It’s Money Monday at Parx, and the week kicks off with a 10-race fast-track card loaded with speed, class droppers, sharp worktabs, and wide-open fields. Rich and Terry break down every race with Smart Sheets insights, pace projections, running-style advantages, and the key angles that consistently separate the contenders from the longshots.
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Terry’s Picks
PARX Racing – 12-01-2025
Race 1–
7 – Get Like Mike: Placed in the last 6 races, won the latest by 11 lengths; high-percentage winning trainer; top speed at today’s distance; fastest dirt speed in the field.
3 – He’s Got Swagger: Finished 3rd in last race; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Fluff the Pillow: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances.
Longshot:
1 – Nimmo: Has 3 wins at PARX Racing; Rail post is winning at 19% clip.
Alternate:
5 – River’s Gamble
Race 2–
1 – Chubasco Sauce: Finished 3rd last race; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 35% of the maiden claiming races he has a horse running in.
3 – Our Notion: Has a high % winning trainer and best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Filled With Desire: Finished 3rd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the races when taking a horse from a route to sprint.
Longshot:
6 – Vino Gray: Has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when using 1st time blinkers.
Alternate:
2 – Mybandit
5 – Supernova Dream
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,4,6/3,6/1,2,3,4,6/4,5 – Cost $50.00
Race 3-
3 – Davola: Finished 3rd last race; Has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Stillwater Moon: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating.
1 – Wyatt Hunter: Has a win at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and drops in class today.
Longshot:
4 – We Miss Neil: Finished in the money in 46% of the races at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Hoppy Time
Race 4–
1 – Backtrack: Finished 3rd last race; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the claiming races; Has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Power Agenda: Finished in the money in the last 4 races, winning I start; Early speed running style helps chances.
3 – Big Brown Shoes: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and can handle the distance.
Longshot:
6 – Competitive Saint: Class drop, returns to sprint; top speed figure at this distance; fastest dirt speed in today’s field.
Alternate:
5 – Awesome for Sure
2 – Shanghai Superfly
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,4,6/4,5/4,8/1,3,4,5,6,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
5 – My Kid Syd: Highest last race speed rating; Drops in class today; Highest speed figure at today’s distance.
4 – Prince Lucas: Drops in class today; Early speed running style helps chances; Has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Crack the Code: Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
3 – Aves Makin’ Waves: Can improve while returning to a sprint; Best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
Alternate:
2 – Private Cabana
6 – Coach Clint
Race 6
4 – Borracho: Finished in the money in the last 3 races out of the last 4 starts, winning 2 of the starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Tatum: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 61% of the races, winning 21% of the starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Sophia’s Prince: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
7 – Enforcer: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Jebologist
Bet: $20.00 Win: 4 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 4/8 – $10.00 Exacta:4/6,7,8 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 4,6,8
Race 7–Female
4 – Ambitiously Placed: Moves down in class today; Trainer has a 42%-win rate with this strategy; Holds the top speed at today’s distance and fastest dirt speed among all starters.
1 – Popover Gal: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Rail post is winning at a 18% clip; Has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Goldieness: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 53% of the races, winning 33% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 43% of the races, winning 29% of the starts.
Longshot:
9 – Date Night Kisses: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Bad Temper
5 – Moor Strength
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,4,9/2,5,6,7/3,5/4,6,7– Cost $48.00
Race 8
2 – Capitaine: First time starter; High % winning trainer wins 27% of races in a horse’s 1st time start; jockey has a high win rate.
5 – Connor’s Crew: Has a high-percentage winning trainer and jockey; Blinkers added today.
6 – Gold in My Hands – First time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter; Breeding suits today’s sprint distance, and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
7 – Frankie Coffeecake – First time starter; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% whose horses competes in sprints; jockey has a high win rate.
Alternate:
4 – Onceinawhile
8 – N. Y. Finest
Race 9-Female
3 – Centre Court Champ: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 74% of the races, winning 39% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 53% of the races, winning 33% of the starts.
5 – Aoife’s Magic: Has won 4 races out of 8 starts at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Maximus Angelicus: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 70% of the races, winning 20% of the starts; can handle the distance; Has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
6 – Warrior’s Ransom: Won last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
7 – Dewey Doit
4 – Mila Rose
Race 10-Female
6 – Bedtime Story: Finished in the money in the last 4 races, winning the last start; trained by a winning trainer and proven at the distance.
4 – Union Belle: Ran 2nd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Popthechampagne Ro: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a good 4F workout (Nov-25).
Longshot:
10 – Bucks Some: Won 2 races out of the last 5 starts; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
8 – Creme Caramel
3 – So Swell
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 6th Race – #4 – Borracho
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Inside Out
7 – GET LIKE MIKE – 3SP# increases with a TLRSP#+14 – chance for more in 3rd up
6 – FLUFF THE PILLOW – is going to be forward and ITM 6/8 at Parx
3 – HE’S GOT SWAGGER – most LP and Class dropper – moves to 2nd SIM FAV
1 – NIMMO – rarely makes 3 starts in a row – could be healthy
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Similar Discount but Inside a Little Better
3 – OUR NOTION – only YES horse with +11 Top Total Pace – only MSW dropper
2 – MYBANDIT – top rated 1ster vs the rest who are noes and a maybe
4 – FILLED WITH DESIRE – TLRSP# +7 – and was a little faster – but not much
5 – SUPERNOVA DREAM – another 1ster and the rest have to move up plenty
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,5/1,6/1,4,6/1,3,4,5
$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/1,2,4,5
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Similar Discount but Inside a Little Better
6 – STILLWATER MOON – TLRSP#+7 – better ATB and Top Total Pace
1 – WYATT HUNTER – SIM FAV – last race better than it looks – better EP and similar fractions despite going a little longer
3 – DAVOLA – should be better in the 2nd up – getting forward is the key
4 – WE MISS NEIL – YES horse – 3rd up and held speed a little longer in last
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Similar Discount but Inside a Little Better
1 – BACKTRACK – TLRSP#+3 – YES horse – 3rd up with a lot of upside
4 – POWER AGENDA – the other YES horse and should be forward for sure
6 – COMPETITIVE SAINT – sort of a track dropper and only class dropper
3 – BIG BROWN SHOES – consistent performer – but jy & tr combo no wins in last 15 runs
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,4,6/1,3,4,5/4,6/1,3,4,5
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Similar Discount but Inside a Little Better
5 – MY KID SYD – TLRSP#+11 – and that was a normal race for him
3 – AVES MAKIN’ WAVES – going to overlook last 2 – should be on the lead – lone E with by far best C ZONE
4 – PRINCE LUCAS – SIM FAV – Top PAR+ and class dropper
1 – CRACK THE CODE – very even effort in last and resume says best race coming in 3rd up
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Similar Discount but Inside a Little Better
4 – BORRACHO – SIM FAV – better EP and Fractions – Sanchez and Ness – lots of upside in the 2nd up – biggest dropper
6 – SOPHIA’S PRINCE – moving up the speed ladder, TLRSP#+3 – faster by more than a second
8 – TATUM – should be out front – claim and drop – but would be profitable
3 – JEBOLOGIST – tough call over the 7 – just more consistent with signs of life with better EP in last
$5 Exacta Key Box: 4/3,6,7,8
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount but Inside better than Outside
4 – AMBITIOUSLY PLACED – SIM FAV and Top Total Pace – only Class dropper – alpha angle for tr Michael Pino
3 – GOLDIENESS – should be forward w/ 1 vs all others at the back – better EP
5 – MOOR STRENGTH – track dropper – will be coming late with +6 LP edge
1 – POPOVER GAL – just missed at this level in her last – usually pairs peak races
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,5/2,5,7,8/3,7/4,6,7,11
Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 49% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ A little Better than 4-7
7 – FRANKIE COFFEECAKE – Top rated 1st timer
2 – CAPITAINE – 2nd rater 1ster
5 – CONNOR’S CREW – bounce back race in 3rd career start
8 – N. Y. FINEST – another 1ster and the Oct 29 work 4f in 48 at Parx might be the best work
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,5,7,8
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Similar Discount but Inside a Little Better
3 – CENTRE COURT CHAMP – only YES horse – SIM FAV and Top Total Pace
7 – DEWEY DOIT – might not look like it on paper – but a little better last out
4 – MILA ROSE – track dropper – both wins at the distance
6 – WARRIOR’S RANSOM – biggest in race edge with +12 LS and top TLRSP#+3
Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
6 – BEDTIME STORY – 1 of 2 YES horse and top Total Pace
7 – POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO – the other YES horse and better pace middle out
11 – QUEEN WIGGY – great chance to be pacestetter – doesn’t need it as lone EP
4 – UNION BELLE – SIM FAV with better EP in last
