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Parx Racing Picks & Analysis: Smart Sheets, Bias Insights, and Rich’s Winning Strategy for Every Race

10 fast races at Parx Racing to start Thanksgiving Week — and we’re bringing the heat right out of the gate. Track is fast, the fields are competitive, and today’s Smart Sheet edges could be the difference-maker all afternoon.

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Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 11-24-2025

Race 1Female

4 – Purple Lu Lu: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest last race speed rating; High % trainer, plus has a top jockey.

7 – It’s a Shore Thing: Switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when taking a horse from a Sprint-Route-Sprint and returning to a sprint may help.

2 – Frosted Lace: Drops in class today and best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Longshot:

1 – Breezethrutime: Finished in the money 2 races out of 4 starts at PARX Racing, rail post is winning at a 18% clip and has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

5 – Laugh Like Lucy

3 – Momma Pic

Race 2

3 – Union Purrfection: Won last race at PARX Racing; trained by a high-percentage trainer and can handle the distance.

6 – Earl of Dassel: Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer.

2 Max’s Glory: Has a high % winning jockey and can do well at today’s distance.

Longshot:

1 – Regalpains: Rail post winner (20%), top speed at today’s distance, fastest dirt time among these starters, and trained and ridden by a high-percentage team.

Alternate:

4 – Heat Alert

$.50 Pick 4 :1,2,3,6/1,3,5,6/2,4,6/1,6 – Cost $48.00  

Race 3

5 – Sunny Magic: Placed in 5 of 9 races at PARX Racing; drops in class today; trained by a trainer with a 21% maiden claiming win rate.

1 – Rogue Prince: Drops in class today; Rail post is winning at a 20% clip; trained by a trainer with a 22% maiden claiming win rate.

6 – Hard Performer: Drops in class today; May improve in 3rd start since layoff; Can improve while returning to a route.

Longshot:

3 – Son of Delilah: Has a high % winning jockey.

Race 4

4 – Encrypt: Placed 2nd against similar last time; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning jockey.

6 – Desert Aire: Won last race at PARX Racing; can handle the distance and has a high % winning trainer.

2 – Keeping the Faith: Won last race at PARX Racing; has a top trainer.

Longshot:

1 – Light My Way: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Rail post is winning at 20% clip; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

3 – Muthabir

$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,6/1,2,3,6/1,5,7/2,9 – Cost $48.00  

Race 5

6 – Churning Berni: Drops in class today; who wins 29% of the claiming races in the 2nd start with this trainer; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

1 – It’s Authentic: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Rail post is winning at a 20% clip; Has a high % winning trainer.

3 – Bermuda Triangle: Drops in class today; Switches to a high% trainer; Has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

2 – Big Ern McCracken: Third in a tougher turf race last time; drops in class today. Early speed suits the shorter distance and can improve back on dirt.

Alternate:

4 – Penn Franklin

5 – No Mor Stones

Race 6Female

1 – Exciter: Highest last race speed rating; High % trainer and has a top jockey.

5 – Extrasexyzqteepeye: Placed in 3 of 5 PARX races; fastest dirt speed among today’s starters; trainer and jockey have high win rates.

7 – Eake: Has a trainer and jockey who have high win rates.

Longshot:

3 – Rhysie’s Rocket: First time starter; has a high % winning trainer who wins 50% of the debut maiden special weight and has a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

6 – Polar Magic

Race 7

2 – Smooth Motion: Finished 3rd as the favorite last race; trainer wins 28% with beaten favorites, drops in class today, and jockey has a high win rate.

9 – B D Saints: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer.

7 – Exclusive Dancer – Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning and trainer.

Longshot:

8 – Bijah Again – Won last race at PARX Racing and likes the distance.

Alternate:

3 – Just Be Honest

6 – Dr. Lou

$.50 Pick 4: 2,7,8,9/1,5,7/1,3,4,6/3,9 – Cost $48.00

Race 8

7 – Wave Rider: Ran 2nd in only start; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; good 5F workout (Nov-18).

1 – Quaker City: Finished 3rd in last race; high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races in a horse’s 1st at route; Has a high % winning jockey.

5 – Grey Bull – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Can improve at the longer distance; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

4 – Higher Sense – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

6 – Monster Max

3 – Lorden’s Pride

Race 9-Female

3 – Mo Attitude: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest last race speed rating (tie) and a high-percentage jockey.

6 – Butter Kisses – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 33% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 100% of the races.

1 – Casilda: Rail post wins 19%; trainer has a strong 21%-win rate on second start after claiming; best dirt speed among today’s field and paired with a successful jockey.

Longshot:

4 – Celestial Speed: Last out 2nd (AW); trainer wins 35% on 1st race after claim; early speed benefits from sprint distance; blinkers on; solid 4F work (Nov-13).

Alternate:

2 – Boutwell Time

8 – Quercus

Race 10

9 – Cold Feet: He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 17% of the starts; Drops in class today; Has a high% trainer and jockey.

3 – Golden Candy: He drops in class today and has a high-percent winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Amazing Woo: He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 73% of the races, winning 36% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 33% of the starts.

Longshot:

6 – Mac Daddy Too: Ran 2nd in last race and has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

2 – Magicnthemoonlight

Bet: $20.00 Win: 9 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 3/9 – $10.00 Exacta:9/3,4,6 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 3,4,9

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 10th Race – #9 – Cold Feet

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside Better than Out

4 – PURPLE LU LU – TLRSP# +5 better ATB

2 – FROSTED LACE – 1 of 2 YES horses – fairly consistent – biggest class dropper

1 – BREEZETHRUTIME – the other YES horse – Z PATTERN

7 – IT’S A SHORE THING – strong chance to be the pacesetter and Top Total Pace +8

Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

6 – EARL OF DASSEL – TLRSP#+6, SIM FAV and Top Total Pace – ITM 5/5 at Parx

3 – UNION PURRFECTION – ITM 7/8 at Parx – weight break, could be forward

1 – REGALPAINS – only YES horse – better EP and lone class dropper

2 – MAX’S GLORY – has faced better for sure – hasn’t been close at end of 8/10

$0.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6/1,3,5,6/1,4/1,2,5,6

Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

5 – SUNNY MAGIC – YES horse, Z Pattern and has a work between races

6 – HARD PERFORMER – the other YES horse, better EP and Fractions

3 – SON OF DELILAH – finished 2nd when he ran at this level

1 – ROGUE PRINCE – most upside in just the 3rd race and biggest pure dropper

Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

4 – ENCRYPT – TLRSP#+8 – faster by about a second – maintenance work

1 – LIGHT MY WAY – speed and fade in debut, and should be as good or better in 2nd up

6 – DESERT AIRE – good chance to be pacesetter with top C ZONE by good margin

3 – MUTHABIR – track dropper – better ATB – aside of 4, maybe vs all others noes

$0.50 Pick 4: 1,4/1,2,5,6/1,3,4,7/2,7

Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

2 – BIG ERN MCCRACKEN – TLRSP#+3, SIM FAV and Top Total pace with better fractions

6 – CHURNING BERNI – Ness dropper with interesting jockey choice – apprentice 4/2-0-1 record to start

1 – IT’S AUTHENTIC – YES horse with the top C ZONE

5 – NO MOR STONES track dropper with early speed

$5 Exacta Key Box: 2/1,5,6

Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside  Best, 4+ Discount, Inside Better than Out

1 – EXCITER – speed and fade in debut – more stamina and switch to Sanchez – top C ZONE

7 – EAKE – 3rd race rebound coming – much better EP and fractions in last

3 – RHYSIE’S ROCKET – a pair of firsters versus noes

4 – MI AMOL

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,3,4,7

Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

2 – SMOOTH MOTION – out front with +5 EP and Top Total Pace

7 – EXCLUSIVE DANCER – TLRSP# +8 – YES horse on the class drop

3 – JUST BE HONEST – highly consistent performer

9 – B D SAINTS – last of the YES horses – better in 2nd up after track dropping for Ness

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,7,9/4,7/1,4,7/3,4,8,9

Race 8: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Similar Discount as Rail

7 – WAVE RIDER – 2nd race Parability vs 1 Yes and the rest noes

4 – HIGHER SENSE – the lone YES -+ TLRSP#+11 – big SIM FAV and better EP

1 – QUAKER CITY – 3rd race could be a bounce up after better EP in 2nd up

5 – GREY BULL – Ness and Silvera and another with 3rd race boom or bust ability

Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Small Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair

7 – TRUTHORCONSEQUENCE – track dropper – certainly seen better at CD and Keeneland, speed with class biggest class drop

1 – CASILDA – another track dropper with the most back class

4 – CELESTIAL SPEED – SIM FAV – better EP and Fractions – bullet work between races

5 – MUSIC CLARIFCATION – steady, ranks high, but not a fan of Penn Shippers at are 0/2 at Parx

$5 Exacta Key Box: 7/1,3,4,5

Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Discount, Inside Better than Out

9 – COLD FEET – could be on the lead – very dangerous out front

4 – AMAZING WOO – probably the most consistent – better EP in last

3 – GOLDEN CANDY – ITM 7/9 at PARX – drops in class today

8 – TUFF CONSTITUTION – by far best C ZONE in a wide open race

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 3,4,8,9

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