PARX Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for PARX on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Will Rogers
Parx Picks and Plays
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
3 – Yellow Dress – She won her last race at PARX Racing, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
1 – Denali Rae – She switches to a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
5 – Risen Change – She likes running 2nd or 3rd so the shorter distance may help to show improvement.
Longshot:
4 – Advocate Harbor – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
7 – Tizita
2 – Gone Dreaming `
Bet: $1.00 DD: 1,3 / 2,3,5,6
Race 2
6 – Country Captain – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has a high % winning trainer who wins 45% of the races when running a horse in a maiden race and switches to a high % winning jockey.
5 – King Swansboro – He won his last race easily by 12- lengths at PARX Racing and switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Louie’s Law – He has the highest last race speed rating, and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters
Longshot:
3 – Dynamite Duke – He has an early foot and used that running style to win his last race easily by 6-plus lengths.
Alternate:
7 – Catty’s Uncle
Bet: $.50 Trifecta: 2,5,6/5,6/2,3,5,6,7
Race 3
1 – Prince Marco – He won his last race at PARX Racing; the rail post is winning at a 22% clip and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and Lasix is added.
4 – Corky’s Cause – He has finished in the money in four out of six starts at PARX Racing and has finished in the money in four out of four starts at today’s distance.
2 – Windsor Gold – He ran 2nd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Shpilkes – He has finished in the money in both career races winning the last race.
Alternate:
6 – Maximus Aurelius
3 – Dubrovnik
Bet: $1.00 DD: 1,4 / 1,2,5
Race 4
1- Steely Danza – He won his last race at PARX Racing, the rail post is winning at 20% clip, he has a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (12 6-1-3) and a bullet 4F workout on Mar-28.
2 – Hometown Hero – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Causes Trouble – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and should improve at the shorter distance.
Longshot:
6 – Mister J T – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
4 – Yo Nessroundonkern
3 – Bucks Are Moving
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 4th race #1,2,5,6- 5th race # 1,4,5 – 6th race # 3,6 – 7th race #1,4
Race 5–
4 – Scotty – He comes in from Aqueduct to try PARX Racing, drops in class today and switches to a high % winning trainer.
5 – In Equality – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Private Network – He won his last race at PARX Racing; the rail post is winning at a 22% clip, and he has a trainer who wins 28% of the races with a horse whose last win was a claiming race.
Longshot:
9 – Relishment – He has a high % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (9 3-1-3) and has a good 4F workout on Mar-27.
Alternate:
7 – Excursion
Bet: None
Race 6
6 – Bullet Butch – He has finished in the money in five out of six career races, running 2nd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Mutasallem – He has finished in the money in his last eight out of nine races, winning one of the races and has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Simovitch – He ran 2nd in his last race, the rail post is winning at a 22% clip, has a high % winning trainer and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
4 – Secret Alliance – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Brindisi
5 – Bode O
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 6th race #3,6 – 7th race # 1,4- 8th race # 1,4,8 – 9th race #1,6- 10th #1,2
Race 7
1 – Touring Maryanne – She has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-0-2).
4 – Boss Cara – She has finished in the money in her last four races, winning one of the races and switches to a high% trainer.
6 – Shirley Greene – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race and drops in class today.
Longshot:
7 – Pearls and Heels – She drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – The Beauty’s Tale
2 – Brody Slam
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 7th race # 1,4- 8th race # 1,4,8 – 9th race #1,6- 10th #1,2
$.50 Pick 3 – 7th race # 1- 8th race # 1,8 – 9th race #1,6
Race 8
1 – Unified Alliance – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and she has high winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Can’t Complain – She won her last race at PARX Racing, has a high % winning jockey and has a trainer / jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-0-2).
4 – Gold Medal Anna – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has finished in the money in four out of five races, winning two.
Longshot:
7 – Bet of the Century – She won her last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races in the 2nd race off a layoff.
Alternate:
3 – Hop On Me
Bet: None
Race 9
6 – Peyton Elizabeth – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 86% of her races, winning 40% of the starts and likes the distance winning her only start at today’s distance.
1 – Castilleja – She has won two out of the last three races, winning the last race easily and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Early Edition – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in four out of six starts and has one win out of two starts at today’s distance.
Longshot:
4 – Lanfrankophile – She comes in from Penn Nation after finishing in the money in nine out of her last ten starts, winning two.
Alternate:
3 – Flashing Diamond
7 – Eight Danzas
Bet: $10.00 Win #6- $2.00 Exacta: 6/1,2,4 – Best Betting Race
Race 10
1 – Ron Don Scorese – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing, the rail post is winning at a 22% clip, and he has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Ruby Bleu – He is one of two veterans in the race finishing in the money in 67% of his races, winning 27% of the races out of 73 career starts and likes the distance finishing in the money in 70% of her races, winning 21% of the races out of 47 starts.
4 – Nautilus – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, has a high % winning trainer and jockey and the trainer / jockey combo in the last 14 days has finished in the money fifteen out of sixteen starts, winning nine of the races.
Longshot:
3 – Jack a Rose – He won his last race at the Fairgrounds, switches to a high % winning jockey and he has a bullet 4F workout on Mar-26.
Alternate:
6 – Allevare
5 – Styner
Bet: None
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Rail and 8+ Bias, 2-7 Fair
3 – YELLOW DRESS – TLRSP#, better ATB, weight break
4 – ADVOCATE HARBOR – 3rd off the sidelines with faster times at 7f v 6 ½f through half-mile
5 – RISEN CHANGE +10 LP edge but PARX 35/0-7-7 – Tom horse
7 – TIZITA– 3rd off the bench, tie top comfort zone
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 5: 3/2,4,6/1/1,6/1,5
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
6 – COUNTRY CAPTAIN- big boost in 1st at PARX winning MCL after coming from KY, tr Mario Dominguez winner 5/11 in race after maiden win – better in round two after a year off?
2 – LOUIE’S LAW – TLRSP# with substantial drop, 3SP# increases – distance 10/0-2-0 is concern
3 – DYNAMITE DUKE – tough call over the 5, but comparing 1m70y races, looks about a second faster
5 – KING SWANSBORO – see above
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,6/2,3,6/2,3,5,6,7
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
1 – PRINCE MARCO – has a +9 EP/LP Edge won his maiden in the 2nd try by 17 and gets 1st Lasix here
2 – WINDSOR GOLD – PARX – 5/1-2-1, fast 2/1-1-0, should be close to the front all the way around
5 – SHPILKES – was better ATB and goes long for the 1st time, 22% angle for tr Guadalupe Preciado
4 – CORKY’S CAUSE – tough call over the 6, but 6 been off for almost a year and this one has two nice works between races
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2/1,2,5/1,2,4,5,6
Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: 50/50 – 35% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Bonus
6 – MISTER J T – won first race at PARX by 13 after track dropping, bullet work since
1 – STEELY DANZA – got to like that last work, 4f in 47.2 in the mud, runs well off the bench
5 – CAUSES TROUBLE – interesting move by the trainer Harold Wyner, bumping up in class, definitely faster in last race and cuts back in distance
3 – BUCKS ARE MOVING – tough call over the 2, cutting back in distance could help
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,6/1,5,9/1,6/1,5
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
1 – PRIVATE NETWORK – has a +5 EP edge and does well when he has the lead, TLRSP#
5 – IN EQUALITY – 3SP# increases in a row, nice improvement in fractions last out
9 – RELISHMENT – 1st off the claim for tr Michael Pino, 25%, decent work and right distance
4 – SCOTTY – track dropper with a second in only trip at the distance
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,5,9/1,5/1,2,4,5,9
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
6 – BULLET BUTCH – Pennington/Reid winner 7/13 together, better fractions at 7f vs 6f and better in 2nd off the break
1 – SIMOVITCH – TLRSP#, big number in PARX debut, note that Pennington stays on the 6
3 – MUTASALLEM – PARX 11/2-4-3, similar fractions at 1m70y versus 6 1/2f
2 – BRINDISI – distance 4/2-2-0, been off since August, mostly good in 1st up efforts and nice works and pattern
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 5: 1,6/1/1,4/1,2,3/2,4,6
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 38% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3, 4+ Penalty
1 – TOURING MARYANNE – smoked the field in last out, TLRSP# and gets the rail
4 – BOSS CARA – finished 2nd behind top pick last out, likely to be better in 2nd off the sidelines
5 – THE BEAUTY’S TALE – 1st off the claim for tr Michael Simone, 31% winner, maybe better in 2nd up
8 – CLASSY MISS – best combination of C-Zone and Overlay, drops in class
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1/1/1,2,3,6/2,4,6
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 38% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3, 4+ Penalty
1 – UNIFIED ALLIANCE – has a +12 EP/LP edge over the rest with the 6 scratching
4 – GOLD MEDAL ANNA – Overlay with strong C-Zone, TLRSP# and Drops from NGSTK, weight break today
7 – BET OF THE CENTURY – PARX 2/1-1-0, distance 1/1 – tr Robert Mosco wins at 25% in 2nd after a layoff
8 – CAN’T COMPLAIN – 1st off the claim 25% for tr Michael Pino, PARX 6/1-2-1, much better 2/4f pace#s in last
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,4/1,4,7/1,3,4,7,8
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – PP: Small Bonus Inside 3, 4-7 under Par, 8+ Bonus
3 – FLASHING DIAMOND – has a +7 EP edge, usually makes a substantial mid move
2 – EARLY EDITION – should be near peak form in third start after a layoff, strong LP gains in most recent
1 – CASTILLEJA – TLRSP# at the distance where she is 2 for 2 – two best efforts
6 – PEYTON ELIZABETH – Parx 6 win in 15 races, 1 win in 9 elsewhere, consistent performer and 3rd off the break
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,3/2,3/1,2,3,6,7
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
2 – RUBY BLEU – TLRSP# and drops in class, old man at 9
4 – NAUTILUS – is the right distance 6/2-2-1 for Ness and Silvera
6 – ALLEVARE – never ran this low before, resume says will be better in 2nd off the break
7 – VASARIANO – last race was better than the finish with a slightly quicker time at 1m70y
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,4,6/2,4/1,2,4,6,7
