Horse Racing Today

Oaklawn Park Picks Live – March 18, 2023 – Horse Racing Today

Oaklawn Park Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers

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Oaklawn Park Picks and Plays

Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping

Race 1

4 – Commerce Comet – He has an early foot, has a high % winning training and jockey and a bullet workout on March 15.

3 – Patton’s War – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 3 winners from 4 starters and his breeding suits today’s sprint distance.

2 – Soybean Man – He has a high % winning jockey and a Prime Power number: 118.1 (2nd).

Longshot:

1 – Stormin Army – He has a high % winning jockey, and the rail post is winning at a 19% clip.

Alternate:

6 – Macho Villa

5 – Into It

Bet: $1.00 DD: 4/ 4,6,8 

 

Race 2

4 – K J’s Pistol Annie – She has finished in the money in four out of six career starts, winning one and drops in class today.

6 – Guest in My Heart – She drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a high % winning jockey.

8 – Little Rocker – She drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey. 

Longshot:

1 – Miss Rita – She drops in class today and the rail post is winning at a 19% clip.

Alternate:

7 – Sweetness To

5 – She’s Hamazing

Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd #4,6- 3rd race # 5,7 – 4th race # 2,4,6,9- 5th race #2,5,7

 

Race 3

5 – Mulberry Street – He will be closing and catching the speed to win the race, ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

7 – Hanks – He won his last race at Oaklawn Park and has the highest last race speed rating.

3 – Generator – He drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

1 – Primer Dimer – He drops in class today and the rail post is winning at 19% clip.

Alternate:

2 – Egomaniac

Bet: $.50 Trifecta: 3,5,7/3,5,7/1,2,3,5,7

 

Race 4

4 – Sand Mountain – He has won six out of ten starts during his career winning his last race at Churchill Downs.

9 – Ocelot – He drops in class today, switches to a high % winning jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (28 7-8-1).

6 – Espionage – He has finished in the money in four out of five starts at Oaklawn Park, winning one and has a trainer who wins 25% of the races in a 2nd race after claiming a horse.

Longshot:

2 – Carl G – He finished 3rd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

8 – Magic Castle

3 – Great Faces

Bet: None

 

Race 5

7 – Time for Gold – She ran 2nd in her last race, has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.

2 – Legendary Gift – She drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer.

5 – Stylin N Profilin – She drops in class today, switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 24% of the races in the 1st race he enters a horse in after claiming the horse.

Longshot:

4 – Distorted Secrets – She drops in class today and has the highest last race speed rating.

Alternate:

6 – Burnadebt

Bet: None

 

Race 6

8 – Collected Glory – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, has a high % winning trainer and jockey (16 7-3-2), drops in class today and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

6 – Jumpin Judy – She has an early foot and drops in class today.

5 – Pink Ace – She is a first-time starter, her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

1 – Tapicita – She is a first-time starter, her Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters, the rail post is winning at 19% clip, and she has good works including two bullet works.

Alternate:

7 – Danke Fuer Alles

Bet: None

 

Race 7

4 – Frosted Grace – He is a closer who will be catching the speed to win the race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

1 – Kupuna – He has won two races in a row at Oaklawn Park, now going for a hat trick and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

6 – Ain’t Life Grand – He has won three out of the last four starts and he has highest last race speed rating (tie).

Longshot:

7 – Spa City – He has won two out of the last four starts and he has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

2 – Thomas Shelby

5 – Background

Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 7th race # 1,4,6,7 – 8th race # 9 – 9th race #10- 10th #All

 

Race 8

9 – Cogburn – He has finished in the money in five out of six career starts and has a high % winning jockey.

5 – Empire of Gold – He has finished in the money in five out of his last five races either leading or coming from of the pace.

2 – Tejano Twist – He is a closer who has finished in the money in his last five starts, winning three and has a high % winning trainer and jockey. 

Longshot:

7 – Flash of Mischief – He has a high % winning jockey, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Alternate:

4 – Edge to Edge

3 – Miles Ahead

Bet: – $10.00 Win #9 – $1.00 Exacta Box: 2,5,9 – $2.00 Exacta: 9/2,5,7 – $1.00 DD: 9/All – $1.00 DD 2,3,4,5,7,9/10

 

Race 9

10 – Last Samurai – He won his last race at Oaklawn Park a G3 race, he has a high % winning jockey, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

4 – Call Me Fast – He won his last two races at Oaklawn Park, and he has a high % winning jockey.

7 – Forza Di Oro – He finished 3rd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

6 – Necker Island – He has a bullet workout on March 10th and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

2 – Vittorio

8 – Tawny Port

 

Race 10

8 – Gold Strategy – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last three races and has a trainer/ jockey combo who in the last 14 days has won two out of two starts.

2 – Runninthestreets – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).

4 – Haythere Jogeegirl – She finished 3rd vs similar in last race at Oaklawn Park and has a decent workout on March 11th. 

Longshot:

3 – Kokomo Starlet – She has an early foot, blinkers are added today, and she has a good 4F workout on Mar-11.

Alternate:

11 – Magnolia Mae

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias

3 – PATTON’S WAR – first time starter with good works for Brad Cox and Florent Geroux

4 – COMMERCE COMET – has plenty of EP with a lot of good works sine his last on Jan 28

2 – SOYBEAN MAN – could improve in his second career start

5 – INTO IT – only one race so hope he can offer some upside in race number two

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4/1,2,3,4,5/2,3,4

 

Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias

2 – COURAGEOUS CAPPEN – TLRSP# in getting the maiden win in race 11

4 – K J’S PISTOL ANNIE – last race wasn’t as bad as it looks, chased fractions that were 2 seconds faster

5 – SHE’S HAMAZING – another that was better in the first half of her last – the only with a work between races

7 – SWEETNESS TO – chance to improve in the third off the break – was better ATB in last

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,7/7/2,4,6,9/2,4,7

 

Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias

7 – HANKS – top EP top LP = +16 EP/LP Edge

5 – MULBERRY STREET – slight drop in class after running better times at 1 1/16 v 1 mile, 3rd off the bench should be as good as last

1 – PRIMER DIMER – has some back class and rides the hot rail

3 – GENERATOR – left arrow horse that benefits from 4 scratching

Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 7/2,4,6,9

 

Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias

6 – ESPIONAGE – last race wasn’t good at the end but better at the beginning, lone EP horse should get a decent trip

4 – SAND MOUNTAIN – won three of four at the distance on the lead, plenty of good works since last on November 9

9 – OCELOT – had some in race issues last out, but still ran a slightly faster race – probably the most back class

2 – CARL G – lone PC Horse and should get plenty of pace to chase with top LP

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,6/2,4,6,8,9/4,6,9

 

Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias

2 – LEGENDARY GIFT – tr Lindsay Schultz winner 5/10 second off the claim – ITM 6/7 at the distance

4 – DISTORTED SECRETS – lone PC horse in the field with TLRSP# and drops in class

7 – TIME FOR GOLD – track riser from Turf Paradise for tr Robertino Diodoro – lone OP work was blah

5 – STYLIN N PROFILIN – 1st off the claim for Jerry Hollendorfer, 24% angle for 18% trainer

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,4,5,7/2,4/2,4,7

 

Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias

1 – TAPICITA – rail has a huge edge and this one has been putting in fast works

5 – PINK ACE – the March 4th work of 4f in 47.2 is probably the best work of all

8 – COLLECTED GLORY – consistent performer but likely to be chasing, if you look, a lot of maiden races are won from close to the front

6 – JUMPIN JUDY – a lot of early speed, chased much faster fractions last out, maybe rebound in career start number three

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,5,6,7,8/1,5/1,5,8

 

Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias

1 – KUPUNA – unbeaten in two at Oaklawn, TLRSP# and on hot rail, would like for the works to be better

4 – FROSTED GRACE – a neck from being undefeated in two at OP, decent work between race and 3rd off the layoff

2 – THOMAS SHELBY – top OP #s by a decent margin – needs that form here

6 – AIN’T LIFE GRAND – never lost at the distance in three, lone race at OP didn’t go well, has +7 LP edge

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4/2,9/5,10/1,3,4,8,11

 

Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias

2 – TEJANO TWIST – lone closer with plenty of pace to chase, a lot of nice works prepping for today, won last first off the bench with ease

9 – COGBURN – definitely going to be out front, worried the 8 is going to burn him

4 – EDGE TO EDGE – another that could compete for the front and showed late improvement 4 races in a row

3 – MILES AHEAD – winner 8/14 at the distance, won 2 of last 3 first up off a break, we’ll take a price here

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 3: 2,9/5,10/1,3,4,8,11

 

Race 9: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias

10 – LAST SAMURAI – TLRSP# by a decent margin with a +LP and EP/LP edge – outside post could hurt

5 – CLASSIC CAUSEWAY – taking a flyer here, has tons of EP, getting 1st Lasix and a bunch of fast works including a pair of bullets in his last two

4 – CALL ME FAST – undefeated in 2 at OP and ran some good fractions last out, 3rd off the bench has a chance to be better according to his resume

7 – FORZA DI ORO – tons of back class and his works suggest he’ll be ready to fire today

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,10/2,4,5,7,10/4,5,10

 

Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias

1 – MUSIC MISTRESS – first time flyer on the hot rail, Feb 21st work of 4f in 48.2 is a good one

4 – HAYTHERE JOGEEGIRL – terrible starts hurting her chances, nice work between races and lightly raced

3 – KOKOMO STARLET – regressed, regressed after debut, best 4f work since last suggests she’ll bounce back today

11 – MAGNOLIA MAE – flashed much better EP in her last effort, especially mid race – outside post hurts again

Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 1,4/1,3,4

 

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