Kentucky Downs Picks Live Stream – August 31, 2023 – Horse Racing Today

Race 1 –

2 – Motel Mischief – ran green in the first start but looks better than the results. Price.

4 – Laucadia – working on all-weather and breed for turf.

13 – Field Lass – drew in from AE, showed speed in first start, moved from the turf. The mare side is all turf.

Race 2 –

8 – Hidden Class – good first run at Saratoga, issues at the start. Maybe favorite.

4 – Urban Dreamer – excellent first effort, workouts good for this race.

3 – Edistrudis – a dirt winner, toss last, high percentage trainer first turf run.

13 – Crazy Cami – chased the pace last out, held third, turf? The first one I have seen from the sire Audible.

Race 3 –

5 – Olkovskha – won at Lyon & Bordeaux, needed first start in the states.

4 – Federalist Papers – last run well but had to check during the race; ran second last year at this track.

8 – Shad Nation – last race a bit of a mess, running on frontend in last 2. Won here last year.

Race 4 –

3 – Ready for Change – good works, awful last race, has shown some interest in turf running. Price.

1 – Happy Soul – good runs on the turf lately, ran second here last year in stakes. Favorite?

7 – Linguistic – nice runs lately, good turf record.

Race 5 –

5 – Great Runner – prep race at Evangeline in mud, traffic issues, paid $775k. This race was the plan all along.

1 – Utah Beach – inside run, swing out 4 wide, couldn’t get to the winner

4 – Hoglayers RIP – blinkers on after running on frontend last race, and nothing left. First start of the year.

Race 6 –

9 – Sponge Bath – good win first out having to duel; good works coming into this race.

5 – Midnight Lumberjack – showed pace after a slow start in his first career race; gate workout and adding blinkers may make the difference.

10 – Coin Miner – He just missed in the first start and had some issues in the race, he had a good workout in the mud at CD.

Race 7 –

7 – Ocean Atlantique – valuable race at Saratoga for prep, showed pace early and empty at the finish.

4 – Street Ready – hasn’t raced since December but has steady workouts and has been competitive at this level.

6 – Wolfie’s Dynaghost – back to the turf after average effort on the all-weather. Turf record good 11 starts, two wins, 2 seconds, 3 thirds.

Race 8 –

6 – American Retro – the first turf try, in-the-money all four races, turf breeding

8 – Erna – OK, effort lasts with issues, needs a good trip, and coming at the end.

10 – Ivory Moon – won first start in January, then put away to return here. Interesting.

Race 9 –

9 – Yes This Time – claimed last race to run here; interesting move.

8 – English Bee – fair effort last out at Saratoga, will put in a reasonable effort.

3 – Kitodan – One start this season, big faded. He won at KD last year; he needed a race. He will be in the rear of the field at the beginning.

Race 10 –

9 – Channeler – first start, breeding screams turf, workouts ok.

4 – Tapitoro – even workouts for first start, turf breeding, watch odds.

6 – Copper Missile – came wide and fast, closing in the first start.

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers – 16% w2w – PP: Outside In, Rail Penalty, 2-7 Sightly Under Par, 8+ Best

5 – BUNDCHEN – Wesley Ward – strong turf breeding, decent works since trying Ascot

9 – SARAH’S DREAM – decently bet in her debut, consistent effort from start to finish, some nice works since

1 – SALTWATER TAFFY – TLRSP# after stumbling at the start and going wide – a pair of strong works since

7 – BUTTERCREAM BABE – good breeding, good steady works, like the June-July brisk works and a pair to keep her fit since

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,5,9/1,4,5,7,9/1,5,9

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers – 16% w2w – PP: Outside In, Rail Penalty, 2-7 Sightly Under Par, 8+ Best

1 – TX WOMEN FOR ARTS – dropping from a pair of NGSTK races, faster at 7f v 5 ½ with TLRSP#

13 – CRAZY CAMI – well bet at Toga as BTN FAV in last, ran faster at 6f v 5 ½

8 – HIDDEN CLASS – had to steady at the start in her debut, made up tons of ground, going longer helps

4 – URBAN DREAMER – tie for top turf pedigree, gave up lead late in debut, a trio of solid works since, more stamina today

9 – INTEGRATED DESIGN – got to have a bomb at KD, tie top grass Pedigree and won last out when trying grass for the first time

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,8,13/1,4,8,9,13/1,8,13

Race 3: 1 5/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 9 Races – Stalkers/Closers, 1 w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2-7 a Little Above Par, 8+ Penalty

8 – SHAD NATION – 1 for 1 at KD, at the distance – consistent performer

6 – R CALLI KIM – tie TLRSP# in first race in more than a year, resume says 2^nd more likely to be better

4 – FEDERALIST PAPERS – a close 2^nd in lone trip at KD, tie for the TLRSP# and could be better in round two off the bench

5 – OLKOVSKHA – well bet in US debut, was too far back, a little closer at the jump and the LP helps

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,6,8/3,4,5,6,8/4,6,8

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers – 16% w2w – PP: Outside In, Rail Penalty, 2-7 Sightly Under Par, 8+ Best

1 – HAPPY SOUL – 2^nd by a head in lone KD run, slightly better ATB in last and should be as good, maybe better in 2^nd up

4 – STATIC FIRE – drops in class, had a decent 4^th in a 500K race at KD last year

10 – WALKATHON – been off since June 2022, undefeated in three on grass, she has the class if she is ready

2 – BOUT TIME – tough call over the 7, but appears to have a little more upside

Suggested Wager: 0.50 Trifecta: 1,4,10/1,2,4,7,10/1,4,10

Race 5: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed – 12% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Way Underperform, 4-7 best with Big Bonus, 8+ Penalty

7 – NOISES OFF – considerably quicker fractions last out despite going longer

8 – CURLINS INCHARGE – only horse with KD experience, close third at 6 ½, might have won at 1 mile

1 – UTAH BEACH – well beaten 2^nd in debut, Chris P angle, decent work between races

4 – HOGSLAYERS R I P – a lot of EP last out with fast fractions, cut back in distance going to help in 2^nd up

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,7,8/1,4,7,8,10/1,7,8

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers – 16% w2w – PP: Outside In, Rail Penalty, 2-7 Sightly Under Par, 8+ Best

7 – DARKROOM – won as the favorite in debut with strong late push – added distance to his advantage here

6 – IRIDESCENT – won debut with a somewhat green run, trying turf for the 1^st time with some of the best turf breeding

9 – SPONGE BATH – ran away from the pack in debut, going longer helps here

10 – COIN MINER – tough call over the 11, but if you like the 7, got to like this one too, missed by a neck versus top pick, bullet work on mud since

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta Key: 7/6,9,10

Race 7: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed – 12% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Way Underperform, 4-7 best with Big Bonus, 8+ Penalty

6 – WOLFIE’S DYNAGHOST – won his last three 1^st up starts and has some nice works between races

3 – BIG DREAMING – down in class, distance 5/3-1-1, a couple of decent runs at KD

1 – INJUNCTION – top Total Pace +7, EP type that should not be far from the lead and fairly strong LP edge – drops from G1

4 – STREET READY – drops from G2 with TLRSP#, all or nothing at the distance 8/2-0-0 – hot and cold first run after R&R

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6/4,10/3,9,10/4,5,6,11,12

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers – 16% w2w – PP: Outside In, Rail Penalty, 2-7 Sightly Under Par, 8+ Best

4 – ZEITLOS – TLRSP# and could be better in 3^rd up

10 – IVORY MOON – won her debut with ease, but been off since Jan, works say she is ready to perform again

6 – AMERICAN RETRO – solid effort first up, trying turf for the first time – probably most consistent high end performer

9 – PROUD MARY – destroyed a field of 7 in last race at $0.70 favorite in 1^st run on Turf after getting moved off the turf in debut.

Suggested Wager: $2 Exacta Box: 4,10

Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: 2 Races, Stalkers/Closers – 0 w2w – PP: Both Wins 4-7

3 – KITODAN – bomb of the day – won lone trips at KD, a G3, huge mid move in last, expecting better in race two off the sidelines

10 – FLAVIUS – has the best KD #s, just missed in last in a return to form run, a bunch of good works since

9 – YES THIS TIME – strong rally in last race, first after a layoff, has a 2^nd in lone KD trip

1 – PORTFOLIO COMPANY – tough call over the 4 & 8 – just been more consistent at the distance

Race 10: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed – 12% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Way Underperform, 4-7 best with Big Bonus, 8+ Penalty

11 – MOVE TO GOLD – some really good works getting prepped for Chad Brown

12 – RAGUEL – strong turf pedigree, like the Aug 11 CD work 47.3 – a few maintenance works since

6 – COPPER MISSILE – big move in last, Chris P angle, missing by just ¾ lengths 5 wide

4 – TAPITORO – might have the best pedigree and has solid, steady works getting ready for debut