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Parx Racing Picks & Analysis: Smart Sheets, Bias Insights, and Rich’s Winning Strategy for Every Race

Terrific Tuesday at Parx Racing — 10 races on a fast track and we’re rolling in with momentum. Yesterday was a solid day: Rich hit a Pick 4, Terry nailed his Best Bet, and we’re looking to keep that energy going into today’s card.

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Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 11-25-2025

Race 1Female

3 – Carry Grant: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race and best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

2 – Fast N Sweet: Has a high % winning trainer and can improve in 3rd start since layoff.

4 – Tap the Devil: Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

1 – No More Sins: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey and rail post is winning at 20% clip.

Alternate:

6 – Gentleman Don

Race 2Female

6 – Sofster: Finished 2nd last out vs similar; has top speed at today’s distance and on dirt; trained by a winning trainer and proven at the distance.

2 – Warrior’s Miss: Ran 3rd vs tougher in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

5 – Greyhound Station: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 58% of the races, winning 25% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 56% of the races, winning 33% of the starts.

Longshot:

8 – I’m a Lucky Girl: Drops in class today; Can improve while returning to a sprint; Has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

5 – Love Like Crazy

1 – K D Kakes

 $.50 Pick 4: 2,5,6,8/1,2,3,5/4,6/1,5,6 – Cost $48.00  

Race 3-Female

3 – Tower Twenty Two: Won 1 race out of 2 starts at PARX Racing; Drops in class today; High % trainer, plus has a top jockey.

1 – Ringer Card: She has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

5 – Captain Whiner: Won last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

2 – Misspent: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a high % winning jockey.

Race 4

4 – Gun It: Finished 3rd versus tougher rivals; has the fastest dirt speed and best distance figure here; drops in class with a strong trainer-jockey team.

6 – Liberty Star: Won last race at PARX Racing; Switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey.

2 – Roan Burgundy: Finished 3rd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the races in the 1st start after claiming a horse and can handle the distance.

Longshot:

3 – Nancy Made My Day: Finished in the money in the last 4 races, winning I of the starts; Can handle the distance; Has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

1 – Backside Buzz

5 – Yo Yo Candy

$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,6/1,2,5,6/2,3,6/2,3 – Cost $48.00  

Race 5

6 – Snookie Bear: Drops in class today; Switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey; Has a bullet 4F workout Nov-17.

5 – Smile Maker: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances; Has a high % winning trainer.

1 – Atrocious: Finished in the money in the last 4 races of the last 5 starts, winning 1 race; Likes the distance; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

2 – Gotta Guy: Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

3 – Alchemism

4 – Play the Gray

Race 6

3 – Recker Point: Finished 3rd in last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

6 – Market Maven: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 48% of the races, winning 22% of the starts; Switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey.

2 – Time to Cruise: 3rd last out; top recent speed rating; trainer wins 26% in second start after claiming.

Longshot:

4 – Malibu Star: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Alternate:

1 – In Spades

Race 7

2 – Excellorator: Placed in 8 of last 10 races with 4 wins; holds the top speed figure at this distance; trainer and jockey have a strong win rate.

3 – Badge of War: Won 2 of last 5 races; trainer wins 24% of claiming races; jockey has a high win rate.

6 – Expensive Cut – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a high % winning and trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

4 – Analog Jones – High win percentage; trainer wins 29% in second race post-claim and now uses a top jockey.

Alternate:

1 – Hoku

7 – Concealed Carry

$.50 Pick 4: 2,3/1,4,5,7,8/1,5/2,6,7,8,10 – Cost $50.00

Bet: $20.00 Win: 2 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 2/3 – $10.00 Exacta:2/3,4,6 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 2,3,6

Race 8

4 – Outdoor Cat: Won 3 of last 4 races, winning the last race; High % winning trainer wins 23% of races when shipping in to run; jockey has a high win rate.

1 – Nuedorf: Finished 2nd as the favorite last time out; returns with a trainer who wins 35% in this scenario and a high-percentage jockey.

5 – Ortho Star – Has won his last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and she has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

8 – Bailout Billy – Won the last 3 races in a row; Early speed running style helps chances; Has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

7 – Face the Facts

9 – Smoke Wagon

Race 9

5 – J D Factor: Placed in 9 of last 10 races with 4 wins; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

1 – Real Sensation: Ran 2nd in last race; Early speed running style helps chances and can handle the distance.

3 – Feeling Woozy – Finished 4th as the favorite last time out; returns with a trainer who wins 30% in this scenario; Has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

8 – Latta – 3rd in last race; Best Dirt Speed is today’s fastest; Trainer wins 25% of horses’ second route races.

Alternate:

2 – Margin of Air

6 – Duke of Gloucester

Race 10

6 – Mose Perfect: likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 25% of the starts, can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 60% of the races, winning 27% of the starts.

7 – Rerally: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; high-percentage trainer and jockey.

2 – Uninvited Guest: Moves to a trainer with a 40%-win rate after claiming; trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days: 11 starts, 6 wins, 1 second, 3 thirds.

Longshot:

10 – Sal N Louie: Ran 2nd in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Alternate:

8 – Union Lights

11 – We Ready

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #2 – Excellorator

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

3 – CARRY GRANT – only YES horse – Z Pattern

4 – TAP THE DEVIL – top Total Pace + 9 – maybe most EP and LP

2 – FAST N SWEET – Big Z Pattern – maybe better in 2rd up

1 – NO MORE SINS – 2nd try as a track dropper – always problems

Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Best, 4+ Discount, Inside Better than Out

6 – SOFSTER – Parx 4/0-1-3 – should be forward here with most LS

2 – WARRIOR’S MISS – TLRSP#+7 – drops a little as SIM FAV – not a fan of Penn shippers

8 – I’M A LUCKY GIRL – biggest class dropper – needs a rebound race

7 – REASSESS – could be pacesetter with the top C ZONE – speed did well yesterday

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,6,7,8/1,2/3,4,6/1,3,5,6

Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Best, 4+ Discount, Inside Better than Out

2 – MISSPENT – 6 high quality starts in a row – Parx 3/2-1-0

1 – RINGER CARD – pacesetter  better EP and Fractions – good off the sidelines

5 – CAPTAIN WHINER – biggest in race edge +6.7 LS – 3SP# increases – TLRSP#+3

3 – TOWER TWENTY TWO – Ness track dropper and biggest class dropper

Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Best, 4+ Discount, Inside Better than Out

6 – LIBERTY STAR – TLRSP#+4 and biggest in race edge +7 LS

4 – GUN IT – 2nd up after coming over from NYRA for Ness – biggest class dropper

3 – NANCY MADE MY DAY – been close at Parx in 2 starts – should be forward

5 – YO YO CANDY – resume says better in 3rd up and 5 ways better in last

$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,5,6/1,5,6/2,3,4,7/2,3

Race 5: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Similar Discount as Rail

5 – SMILE MAKER – maybe too much ES here +10 EP – boom or bust in 1st third up

6 – SNOOKIE BEAR – Sanchez and Ness on a track dropper and bullet work

1 – ATROCIOUS – better EP and fractions in last

3 – ALCHEMISM – top Total Pace +6.7 – missed by a neck at this level last out

$5 Exacta Key Box: 5/1,3,6

Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Similar Discount as Rail

2 – TIME TO CRUISE – 3SP# increases – SIM FAV and Top Total Pace

3 – RECKER POINT – on the lead with Top C ZONE – but EP and doesn’t need it – Ness

7 – ELOQUIST –hard to argue with a tr angle that hits 9/20 – 2nd start with Kathleen Demasi

4 – MALIBU STAR – let’s give the 8 year old a shot in the 3rd up – plenty of back class and Tom’s sign of life

$5 Exacta Key Box: 2/3,4,7

Race 7: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Similar Discount as Rail

2 – EXCELLORATOR – more than 2 seconds faster in last – TLRSP#+4 – Top C ZONE by far

3 – BADGE OF WAR – track dropper and plenty of back class – ITM 5/6 at the distance

7 – CONCEALED CARRY – pacesetter and SIM FAV – a little better late in last

4 – ANALOG JONES – Sanchez and Ness – better ATB in last

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3/1,4/1,2,3,5,8/2,6,7,10,11

Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Best, 4+ Discount, Inside Better than Out

4 – OUTDOOR CAT – TLRSP#+4 – strong C ZONE and Ness Track dropper in 3rd up

1 – NUEDORF – should be better in the 3rd up with a maintenance work

8 – BAILOUT BILLY – SIM FAV – won 3 in a row on the lead and should be on the lead here too

7 – FACE THE FACTS – biggest in race edge 1-length LS – better EP in last

Race 9: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 26% w2w – PP: Rail Stinks, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Best

5 – J D FACTOR – left arrow – pacesetter – better EP and Fractions – Top Total Pace & C ZONE

2 – MARGIN OF AIR – SIM FAV – should be as good in 2nd up – won last by 4 ¾ lengths

8 – LATTA – Parx 5/3-0-2 – 2nd up and has a solid work between starts

1 – REAL SENSATION – tuff call over the other Ness horse – better EP and Fractions – was faster last out by more than a second

$5 Exacta Key Box: 5/1,2,3,8

Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out

7 – RERALLY – another left arrow pacesetter with strong C ZONE

10 – SAL N LOUIE – TLRSP# +4 – SIM FAV

6 – MOSE PERFECT – Lone Class Dropper – and Top Total Pace

2 – UNINVITED GUEST – NESS and Sanchez – got to have – but struggled at distance and Parx

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