strongest c-zone, 4/0-3-0 on fast
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4/2,3,4/1,2,3,4,6
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 33% w2w -PP: Rail and 8+ Bias, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount
2 – CAMI CAT – coming off the maiden MC 30 win, TLRSP# and has strong C-zone
3 – SOCIAL MANDATE – bad start in last, usually off to a good going, should be up front
7 – SWEET BEAUTY – consistent performer, dropping in class, ITM 5/8 at the distance
11 – PUGLIA – only win came at 6f, strong works since moving to Keeneland, maybe she likes the track
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3/2,3,7/1,2,3,7,11
Race 5: 1 ½ Miles Turf – Bias: 50/50 – Rail Bias
9 – SIR FOR SURE – been off since October, workouts consistent and solid, been running in NGSTK last 5, including Queen’s Plate series at Woodbine, which are important races in Canada
4 – THE GREY WIZARD – won the last time he ran in Allowance, has a pair of 2nds in two at the distance, by far best C-Zone
1 – KITTEN MISCHIEF – usually runs well off the bench, won his lone run at the distance last out, been off since Jan and works are good
5 – WICKED FAST – last three were graded stakes, consistent performer, will be way back and try to rally
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,4,9/4,9/1,4,5,6,9
Race 6: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 24% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Three, 4-7 discounted, 8+ Bonus
6 – PENTAGON – another that is in claiming for the first time, hasn’t run of fast dirt yet
8 – DE JORIA – TLRSP# and better fractions last out, dropping in class, 3rd up too, last 3rd looked like the 2nd
1 – YO PUEDO – Overlay, strong C-Zone, rides the hot rail and has 3 maintenance works since last
5 – POUT – really benefits with the 2 scratching, likely pace setter with strong c-zone
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick 4: 6,8/3,5,9/3,4,7/1,2,10
Race 7: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed – 4/9 w2w – PP: None from Rail or 8+, 2/3 been best, 4-7 Fair
3 – VENENCIA – this philly won her debut at Chantilly in France – their top track, with the strongest debut class rating
5 – BE MY SUNSHINE – last race was even better than the upped speed figure, better fractions at 1 1/16 miles compared to 7 ½f in debut
9 – CLOUDY BAY – sim says this one is a big overlay
10 – MISS PEABODY – never off the board on grass 2/0-1-1, sharp run in lone Keeneland grass go, strong rally late, recent bullet work hints horse will be more forward today
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5,9/3,5/3,5,8,9
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 3 of 4 w2w – PP: 2 From Rail, 1 from 2/3, One from 4-7
7 – NON VIOLENCE – looks like he tired in his third race w/o a layoff, either of the first 2 career starts probably gets this one
4 – TAKE CARE – and the 6 are the only two that have been competing at this level, he wins if he runs to his best, recent work hints at return to form
3 – SEND FOR ME – clearly didn’t care for AW in last, her three sprits fit here
5 – BRAGANZA – tough call over the 6, TLRPS# some swift workouts since
Suggested Wagers: $1 Double: 4,7/1,2,9,10
Race 9: 1 3/16 Miles Turf – No Races at the Distance
2 – KING CURLIN – going to turf might help this one, has strong late pace#s and should not be far from the front
1 – GETTLEMAN – TLRSP# in debut with a solid, consistent performance from end to end
10 – MISSIONAIRE – had a lot of LP in debut, followed it up with a lot of EP in start #2, connects the front and the back today
9 – CAROOM – closed like a maniac in his last two turf tries and tried to the do the same in his debut
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2/1,2,10,1,2,9,10,12
