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Parx Racing Picks & Analysis: Smart Sheets, Bias Insights, and Rich’s Winning Strategy for Every Race

It’s Money Monday at Parx, and we’re kicking off the week with a 10-race fast-track card that’s loaded with speed types, sharp form, and plenty of chances for big-time value. Terry and Rich break down every race with Smart Sheets insights, pace analysis, and the angles that separate contenders from pretenders.

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Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 11-17-2025

Race 1

8 – Tush Push: Drops in class today; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – In the Biz: Trainer wins 23% of maiden claiming races and can improve while returning to a sprint.

9 – Always in Play: Drops in class today and has the highest last race speed rating.

Longshot:

6 – Alyvia’s Lil Girl: Finished 3rd in last race and jockey has won 3 races out of the last 9 starts.

Alternate:

1 – Wanting Attention

7 – Uptown Art

Race 2

4 – Soar Richard: Placed 2nd against similar last time; shows early speed; top speed figure at today’s distance; fastest dirt speed in this field; trained by a high-percentage trainer (23% wins second after claim).

8 – Davola: One for one at PARX Racing; drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and has a bullet 4F workout (Nov-04).

3 – Stillwater Moon: Finished in the money in 40 % of his career races and can handle the distance.

Longshot:

6 – Hard Spice: Best Dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed and likes the distance.

Alternate:

1 – Planet

2 – Big Dosser

$.50 Pick 4:4,8/1,2/1,2,3,6,7/1,2,3,4,5 – Cost $50.00  

Race 3

1 – It’s Game Time: Won last race at PARX Racing by 10-lenghts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

2 – Youbetterbejoking: Won last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning trainer.

7 – Rackataptap: He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 57% of the races, winning 29% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 47% of the races, winning 29% of the starts.

Longshot:

4 – Amatteroftime: He has won 22% of the starts at PARX Racing; High% trainer who wins 19% of the claiming races; Highest speed figure at today’s distance.

Alternate:

5 – Cobble Road

Race 4Female

2 – Always Laughing: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; High % trainer wins 29% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to route, plus has a top jockey.

3 – Racey Ruby: He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 56% of the races, winning 33% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 25% of the starts.

1 – Mavilus: Drops in class today; Switches to a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

6 – Wow Lucky: Finished in the money 6 races out of the last 7 races, winning 1 of the races and likes the distance.

Alternate:

7 – Thegoddessofsnakes

5 – Noisy On the Bay

$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,6,7/1,2,3,4,5/4,5/3,4 – Cost $50.00

Race 5

4 – Au Some Warrior: He has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Drops in class today; can improve while returning to dirt.

5 – Coalville: Was fourth as favorite last out; trainer wins 25% with returning beaten favorites. Drops in class. Has top dirt speed and a high-percentage jockey.

2 – We Miss Neil: Drops in class today; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

3 – Crack the Code: Drops in class today and can improve in 2nd start since layoff.

Alternate:

1 – Jackson’s Legacy

6 – Addyson’s Dream

Race 6

5 – Drunkle: Placed in 3 of the last 4 races, winning once and preferring this distance. Trainer wins 42% when dropping horses 2+ classes; jockey also has a strong win rate.

4 – Bobo Liver – Won last race at PARX Racing; Drops in class today; Has a bullet 3F workout (Nov-12).

2 – Guaio: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Drops in class today; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

Longshot:

9 – Bad Advice: Beaten only 1-length vs tougher in last start and drops in class today.

Alternate:

8 – Scudetto

3 – Pontiac

Race 7

3 – Practical Coach: Finished in the money 7 races out of the last 8 races, winning 4 of the races and a high-percentage jockey.

4 – Diamond Heist: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race, winning the prior race; Has a high % winning trainer.

8 – Easy Action – Won last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance and has a high % winning and trainer.

Longshot:

2 – Track of My Tears – Won last race at PARX Racing and has a trainer who wins 18% of the claiming races.

Alternate:

5 – Six Whips

$.50 Pick 4:2,3,4,8/1,6,7/5,8/1,4,5,8 – Cost $48.00

Race 8

7 – Extrasexymcsteemee: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey and likes the distance.

6 – Legendary Thunder: Ran 2nd vs similar (on Turf) in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Has a high % winning jockey.

1 – Southern Dream – Drops in class today; Rail post is winning at a 19% clip; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

Longshot:

2 – Cap Steak Robbery – Finished in the money all 3 career races, running 2nd vs similar in last race.

Alternate:

4 – Leo’s Legacy

3 – Great Composer

Race 9-Female

8 – Umbral: Finished in the money 9 races out of the last 10 races, winning 4 of the races including the last 3 races in a row and a high-percentage trainer.

5 – Leftover Sushi – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 64% of the races, winning 27% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 55% of the races, winning 27% of the starts.

7 – Could Be a Cougar – Won 2 races in a row going for a hat trick, and she has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

4 – Flower Mound: Ran 2nd in last race; Early speed running style helps chances; Highest last race speed rating.

Alternate:

6 – Scarborough Fair

1 – Ree Nee’s Six

Bet: $20.00 Win & $25.00 Place: 8 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 5/8 – $5.00 Exacta:8/4,5,7 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 5,7,8

Race 10

5 – Bold Endeavor: Switches to a high% trainer and jockey; Drops in class today; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters

4 – Amedeus Music: Highest last race speed rating (tie); Highest speed figure at today’s distance and can handle the distance.

1 – Khopesh: Won last race at PARX Racing by 9-lenghts; Rail post is winning at 19% clip; high-percentage trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

8 – Magical Road: Won last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

2 – River’s Gamble

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #8 – Umbral

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Similar Discount, Inside a little better than outside

4 – IN THE BIZ – 1 of 2 YES horses and should be close to the front as Top Total Pace

7 – UPTOWN ART – only PURE MSW dropper and 2nd race upside

9 – ALWAYS IN PLAY – the other YES horse – a little better 2f pace in last

8 – TUSH PUSH – sizable drop in the 2nd up, could improve in 2nd up

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 4,7,8,9

Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Similar Discount, Inside a little better than outside

8 – DAVOLA – won lone Parx race with ease – horse for the course, 46 flat work at Parx

4 – SOAR RICHARD – TLRSP# +9 – Top Total Pace – a pair of 2nd in two at Parx

3 – STILLWATER MOON – SIM FAV – could be involved early

1 – PLANET – tough call over the rest, I’ll take the odds and the rail edge – YES Horse

$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,8/1,5,7/1,2/1,2,3,4,5

Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalker, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

1 – IT’S GAME TIME – SIM FAV – Pennington and Ness, 3rd up

5 – COBBLE ROAD – could be out front by himself as lone E with strong C ZONE

7 – RACKATAPTAP – only class dropper – highly consistent – a little better EP

2 – YOUBETTERBEJOKING – strong in last – concern is he’s regressed last pair of 2nd ups

Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 26% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Discount

1 – MAVILUS – even money SIM FAV – biggest in race edge of +7 LS and Top Total Pace

2 – ALWAYS LAUGHING – could be the pacesetter, doesn’t need to as lone EP – track and class drop

3 – RACEY RUBY – right distance for an ITM finish 4/1-3-0

7 – THEGODDESSOFSNAKES – should be better in the 2nd up with better EP last out

$0.50 Pick 4: 1,2/2,3,4,5/3,4,8/1,2,4,6

Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Similar Discount, Inside a little better than outside

4 – AU SOME WARRIOR – much better EP in last – top Total Pace

2 – WE MISS NEIL – TLRSP#+7 – 5 ways better – better in the 2nd up

1 – JACKSON’S LEGACY – SIM FAV – much better middle out and actually about 2 seconds faster

5 – COALVILLE – slowly creeping up the speed ladder with a maintenance work

6 – ADDYSON’S DREAM

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Discount, but better than 4-7

5 – DRUNKLE – Sanchez and Pino -winning at 43% together – what else do you need?

4 – BOBO LIVER – going to go forward – trainer 0-81 in the winners circle 90+ days off

2 – GUAIO – one of 2 YES horses and better EP and Fractions in last

3 – PONTIAC – the other YES – tough call over the 8 – but more upside

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,3,4,5

Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 49% w2w – PP: Rail Big Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Discount but better than 4-7

4 – DIAMOND HEIST – maybe the most consistent – better pace and fractions

8 – EASY ACTION – out front with upside – got to be careful not to get caught wide

3 – PRACTICAL COACH – fires off the bench and two solid runs with Sanchez riding

6 – FULL IRISH – speed and fade in 1st up – more stamina today

$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,8/1,2,6/4,8/1,4,5,6,10

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Discount, but better than 4-7

2 – CAP STEAK ROBBERY – finally healthy horse making 2 starts in a row for the 1st time

1 – SOUTHERN DREAM – SIM FAV – Maybe horse and lone, big class dropper

6 – LEGENDARY THUNDER – track dropper that was better ATB

4 – LEO’S LEGACY – potential pacesetter with strong C ZONE

$5 Exacta Key Box: 2/1,4,6,7

Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Similar Discount, Inside a little better than outside

4 – FLOWER MOUND – TLRSP# +12 – SIM FAV – biggest class dropper – Top C ZONE

8 – UMBRAL – 3 SP# increases and a neck from winning 4 of 4 at Parx

7 – COULD BE A COUGAR – absolutely smoked the competition in the last two

5 – LEFTOVER SUSHI – could be out front by himself  – move to Sanchez a tell?

$4 Exacta Key Box: 4/5,7,8

Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalker, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

5 – BOLD ENDEAVOR – Sanchez and Ness on a track dropper

10 – ASMODEUS – very consistent with better EP and fractions

4 – AMEDEUS MUSIC – better in 3rd up? Trainer high hit rate first off the claim

1 – KHOPESH – tough call over the 6 – absolutely mowed the comp in his last and pairs strong outings

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,4,5,10

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