Parx Horse Racing Tips. Comments, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free Parx Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks
Race 1-Female
6 – I’m Nervous Now – She drops in class today; she has a highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
3 – Raichu – She won her last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer.
7 – She’s a Lino – She switches to a high % winning trainer, switches to a high % winning jockey and her early speed running style helps chances.
Longshot:
5 – Be Like Beth – She has a trainer who wins 18% of the claiming races he has an entry in and her early speed running style helps chances.
Race 2-Female
4 – Mollewantacracker – She has won two out of the last three starts at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Breezy Dance – She ran 2nd in her last race, has a high % trainer and switches to a high % jockey.
2 – One of the Ones – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-sprint-route and has a high % jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Corona Campione – She ran 2nd in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the races in claiming starts.
Alternate:
1 – Snow Lake
$.50 Pick 4: #2,4,5,7/2,3,5,6/5,6/2,4,5,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
2 – Twist Her –She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 77% of the races and winning 11% of the races, the distance will not be a problem and she has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Bailintin – She has been knocking at the door finishing in the money in the last three races and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Hop On Me – She drops in class today and she switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Tempest Rising – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-sprint-route.
Alternate:
4- Missy Sixtysix
Race 4-Female
6 – True Phenomenon – She won her last race at PARX Racing; she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Frosted Diamond – She won her last race at PARX Racing; her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Royal Party – She ran 2nd vs similar in last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Aztec Bay – She ran 2nd vs similar in last race at PARX Racing and she switches to a high % winning jockey.
$.50 Pick 4: #3,4,5,6/2,4,5,8/2,4/1,7,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
8 – Prince of Chill – He has the highest last race speed rating (tie), can improve while returning to dirt, has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a good 4F workout on Jun-02.
5 – Humble Joe – He drops in class today, should improve while returning to a sprint
and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Biagio – He has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Why Stop There – He drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – My Boy Tullio
6 – Brasi
Race 6-Female
2 – Fast Mule – She finished in the money in four out of five races at PARX Racing, winning two races including the last start and she has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Salagadoola – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
7 – Summary Judgment –She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 63% of the races and winning 13% of the races and the distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 100% of the races.
Longshot:
5 – Unadulterated – She has a high % winning jockey she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Race 7
10 – Mt Suribachi – He finished 2nd in his last race, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Shpilkes – He has finished in the money in two out of the three races on the turf, winning one of the starts and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Nautilus – He has finished in the money in five out of ten starts on the turf and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Baton – He finished 2nd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
11 – American Unity
6 – Hardy Choice
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,6,7,10/1,3,5 /2,3/8,9,10,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
1 – Jeeper – He has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Rarified Flair – He won his last race at Pimlico by 7-lenghts and comes to PARX Racing to try for the first time and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Thistle – He has finished in the money in his last four races, winning the last start and has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
4 – Jewels in the Bay – He finished 3rd in his last race, his early speed running style helps chances and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
2 – Batter Up Bud
6 – Brooklyn Strong
Race 9
2 – Counterspy – He has won four out of the last five starts, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Far Mo Power – He has finished in the money in nine of his last ten races, winning four starts including his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Bestsugardaddyever – He has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Mr. Hustle – He won his last race; he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a good 4F workout on Jun-02.
Alternate:
6 – Adero
7 – Irish Cork
Bet: $10.00 Win: # 2 – $6.00 DD: 2/10
Race 10-Female
10 – Instinctive – She returns from racing at Laurel to PARX Racing where she has won four out of five starts and she has a high % winning jockey and a good 4F workout on June-01.
8 – Mercy Mercy – She has been knocking at door finishing in the money in her last six starts, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Angelic Gal – She is trying turf for the first time and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the routes he has a horse running in.
Longshot:
7 – Cupids Dream – She finished 3rd in his last race.
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race
2 – Counterspy
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Small Bump, 4+ Similar Discount
7 – SHE’S A LINO – lone E with a strong chance to be on the lead and c-zone, run back 2 races
6 – I’M NERVOUS NOW – biggest class dropper off since October, works are blah since a solid one at Tampa in April
5 – BE LIKE BETH – 3rd up and held her speed longer in her last, signs of improvement
2 – BOHEMIA BABE – not much difference with the 3 – we’ll take the higher odds
Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 46% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Best
2 – ONE OF THE ONES – top TOTAL PACE+9, if she is on the lead
4 – MOLLEWANTACRACKER – a repeat of her last would win – two for two at a mile
5 – CORONA CAMPIONE – much better middle out in her last, faster by more than 1 ½ seconds
7 – BREEZY DANCE – plenty of early improvement in her last, going longer could help
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 18% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4+ Similar Discount
2 – TWIST HER – peak number in last, usually pairs them before regressing
4 – MISSY SIXTYSIX – sizable drop in class, lowest level of career, some problems in last, 2nd up
6 – HOP ON ME – chance to be on the lead, drops in class and gets PACO
5 – BAILINTIN – drops in class following a Z pattern, loves 3rd – 9/1-1-4
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Small Bump, 4+ Similar Discount
5 – FROSTED DIAMOND – won lone Parx race with TLRSP#+5, third up
6 – TRUE PHENOMENON – proper distance 7/1-2-3 – most consistent performer
4 – ROYAL PARTY – just looks better than the 3
3 – AZTEC BAY – somebody needs to be 4th of 4th
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Small Bump, 4+ Similar Discount
7 – MY BOY TULLIO – typical 2nd race improvement and 1st Lasix – could be enough – PURE MSW Dropper
8 – PRINCE OF CHILL – perhaps the most upside, swift works, but been off almost a year
5 – HUMBLE JOE – hit par a couple of times for this level, meaning he can win – last was awful
4 – BIAGIO – consistent performer of late, will need to about a length faster than he has so far
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Best but a smallish edge
4 – SALAGADOOLA – lone PAR+ horse, very consistent, better fractions in last
5 – UNADULTERATED – most back class – faster by about 4 seconds in her last
7 – SUMMARY JUDGMENT – maybe too much ES for the rest with the scratches, 10 pound break
2 – FAST MULE – Parx 5/2-2-0 and Distance 6/3-2-0 – repeat last race and she wins
3 – AMATERASU – can win too
Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – Bias: 1 Race, Stalker from Outside
4 – BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL – sold race last out, should be right off the pace and has the last speed to close it out, 7 pound weight break
6 – HARDY CHOICE – tough to pass on Ness/Sanchez, move to grass could lead to better performance
1 – SHPILKES – upgrade to PACO helps, won the last time Paco rode
2 – BATON –
Race 8: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Strong Rail. 2/3 Under Par, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Not Good
1 – JEEPER – should sit right off the pace and has a +8 LS edge – top TOTAL PACE +7
3 – RARIFIED FLAIR – track dropper for NESS, right distance 3/2-0-0 – all others 12/1-1-1
4 – JEWELS IN THE BAY – lots of improvement in last and has the most back class, Sanchez gets off to ride the 3
5 – THISTLE – TLRSP# and highly consistent performer, but yet to hit par for this level
Race 9: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 46% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Best
3 – FAR MO POWER – should be fairly close to the pace and has the most late kick
2 – COUNTERSPY – three of his last four at PARX makes him an easy winner
1 – BESTSUGARDADDYEVER – hot rail – NESS and SILVERA for the 1st time this year – dynamic duo
5 – MR. HUSTLE – 3rd up, big improvement in 2nd up after more than a year off
Race 10: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 2 Races – 1 w2w – the other a Stalker – one from 2/3 and the other 8+
10 – INSTINCTIVE – kind of hard to argue against a horse that won 4 of 5 on PARX grass – just has 6 wins in 41 tried on/at anything where else
1 – LULINDA’S HEART – hasn’t tried turf before – maybe she wakes up and has some of the most LS
8 – MERCY MERCY – recently consistent on PAR borderline for this level
7 – TOMARIE – Z Pattern in Last – maybe better in 3rd off the sidelines
