Parx Racing Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Parx on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Assiniboia Downs
Parx Picks and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay
Race 1
5 – Young Squire – He won his debut race at PARX Racing and at today’s distance and has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Must Be Love – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Late to the Show – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
2 – Almond Cider – He ran 2nd vs similar in last race at PARX Racing.
Alternate:
3 – Sir Cupid
Bet: $1.00 DD: 2,4,5,6/3,8 – $1.00 Pick 3:2,4,5,6/3,8/4,5
Race 2
3 – Take It to the Max – She has the highest last race speed rating, the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
8 – Bet On Drama – She has finished in the money in two of her three career races, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Aztec Queen – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has a trainer/jockey who in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-0-1).
Longshot:
1 – Orb’s Party Girl – She finished 2nd vs similar in her last race at PARX Racing and at today’s distance.
Alternate:
7 – Only Girl
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 –2nd race #3,8 -3rd race #4,5 – 4th race #1,4,6 – 5th race # 3,8,9
Race 3
4 – Gia’s Fuego – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, switches to a high % winning jockey and has the highest last race speed rating.
5 – Sizzling Roma – She has finished in the money in her last three races, finishing 3rd vs similar in her last race and has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Show Some Skin – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 22% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
Longshot:
1 – Anginetti – She has a high % winning trainer, and the rail post is winning at 19% clip.
Alternate:
6 – Juliet’s Music
2 – J J Loves Billy
Bet: $.50 Trifecta Box: 3,4,5
Race 4
4 – Ima Pharoah – He has won two races out of the last four starts at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Hornbeam – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-1-0).
6 – Forty Comets – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey who has won four out the last six starts.
Longshot:
3 – Classy American – He drops in class today and has a bullet 4F workout on May-29.
Alternate:
5 – Bailey
2 – Jarlian
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 4th race # 1,4,6 – 5th race # 3,8,9 – 6th race #1,2 – 7th #3,5,8
Race 5
8 – Screen Saver – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Scotty – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (9 4-1-0).
9 – Runningforhome – He has a high % winning jockey and a trainer whose entries wins 26% of the races in the second race after claiming a horse and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
5 – Social Group – She finished 3rd in his last race and earned the highest last race speed rating (tie).
Alternate:
1 – Look Out Lambo
6 – Relativlea
Bet: None
Race 6
2 – Last Dream – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Golden Wildcat – He drops in class today, the rail post is winning at 19% clip, his dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Disturbed – He drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – First to Last – He ran 2nd in his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Stormy Fire
5 – Capt Complicated
Bet: None
Race 7
5 – Seiver – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, a high % winning jockey and her turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
8 – Fancy Scepter – She has finished in the money in her last three races finishing 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race and has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Connelmaura – She won her last race at PARX Racing earning the highest last race speed rating, her breeding suggests she will like the grass as the Dam has produced 1 Turf winner and a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Louella Street – She finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Island Belle
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 7th #5,8 – 8th race # 1,5,9- 9th race # 2 – 10th #1,4,9,10
Race 8
1 – Spirit Sky – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 28% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, and switches to a high % jockey.
5 – Viral Video – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
9 – Go East – He has an early foot he has a bullet 3F workout on May-24.
Longshot:
8 – Separate Ways – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
10 – Rabbit
Bet: $1.00 Exacta Box: 1,5,9
Race 9
2 – Foggy Night – She ran 2nd in her last race only missing by a neck, has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s and has a bullet 4F workout on May-24.
6 – Sundria – She has finished in the money in all four of her career races at PARX Racing, winning one of the races and has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Goldieness – She comes in from Laurel Park to try PARX Racing, has a high % trainer who wins 26% of the races in dirt starts and has a good 4F workout on May-26.
Longshot:
4 – Celtic Tiger – She has won one out two of her career races and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Avatal Hero
5 – Carlotuk
Bet: $10.00 Win: #2
Race 10
1 – Run for Karl – He finished 3rd (on Dirt) in his last race, trying grass which he may like as his Dam has 6 winners from 10 starters and 4 Turf winners, has a trainer who wins 27% of the 1st route race he has a horse compete in and the trainer/jockey combo who has finished in the money in three out the last three starts, winning two.
10 – First Squad – He Finished 3rd vs similar in his last race after being bumped at the start which may affected his finish.
9 – Second and Reed – He drops in class today, switches to a high % winning jockey and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Longshot:
4 – Lt’s Jacknthebox – He returns to the turf where he might do better, drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Union Reward
Bet: None
Rich Ranks
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus
5 – YOUNG SQUIRE – MCL winner that got better as the race went along – back in two weeks
3 – SIR CUPID – 1st off the claim 18% for tr Scott Lake, TLRSP#
6 – LATE TO THE SHOW – resume says he should be at his best in the 3rd off the sidelines
4 – MUST BE LOVE – been running at this level and back and forth the LATE TO THE SHOW
Suggested Plays: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5,6/3,5/3,4,5,6,7
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus
3 – TAKE IT TO THE MAX – by far biggest class dropper with TLRSP# and improved in both races post debut
1 – ORB’S PARTY GIRL – could be on the gas from go, likely better in round 2 off the sidelines
8 – BET ON DRAMA – better fractions at 7f vs 6f, cut back helps here
5 – AZTEC QUEEN – better ATB in last with swifter times at 7f v 6f, another might find cutting back helpful
Suggested Plays: $0.50 Pick 4: 3/3,4,5/3,4,6/1,3,8
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 33% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Edge, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Fair
4 – GIA’S FUEGO – TLRSP# and better times at 6 1/2f v 6f, resume says a little better in round two off the bench – very aggressive EP edge
3 – SHOW SOME SKIN – top LP and should not be too far off the pace
5 – SIZZLING ROMA – nice overlay, dropping from non winners of 2 to non winners of 1
1 – ANGINETTI – best combo of SIM numbers left
Suggested Plays: $1 Key Box: 5/1,3,4
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus
3 – CLASSY AMERICAN – could be reaching here, big jump in race two after more than a year off, and a bullet work since, best back class
4 – IMA PHAROAH – Ness/Silvera, second off the claim for Ness – 28% vs 22% overall
6 – FORTY COMETS – drops in class, finished 2nd by a head at this level, cutting from 7f to 6f helpful
5 – BAILEY – Paco, third after a layoff, better in first half mile in first for tr John Kirby, 21% vs 17% overall
Suggested Plays: $0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,6/1,3,8/1,4/3,6
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 28% – PP: Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Under Par
8 – SCREEN SAVER – Ness/Silvera – again, has plenty of LP and decent maintenance work between races
3 – SCOTTY – Left Arrow horse, closer who will be forwardly placed with this crew, small cut in distance
1 – LOOK OUT LAMBO – rail advantage, maybe better 2nd up, won last by 7 – distance 18/7-2-3, just 1 win in 14 at any other distance
9 – RUNNINGFORHOME – probably most consistent in the race, tr Bobbi Hawthorne 27% 2nd after the claim, ran faster in first race for Hawthorne
Suggested Plays: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,8/3,8/1,3,4,8,9
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 28% – PP: Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Under Par
1 – GOLDEN WILDCAT – overlay, rail edge, strong EP and C-Zone – class dropper
4 – DISTURBED – class dropper and track dropper from NYRA
2 – LAST DREAM – TLRSP#, weight break and maybe better in 2nd up and 2nd at Parx after coming in from GP
7 – FIRST TO LAST – PACO rides, should be better in 2nd route
Suggested Plays: $1 Exacta Box: 4/1,2,7,8
Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – 6 races Bias: 50/50 – 50% w2w – PP: None form the Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7, Little Discount, 8+ Major Bonus
3 – CONNELMAURA – +7 EP/LP Edge, MCL win with TLRSP#, strong turf pedigree, Paco
6 – LOUELLA STREET – best turf pedigree numbers by a decent margin, tie top C-Zone
5 – SEIVER – classic 3rd after a layoff, Pennignton here instead of the 3 – turf 7/0-0-1, maybe doesn’t like the surface? 0-1 of off dirt too
8 – FANCY SCEPTER – Parx grass, 2/0-0-2, going to try to go w2w – maybe too much speed inside?
Suggested Plays: $0.50 Pick 4: 3,6/1,8,9,10/1,2/8,9
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus
1 – SPIRIT SKY – more consistent from start to finish in 2nd career race, Ness/Silvera -again, two good works between races
9 – GO EAST – 2nd up with a bullet work between races and improved both times in 2nd up
8 – SEPARATE WAYS – major improvement in career start number two, similar improvement here would be enough
10 – RABBIT – tough call over the 5, outside posts a little better, Paco up and three works since debut, Suggested Plays: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,8,9/1,9/1,5,8,9,10
Race 9: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias
2 – FOGGY NIGHT – overlay with by far top C-Zone, TLRSP by a good margin, bullet work since last,
1 – AVATAL HERO – +8 EP/LP edge, track dropper from GP, rail rocks, tr Guadelupe Preciado 28% with shippers vs 21% overall, 3rd up – dirt is the question, 8 of 9 at GP were on AW, two Parx works were OK
4 – CELTIC TIGER – w2w in Parx debut, tried a 200k NGST at Penn, flashed speed and stopped, first Lasix going to help today, 30% angle for tr Kathleen Demasi
7 – GOLDIENESS – Ness/Silvera – again, both wins in 5 races at the distance – 3rd up – nice Laurel work between races
Suggested Plays: $1 Double: 1,2/1,8,9,10
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – 6 races Bias: 50/50 – 50% w2w – PP: None form the Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7, Little Discount, 8+ Major Bonus
9 – SECOND AND REED – Tie TLRSP# – biggest class dropper – track dropper from NYRA
8 – UNION REWARD – fair odds, strong C-Zone EP combo,
10 – FIRST SQUAD – should be rolling late, comes up from Florida, maybe better in R2 off the bench
1 – RUN FOR KARL – best turf Pedigree by a decent margin – rail no wins yet
Suggested Plays: $1 Exacta Key Box: 9/1,8,10
