PARX Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 9-10-2024
Race 1-Female
3 – Union Belle – She has finished in the money in her last three races, winning one of the starts, finishing 2nd vs similar her last race and she can handle the distance.
2 – Namora – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Gaja Ray – She won her last race at PARX Racing by fourteen lengths, has the best dirt speed among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
7 – Moonlit Magic – She won her last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Shudabeenacowgirl
Race 2-Female
4 – Angelic Storm – She won her last race at PARX Racing and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Miss Alex – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
3 – Akna – She drops in class today and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
2 – Disco Daisy – She won her last race at PENN National and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Bohemia Babe
8 – Bella Maria
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,7/4,5/1,6,7/4,5,7,8 – Cost $48.00
Bet: $1.00 Exacta Box: #2,3,4,7
Race 3 -Female
4 – Bahama Pearl – She won her last race at PARX Racing by eight lengths, she has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Shackleford County – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 25% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 68% of the races, winning 23% of the races.
7- Collin’s Grey Lady – She ran 2nd in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
3 – Lean On E – She drops in class today and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Bet: $1.00 Exacta Box: #3,4,5,7
Race 4-Female
6 – Fairy Dreams – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 33% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 78% of the races, winning 33% of the races and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Wishing Ona Prayer – She has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick; the rail post is winning at a 19% clip and she has high % winning trainer.
7 – Leviosa – She has finished in the money in five of her last six starts, winning three of the races and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Cabra Chica – She switches to a high % winning trainer, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and a bullet 3F workout on Sep-04.
Alternate:
3 – Rolls Royce Joyce
Bet: $1.00 Exacta Box: #1,5,6,7
$.50 Pick 4: #1,6,7/4,5,7,8/1,4/1,2,5,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
5 – Confirmed Genius – She switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
4 – Battalia – She has won the last three races in a row at PARX Racing easily and she has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Aegean Sea – She ran 2nd in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a bullet 4F workout on Aug-31.
Longshot:
8 – Fast Motion – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 67% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 67% of the races.
Alternate:
2 – Shetalkstomuch
3 – Hidden Cache
Bet: $10.00 Win & $20.00 Place: #5 – $5.00 Exacta: #5/4,7,8 – $$2.00 DD: 5/ALL
Bet: $.50 Trifecta Key: #5/4,7,8/2,3,4,7,8
Race 6
4 – People Force – He should improve while returning to dirt and the shorter distance he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a good 4F workout on Sep-01.
1 – The King Cheek – He ran 4th in his last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – You Must Chill – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Speightster Red – He drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Last Romance
2 – Zoppi Fischbein
Race 7
2 – Urban Symphony – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 3 winners from 3 starters and 1 stakes winner, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a bullet 4F workout on Aug-30.
5 – Beyondexpectations – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters and 1 stakes winner, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Right Wing Runner – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters, he has a trainer who wins 20% of the races in a horses debut Maiden Sp Wt, race, his breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a high % winning jockey
Longshot:
8 – Possum – He switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races in the 2nd race career a horse competes in.
Alternate:
4 – My Detroit City
7 – L Golden Boy
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,5,8/2,5/3,4,5,6/7,8,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 8-Female
2 – Flamingo Way – She has finished in the money in five of her five career starts, winning two of the races and she has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Jezebel Jade – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Kindred Hearts – She won her last race at PARX Racing; she has a high % winning trainer and she has a good 5F workout on Aug-31.
Longshot:
1 – Missy Sixtysix – She can improve while returning to a sprint, the rail post is winning at 18% clip and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Snappy Ride
Race 9-Female
4 – Dancing On My Own – She won her last race at Delaware Park; has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Mary Q – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 56% of the races, winning 33% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 67% of the races.
3 – Gold Medal Anna – She is another horse that likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 69% of the races, winning 15% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 15% of the races.
Longshot:
6 – Stassi – She ran 2nd in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Majestic Creed
Race 10
9 – Baafeed – He drops in class today; he has a high % winning trainer who wins 24% of the races when dropping a horse down 2+ classes and he has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Commander Carl – He comes in from Kentucky racing, drops in class today and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Fast Bob – He has finished 2nd in his last two races, the last as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
Longshot:
6 – Rejected Again – He has won his last race at PARX Racing; he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Liam’s Blue Moon
2 – Gagetown
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 5th Race – #5 – Confirmed Genius
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out – Rail Bonus
5 – GAJA RAY – only horse with a par race – 2nd up boom or bust
3 – UNION BELLE – most consistent performer of late at a level that would beat most of these most of the time
1 – SHUDABEENACOWGIRL – likely better in round two off the bench with rail edge
7 – MOONLIT MAGIC – better middle out in last – seen a lot carry that into the next start
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out – Rail Bonus
4 – ANGELIC STORM – coming off a dominate with and has the most back class
3 – AKNA – 4SP# increases in a row – class drop
6 – BOHEMIA BABE – could be a part of the early pace and stay there versus these – Lone E
7 – MISS ALEX – 2nd at this level last out – run back to July 24th race would be a winner
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out – Rail Bonus
4 – BAHAMA PEARL – 2 of the last three races are winners here +9 Total Pace
5 – SHACKLEFORD COUNTY – clearly in peak form – better ATB in last – concerned about some regression
3 – LEAN ON E – first up on the class drop – last win at this level
7 – COLLIN’S GREY LADY – another lone E with a great chance to be forward
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out – Rail Bonus
5 – CABRA CHICA – most back class – should improve in 2nd up – recent 3f work says they will send
1 – WISHING ONA PRAYER – w2w in last two – gets the lead with the rail
7 – LEVIOSA – fairly consistent – all or nothing at the distance 20/4-0-2
6 – FAIRY DREAMS – another consistent performer – solid at Parx 9/3-2-1 and 9/3-2-2 at the distance
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out – Rail Bonus
4 – BATTALIA – upped speed figure in last three – all blowout w2w – wins
5 – CONFIRMED GENIUS – class dropper with Paco riding – who rode two back for an easy win
8 – FAST MOTION – another with three SP# increases and slightly better ATB in last
7 – AEGEAN SEA – probably the most consistent performer where her typical race is competitive for the win at this level
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair with 2/3 Best and 4-7 worst
6 – YOU MUST CHILL – best Parx number and 8/4-2-1 at the track – should step forward in 2nd up
1 – THE KING CHEEK – Ness/Sanchez – with the most upside
4 – PEOPLE FORCE – running at this level but really higher at tier 1 tracks – has a Parx win
5 – SPEIGHTSTER RED – tough call over the 8 – but better ATB in last and faster by more than 2 seconds
Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 57% w2w – PP: Outside In
5 – BEYONDEXPECTATIONS – 3/3
2 – URBAN SYMPHONY – 2.6
1 – RIGHT WING RUNNER – 2.5
4 – MY DETROIT CITY – 2.4
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 21% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Same Discount
2 – FLAMINGO WAY – going to be the heavy favorite as her last three races are warrant the status vs these +11 Top TOTAL PACE
5 – JEZEBEL JADE – has explosive LS – all she needs to do is move forward a little at the start
1 – MISSY SIXTYSIX – the race two back puts her in the money – cutting back in distance helps
3 – SNAPPY RIDE – lone PC – best chance is for the 7 to go out and burn the 2
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair with 2/3 Best and 4-7 worst
4 – DANCING ON MY OWN – explosive ES and could be better in the 2nd up – one the lead by herself
2 – MAJESTIC CREED – class dropper that was better in first ½ mile last out – 5 of 6 wins at PARX
3 – GOLD MEDAL ANNA – Resume says big move forward coming today in round two off the bench
5 – MARY Q – what the 4 has in ES she has in LS – spotty 2nd up, will be closing
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out – Rail Bonus
4 – LIAM’S BLUE MOON – most back class and has the best works getting prepped – aggressive ES edge
9 – BAAFEED – first up – spotty off the bench – good sized drop
7 – FAST BOB – lowest level in last 10 – won last fresh run
6 – REJECTED AGAIN – should be out front – tough call over the 5 but better fractions
