Horse Racing Today

Parx Racing Picks & Analysis – 10 Fast Races Today | Bias Trends, Value Plays & Alpha Angles

We kick off the final week of 2025 with a full 10-race card at Parx Racing — and the track is fast, firm, and firing! After a week of weather shakeups and cancellations earlier in December, Parx returns with competitive fields, mild conditions, and sharp racing all afternoon. Rich and Terry deliver the analysis you count on, with Smart Sheets insights, pace profiles, value notes, and race-by-race breakdowns that help you follow the action from post to finish.

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Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 12-29-2025

Race 1

2 – Stinger Bee: Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey.

5 – Change Your Name: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Can handle the distance.

10 – Pastero: Ran 5th vs similar in last race as the favorite; Has trainer who wins 18% of the races with beaten favorites; Has a good jockey.

Longshot:

11 – Sunny Magic: Finished in the money in 6 races out of 11 starts at PARX Racing; has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the Maiden Claiming race.

Alternate:

8 – Wampanoag Chief

Race 2

8 – Keeping the Faith: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race after being bumped at the start; Has a high % winning jockey.

9 – Lyonzi: Won his debut race and only needs to repeat; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

2 – Light My Way: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

1 – Son of Delilah: Won last race at PARX Racing at today’s distance; Rail post is winning at a 19% clip.

Alternate:

7 – Extrasexymcsteemee

6 – King Deivys

$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,6,7,8,9/1/2,6/3,4,6,7,8,9,10 – Cost $49.00  

Race 3-Female

1 – Pam Pam: Won last race at Laurel Park; She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a good 4F workout (Dec-18).

4 – Tower Twenty-Two: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer.

7 – Volatility: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

6 – Racey Ruby: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Alternate:

2 – Equus

5 – Southampton Dock

Race 4

2 – Au Some Warrior: Won 2 races at PARX Racing; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer.

6 – Sir Mendel: Finished in the money in 3 of the last 5 starts, winning 1 race; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer.

7 – Banjo: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 17% of the starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

4 – Biagio: Drops in class today; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

5 – Bobo Liver

1 – Hoppy Time

$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,6,7/4,8,9,10/2,7,10/2,9 – Cost $48.00  

Race 5-

4 – Mybandit: Ran 2nd vs similar in only start, with a trainer and jockey known for high win rates.

9 – Raging Cajun: Placed in 3 of 6 starts; top last-race speed rating; trained by a high-percentage trainer with a 22%-win rate when moving up in class.

8 – Sam’s Glory: Finished 3rd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races in a horse’s 2nd career race.

Longshot:

10 – Alastar: Has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % jockey.

Alternate:

3 – Finance

7 – Petey Motto

Race 6-Female

10 – Divine Grace: Ran 4th vs similar in last race as the favorite; Has trainer who wins 31% of the races with beaten favorites; Drops in class today.

7 – Amy Mule: Won 2 races out of the last 3 starts, running 2nd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Switches to a high % winning trainer.

2 – Date Night Kisses: Fastest at this distance; tied for best dirt speed today; features a high-percentage trainer and now a high-percentage jockey.

Longshot:

8 – Waitwaitdonttellme: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race, winning the previous race and likes the distance.

Alternate:

9 – Summary Judgment

Race 7

9 – Recker Point: Finished 2nd last out vs similar; trainer wins 31% with beaten favorites; top-performing jockey.

2 – Mister Lincoln: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Prince Colton: Finished in the money in 4 races out of the last 5 starts; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

5 – Severn Run: Won 2 races out of the last 3 starts, running 2nd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

6 – Try Harder

7 – Runandscore

$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,9/6,7/6,10,11,12/3,8,12 – Cost $48.00

Race 8

6 – Ponder and Dream: In the money all 3 starts, third last out; trainer and jockey have high win rates; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races with 1st time starters.

7 – N. Y. Finest: Finished 3rd vs similar in only start and has a good 4F workout (Dec12).

1 – B Raging On: Early speed running style helps chances; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

4 – Buff Gary: First time starter whose Dam has 4 winners from 4 starters and 1 stakes winner; Breeding suits today’s sprint distance; Has a bullet 4F workout (Dec-12)

Alternate:

2 – Gold in My Hands

Bet: $20.00 Win: 6 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 6/7 – $10.00 Exacta:6/1,4,7 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 1,6,7

Race 9-Female

12 – Centre Court Champ: finished in the money in 2 races out of the last 3 starts, winning 2 races and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

10 – Carousel Queen: Finished in the money in the last 4 starts, winning 2 races; Has a high % winning trainer.

11 – Delray: Finished in the money in 6 races out of 8 career starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

6 – Tap Dancin Cowgirl: Won 2 races out of 3 career starts; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

5 – Dewey Doit

3 – Reigert Girls

Race 10-

12 – Union Purrfection: In the money in 8 of last 10 starts, with 2 wins; trained by a 45% winning trainer who excels on the second start; drops in class today.

8 – Simply Disregarded: Beaten only 1-1/2 lengths vs tougher in last start; Has a high % winning trainer.

3 – Curious Soul: Won last race at PARX Racing; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

4 – Coach Knight: Parx Racing finishes in the money 65% of the time, wins 24%; trainer wins 25% in second race after claiming; drops in class today.

Alternate:

2 – Lucchesi

10 – Max Forward Speed

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #6 – Ponder and Dream

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Discount

2 – STINGER BEE – nice sized class drop – run back to NOC 23rd at CD and none can beat him

10 – PASTERO – strong Z pattern in last – similar fractions at 7f as 6

5 – CHANGE YOUR NAME – speed figures rising – better LP

11 – SUNNY MAGIC – probably most consistent in a field of inconsistency

$5 Exacta Key Box: 2/5,8,10,11
$10 Double: 2/2

Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yard – Bias: Stalkers, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2+ Similar, Small Discount

2 – LIGHT MY WAY – TLRSP#+4 – first time making 3 starts in a row – Boom or Bust

9 – LYONZI – out front with 2nd race upside  – EZ debut win – Left Arrow

8 – KEEPING THE FAITH – last race better than in looks with – slightly better fractions

4 – COALVILLE – closest to PAR -1 – some regression in last – potential rebound

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,9/1,4/1,2,4,5,7/3,4,8,9,10

$5 Exacta Key Box: 2/3,4,8,9

Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yard – Bias: Stalkers, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2+ Similar, Small Discount

1 – PAM PAM – BIG SIM fav – NESS horse with lots of upside

4 – TOWER TWENTY TWO – TLRSP#+ 6 – PARX 3/2-01 – last race at PARX would do

6 – RACEY RUBY – the last of the 3 YES horses (1&4) – better LP and more distance today

2 – EQUUS – could be out front and better in 2nd up and 2nd at PARX after track dropping

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Discount Outside a Little Better

2 – AU SOME WARRIOR – consistent – top TOTAL PACE – tied for biggest drop

4 – BIAGIO – SIM FAV – Top PAR+ – should get a better trip today

7 – BANJO – should be out front – as potential Lone E – probably better in 2nd up

1 – HOPPY TIME – big run in last out – maybe better in 2nd up – also potential regression

$0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,7/3,4,8,10/2,7,10/2,4

Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Discount

8 – SAM’S GLORY – 2nd race upside after a rough start in debut

4 – MYBANDIT – another 2nd race upside type after being bumped “hard” in debut

3 – FINANCE – 1st timer with a pair of back bullets

10 – ALASTAR – one of 2 MSW droppers with the 2 – 2nd up

Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yard – Bias: Stalkers, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2+ Similar, Small Discount

7 – AMY MULE – biggest in race edge +7 LS and Top TOTAL PACE – good works prepping

10 – DIVINE GRACE – Snachez & Ness – strong at PARX 14/6-2-1 and distance 11/5-1-1

2 – DATE NIGHT KISSES – another Ness horse – first off the claim – strong work since switching barns

3 – BUNNY BONUS – SIM FAV and decent numbers off the break for Tr Padilla

Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside Better
2 – MISTER LINCOLN – Top Total Pace – Sanchez and Ness – winner 3/7 at Parx – 2/10 elsewhere

4 – PRINCE COLTON – really, any of the last 3 races will do – repeat Oct 22nd and it’s a wrap

10 – SMOOTH FLYIN MIKE – TLRSP# +6 – huge run in last – can pair big effort – risk of regression

9 – RECKER POINT – another Ness Horse – just missed in 1st at Parx – cutting back helps in second up helps

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,4,10/6,7/2,10,11,12/3,4,8,12

Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Discount

7 – N. Y. FINEST – 2nd race upside puts him up top

6 – PONDER AND DREAM – any of his 3 races probably wins this – bullet works

1 – B RAGING ON – other YES horse with the 6 – track dropper

4 – BUFF GARY – highly rated 1st timer – rest are noes

Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Discount Outside a Little Better

12 – CENTRE COURT CHAMP – SIM FAV – Top Total Pace and should be involved start to finish

6 – TAP DANCIN COWGIRL – lots of upside in the 4th start – run back to lone PARX race on NOV 10 and it could look easy

10 – CAROUSEL QUEEN – Mychel Snachez – won 2/3 on this horse – 2nd by ¾ in the other

11 – DELRAY – definitely been in against much better – Track Dropper

Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Discount Outside a Little Better

8 – SIMPLY DISREGARDED – very capable of stakes level mid moves

4 – COACH KNIGHT – definitely closing as Top Total Pace

3 – CURIOUS SOUL – great chance to be out front

12 – UNION PURRFECTION – most consistent – high floor – low ceiling type

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