Horse Racing Today

Parx Racing Picks & Analysis – 10 Fast Races Today | Bias Trends, Value Plays & Alpha Angles

We’re right back at Parx Racing with 10 more races on today’s card — and this one steps up in class with four stakes races adding depth, pace pressure, and real intrigue throughout the afternoon. Rich and Terry break down the entire card as Terry looks to go back-to-back with Best Bet winners, while Rich hunts for value and race-shape advantages across a competitive program.

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Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 12-30-2025

Race 1Female

2 – G’s Fireball: Beaten only 2-lengths vs similar in last start, winning 2 races out of the last 4 starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

5 – Shining Spirit: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer; Has a good 4F workout (Dec-18).

9 – Sheza Bernardini: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

8 – Goldieness: Early speed running style helps chances; Can improve at the shorter distance; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

6 – Trade Secret

Race 2

4 – Liberte de Bayeux: Finished 5th as the favorite last time; trained by a 30% winning trainer with success in beaten favorites; holds today’s fastest dirt speed.

3 – Nuedorf: Finished in the money in 8 races out of the last 10 starts, winning 5 races; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

6 – Outdoor Cat: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race, winning the previous 2 races; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a bullet 4F workout (Dec-21).

Longshot:

5 – Palm Island: Beaten only a neck vs similar in last start; has a high % winning trainer and jockey; has a good 4F workout (Dec-22).

Alternate:

7 – Smoke Wagon

9 – Amore d’Oro

 $.50 Pick 4: 3,4,5,6/5,9/1,4,5/2,3,6,8 – Cost $48.00  

Race 3-Female

9 – Butter Kisses: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

5 – Alyvia Mavis: Won last race at Aqueduct; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – I Am Rue: Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

3 – Celestial Speed: Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance will be a plus; Has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

8 – Truthorconsequence

Race 4Female

1 – Western Woman: In the money in last 6 starts with 2 wins and a runner-up finish last time; rail post wins 19% of the time; top-performing jockey aboard.

4 – Misspent: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning jockey.

5 – Antonacci Girl: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a trainer who wins 21% of the races when taking a route to a sprint.

Longshot:

6 – Mink Stole: Finished in the money in 4 races out of the last 6 starts, winning 2 races; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey

Alternate:

9 – Golden Philly

$.50 Pick 4: 1,4,5,6/6,8/1,2,5,7/5,8,10 – Cost $48.00  

Race 5-

8 – Uncle Irish: He has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick; has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

6 – Admiral’s Wave: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

3 – Gametime Gladiator: Strong at PARX Racing, in the money 50% of starts (50% wins); handles the distance with 60% in the money (20% wins).

Longshot:

2 – Ahsad: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

1 – Majestic Creed

7 – He’s Got Swagger

Race 6-Female

7 – Crown Royal Babe: Fastest dirt speed among today’s starters (tie); features top trainer and jockey; strong 4F workout (Dec-22).

2 – Angie’s Reward: Finished 3rd in last race; Early speed running style helps chances; She has a high % winning trainer.

1 – Smart Philly: Finished in the money in 4 career starts, finishing 3rd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

5 – Eake: Won last race at PARX Racing; Trainer wins 28% of Non-Graded Stakes debuts; jockey also has a high win rate.

Alternate:

6 – Research Triangle

4 – Presenceisapresent

Race 7

8 – Guaponess: Won 2 races out of the last 2 starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Has a bullet 4F workout (Dec-23).

5 – Kissthemoon: Finished in the money in 8 races out of the last 10 starts, winning 5 races; Has a high % winning trainer.

10 – Dreaming of Gerry: Third as favorite last out; 30% winning trainer with success in beaten favorites; Top speed at today’s distance; Fastest dirt speed in field.

Longshot:

1 – I Feelucky Tonite: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and has can handle the distance.

Alternate:

4 – Styner

9 – Hermoso Hombre

$.50 Pick 4: 1,5,8,10/1,2,7/3,9/2,4,5,7 – Cost $48.00

Race 8

1 – Mailata: In the money in 3 of 4 starts, winning the last two; trainer and jockey have a strong win rate; fastest dirt speed today.

2 – Tough Guy Tony: 3 wins in 5 starts; high-percentage trainer; benefits from early speed style.

Longshot:

7 – Higher Sense: Best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed; Has a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

Bet: $10.00 D/D: 1,2/3

Race 9-Female

3 – Law School: Won last race at Laurel by 14-lenghts; Has the highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

9 – Bellanova: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

8 – Divine Seeker: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

1 – Divine Intentions: Has won 2 races out of 3 career starts; Rail post is winning at a19% clip; Has a high % winning jockey.

Bet: $30.00 Win: 3 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 3/9 – $10.00 Exacta:3/1,8,9

Race 10-

5 – Lord Winsalot: Has won 36% of the starts at PARX Racing; strong win percentage for trainer and jockey.

2 – Romantic Gamble: Finished in the money in 4 races out of the last 5 starts, winning 3 races; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

7 – Curlins Cruzin: Fourth last race after start bump; drops class today; early speed; top trainer.

Longshot:

4 – Cobble Road: Shorter distance offers hope for improvement; Has a high % winning trainer; Bullet 4F workout (Dec-21).

Alternate:

6 – Musical Heart

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9h Race – #3 – Law School

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Discount

3 – GETAWAY PALACE – Big SIM FAV – lots of upside in 3rd up – Top PAR+

8 – GOLDIENESS – top TOTAL PACE – class dropper after the claim

9 – SHEZA BERNARDINI – TLRSP#+4 – better 5 ways -more in 2nd up?

2 – G’S FIREBALL – not the biggest fan of Penn Shipper – but prefer over the rest

0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,3,8,9

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Discount Outside a Little Better

6 – OUTDOOR CAT – last race better than the finish with same fractions despite being bumped

3 – NUEDORF – SIM FAV on the class drop with Sanchez and Pino again

4 – LIBERTE DE BAYEUX – Ness and Pennington – in the 3rd up

5 – PALM ISLAND – on the lead with TLRSP#+5 – strong work between races – Top C Zone

$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,5,6/4,6,9/1,4/1,4,6,8

Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Discount

9 – BUTTER KISSES – Top TOTAL PACE – better EP for a closer with a strong C ZONE

4 – I AM RUE – only class dropper – down more than a length

6 – BROAD STROKES – could be on the lead – most potential upside in just 3rd race

5 – ALYVIA MAVIS – Ness horse – strong ITM but only 1 win in 24 starts – what’s the chance it doubles up wins

Race 4: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside Better

1 – WESTERN WOMAN – all maybes or noes – we’ll take the strong rail, Sanchez and ITM 6/6 at Parx

4 – MISSPENT – better early and late in last – highly consistent

5 – ANTONACCI GIRL – smoked in her only PARX run – another that’s highly consistent

9 – GOLDEN PHILLY – good chance to be out front vs middle back types

$0.50 Pick 4: 1,4,5/1,4,6,8/1,2,4,7/8,10

Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yard – Bias: Stalkers, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2+ Similar, Small Discount

4 – YOUBETTERBEJOKING – 1 of 2 YES horses (1) – TLRSP#+7 and Top TOTAL PACE +11

8 – UNCLE IRISH – Sanchz and Ness – looking for 3rd win in a row

6 – ADMIRAL’S WAVE – won last off the bench – strong work prepping

1 – MAJESTIC CREED – the other YES horse – could get loose on the lead with strong C ZONE

$5 Exacta Key Box: 4/1,7,6,8

Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Discount

4 – PRESENCEISAPRESENT – don’t see many debut in a stakes – must think they have something special – all noes or maybes – works hint at early speed

7 – CROWN ROYAL BABE – consistent and a little better early at this level in last

1 – SMART PHILLY – rail works – big pop in only other 2nd up

2 – ANGIE’S REWARD – off to a slow start in last – but does have back speed – 3rd up boom/bust

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,2,4,7

Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 27% w2w – PP: Rail Weak, 2/3 Little Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Bonus

8 – GUAPONESS – forward with the Top TOTAL PACE – Snachez & Ness – winner 7/16 at Parx- great work between races

10 – DREAMING OF GERRY – another Ness horse – run back to Nov 4th race and he’s tough to beat

5 – KISSTHEMOON – again – not the biggest backer of Penn Shippers – but did fire at Laurel

9 – HERMOSO HOMBRE – SIM FAV – biggest class dropper

$0.50 Pick 4: 5,8,9,10/1,2/3,3,9/2,3,5,7

Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside Better

1 – MAILATA – only 3 horses left sits behind the 2 and runs by

2 – TOUGH GUY TONY – best chance is to get to the lead on reasonable fractions

7 – HIGHER SENSE – somebody has to be 3rd of 3 – longest shot in a 3 horse race?

Race 9: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside Better

3 – LAW SCHOOL – 1 of 2 YES horses (1) – TLRSP#+5 – Ness horse

9 – BELLANOVA – plenty of upside in just 3rd career start – bonce back coming after regression in 2nd race – Kendrick coming into ride

1 – DIVINE INTENTIONS – strong effort in the slop last out – gets the lead and lookout (other yes)

5 – TEJAS EXPRESS – 2nd race upside – strong rally in debut in the7 path – Penn shipper though

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,3,5,9

Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Discount Outside a Little Better

2 – ROMANTIC GAMBLE – loves an off track 8/5-0-0 – 4 wins in 30 on any other

7 – CURLINS CRUZIN – TLRSP#+6 – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE – Top PAR+ too

5 – LORD WINSALOT – Sanchez and Pino with a lot of room for more in 2nd up

3 – CHIP’S FRIEND – gonna take a flyer – potential speed with top C ZONE – if he holds the lead through the first half – w2w at a price

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,3,5,7

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