Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Ajax Downs – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Terry’s Picks
Keenland – 10 -22-25
Race 1-Female
1 – Manage Xpectations – Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race as favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 36% of the races when bringing a horse back to run; top jockey and rail post is winning at a 20% clip.
2 – Animal Fries – Has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races in the 2nd race off a layoff; Early speed running style helps chances.
3 – Eyes of Gold – Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 50% of the races in the 2nd start with this trainer and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
4 – Tiz Salty – Closed to finish 4th vs similar in last race after having trouble; Both her trainer and jockey have strong win rates.
Alternate:
6 – Wild Acclaim
Race 2–Female
9 – Struck At Midnight – She Ran 2nd vs similar (on Turf) in only start, has the highest last race speed rating (tie). Both her trainer and jockey have strong win rates.
7 – Noroomformischief – Finished in the money in all 3 career races, running 2nd vs similar in last race and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Classic Glide – Finished 3rd vs tougher (on Turf) in last race; Drops in class today; Both her trainer and jockey have strong win rates and blinkers added today.
Longshot:
5 – Cairosa – Ran 2nd in last race, she has a bullet 3F workout (Oct-01) and blinkers added today.
Alternate:
8 – Greatest
2 – Click
$.50 Pick 4: 3,5,7,8,9/1,3/1,2,3,4,5/2,7– Cost $50.00
Race 3
1 – Lambo: Has placed 7 of 10 career starts, including one win; always in the money at this distance. The rail post wins 19% of the time, and his best dirt speed tops today’s field.
3 – Brave Blend – Ran 2nd in last race and switches top jockey.
4 – Colonel Caliente – Drops in class today, has a high % winning who wins trainer who wins 22% of the claiming races he has a horse competing in and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Tom Cat Tuesday – He won last race, has a high % winning trainer and has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
7 – Guardian
8 – Honest Al
Race 4
3 – Clear the Beach – Ran 2nd in both career races. Trained by a high-percentage winning trainer and drops in class today.
1 – Rapoport – He ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in last race; Breeding suggests he will like the grass and Lasix is added.
4 – Dr. Saikali – Ran 2nd in last race, has a high-percentage trainer and a bullet 4F workout (Oct-16).
Longshot:
2 – Post Game – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Cant Stop Munnings
7 – Money Man
Race 5–Female
7 – Sticker Shock – She is a First-time starter whose Dam has 6 winners from 7 starters and 2 stakes winners. Both her trainer and jockey have strong win rates. Has a good 5F workout (Oct-05)
2 – Joke Maker – Finished 3rd against stronger competition last time; drops in class today and trainer wins 31% of races with the sprint-route-sprint pattern.
10 – Theoretical – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Touch of an Angel – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey, blinkers are added today and she has a good 5F workout (Oct-06).
Alternate:
8 – Mojo Promise
$.50 Pick 4: 2,5,7,10/2,8/4,6,11/1,2,3,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 6
8 – One True Shance – She has placed in all 4 career races, winning 3 starts and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Legalize – Finished 3rd in last race and trainer and jockey have high win rates.
3 – Hailstorm – Ran 2nd in last race and trainer and jockey have high win rates.
Longshot:
5 – Tough Catch – Finished in the money in 3 of last 4 races, winning 1 start; drops in class today; trainer and jockey has high win rate.
Alternate:
4 – Beeline
Bet: $20.00 Win: 8 – $10.00 Exacta Box:2/8 – $10.00 Exacta:8/2,3,5 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 2,3,8
Race 7-Female
4 – Sister Troienne – She won last race, best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and is paired with a high-performing jockey.
6 – Nickel Saver – She won last race and trainer and jockey have high win rates.
11 – Memorized – She won last race on the turf at today’s distance has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a good 4F workout (Oct-16).
Longshot:
9 – War Madam – Won her debut race at Colonia Downs and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Sadie Earp
2 – Bert’s Knoty Girl
Race 8
1 – Nu What’s New: Finished 3rd last out; has top dirt speed and highest recent speed rating; rail wins 19% of the time; trainer and jockey stats are strong.
2 – Homer’s Odyssey – Finished 3rd vs tougher (on Turf) in last race, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
3 – El Prestigio – Finished 2nd in 4 races out of 6 career starts: switches to a high % winning jockey and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
10 – Arthur Jr – Ran 2nd in last race and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
12 – Calling On Heaven
11 – Good Mojo
Best Bet of the Day at Keenland – 6th Race – #8 – One True Shance
