Parx Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Fort Erie
Free Parx Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks
Race 1-Female
6 – Echo Lake – She won her last race at PARX Racing; she has the highest last race speed rating she has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Lil’ Late Luck – She finished in the money in eight out of twelve races at PARX Racing and the distance should not cause a problem.
8 – Emma’s Abi – She won her debut career race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
11 – Sweet Mischief – She drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
4 – Unbridled Sass
10 – Brooklyn Heights
Race 2-Female
5 – Wicked Lady – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Now Act Surprised – She finished in the money in seven races at PARX Racing, winning two of the starts and her best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
7 – That’stony’ssister – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has a good 4F workout on Mar-15.
Longshot:
2 – Gormley Girl – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she can handle the distance.
Alternate:
4 – Amalfi Lady
3 – War Moon
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,4,5,7/1,2,3,4,5,7/1/4,9,10 – Cost $45.00
Race 3
2 – Dylan’s Ruby – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has a high % winning who wins 22% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-route-sprint, he has a high % winning jockey and blinkers added today.
5 – Fuego Sos – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Mask Patrol – He finished in the money in four out of five races at PARX Racing, winning one of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Unswayed – He won his debut race at Pimlico and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
3 – Rabbit
Race 4-Female
1 – Sister Supream – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, the rail post is winning at a 22% clip and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Our Uptown Girl – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 63% of the races and winning 18% of the races and the distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money 80% of the races, winning 20% of the races.
3 – Castilleja – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – R Funny Bizness – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Decoupage
4 – Clout Chaser
$.50 Pick 4: #1,3,5/4,9,10/4,6,7/1,8,7 – Cost $40.50
Race 5
10 – Amani’s Tiger – He finished 6th in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, has a high % winning jockey and this combo in the last 14 days has this record (6 3-0-1).
4 – Twirling Express – He won his last race at Laurel; his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and switches to a high % winning trainer and has a high % winning jockey.
9 – Level Up – He finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in his last race and has shown in the past that he can compete on the turf and at today’s distance.
Longshot:
1 – Fleets Bay – He likes the turf finishing in the money in four out of six starts and he can handle the distance.
Alternate:
11 – C C Goldrush
Race 6-Female
7 – Valiant Majesty – She finished in the money in her last seven races at PARX Racing, winning two races and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Black Ice – She is a nose from winning three races in a row, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Cause I Said – She has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Flashndynamite – She traveled to Monmouth to try a stakes race, was bumped and finished a disappointing and now returns to PARX Racing where she has finished in the money in the last five races, winning two of the starts and drops back in class.
Alternate:
5 – Denali Rae
2 – Pachelbel
Race 7-Female
8 – Short Shift – She comes in from Aqueduct after breaking her maiden to repeat that effort at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Juniper Juice – She won her last race at Pimlico and switches to a high % winning jockey.
1 – Sirani – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey
Longshot:
2 – Fullmoonmagic – She drops in class today; she has a high % winning jockey and Lasix is added.
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,7,8/5,6/1,5,6,7/2,7,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
6 – Paradise Valley – He has won two races out of three starts at PARX Racing, finishing 2nd in his only other start there and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – He’s Incredible – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, winning the two previous starts, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Ego Man – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 65% of the races, winning 25% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 47% of the races, winning 16% of the races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Running Right by U – He comes in from Monmouth Park after winning two of the last three starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Final Shot
3 – In Sky We Trust
Bet: $6.00 Win & $10.00 Place: # 6
Race 9
6 – Party At Sam’s – He finished in the money in eight out of nine races, winning three starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Mr Sandman – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 63% of the races, winning 14% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 68% of the races, winning 19% of the races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Ninja Prize – He has finished in the money in three out of the last five races at PARX Racing, winning two of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Bartlett – He won his last race; he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a bullet 4F workout on May-20.
Alternate:
3 – Respirator
8 – Dropline
Race 10
7 – Divine Miracle – He won his last race at PARX Racing; his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Friar Tuck – He has a win out of three starts at PARX Racing, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and he has a high % winning jockey.
11 – Hotpot – He drops in class today, he high % winning trainer and switches to high % jockey Paco Lopez.
Longshot:
6 – Violent Turbulence – He drops in class today and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Alternate:
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race
6 – Paradise Valley
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
6 – ECHO LAKE – 3rd up and just needs to rerun her last race to win
2 – LIL’ LATE LUCK – consistent performer – PARX 12/0-5-3 and Distance 3/0-3-0
4 – UNBRIDLED SASS – first up since October – some solid works prepping, enough to be fit
8 – EMMA’S ABI – maybe the most room for upside in just the 4th start
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 18% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4+ Similar Discount
1 – NOW ACT SURPRISED – rail edge and only horse in the field with a PAR race for this level
5 – WICKED LADY – a little better fractions in last and has a weight break today
7 – THAT’STONY’SSISTER – upped speed figure in last 4 races – much faster final 7f time last out
2 – GORMLEY GIRL – similar fractions at 1m70y as 6 1/2f – cut back in distance today helps
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Small Bump, 4+ Similar Discount
1 – UNSWAYED – typical 2nd race improvement puts him in the winners’ circle
5 – FUEGO SOS – a repeat of his last race is a win – upped SP# in three races since debut
7 – MASK PATROL – has the most back class – 5 yo vs mostly 3 yo (1 4yo #3) – off since Oct – May 5th work says a big one could be coming
2 – DYLAN’S RUBY – tough call over PACO and the 3, more back class and sings of life in last and cutback in distance today
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
6 – DECOUPAGE – could be poised to move forward after setting a base in the last three – a little better early and late in last
1 – SISTER SUPREAM – NESS horse making its first PARX race – consistent performer, probably bumps higher today
3 – CASTILLEJA – TLSRP# and resume says 2nd up could be major jump higher
5 – OUR UPTOWN GIRL – PACO on third up – CV says this one should look like last one – always competitive
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – Bias: Just 2 races so far – yesterday w2w from rail and the other stalker from the outside
9 – LEVEL UP – last turf race would be good enough to win here – should be forward
4 – TWIRLING EXPRESS – track dropper that runs well off the sidelines – drops in class
7 – LORD KNOWS – PACO horse that is getting incrementally better and TB track dropper
10 – AMANI’S TIGER – Ness/Sanchez combo hitting at 32% together
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
6 – CAUSE I SAID – any of her last 5 races would be enough – due for regression at some point
7 – VALIANT MAJESTY – should be on the jets from the jump and SIM FAV
4 – BLACK ICE – Ness/Sanchez again, a nose from winning both at PARX since track dropping – bullet work since her last race
5 – DENALI RAE – drops in class – upped SP# in last 3, could add to the streak in 2nd up
Race 7: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – 1 Race won from co-pilot position from the rail
1 – SIRANI – speed and fade in 1st up, work between, more stamina today
8 – SHORT SHIFT – this makes no sense – won MSW 70k at AQ – just missed at MSW 75k at Belmont in two grass goes – so why does C Clement enter her at OC 30k, in for a price, at Parx?
5 – MERRYCHILL – class dropper, tr Bernard Dunham 2/6 on 1st grass, but 5/6 ITM with 4.65 ROI
7 – JUNIPER JUICE – track dropper, won last in first on turf with a strong late run, only 3rd race so untapped potential could be there in 2nd up
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Small Bump, 4+ Similar Discount
6 – PARADISE VALLEY – you cannot ignore those workouts prepping for first race since Nov – debut was only other 1st up, won by 14
5 – HE’S INCREDIBLE – top TOTAL PACE +6, knows how to win 15 in 36 at PARX and 9 of 22 at distance
1 – EGO MAN – Ness/Sanchez again – they could have a good day – signs of life holding speed longer in last
4 – RUNNING RIGHT BY U – track dropper, never ran at PARX, but trains at PARX and the works at Parx are fast
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Small Bump, 4+ Similar Discount
1 – BARTLETT – off since last year, 1st Lasix as a 3 yo, early speed and bullet work
7 – NINJA PRIZE – sp# says regression in last, but early fractions and pace were better, rebound today
3 – RESPIRATOR – very steady performer with consistent numbers that would win at this level
5 – MR SANDMAN – PACO in a horse that is getting a little better race by race, faster fraction at 6 ½ furlongs compared to 6
Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
7 – DIVINE MIRACLE – they must see something they like here, claimed 4 races in a row
1 – MY DEVILS CHILD – just missed at this level in his last – faster at 6 ½ v 6f
2 – FRIAR TUCK – 3rd up and drops in class – major improvement in only other 3rd of 3 race cyle
3 – DATHOSS – tough call over the 11 – but 2nd SIM FAV – is a PAR + horse in third up
