Kentucky Downs Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Candterberry Downs – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Free Kentucky Downs Picks
Terry’s Picks:
Kentucky Downs -9-10-25
Race 1-Female
15 – Lit Ship – Finished 2nd in her last race; highest last race speed rating, best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a high-percentage trainer and jockey aboard.
12 – Amazing Amanda – Finished 2nd in her last race; Breeding suggests she will like the grass and has a high-percentage trainer and jockey aboard.
1 – Blues Music – Finished 3rd in her last race; has a high % winning trainer who wins 29% in the 2nd grass race a horse competes in.
Longshot:
3 – Call Me Precious – Debut runner bred for turf sprints; trained by a high-percentage winner.
Alternate:
7 – Lightning Run – She is a first-time starter whose; Breeding suggests she will like the grass and has a high-percentage winning trainer and high-percentage winning jockey Frankie Detorri.
8 – Rockin Robin – She is a first-time starter who has a high % winning trainer and a solid 4F workout on Aug-17.
Bet: $.10 Superfecta Box: #1,3,7,12,15 – ($12.00)
Race 2
12 – Gnome – Finished 2nd in his first 2 starts, he has the highest last race speed rating and is teamed with a high-percentage trainer and jockey.
5 – The Standard – Finished 3rd in his first 2 starts; Breeding suggests he will like the grass and has a top trainer and jockey.
4 – Blinging It Back – Finished in the money in 3 races out of 4 career starts, Breeding suggests he will like the grass, has top jockey and trainer, plus a solid 4F workout on Aug 28.
Longshot:
14 – Greymoor: Runner-up as the favorite last out; trained by a high-percentage trainer who wins 36% with beaten horses returning.
Alternate:
7 – Vasy
Bet: $.10 Superfecta Box: #4,5,7,12,14 – ($12.00)
$.50 Pick 4: 4,5,12,14/4,5,6,8/1,9/4,6,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
5 – Oeuvre – Finished in the money in 2 races out of 2 starts at Kentucky Downs, running 3rd in her last race and has a high-percentage trainer and jockey aboard.
4 – In Our Time – Finished 3rd against stronger competition last out, holds the top recent speed rating, drops in class, and is trained by a high-percentage winning trainer who wins 23% of the sprint races he has a horse competing in.
8 – Time to Dazzle: Drops in class, tied for fastest best turf speed today, with a top trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Mischievous Gal – She finished in the money in 7 races out the last 9 starts, winning 5 of the races and she has a top-winning trainer.
Alternate:
2 – Nice as Pie
1 – Pigalle
Bet: $.10 Superfecta Box: #2,4,5,6,8 – ($12.00)
Race 4–
1 – Tickin Time Blonde: Going for second win in a row at Kentucky Downs with returning Frankie Dettori in the irons and has a high-percentage winning trainer.
9 – Rocky Joy – Third in last race; and is paired with a high-percentage winning trainer and jockey.
10 – Its Bourbon Thirty – Won his last race and has a high-percentage winning trainer.
Longshot:
12 – Mischief River – 3rd place last start; highest recent speed rating, turf speed near average winning mark, bullet 3F workout (Sep-04).
Alternate:
6 – Hit That Review
8 – Comes a Time
Bet: $.10 Superfecta Box: #1,6,9,10,12 – ($12.00)
Race 5-Female
10 – Lots of Kisses – Third in her last race with the highest recent speed rating. She has the best turf speed today and is paired with a leading trainer and jockey.
6 – Lucy McGee: Finished in the money in 4 races out of the last 5 starts; has a high-percentage trainer and jockey.
3 – Tempting Eve: 2nd place last start; has a high-percentage winning trainer who wins 18% of the sprints she has a horse running in and has a high-percentage jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Queen Dancing – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests she will like the grass and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Rethink
Bet: $.10 Superfecta Box: #2,3,6,7,10 – ($12.00)
Race 6–
9 – Did It Dialed: Won last race, Highest last race speed rating (tie); has a high-percentage winning trainer who wins 22% of the races in the 1st time on the grass and has a top jockey.
11 – Confront – He won his last race and is paired with a high-percentage trainer and jockey.
10 – After Taxes – Finished 3rd in her last 2 races and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Tom Collins – Placed in his last three races with one win: trained by a 23% route-to-sprint winner and ridden by a leading jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Anmer Hall
Bet: $.10 Superfecta Box: #2,8,9,10,11 – ($12.00)
Race 7 –
10 – Epic Horsepower: 2nd place last start and he has high % winning trainer.
4 – Fulleffort – Runner-up as the favorite last time; trained by a high win-rate trainer who excels at 30%with beaten favorites and paired with a top jockey.
6 – No Hay Dos – Second in last race; he has high % winning trainer and jockey and likes the distance.
Longshot:
2 – Dufoof – He is a first-time starter and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Whatever
Race 8
9 – Pancake House: He has won his last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and a trainer and jockey with high win rates.
10- Quereme Pass – He placed in 3 races in his last 4 starts. His jockey has high win rates and a 3F workout (Sep-03).
2 – Dominican Pioneer: He has won 2 races out of 3 starts at Kentucky Downs and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Princetown – He is trained by trainer Michael Maker and ridden by Flavien Prat.
Alternate:
7 – Yinzer
3 – Pentathlon
Bet: $.10 Superfecta Box: #2,5,7,9,10– ($12.00)
$.50 Pick 4: 2,5,7,9,10,12/8,9/2,7/2,4,6,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 9
9 – Army Officer: Won his last race, and a trainer and jockey with high win rates.
8 – Green Light – Finished in the money in 7 races out of 9 career starts, winning 3 races. Both his trainer and jockey have high win rates.
3 – Signator: Finished 3rd last race; has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and can handle the distance.
Longshot:
2 – Big Blue Line – He ran 2nd in last race, he has high % winning trainer and jockey and has a good 4F workout (Aug-30).
Alternate:
7 – Nineeleventurbo
5 – General Partner
Bet: $.10 Superfecta: #8,9/2,3,5,7,8,9/2,3,5,7,8,9/2,3,5,7,8,9 – ($12.00)
Race 10-Female
7 – Fionn: Finished in the money in all 7 career starts, winning 5 races; has a high-percentage trainer and jockey.
2 – Destino d’Oro – She has won 3 races out of 4 career starts and has a high win rate with both trainer and jockey and a good 4F workout (Sep-03).
5 – Running Away – She has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and a trainer and jockey with high win rates.
Longshot:
1 – Daisy Flyer – She won last race, she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
10 – Hereforagoodtime
Bet: $4.00 Win # 7
Race 11-Female
4 – Western Run– Finished 2nd and has a high win rate with both trainer and jockey.
11 – Swirling Eights – Runner-up as the favorite last time; high % winning trainer who wins 24% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and likes the distance.
2 – Vivaldi: Placed in the money in 3 of her last 4 starts; has a high-percentage trainer and jockey and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
6 – Abuelo – She finished 3rd in the only race she has competed in at today’s distance; paired with a high-percentage trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Thunder Roll
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 10th Race – #7 – Fionn
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 4/10 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Fair
15 – LIT SHIP – 2nd race improvement – just missed in debut
3 – CALL ME PRECIOUS – top rated first timer
6 – SHANE’S THE BRAINS – maybe some of the best works for 1sters
8 – ROCKIN ROBIN – another highly rated 1ster with back bullets
$0.10 Superfecta: 3,6,15/3,6,8,15/1,3,6,8,15/1,3,5,6,8,15
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 4/10 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Fair
5 – THE STANDARD – two good races – bullet work between races – trying turf for the 1st time
4 – BLINGING IT BACK – must think a lot of this horse – ran in a G3 – tons of regression in last
12 – GNOME – first race on grass last out – repeat that and would be enough
11 – JUST BUY IT – Top rated 1st timer – decent work – big price -we’ll take it
$0.50 Pick 4: 4,5,11,12/5,4,8/2,9/2,3,6,10
$0.10 Superfecta: 4,5,11,12/4,5,12/1,4,5,11,12/1,4,5,10,11,12
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 4/10 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Fair
5 – OEUVRE – will make a big mid move – KD 2/1-0-1
4 – IN OUR TIME – SIM FAV – drops in class from a G3 and could be better in2nd up
8 – TIME TO DAZZLE – Top Total Pace – drops from a G2 and will show up late
6 – MISCHIEVOUS GAL – potential pacesetter with top C Zone where 4/10 went w2w
$0.10 Superfecta: 4,5,6,8/4,5,8/2,4,5,6,8/1,2,4,5,6,8
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 4/10 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Fair
2 – G T FIVE HUNDRED – 1 of 2 YES horses – Top Total Pace +5 – Top Par+ and SIM FAV
9 – ROCKY JOY – ITM 8/9 on turf – usually runs well off the bench
4 – VESTURE – the other YES horse – 3rd up
8 – COMES A TIME – could have plenty of upside – could be better in 2nd up and 2nd on grass
$0.10 Superfecta: 2,4,8,9/2,4,9/1,2,4,8,9/1,2,4,6,8,9
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 4/10 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Fair
10 – LOTS OF KISSES – 2nd race improvement – already TLRSP#+7
3 – TEMPTING EVE – better LP and early fractions in last
2 – RETHINK – another that just needs 2nd race improvement
6 – LUCY MCGEE – YES horse – talk about consistent – the last 5 are nearly exactly the same – but regresses a little last out – maybe needs a rest
$0.10 Superfecta: 2,3,10/2,3,6,7,10/2,3,10/2,3,6,7,10,11
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 4/10 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Fair
2 – ANMER HALL – YES horse (1 of 2) – top Total Pace of a length – drops – 3rd up
9 – DID IT DIALED – trying turf for the first time – maybe the most upside in just 3rd start
10 – AFTER TAXES –2nd time making two starts in a row – big pop the only other time
11 – CONFRONT – Prat and Cox – been heavy favorite in both starts – 1st turf try
$0.10 Superfecta: 2,9,10,11/2,9,10/2,8,9,10,11/2,8,9,10,11,13
Race 7: 1 Mile – Stalkers, 5/15 w2w – PP: Strong Rail, Inside Out
10 – EPIC HORSEPOWER – theme of the day – 2nd race improvement – missed by a neck in debut
1 – WHATEVER – highly rated 1ster – strong rail – back bullet
4 – FULLEFFORT – just missed in last – 3rd career race – good chance for a bounce back effort
5 – WEST OF EAST TEXAS – a little flyer here – 5th or so rated 1ster – decent connections and back bullet – although it is only 3f
$0.10 Superfecta: 1,4,5,10/1,4,10/1,4,5,7,10/1,4,5,7,8,10
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Closers – 0/3 w2w – PP: None 1-3, One from 4-7, two from 8+
2 – DOMINICAN PIONEER – winner 2/3 at KD
3 – PENTATHLON – Top Total Pace and drops
9 – PANCAKE HOUSE – just needs to build a little on his last – 2nd up
5 – PRINCETOWN – YES horse that’s very consistent
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5,9/2,5,14/2,7/2,4,9,11
$0.10 Superfecta: 2,3,9/2,3,5,9,11/2,3,9/2,3,5,7,9,11
Race 9: 1 Mile – Stalkers, 5/15 w2w – PP: Strong Rail, Inside Out
14 – QUATROCENTO – won last a KD and both at the distance
2 – BIG BLUE LINE – might have the most back class and Dettori is on fire
5 – GENERAL PARTNER – Prat and Brown first time on grass and off dirt says it should work
9 – ARMY OFFICER – resume says better in 2nd up
$0.10 Superfecta: 2,5,9,14/2,5,14/2,5,7,9,14/2,5,7,8,9,14
Race 10: 1 5/16 Miles – Bias: Closers – 0/5 w2w – PP: 1-3 None, 4 of 5 from 4-7, 1 from 8+
2 – DESTINO D’ORO – won a G3 last out and should be at least as good in 2nd up
7 – FIONN – winner 5/7 on grass including a G1 in her last
1 – DAISY FLYER – getting extra distance her helps – maybe a lot
11 – TOTALLY JUSTIFIED – TLRSP#+5 – switches to Irad
$0.10 Superfecta: 1,2,7,11/1,2,7/1,2,7,11,12/1,2,4,7,11,12
Race 11: 1 Mile – Stalkers, 5/15 w2w – PP: Strong Rail, Inside Out
9 – LANGDON – 2nd Race Improvement
11 – SWIRLING EIGHTS – YES horses next vs noes
4 – WESTERN RUN
2 – VIVALDI
$0.10 Superfecta: 2,4,9,11/4,9,11/2,4,6,9,11/2,4,6,9,10,11
